In
the Arctic today
Fracturing
sea ice as seen from Yakutia to Alaska. Note the penetration of
fractures deep into CAB - it is here where the next calving may occur
(especially if winds arise to pull ice further apart).
Heavily
pulverized sea ice around Svalbard / Franz Joseph Land heading to the
Atlantic 3.7.2017.
Thanks,
Harold Hensel
The
Mackenzie River in Canada continues to pour warmer water into the
Mackenzie Bay in the Beaufort Sea. 07/02/2017
“It
is steaming hot in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas and the CAA. The
thin ice in the Beaufort is melting away like a frozen Margarita in
Texas in July. That said the DMI 80ÂșN to the pole graph has been on
the cool side.
The weather/climate models don't have any way to deal with the problems of thin ice so I have little confidence in the CFSv2 forecasts I have been reviewing. It's going to be very interesting to see how the weather responds to the early melt out in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas.
The main channel of the CAA is also showing signs of early break up. There's a lot going on and I wouldn't be surprised to see the melt out go very quickly on the Alaskan side of the Arctic ocean”
The weather/climate models don't have any way to deal with the problems of thin ice so I have little confidence in the CFSv2 forecasts I have been reviewing. It's going to be very interesting to see how the weather responds to the early melt out in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas.
The main channel of the CAA is also showing signs of early break up. There's a lot going on and I wouldn't be surprised to see the melt out go very quickly on the Alaskan side of the Arctic ocean”
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