US
May Be Preparing Preemptive Strike Against North Korean Nuclear Sites
24
January, 2018
It’s
no secret that the US military has been gradually amassing firepower
on the Korean Peninsula since Pyongyang began testing a range of
ballistic missiles in April, triggering a US military buildup across
the border in South Korea. Now, it appears the Pentagon is preparing
its forces there for a potential nuclear strike against North Korea.
The
B-2 Spirit stealth bomber and B-52 Stratofortress strategic bomber,
the two planes comprising the "air leg" of the US' nuclear
triad, have both been deployed to the Korean Peninsula. Furthermore,
Business Insider reported that the B-2s may soon be equipped with
modified B-61 nuclear bombs.
The
B-61 thermonuclear gravity bomb has been the US' low yield strategic
and tactical nuclear bomb of choice since the 1960s. Its compact
design was recently modified to increase its penetrative potential so
that it can better strike at underground targets — where most of
North Korea's nuclear arsenal is believed to be.
This is a terrible map.
The
new B-61 also can be adjusted to greatly reduce nuclear fallout after
a strike. One major point of contention behind an American nuclear
strike would be the untold ruin it would bring on North Korean
civilians for generations to come. Geopolitical analysts have sought
a way for Washington to have its cake and eat it too: to demolish
North Korea's nuclear sites without damaging anything but those
nuclear sites.
White
House reports from earlier in January claimed that Trump was
considering a "bloody nose" strike against Pyongyang's
nuclear sites. When asked about this possibility, Secretary of State
Rex Tillerson told reporters that "we have to recognize that the
threat is growing and that if North Korea does not choose the pathway
of engagement, discussion, negotiation then they themselves will
trigger an option."
Another
Trump lieutenant, CIA Director Mike Pompeo, made a rare public
appearance for a panel hosted by the American Enterprise Institute
(AEI) on Tuesday. When North Korea was inevitably brought up, Pompeo
refused to rule out the possibility of an American preemptive strike
against Pyongyang — although he insisted that diplomacy remained
the US' first choice.
"The
president is intent on delivering a solution through diplomatic
means… We are equally, at the same time, ensuring that if we
conclude that is not possible, that we present the president with a
range of options that can achieve his stated intention," Pompeo
told AEI.
However,
while he wouldn't take the option off the table, he also wouldn't
explicitly recommend it. Pompeo said that he would "leave to
others to address the capacity or the wisdom of a preemptive strike…
we're trying to ensure that all the various options that the
president might want to consider are fully informed, that we
understand what's really going on and the risks associated with each
of those decisions as best we can identify them for him."
He
added that he did not buy the argument that North Korean leader Kim
Jong-un would only use his nascent arsenal to defend North Korean
sovereignty — as North Korean military strategy states — but may
also use them to bully or even conquer South Korea. (North and South
Korea, in the meantime, have recently engaged in high-level peace
talks and agreed to march into the upcoming Winter Olympics under one
pro-unification flag, events taken as signs of a serious thaw in
relations.)
While
Pompeo added that Kim is a "rational actor," it was his
opinion that Kim "would use [nuclear weapons] beyond
self-preservation."
"This
is a threat to the whole world," Pompeo said of the North Korean
nuclear program.
Congressional
Democrats have announced that they would oppose any strike against
North Korea, limited or not; indeed, some reject the premise
entirely.
"There's
no such thing as a limited strike, whether or not you use a nuclear
cruise missile," said Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-IL), a retired US
Army lt. colonel, to reporters one day after Tillerson's remarks.
"You will have massive, massive noncombatant injuries,
casualties, as well as military casualties."
A
2017 paper published by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's
International Security think tank claimed that modern US nuclear
weapons and guidance systems could obliterate North Korea's nuclear
infrastructure with five strategic strikes — all while only causing
around 100 deaths.Melissa
Hanham, a senior research associate at the James Martin Center for
Nonproliferation Studies, slammed the MIT study as unrealistic and
unfounded. Hanham highlighted the all-important point that the
incredible secretiveness of the North Korean government means that
there may be nuclear sites or weapons that are unknown to their
enemies, and thus would not be eliminated by a presumed "bloody
nose" strike.
There is also the concern of Pyongyang's vast arsenal of conventional weapons that most analysts agree could cause catastrophic damage to the South Korean capital of Seoul in case of armed conflict.
The U.S is not interested in peace or even the Korean Peninsula. They have their own “strategic interests”.
On
Wednesday, North Korea sent a rare announcement to “all Koreans at
home and abroad,” calling for a “breakthrough for independent
unification” on both sides of the Demilitarized Zone.
The
message, carried on North Korean state media, said that all Koreans
should "promote contact, travel, cooperation and exchange
between North and South Korea" on a "wide scale to remove
mutual misunderstanding and distrust."
The
announcement reflects a statement adopted after a meeting between the
government, political parties and organizations of North Korea,
according to KCNA. It encourages Koreans to "improve the
North-South relations and make a breakthrough for independent
reunification," the goal of North Korea's leadership.
"Let us wage an energetic drive to defuse the acute military tension and create a peaceful climate on the Korean Peninsula!" the statement goes on to say, adding "We will courageously smash all challenges going against the nation's desire for reunification."
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