Thursday, 3 August 2017

Extreme heat in Europe

Follow up on the heat wave – Wednesday, August 2nd, 2017


2 August, 2017


The strong blocking pattern over the eastern half of Europe as well as most of the Mediterranean remains in place and the heat wave still strenghtening. Peak temperatures yesterday reached up to 41 °C in southern France, up to 35-38°C across much of Balkan peninsula, central Europe and Italy while some areas in Italy (Sardinia + central parts) and W Balkan reached up to 42°C.

tx_se

tx_gr

tx_au

tx_it
Here are some peak temperatures yesterday;

Italy:

1 Alghero (Italy) 41.9 °C
2 Capo Frasca (Italy) 41.4 °C
3 Firenze (Italy) 41.3 °C
4 Firenze / Peretola (Italy) 41.3 °C
5 Guidonia (Italy) 40.8 °C
6 Frosinone (Italy) 40.0 °C
7 Marina Di Ginosa (Italy) 40.0 °C
8 Ferrara (Italy) 39.2 °C
9 Amendola (Italy) 39.0 °C
10 Catania / Sigonella (Italy) 39.0 °C
11 Latina (Italy) 39.0 °C
12 Monte Argentario (Italy) 39.0 °C
13 Arezzo (Italy) 38.6 °C
14 Roma / Ciampino (Italy) 38.6 °C
15 Viterbo (Italy) 38.5 °C
16 Vigna Di Valle (Italy) 38.4 °C
17 Bologna / Borgo Panigale (Italy) 38.2 °C

France:

1 Carpentras (France) 40.6 °C
2 Cap Corse (France) 39.2 °C
3 Ajaccio (France) 38.0 °C
4 Avignon (France) 37.9 °C
5 Calvi (France) 37.9 °C
6 Orange (France) 37.6 °C
7 Marseille / Marignane (France) 37.3 °C
8 Salon (France) 37.1 °C
9 Figari (France) 37.0 °C
10 Montelimar (France) 36.7 °C
11 St-Auban-Sur-Durance (France) 36.3 °C
12 Istres (France) 35.5 °C

Germany:

1 Weiden (Germany) 34.6 °C
2 Regensburg (Germany) 34.4 °C
3 Fuerstenzell (Germany) 34.2 °C
4 Muenchen-Flughafen (Germany) 33.8 °C
5 Goerlitz (Germany) 33.5 °C
6 Straubing (Germany) 33.4 °C
7 Augsburg (Germany) 33.2 °C
8 Oberstdorf (Germany) 33.0 °C
9 Nuernberg (Germany) 32.9 °C
10 Dresden-Klotzsche (Germany) 32.7 °C
11 Konstanz (Germany) 32.6 °C
12 Cottbus (Germany) 32.0 °C
13 Kempten (Germany) 32.0 °C

Slovenia:

1 Nova Gorica (Slovenia) 36.5 °C
2 Crnomelj (Slovenia) 36.1 °C
3 Ljubljana / Bezigrad (Slovenia) 36.1 °C
4 Novo Mesto (Slovenia) 36.1 °C
5 Kocevje (Slovenia) 36.0 °C
6 Cerklje Ob Krki (Slovenia) 35.5 °C
7 Celje (Slovenia) 34.6 °C
8 Postojna (Slovenia) 34.5 °C
9 Maribor / Slivnica (Slovenia) 34.1 °C
10 Portoroz / Secovlje (Slovenia) 34.1 °C
11 Murska Sobota (Slovenia)

Austria:

1 Salzburg / Freisaal (Austria) 37.0 °C
2 Schaerding (Austria) 36.8 °C
3 Waidhofen/Ybbs (Austria) 36.8 °C
4 Amstetten (Austria) 36.7 °C
5 Krems (Austria) 36.6 °C
6 St Poelten Landhaus (Austria) 36.6 °C
7 Linz / Stadt (Austria) 36.5 °C
8 Wien / City (Austria) 36.5 °C
9 Wien-Donaufeld (Austria) 36.4 °C
10 Neusiedl Am See (Austria) 36.3 °C
11 Kufstein (Austria) 36.2 °C
12 Zwerndorf-Marchegg (Austria) 36.2 °C
13 Jenbach (Austria) 36.0 °C
14 Salzburg-Flughafen (Austria) 36.0 °C
15 Wien / Hohe Warte (Austria) 36.0 °C
16 Saint Veit Im Pongau (Austria) 35.9 °C
17 Weitra (Austria) 35.9 °C
18 Stockerau (Austria) 35.8 °C
19 Bischofshofen (Austria) 35.7 °C

Croatia:

