News headlines are coming through, thick and fast so it is difficult to keep up.
I shall keep adding to this during the day.
Restaurants, entertainment venues and most shops are to shut down in France from midnight on as the French government is struggling to contain the coronavirus pandemic that has killed 91 people there.
Following
an increase of nearly 1,000 cases of coronavirus and 12 new deaths on
Saturday, French Prime Minister Edouard Philippe ordered all
non-essential public places to be closed. Philippe also encouraged
citizens to limit their travel, especially between cities.
Authorities
in Madrid have told residents to stay at home, as Seville cancel the
Holy Week celebrations.
Prime
Minister Pedro Sanchez’s government have come under fire for
getting off to a slow start with coronavirus. They only began to
introduce serious measures this week as numbers of coronavirus rates
soared. The opposition has criticised the government for letting
events like International Women’s Day marches go ahead a week ago.
As
well as urging people to stay at home, Madrid city council has just
announced that all parks in the capital will be closed from 4pm local
time today.
“Given
the crowds of people who are unfortunately ignoring all the warnings
and congregating in Madrid’s public spaces, the mayor has given the
order to close all of the city’s parks and gardens from 4pm,” it
said in a tweet.
Prime
Minister Mikhail Mishustin said the ban will come into force at
midnight and apply to all international visitors travelling 'for
professional, private, study or tourist reasons'.
It
will not include Belarusians, members of official delegations and
residents of Russia.
Mikhail
Mishustin said the ban will come into force at midnight and apply to
all international visitors travelling 'for professional, private,
study or tourist reasons'. Pictured: Medical workers in Novomoskovsky
on Saturday +1
As
of yesterday Russia confirmed it had recorded 45 cases of the virus
as the epicentre of the pandemic swept from Asia to Europe.
Moscow
Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said 24 residents of the city were infected and
new measures were needed to stop the virus from spreading further.
'Parents
will decide whether their child will keep going to school or remain
home,' Sobyanin wrote on his website.
'Every
family can have different circumstances and kids' immunity is
different.' He said the measure would remain in place until further
notice.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8111829/Russia-shuts-land-borders-New-Zealand-introduces-toughest-border-restrictions-world.html
https://www.irishpost.com/news/breaking-varadkar-announces-ireland-will-go-lockdown-6pm-today-march-29-181528
A supermarket in London
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-olympics-idUSKBN21109C
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-update-testing-news-herd-immunity-who-uk-cases-map-a9402051.html
The
UK's chief scientific adviser has said the government wants 60 per
cent of the population to catch coronavirus to try and create “herd
immunity” to protect against the virus becoming an annual crisis.
Sir
Patrick Vallance told BBC Radio 4’s Today Programme that he thought
the coronavirus was likely to become an "annual virus" and
that the strategy was to limit the impact on the NHS but not stop the
virus completely.
He
said: “What we don't want is everybody to end up getting it in a
short period of time so we swamp and overwhelm NHS services - that's
the flattening of the peak," he said.
"You can't stop it, so you should end up with a broader peak during which time you'd anticipate that more people would get immunity to this. That in itself becomes a protective part of this process.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-herd-immunity-uk-nhs-outbreak-pandemic-government-a9399101.html
https://iranian.com/2020/03/12/russia-hands-to-iran-coronavirus-diagnostic-systems-designed-for-50000-tests-watchdog/#.Xmy1sQmKwpI.facebook
https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/446066/Chinese-people-firms-send-new-anti-corona-aid-to-Iran
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8110163/Mexico-wants-close-border-Americans-stop-spread-coronavirus.html?ito=social-facebook
From
Hal Turner
Model
to give us some understanding of the next few weeks..…
If
we look at all the possibilities, as of March 13th, in Italy there
were between 1 million and 1.6 million infected people with COVID19.
This
is a frightening number, because in the next 3 weeks, considering the
collapsed healthcare system in Italy...we can expect that 18% of
those 1-1.6 million people to die, because they can't have access to
an ICU bed or ventilator.
This
is 180,000 to 288,000 deaths in Italy in the next 3 weeks.
HOWEVER,
considering that Lombardy, and later on, the entire Italy was put in
lock-down, the real number of infected people in Italy as of March
13th to be about 40% LOWER, because most of the cases would be
infected in the last 4-5 days IF THERE WOULD BE NO LOCK-DOWNS.
The
most optimistic number of infected Italians, would be 600,000.
Applying a 10% error, it could be as low as 520,000 people.
In
the next 3 weeks, 18% of 520,000 people will die...and that is
roughly 93,600 deaths.
This
is the "best" case scenario for Italy...I have no words.
That is a median number of deaths of 4,400 / day, for the next 21
days in Italy.
The
thing is, that this number will be HUGE in the last week of the next
3 weeks, more then half of the 93k+ deaths taking place in the last
week.
It
is still a massive number, not low enough to have any positive impact
for the healthcare system.
MORE:
Here’s
something that’s absolutely terrifying: a comparison of the age
distributions of Covid-19 cases in Italy, where they are only testing
people who show symptoms, and S. Korea, which has broad testing. A
whole lot of 20-29 year olds are out there who feel just fine but are
VERY contagious. They have the sickness, but do not know it, and
they're spreading it.
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