Tuesday, 4 July 2017

The melting Arctic - update - 07/03/2017

In the Arctic today

Fracturing sea ice as seen from Yakutia to Alaska. Note the penetration of fractures deep into CAB - it is here where the next calving may occur (especially if winds arise to pull ice further apart).

It is steaming hot in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas and the CAA. The thin ice in the Beaufort is melting away like a frozen Margarita in Texas in July. That said the DMI 80ÂșN to the pole graph has been on the cool side.

The weather/climate models don't have any way to deal with the problems of thin ice so I have little confidence in the CFSv2 forecasts I have been reviewing. It's going to be very interesting to see how the weather responds to the early melt out in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas.

The main channel of the CAA is also showing signs of early break up. There's a lot going on and I wouldn't be surprised to see the melt out go very quickly on the Alaskan side of the Arctic ocean”

Ice over 1m thick ( 1 meter thick ice removed)

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