Saturday 7 February 2015

Grexit: Greece faces German bullying

Mother, who is 83 years old can't remember a *spontaneous* AND *pro-government* rally in her lifetime. In Greece, the barricades, the riot police -and the fear, are one


Eurogroup Gives Greece 10 Day Ultimatum: Apply For Bailout Or Grexit


6 February, 2015

Update: And now this:
  • MOODY'S PLACES GREECE'S Caa1 GOVT. BOND RATING ON REVIEW FOR DOWNGRADE REVIEW
  • GREECE CREDITOR TALKS UNCERTAINTY KEY DRIVER FOR MOODY'S REVIEW
  • GREECE TALKS OUTCOME COULD BE NEGATIVE FOR FUNDING: MOODY'S
Surely Greece must be delighted to be part of the European "Union" at this point.
* * *
Europe has an unpleasant habit of dropping tape bombs at the most inopportune of times, like at 3pm or later a Friday. And while on Wednesday it was the ECB yanking repoable Greek collateral for local banks, today it was first S&P, which downgraded Greece 5 months after upgrading it, and moments ago it was none other than the Cyprus bail-in man himself, the Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem, aka Diesel "Blueprint" BOOM,  who just have Greece a 10 day ultimatum to fall into place or risk a terminal bank run and capital controls (both hinted at earlier by the post-DOJ settlement political "rating agency')
  • GREECE MUST APPLY FOR BAILOUT EXTENSION ON FEB 16 AT THE LATEST TO KEEP EURO ZONE FINANCIAL BACKING -EUROGROUP CHAIRMAN DIJSSELBLOEM
This means that Greece now has 10 days, or until the Monday after next to decide whether it will stay in the Eurozone or Grexit. More from Reuters:







[Yanis Varoufakis] made clear that the new government, which came to power on a wave of anti-austerity anger in elections last month, now wanted to forego remaining bailout money that had austerity strings attached:
"Greece is not asking for the remaining tranches of the current bailout programme - except the 1.9 billion euros that the ECB and the EU member states' central banks must return."
Euro zone finance ministers will discuss how to proceed with financial support for Athens at a special session next Wednesday ahead of the first summit of EU leaders with the new Greek prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, the following day.
However, the chairman of the finance ministers said the following meeting of theEurogroup on Feb. 16 would be Greece's last chance to apply for a bailout extension because some euro zone countries would need to consult their parliaments.
"Time will become very short if they (Greece) don't ask for an extension (by then)," said Jeroen Dijsselbloem.
The current bailout for Greece expires on Feb 28. Without it the country will not get financing or debt relief from its lenders and has little hope of financing itself in the markets.
* * *
Participants said no progress was made at a preparatory meeting of senior finance officials in Brussels on Thursday because Greece and its euro zone partners were so far apart.
"It was Greece against all others, basically one versus 18," one official said.

Almost sounds like a reverse veto out of the European "Union".

At the end of the day what D-Boom has effectively said is this:

GREECE MUST PUT THE LOTION ON IT'S SKIN OR ELSE IT GETS THE HOSE AGAIN-EUROGROUP CHAIRMAN DIJSSELBOOM
Which is precisely the thing Greece, whose negotiating position already has been crushed with the threat of a wholesale bank run, did not want to hear especially now that the government really has no choice: either it complies with European demands,  and can sign its resignation right after having flopped epically, or it pushes on to find out just how badly Europe is bluffing.

Suddenly next week's emergency Eurogroup meeting on Wednesday is looking quite fascinating. We hope the caterers have bulletproof jackets.

And with that we give you... EUROPE!




Having dealt personally with both & - if anyone’s a bully, its Nasty Op-Ed from
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Greece’s Syriza government vows to fight pressure to stick to bailout terms

Eurozone ministers to hold special debt talks next week as new Greek government rules out accepting a plan based on old bailout

Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, speaks on his phone during the vote for the president of Greece’s parliament in Athens.

 Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, speaks on his phone during the vote for the president of Greece’s parliament in Athens. Photograph: Petros Giannakouris/AP


