Update on coronavirus - 30 January, morning

Coronavirus Infection and 

Death Rates Surpass SARS, 

WHO Declares Emergency

Mish Talk,

30 January, 2020

\As the rate of acceleration of infections passed SARS and the Swine Flu, the WHO finally decided to declare an emergency

WHO Finally Declares Emergency

Today the W.H.O. Declares Global Emergency, something any rational person knew at least a week ago.

Declaring a global emergency would allow the WHO to coordinate government responses to the crisis.

Ponder my question from yesterday.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock@MishGEA

Q: Who the F wants the WHO to coordinate anything?

Declaring a global emergency would allow the WHO to coordinate government responses to the crisis.

The WHO last week didn't call the outbreak a global health emergency saying it was a "local crisis".https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/economics/coronavirus-facts-the-fact-is-we-don-t-know-what-the-facts-are-q-2xjrQwJE-R-F376hJ18w …

Coronavirus Facts: The Fact is, We Don't Know What the Facts Are

The number of deaths and thus the reported death rates from the coronavirus are more than a bit suspect.

moneymaven.io

7

10:02 PM - Jan 30, 2020

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US Case of Person-to-Person Transmission Confirmed

As the WHO finally declares an emergency, First U.S. Case of Person-to-Person Transmission Confirmed, 195 U.S. citizens in isolation.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Thursday that it has confirmed the first U.S. case of person-to-person spread of coronavirus, among a married couple in Illinois.

There are now six confirmed cases of coronavirus in the U.S., two of which are in Chicago. The sixth case is the husband of the first confirmed case in Illinois, a woman in her 60s. He did not travel to Wuhan, China, the city that first identified the novel coronavirus, and only recently began to show symptoms of the virus.

The first U.S. residents to be diagnosed with the coronavirus had all recently traveled to Wuhan City, China. There are now 21 people under investigation in Illinois and a total of 165 under investigation in the U.S., according to the CDC.

Disturbing Trends

Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding@DrEricDing

Ummmmm, not trying scare anyone, but this is a disturbing data from former @CDCgov Director @DrTomFrieden: the new #coronavirus is about to exceed SARS in total cases, and in just 1/3rd the time. https://twitter.com/drtomfrieden/status/1222964004752150538 …

Dr. Tom Frieden@DrTomFrieden

Milestone: #nCoV2019 about to surpass SARS in cases. 1 vs 3 months to get to 8,000 dx cases. Still don't know: how infectious, how much mild illness, how much nosocomial spread...whether can be controlled as SARS was or mitigated as flu, other resp pathogens are. @WHO @chinacdc

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8:31 AM - Jan 31, 2020

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Jim Bianco has another set of excellent charts. These are from an email exchange today.

Conaravirus Infections Accelerating Faster Than SARS, Swine Flu

Conaravirus Deaths Accelerating Faster Than SARS, Swine Flu

Bianco Comments

1. This is day 14 of published reports, not day 14 after the first known case. This is why the charts do not start at zero or one.
2. Both the published infection and mortality rates for the coronavirus are much larger than SARS and Swine Flu, at the same point.
3. After just 14 days, the published infection rate has already surpassed the total 60-day total infection rate for SARS.
4. The published mortality rate is about to exceed the 60-day total for the Swine Flu mortality rate (probably today or tomorrow).

Nauseating Video of Wuhan Meat Market

In case you were wondering what the Wuhan meat market looked like before it was closed, here you go, but this may be disturbing.