Saturday, 17 October 2015

Syria news update - 10/16/2015

Demoralized ISIS militants deserting en masse amid Russian airstrikes - Defense Ministry

A Russian Aerospace Defense Force jet bombs Islamic State facilities in Syria © Russian Defence Ministry

RT,
16 October, 2015

Growing numbers of Islamic State militants in Syria have become discontent with their command and deserted the ranks of the militant group amid the Russian anti-terror operation, Moscow's Defense Ministry said on Friday.

"The majority of armed gangs are demoralized. Discontent with field commanders is growing amid the fighters, and there are instances of disobeying orders," senior Russian General Andrey Kartapolov told a media briefing.

Cases of desertion among the jihadists are no longer isolated, with them now fleeing "en masse," the colonel general, who heads operations in the Russian general staff, dded.

To monitor the situation in the area, drone reconnaissance has been intensified.

Since Russia launched airstrikes against Islamic State in Syria following a request by President Bashar Assad, around 530 strikes have been conducted by its Air Force. Hundreds of terrorists and dozens of command posts, depots and other IS infrastructure have been destroyed.

According to the General Staff of Russian Armed Forces, militants were forced to retreat under Russia's strikes, as they have lost large amounts of weapons and military equipment on the contact line with the Syrian Army.


Russian strikes hit only militant targets, Kartapolov said, adding that during the past two weeks "enough video materials proving the accuracy of the airstrikes has been provided." The general stressed that all such targets are located away from residential areas



Meanwhile, some of the strikes conducted in Syria by the US led coalition destroy objects of civilian infrastructure, the Russian military official said, adding that it results in the growing flows of refugees fleeing from their native lands to the European Union.


On October 11 a Syrian thermal power plant was destroyed by the coalition strikes, Kartapolov said, adding that the location had been bombed repeatedly for several days. As a result, civilians in the city of Aleppo were left without electricity and sewerage stopped functioning, the general told defense attaches and journalists.

On Thursday, Russia's Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev also spoke negatively of the military operation led by US in Syria. "The result of their activity in the fight against IS in 


Americans believe Putin has upper hand on Obama in Syria – poll





With no exact deadlines pronounced for the Russian operation in Syria fighting IS, President Vladimir Putin has stressed that no Russian troops will be deployed in any ground operation, with only the Syrian Army fighting the terrorists on the ground.




ISIL fighters appear to be shaving off their beards before fleeing to Turkey to escape Russian airstrikes.


Hundreds of ISIL fighters are fleeing Syria for Turkey, as Russia's Defense Ministry previously said, and reports are popping up that they are leaving their beards behind




Russian warplanes in Syria have destroyed a total of 456 ISIL targets since the operation began on September 30, the Russian General Staff said Friday.

Russian warplanes in Syria have destroyed a total of 456 ISIL targets since the operation began on September 30, the Russian General Staff said Friday.

Over the past week, they have carried out 394 sorties, destroying 46 command and communication posts, 6 explosives manufacturing facilities, 22 warehouses and fuel depots, along with 272 militant positions, strongpoints and field camps, Colonel-General Andrei Kartapolov, head of the Main Operations Directorate of the Russian General Staff, told journalists during a briefing



Exclusive: Inside Syrian city cleared of jihadists by Assad troops





Exclusive scenes of military operations in Salma, Lattakia

Syrian army and national defense forces entered the outskirts of the strategic ity Salma in the north of Lattakia province, near the masjid after fierce combats against terrorists from Jebhat al-Nusra. Terrorists make resistance, others tried to leave towards Turkish border, but militiamen cut them by means of artillery.

Fighters of the army and militia are full of determination to liberate the city, which has been an stronghold of terrorists in the north of the province near the border for a long time. "We are moving forward, and nothing can stop us" one of militiamen says.