6 February, 2015
Greece’s radical Syriza government has vowed to keep fighting pressure from its eurozone neighbours to stick to the strict terms of its bailout package as battle lines were drawn ahead of crunch debt talks next week.
Eurozone finance ministers have called an emergency meeting for Wednesday night in Brussels to discuss the Greek crisis after a whistlestop tour of Europe by Yanis Varoufakis, Greece’s finance minister, made little headway.
Germany wants Greece to arrive with a plan on the repayment of €240bn (£180bn) in bailout loans it received from the international community. The special debt meeting will be followed on Friday by a summit of European leaders, the first with Alexis Tsipras, the Greek prime minister.
But a government official ruled out accepting a plan based on the old bailout and said Varoufakis would ask for a bridge agreement to tide Athens over until it can present a new debt and reform programme. “We will not accept any deal which is not related to a new programme,” an official told Reuters news agency.
The Syriza party swept to power on a promise to ditch the strict austerity cuts tied to Greece’s bailout from the troika of lenders – the European Union, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund. Now they are in government, Varoufakis and Tspiras have spent the past week meeting their counterparts around Europe, including the British chancellor, George Osborne, to push that same message and argue that ending austerity would do more for economic recovery than relentless cuts.
But they got few concessions and a meeting in Germany with finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble ended with a tense press conference as Greece’s paymasters appeared as determined as ever to make Athens stick to the deficit-cutting agenda and pay back the bailout money.
Greek stock markets fell on Friday ending a volatile week of trading. Bank shares were under pressure amid fears of a fresh run on Greek bank deposits. Concerns were intensified this week by a decision from the European Central Bank to tighten the rules on the collateral that Greek banks can post in exchange for loans.
Standard and Poor’s, the credit ratings agency, highlighted the tight timeframe for Athens to reach a deal as it cut the credit rating on Greek sovereign debt to “B-” from “B”.
The ratings agency said: “The downgrade reflects our view that the liquidity constraints weighing on Greece’s banks and its economy have narrowed the timeframe during which the new government can reach an agreement on a financing programme with its official creditors.
It also raised the prospect of a Greek exit from the single currency bloc.
Although the newly elected Greek government has been in power for less than two weeks, we believe its limited cash buffers and approaching debt redemptions to official preferred creditors constrain its negotiating flexibility. In our view, a prolongation of talks with official creditors could also lead to further pressure on financial stability in the form of deposit withdrawals and, in a worst-case scenario, the imposition of capital controls and a loss of access to lender-of-last-resort financing, potentially resulting in Greece’s exclusion from the Economic and Monetary Union.”
The Athens FTSE banks index lost almost 10% while Greece’s broader ATG shares index lost 2% from Thursday.
The bailout from the troika – which came with stringent conditions, including big spending cuts – is due to expire at the end of this month. But for now many analysts appear hopeful a deal will be done that avoids a Greek exit, or “Grexit”.
We still think that the Greek government and its creditors, including, importantly, the ECB, will eventually come to an agreement on a follow-up bailout that avoids Grexit and a default by the Greek government,” economists at Citigroup saidon Friday
They outlined two agreements that will be needed soon: “An interim agreement (probably by end-February) to keep the Greek government and Greek banks funded for up to four months, with the ECB playing a key role during this period, and ... a more substantial and durable agreement on a follow-up bailout to be struck during that period.”
We continue to expect an agreement on both fronts, but it would require both sides to substantially narrow their differences and we see material risks that either one of these negotiations will fail,” the note said.
With time tight and worries that the prospect of the Greek exit from the eurozone will have repercussions around the world, the US again intervened in the standoff on Friday.
After a meeting with Tsipras, the US ambassador to Greece, David Pearce, urged the new government to work cooperatively with its European colleagues and the IMF and to keep on with reforms.
Greece should continue to make administrative and structural reforms and exercise fiscal prudence,” the embassy said in a statement.

Yanis is a rock star in Athens

Thousands Organize First Pro-Govt Rally in Athens
Athenians in the First Pro-Government Demo2 

5 February, 2015

A demonstration largely different from those Athens has seen in recent years took place today in downtown Athens’ Syntagma Square. The rally was called for 6.00 pm and was organized through social media. It was the first pro-government demonstration organized in Greece in recent years. Four years ago, in summer 2011 the Spanish-inspired movement of the “Indignados” attracted thousands of protestors rallying against austerity measures in the same square.

Once again, the protestors’ request was the abolition of the austerity policies imposed upon Greece. The crowds gathered in front of the Greek Parliament in support of the new anti-austerity SYRIZA-led government’s efforts to renegotiate the country’s international debt. The chants were mostly against German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, who earlier today met with his Greek counterpart in Berlin. Apparently, the two Ministers did not come to an agreement regarding the Greek bailout program’s future.

On the opposite, Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, emerging lately as Greece’s new “super star,” was the protestor’s favorite along with Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras.
Athenians in the First Pro-Government Demo3

“European Central Bank (ECB) President Draghi chose to play Merkel’s game again and blackmail the Greek people and the new Greek government,” was, among others, declared in the demonstration’s declaration, calling people to hold a peaceful protest in Syntagma Square against ECB’s decision not to accept Greek bonds as loan collateral.
It should be noted that police presence was null and it was the first time protestors could even reach the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier and the stairs 
leading to the Greek Parliament, as the iron fence that was installed there for years has been removed by the new government. Similar peaceful demonstrations were held in other major Greek cities.
View image on TwitterView image on Twitter
A quiet anti-austerity, pro-sovereignty, pro national dignity rally tonight, after a great many years.

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