1 Knin (Croatia) 40.0 °C
2 Pazin (Croatia) 37.8 °C
3 Zadar / Zemunik (Croatia) 37.8 °C
4 Rijeka / Omisalj (Croatia) 37.4 °C
5 Split / Resnik (Croatia) 37.2 °C
6 Daruvar (Croatia) 37.0 °C
7 Rijeka / Kozala (Croatia) 37.0 °C
8 Split / Marjan (Croatia) 37.0 °C
9 Senj (Croatia) 36.8 °C
10 Ploce (Croatia) 36.4 °C
11 Dubrovnik / Cilipi (Croatia) 36.3 °C
12 Sibenik (Croatia) 36.0 °C
13 Karlovac (Croatia) 35.5 °C
14 Ogulin (Croatia) 35.5 °C
15 Pula Aerodrome (Croatia) 35.2 °C
16 Gospic (Croatia) 35.1 °C
17 Bilogora (Croatia) 35.0 °C

Hungary:

1 Baja (Hungary) 36.9 °C
2 Mosonmagyarovar (Hungary) 36.9 °C
3 Szeged (Hungary) 36.6 °C
4 Bekescsaba (Hungary) 36.4 °C
5 Szolnok (Hungary) 36.1 °C
6 Budapest / Lorinc (Hungary) 36.0 °C
7 Gyor (Hungary) 36.0 °C
8 Paks (Hungary) 35.9 °C
9 Poroszlo (Hungary) 35.6 °C
10 Agard (Hungary) 35.5 °C
11 Debrecen (Hungary) 35.3 °C
12 Szombathely (Hungary) 35.3 °C
13 Eger (Hungary) 34.9 °C
14 Keszthely (Hungary) 34.8 °C
15 Tata (Hungary) 34.8 °C
16 Kecskemet (Hungary) 34.7 °C
17 Miskolc (Hungary) 34.7 °C

Serbia:
1 Vrsac (Serbia) 37.0 °C
2 Zrenjanin (Serbia) 37.0 °C
3 Cuprija (Serbia) 36.7 °C
4 Nis (Serbia) 36.6 °C
5 Smederevska Palanka (Serbia) 36.6 °C
6 Loznica (Serbia) 36.5 °C
7 Beograd (Serbia) 36.4 °C
8 Krusevac (Serbia) 36.4 °C
9 Valjevo (Serbia) 36.3 °C
10 Kragujevac (Serbia) 36.2 °C
11 Leskovac (Serbia) 36.2 °C
12 Novi Sad Rimski Sancevi (Serbia) 36.1 °C
13 Beograd / Surcin (Serbia) 36.0 °C
14 Kraljevo (Serbia) 36.0 °C
15 Banatski Karlovac (Serbia) 35.9 °C
16 Kikinda (Serbia) 35.5 °C
17 Vranje (Serbia) 35.5 °C

Bosnia:
1 Mostar (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 39.6 °C
2 Banja Luka (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 36.2 °C
3 Jajce (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 36.0 °C
4 Sanski Most (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 35.9 °C
5 Tuzla (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 35.4 °C
6 Neum (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 35.2 °C
7 Sarajevo-Bejelave (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 35.2 °C
8 Livno (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 35.1 °C
9 Gradacac (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 35.0 °C


Europe is still divided in two halfs with much cooler temps across W Europe and hot weather further ESE with deep trough over W Europe and an intense ridge over ESE Europe. Much of south, central and eastern Europe will experience well above average day with extremely hot temperatures locally. A cooler period remains across western amd northern Europe in the wake of the troughs.
ecmwf-ens_T850a_eu_2

Today, the highest temperatures are again expected across parts of Italy and Balkan peninsula, while the Iberian peninsula and southern France can expect slightly cooler weather than yesterday as trough made some slight progress eastwards and mixed down the temps a bit. However, peak temperatures in the eastern Po plain (N Italy) are expected to reach 38-42 °C, together with locally high dewpoints near 25°C – so very high Heat Index! Some parts of south-central Italy and Sardinia also expect temperatures in range 37-41 °C locally! The Pannonian basin, including Hungary, E Croatia, N Serbia and W Romania are also expected to reach up to 35-39 °C, while some interuption with storms from the Alps should limit peak time heating in the afternoon. Also very hot in parts of southern Balkans and W Turkey, going up to 40 °C locally again.
t2m_014

GFSOPIT00_18_48
Looking ahead, an intense heat wave should continue over the weekend into early next week. A break in this pattern is likely by mid next week when a trough will be pushed into central Europe and ridge moves into SE Europe. Expect 6-12°C too warm daily temps in many areas until then, locally heat records could be broken.

No comments:

Post a Comment