"NATO and the United States should change their policy because the time when they dictate their conditions to the world has passed," Ahmadinejad said in a speech in Dushanbe, capital of the Central Asian republic of Tajikistan

Breaking: Syrian Army and Hezbollah Launch Their Southern Aleppo Offensive – 4 Sites Captured



At 10 A.M. (Damascus Time) on Friday morning, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) – in coordination with Hezbollah, the National Defense Forces (NDF), and Kata’ebat Al-Ba’ath (Al-Ba’ath Battalions) – launched their large-scale southern Aleppo offensive after almost one year of inactivity along this rural area in the Azzan Mountains.

According to field reports from the provincial capital, the Syrian Armed Forces and Lebanese Resistance captured 4 sites from the Islamist rebels of Jabhat Al-Shamiyah (Levantine Front), Harakat Ahrar Al-Sham, and the Free Syrian Army (FSA) this morning, killing a number of enemy combatants in the process of their advance in the Aleppo Governorate’s southern countryside.

The Syrian Armed Forces and Lebanese Resistance captured the villages of ‘Abtayn, Al-Wadayhi, and Qala’at Al-Najam, along with the Defense Battalion Base and the farms surrounding it; this rapid progress by the pro-government forces caught the Islamist rebels off-guard, as they frantically retreated to the southwest in order to evade the swarming enemy fighters.

In addition to the ground assault on the Islamist rebels, the Russian Air Force has come to the aid of the Syrian Armed Forces and Lebanese Resistance, carrying out at least 6 air raids on the enemy’s positions in order to propel the pro-government forces across this rugged area of the Aleppo Governorate.

The main objective of the Syrian Armed Forces/Lebanese Resistance’s southern Aleppo offensive is to recapture the ‘Azzan Mountains from the Islamist rebels, while also creating a larger buffer-zone around the Syrian Government’s only highway leading to the provincial capital.

Syrian Army Conducts a Special Operation to Cutoff the Strategic Aleppo-Raqqa Highway



For the last two years, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) soldiers inside the Kuweires Military Airport have been under a brutal siege perpetrated by the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS); this has left the pro-government forces with a shortage of provisions and hope, as the aforementioned terrorist group has repeatedly attempted to break into this airbase from almost every flank.

With mounting pressure from the civilian population, the Syrian Arab Army’s Central Command has decided to dedicate the resources needed to lift this siege and free the soldiers trapped inside the base.

However, this operation to lift the siege on the Kuweires Military Airport would not be an easy task for the Syrian Armed Forces due to the terrorist group being heavily entrenched around the Deir Hafer Plains of the Aleppo Governorate’s eastern countryside – enter the Russian Air Force.

The Russian Air Force has been godsend for the Syrian Arab Army soldiers trapped inside the Kuweires Military Airport, as they continuously provide air cover and protection against any assault from the ISIS militants surrounding the base.

On Wednesday night, the Syrian Arab Army soldiers inside the Kuweires Military Airport struck back against the terrorist group by cutting off the imperative Aleppo-Raqqa Highway to the south of the airbase, leaving the ISIS militants entrenched at the Thermal Plant without a necessary supply route.

The Thermal Plant is one of the most important locations for the terrorist group in the western countryside of the Deir Hafer Plains, as it is strategically located on all the roads leading to ISIS’ frontline positions against the Syrian Armed Forces in east Aleppo.

Adding to ISIS’ plight in east Aleppo, the Syrian Armed Forces recaptured the town of Na’am and its imperative hilltop after intense firefights on Wednesday morning.




A Russian Su-34 fullback bomber jet © Dmitriy Vinogradov

Russia’s Defense Ministry said that it will soon sign an agreement on flight safety over Syria with Pentagon after the sides agreed on all the necessary technical issues.

"All technical matters have already been agreed upon, with Russian and US lawyers now cross checking the text of the document," Colonel-General Andrey Kartapolov told a media briefing on Friday.

According to Kartapolov, the memorandum on flight safety over Syria will be signed by Moscow and Washington“in the very near future."

The Defense Ministry and Pentagon have already held three video-conferences discussing the agreement, he added.

