As of now, the Hang Seng is down 3.9% and the NZ stock
exchange down 2.7%.
exchange down 2.7%.
Market Massacre: Oil
Crashes 30%, VIX
Explodes As S&P
Craters Limit Down
Craters Limit Down
8 March, 2020
Update
(2020ET): And there it is: for the first time since the financial
crisis, the emini S&P future has hit the limit down band of -5%,
something it failed to do even during the May 2010 flash crash.
This
means that no more trade are allowed below the limit down level until
the market opens at 9:30 am ET (assuming it opens of course). Trades
higher are still permitted, naturally, however that will probably not
be a great comfort to all those who are rushing to liquidate with
reckless abandon. But fear not: with the S&P now down more than
17% from its all-time highs just two weeks earlier, and just shy of a
bear market, those who want to sell will have ample opportunity to do
so in the days ahead.
* * *
Following
what may have been the most drama-filled weekend since "Lehman
Sunday", in which we saw not only another major spike in covid
cases around Europe and the US, but also the total collapse of OPEC
after Saudi Arabia unilaterally decided to flood the market with
deeply discounted oil in a desperate attempt to crush the competition
(yet which may backfire and soon lead to riots in Riyadh), markets
are reacting appropriately and just like during Lehman
Sunday, everything
is crashing:
-
S&P emini futures are down more than 4% in early trading, plunging as low as 2,845 and fast approaching their limit down price of 2,819 as investors around the world puke risk in an unprecedented fashion.
- Dow futures are down more than 1,000 points unwinding all of Friday's remarkable late-day rally and then some...
- VIX futures are up 16%, so one can only imagine where spot will be soon.
With
everyone rushing into safety, rates are soaring and the Ultra bond
future is already up a gargantuan 7 to 232-16 in a squeeze that will
surely lead to the failure of more than one macro fund still
short the long-end,
while the 10Y yield is on pace to hit a record all time low of 0.50%,
one which screams recession.
- Naturally, the oil complex is imploding, with WTI down 27% to $30...
- ... while Brent has dropped as much as 31%, to just $33 in early Sunday trading in what Bloomberg dubbed "one of the most dramatic bouts of selling ever"...
... and indeed, today's move is the biggest one-day drop in Brent on record.
...
in line with Goldman's shocking price target cut, which now expected
Brent dropping into the $20s.
FX,
as discussed earlier, is in freefall, with carry trades getting
unwound, while commodity pairs are getting anihilated:
-
NORWEGIAN KRONE FALLS TO LOWEST SINCE AT LEAST 1985 VS DOLLAR
-
FALLS EXTEND IN CANADIAN DOLLAR, NORWEGIAN KRONE, MEXICAN PESO
Finally,
gold, also known to certain WSJ "experts" as a pet rock, it
just spiked above $1,700 for the first time since 2012.
What
happens now? Well, earlier today Morgan Stanley said
that to stabilize markets,
the Fed would need to announce not only a rate cut but also resume
official QE...
We believe equity markets will struggle until policy-makers get back ahead of the curve with more interest rate cuts and an extension of the current balance sheet expansion and/or an official quantitative easing program – something we think is likely coming
...
and with spot VIX likely set to trip 60 or more, the Fed will need to
do something or risk another Great Depression, although how sending
nominal bond yields into negative territory across the board will
help markets remains to be seen. Maybe the Fed's time has finally run
out?
Or
maybe Trump - who provoked the market gods one too many times with
his relentless stock market boasts as stocks hit artificial high
after artificial high - actually has something up his sleeve, because
moments after futures opened, he tweeted a rather cryptic "nothing
can stop what's coming."
Some hours after this news came out there is NO MENTION of this in the NZ media. I wonder if they are waiting for instructions on how to spin this.
Kuwait
Stock Market
Plunges 10% Today; Trading
SUSPENDED
8
March, 2020
This
comes as two issues slam the Middle East in particular: Coronavirus
and and Oil Price War.
The
oil price war began Friday, when Russia refused to agree to OPEC
production cuts. Saudi Arabia then declared they would INCREASE
their national production to more than ten million barrels per day,
and would even go as high as TWELVE MILLION, to gain market share.
This
caused an immediate plunge in oil prices, which obviously will impact
things economically throughout the Middle East and the world.
The
outbreak of Coronavirus is spreading worldwide, and the Middle East
is no exception. The virus is already saturating Egypt and is
suspected to be heavily spreading in Arab nations, albeit without
official recognition.
This
virus outbreak is reducing consumer activities, which is also having
a very significant economic impact on firms in the Middle East.
Hence, today's plunge in Kuwaiti stocks.
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