Italy wonders where
Europe’s solidarity is as
virus strains show
13 March, 2020
Emergency
doctors in Italy, the European epicentre of the coronavirus pandemic,
were this week given guidance on “catastrophe medicine”. As the
number of patients requiring intensive care balloons and hospitals
run out of intensive care beds, doctors were instructed to “aim to
guarantee intensive treatment to patients with the greatest chance of
therapeutic success”.
With
the grim task of selecting patients unlikely to survive, Italy’s
health authorities have pleaded with the countries’ friends and
allies for emergency supplies. On Thursday, they finally arrived —
from Shanghai. The China Eastern flight brought a medical team and 31
tonnes of supplies including ventilators.
Beijing’s
gesture has reinforced a perceived lack of support from Europe,
compounded by a communications blunder by the European Central Bank
president Christine Lagarde, who implied on Thursday it was no longer
her job to keep Italy in the euro.
When
Italy asked for urgent medical supplies under a special European
crisis mechanism no EU country responded. Fearful of its own
shortages, Germany initially banned the export of medical masks and
other protective gear. 3M, a producer, said the German restrictions
had made it impossible to supply the Italian market. Berlin
subsequently relaxed the export rules, but then Austria closed its
borders to people arriving from Italy unless they could prove they
were virus-free.
The
rebuffs are nourishing resentment that Italy has been abandoned by
its European friends. It is a perception that has taken root over a
decade, of a currency union that lacks collective solidarity and
stifles growth as Italy confronted migrant flows from Africa and the
Middle East. This, in turn, has fuelled the rise of Eurosceptic
nationalists such as far-right firebrand Matteo Salvini.
“It
is back to the future, where Italy is left on its own,” said
Nathalie Tocci, director of the Institute for International Affairs
in Rome. “It was the case with the eurozone crisis, then the
migrant crisis of 2015-16 and now the coronavirus crisis. It is the
same old story and the political implications could be massive.”
In
this photo released by China's Xinhua News Agency, members of a
Chinese aid team arrive at Fiumicino Airport in Rome, late Thursday,
March 12, 2020. According to Chinese state media, a charter plane
carrying members of a medical team and several tons of medical
supplies from China arrived in Rome to assist Italy in fighting the
coronavirus outbreak. For most people, the new coronavirus causes
only mild or moderate symptoms. For some it can cause more severe
illness. (Cheng Tingting/Xinhua via AP)
As
Rome’s anger mounted this week, Ursula von der Leyen, the European
Commission president, tried to reassure Italians the EU was on their
side, promising flexibility over EU deficit rules and a €25bn
investment fund for fighting the crisis across the bloc. But the warm
words from Brussels were soon drowned out by a message from
Frankfurt.
Christine
Lagarde’s comment that it was not the ECB’s job to “close the
spreads” between 10-year Italian government bonds and German Bunds
— a measure of the risk differential between the two sovereign
debts — caused it to spike by 60 basis points, the biggest daily
increase on record. The FTSE MIB, Milan’s blue-chip stock index,
plummeted 17 per cent, its biggest daily drop, out-slumping other
equity markets on a terrible day for investors around the world.
“Italy
needed help and it has been given a slap in the face,” said Matteo
Salvini, leader of the nationalist League party who said he would
look into seeking compensation from the central bank.
He
added: “The only help that has come from Europe has been to cause
the collapse of the stock market and to make the spread go crazy.
Yesterday Italy lost €68bn of savings.”
Giorgia
Meloni, leader of the far-right Brothers of Italy party, attacked Ms
Lagarde as an “evidently inadequate” ECB president.
“In
2012 faced with an economic crisis the Italian Mario Draghi used a
bazooka to calm it,” she said. “Today his French successor
Christine Lagarde decided to use a boomerang, with a surreal
statement that caused the collapse of the stock market.”
Hours
after Ms Lagarde spoke — the ECB a day later insisted it “stood
ready to do more” — Sergio Mattarella, Italy’s president,
unusually spoke out to say that a country in crisis expected
“initiatives of solidarity and not obstacles to action”.
“The
job of the central bank should not be to hinder but to help such
measures by creating favourable financial conditions for them,”
said prime minister Giuseppe Conte.
The
spike in the spread — a popular metric in Italy since the eurozone
debt crisis — reinforced a narrative that when a crisis hits, the
country is on its own.
Ms
Lagarde’s comments appeared to undo the work of her Italian
predecessor, Mario Draghi, who was instrumental in restoring
confidence that Italy could remain in the eurozone, while echoing the
sentiments of hawkish German policymakers, said Ms Tocci.
It
did not help that Ms Lagarde’s explosive remarks about “lo
spread” — as the Italians call it — won approval from Jens
Weidmann, president of Germany’s Bundesbank.
The
EU could yet put in place a co-ordinated rescue package for Italy,
including Italian bond-buying by the ECB.
But
Ms Lagarde’s comments had exposed “an underlying vulnerability in
the eurozone centred on Italy’s precarious economic position”,
said Kenneth Wattret, chief European economist at IHS Markit. To fix
the economic damage of the severe travel disruptions and quarantine
restrictions would require the ECB to monetise Italy’s debt or a
bailout, he said.
“It
is the elephant in the room and this crisis is bringing it home
because Italy is now at the heart of the crisis in Europe,” Mr
Wattret added.
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