This will provide conditions for the prevention of specific situations that might cause some kind of an accident in the Syrian airspace during air operations by the Russia and the coalition partners,” Kartapolov stressed.


Russian Navy can strike ISIS positions in Syria anytime – general


© Vasily Batanov
RT,
16 October, 2015

Russia can strike positions of Islamic State militants in Syria from its ships based in the Mediterranean Sea anytime should the command decide to do so, a senior Russian general said.

Colonel General Andrey Kartapolov said the Russian warships in the Mediterranean can “definitely” be used to deliver strikes in Syria the way the Russian fleet in the Caspian Sea was already used.

Our naval group in the Mediterranean is mostly used for supplying goals. But to ensure that our supply lines are not disrobed, we have a group of warships there too. This group also provides antiaircraft protection four our base [in Tartus],” he said in an interview to Komsomolskaya Pravda newspaper published on Friday.

General Kartapolov heads Operations in the Russian general staff. He was personally supervising the creation of the so-called coordination center in Baghdad, which Russia, Syria, Iraq and Iran created to share intelligence on terrorist forces and coordinate their war effort. The center plays a big part in fighting the terrorist group Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS or ISIL), the general told the newspaper.

We realized that doing what the US-led coalition does and only bombing ISIL targets from the air would not allow defeating it. It requires doing things on the ground. The only force [in Syria] that can fight on the ground is the Syrian government army,” he said. “We also had to join the forces of the nations and forces fighting ISIL on the ground to coordinate our effort.”

BREAKING: 7,000 people from ex-Soviet republics estimated to fight alongside - Putin



He said the US was invited to take part in the center's work, but ignored it, apparently because of hurt pride.

They see it humiliating to admit that they can't reach the goal they announced a year ago without Russia. They don't want anyone to say they have any dealings with [Syrian President Bashar] Assad, whom they have been demonizing for years. And they don't appear to have the necessary intelligence on ISIL targets, as evidenced by the poor results of their airstrikes,” Kartapolov suggested.

The general said US airstrikes actually hurt the Syrian government more than IS, which probably explains why the militants expanded their territory in Syria over the year.

The US-led coalition is targeting ISIL infrastructure. Bridges, tunnels, power stations, water pumps. This didn't hurt ISIL much, but made life harder for President Assad's troops. In fact they hurt the military capabilities of the Syrian Army,” he said.
The government forces retreated because their supplies were inadequate, they didn't have enough water, food or heating. ISIL was buying supplies in neighboring countries or were receiving deliveries from certain organizations and nations, which we shall not name. Hence the result.”

Kartapolov said the capabilities of IS should not be underestimated, since they have both skills and equipment to do serious damage on the battlefield.

ISIL has many former officers of Saddam Hussein's army. They had to retire after the Americans defeated and occupied Iraq. They may be called patriots fighting against this. It was a bad choice to join ISIL, but that's their choice,” he explained. “Those officers have good skills and knowledge, they are able to organize and train people. So certain units there are pretty good.

Plus, they captured plenty of weapons from the Iraqi Army, which our American partners had supplied. They have Abrams M1 tanks, APCs, artillery and lots of other stuff. Don't imagine that ISIL are a bunch of common bandits, ruffians with rifles and long daggers that known only how to behead people. They know how to do war.”

Nevertheless Russia's involvement in the Syrian conflict has turned the tide and forced IS to change its tactics, Kartapolov said.

The terrorists are abandoning their positions, retreating and trying to hide in areas with difficult terrain, in caves and mountains. They are also taking cover in mosques and hospitals. We demonstrated footage showing how they do that. They are also trying to mix with civilians,” he said.


Certainly, this inspires the government forces, which are now on the offensive. One Syrian general told us that what our warplanes do made Syrian children smile again,” he dded.

The general said that the situation may further change of so-called moderate rebels in Syria agree to join forces with the Assad army and fight alongside them against the jihadists.

We are ready to work with them. Let them come to Baghdad and become part of the coordination committee,” he said. Kartapolov however is skeptical about the actual strength of the moderate rebel forces in Syria, saying that many groups claiming to be them are actually common criminals.

Those folks rob, loot and fight for turf. When they need foreign money, they declare that they are fighting against the Assad regime. But once they get the money they use it as they please. You know, we asked – show us who exactly the moderate opposition are,” he explained.

Kartapolov said the Russian military is capable of extending the Syrian operation to Iraq, but that would require an official invitation from Baghdad to do so and a positive decision by the Russian government. He said in the long run Russia may end up having one massive military base in Syria, which would be shared by the Navy, the Air Forces and the Ground Forces.

China Says Isn't Getting Involved in Syria



14 October, 2015

BEIJING, October 14 (Reuters) - China said Wednesday it had no plans to send its military to Syria to fight with Russian forces after reports in overseas media that it was planning to do so.

Chinese media has picked up Russian and Middle Eastern news reports that China would fight alongside Russia in Syria, and that China’s sole aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, could participate too.
Chinese media has also described these reports as speculative nonsense.
As far as I know, there are no such plans,” foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying told a daily news briefing, when asked if China had or would send forces to Syria. “Recently, the Liaoning aircraft carrier went to carry out technical tests and military drills,” she added, without elaborating.
China’s Defence Ministry said it had nothing to add to Hua’s comments.
The Global Times, an influential tabloid run by the ruling Communist Party’s official People’s Daily, said in an editorial Wednesday it was “unfounded rumor” that China would interfere militarily in Syria.
It’s not China that brought chaos to Syria, and China has no reason to rush to the frontlines and play a confrontational role,” it said.
While China generally votes with fellow permanent United Nations Security Council member Russia on the Syria issue, it has expressed concern about interference in Syria’s internal affairs and repeatedly called for a political solution.
China, a low-key diplomatic player in the Middle East despite its dependence on the region for its oil, has warned many times military action cannot end the crisis.

China has not militarized S China Sea’
China has not militarized the South China Sea, but certain countries, who keep flexing their muscles, must stop hyping the issue, Hua said.
The comments came after US Defense Secretary Ash Carter said the United States military would sail and fly wherever international law allowed, including the disputed South China Sea.
The US has decided to conduct freedom-of-navigation operations inside 12 nautical mile limits that China claims around islands built on reefs in the Spratly archipelago.
We will do that in the time and places of our choosing,” Carter said after a two-day meeting between US and Australian foreign and defense ministers in Boston.
The defense ministers expressed “strong concerns” over Beijing’s activities on disputed islands.
Vietnam slams Beijing over lighthouses
Vietnam Wednesday slammed China over its construction of two lighthouses in the disputed South China Sea, saying the move violates Vietnam’s sovereignty and escalates tensions.
Chinese state media reported last week that a completion ceremony was held for the lighthouses on Cuateron Reef and Johnson South Reef in the Spratly islands.
The state-run Vietnam News Agency quoted foreign ministry spokesman Le Hai Binh as saying that the construction “seriously violates Vietnam’s sovereignty … complicates the situation and escalates tensions.”
Vietnam resolutely rejects and strongly protests China’s actions,” Binh said.
Once again, we affirm that Vietnam has full legal and historical evidence for its indisputable sovereignty over the Truong Sa and Hoang Sa archipelagos,” he added, using the Vietnamese terms for the Spratlys and Paracel Islands.
Xinhua says the lighthouses will help improve navigation in the area.
China has launched a massive land reclamation project on reefs in the South China Sea over the past 18 months, raising concerns in the region and in the United States


Russia, allies agree to form joint task force to defend borders



Visitors walk past Russian tanks and military vehicles during the ā€œArmy-2015ā€ international military forum in Kubinka, outside Moscow, June 17, 2015. (Photo by AFP)
Russia and a number of ex-Soviet countries in Central Asia agree to form a joint task force to defend their borders at the times of crisis.

The decision was made at a meeting of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) regional organization, which groups former Soviet republics, in Kazakhstan on Friday.

The countries include Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Moldova, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan


Russia, Iran Begin "Promised" Assault On Syria's Largest City In Final Bid To Restore Assad


16 October, 2015


Earlier this week, we noted that Iran had reportedly sent “thousands” of troops to Syria in preparation for an offensive aimed at retaking the city of Aleppo. 

With a population of more than 2 million, Aleppo was Syria’s largest city prior to the war and it’s now run by a hodgepodge of rebels and militants including al-Qaeda, the Free Syrian Army, and ISIS. 


To get an idea of the effect the war has had on the city, have a look at the following before and after nighttime light emissions images:





The battle is also notable for the scale of Iran’s involvement. Between Hezbollah and Iranian forces, the battle for Aleppo is shaping up to be the largest ground operation orchestrated by Tehran to date. 

Here’s more, via Reuters







Syrian troops backed by Hezbollah and Iranian fighters launched an offensive south of Aleppo on Friday, expanding their counter-attack against rebels across western Syria with support from Russian air strikes.
Aleppo, a commercial and industrial hub near the border with Turkey, was Syria's largest city before its four-year civil war, which grew out of protests against Assad's rule.
Control of the city, still home to two million people, is divided between the government and rebels.
"This is the promised battle," a senior government military source said of the offensive backed by hundreds of Hezbollah and Iranian forces which he said had made some gains on the ground.
It was the first time Iranian fighters had taken part on such a scale in the Syrian conflict, he said, although their numbers were modest compared to the army force. "The main core is the Syrian army," the source said. 
Hezbollah, which has supported Assad in several battles during the civil war, said the army was carrying out a "broad military operation" with support from Russian and Syrian jets. It made no mention of Hezbollah fighters in its brief statement.
Two senior regional sources told Reuters this week that Iran has sent thousands of troops to Syria to bolster an offensive underway in Hama province and ahead of the Aleppo attack.

And a bit more from AFP:







Russian air cover is backing offensives by Syria's army and allied militias in the central provinces of Homs and Hama, as well as Aleppo in the north and Latakia along the coast.
 
On Friday, the Syrian army pushed south from the provincial capital Aleppo city, where control is divided between regime and rebels forces, as Russian air strikes pounded the villages of Al-Hader and Khan Tuman and nearby localities.
 
"The Syrian army started a new front on Friday and advanced to take control of the villages of Abteen and Kaddar" about 15 kilometres (12 miles) south of Aleppo city, said Observatory head Rami Abdel Rahman. 
He said "dozens" of Russian aerial attacks in the past 24 hours had struck the area, which is controlled by a patchwork of groups including rebels, Islamist fighters and Al-Qaeda's Syria affiliate, Al-Nusra Front.

Note also that Aleppo is near the so-called "anti-ISIS" zone that the US and Turkey humorously proposed to create a few months back, which means that Iran, supported by Russian air power, is now conducting an all-out ground assault very near territory Turkey likes to think it effectively patrols (if not controls). 


But the real key here, is this (again from Reuters): "The assault means the army is now pressing insurgents on several fronts near Syria's main cities in the west, control of which would secure President Bashar al-Assad's hold on power even if the east of the country is still held by Islamic State."


In other words, if Iran and Russia manage to retake Aleppo (and you know they will because remember, thanks to Hezbollah, this isn't a team that's going to be confused by the vagaries of urban warfare), Assad's rule is restored.

Just like that. 

From there, the situation would morph and what you would have is a kind of Wild West scenario, only in Syria "West" would mean "East" and Assad, Russia, and Iran, having secured most of the critical cities and territory, would be free to simply mount up and push east on a kind of search and destroy mission. 

So apparently, the US and its regional allies in Riyadh and Doha have a couple of weeks to figure out what to do here or else this is going to be over and suddenly, Washington will find itself in the awkward position of having to negotiate for a transition away from an Assad government that has been fully restored. 


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