I am reposting this to give it the prominence it needs. Right across the globe, from the Amazon to the Alaskan boreal forests and, I suspect, the Indonesian rain forests forsts are losing their function as absorbers of carbon and are instead yet another source.
In this context I have extracted positive feedback #22 from Guy McPherson's Climate Change Summary and Update
U. of I. professor Feng Sheng Hu led a study of carbon cycling and forest fires in the boreal forests of the Yukon Flats in Alaska. Credit: L. Brian Stauffer
In this context I have extracted positive feedback #22 from Guy McPherson's Climate Change Summary and Update
22.
Drought-induced mortality of trees contributes to increased
decomposition of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere and decreased
sequestration of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Such mortality has been
documented throughout the world since at least November
2000 in Nature,
with recent summaries in the February
2013 issue of Nature for the tropics,
the August
2013 issue of Frontiers in Plant Science for temperate
North America,
and the 21
August 2015 issue of Science for boreal forests.
The situation is exacerbated by pests and disease, as trees stressed
by altered environmental conditions become increasingly susceptible
to agents such as bark
beetles and mistletoe (additional
examples abound).
One
extremely important example of this phenomenon is occurring in the
Amazon, where drought in 2010 led to the release of more carbon than
the United States that year (Science, February 2011). The
calculation badly
underestimates the carbon release.
In addition, ongoing deforestation in the region is driving declines
in precipitation at a rate much faster than long thought, as reported
in the 19 July 2013 issue of Geophysical Research Letters.
An overview of the phenomenon, focused on the Amazon, was provided
by Climate News Network on 5 March 2014.
“The observed decline of the Amazon sink diverges markedly from the
recent increase in terrestrial carbon uptake at the global scale, and
is contrary to expectations based on models,” according to a paper
in the 19 March 2015 issue of Nature.
Tropical
rain forests, long believed to represent the primary driver of
atmospheric carbon dioxide, are on the verge of giving up that role.
According to a 21 May 2014 paper
published in Nature,
“the higher turnover rates of carbon pools in semi-arid biomes are
an increasingly important driver of global carbon cycle inter-annual
variability,” indicating the emerging role of drylands in
controlling environmental conditions. “Because
of the deforestation of tropical rainforests in Brazil, significantly
more carbon has been lost than was previously assumed.”
In fact, “forest fragmentation results in up to a fifth more carbon
dioxide being emitted by the vegetation.” These
results come from the 7 October 2014 issue of Nature
Communications.
** The
boreal forest wraps around the globe at the top of the Northern
Hemisphere. It is the planet’s single largest biome and makes up 30
percent of the globe’s forest cover. Moose
are the largest ungulate in the boreal forest and their numbers have
plummetted. The reason is unknown.
Dennis
Murray, a professor of ecology at Trent University in Peterborough,
Ontario, thinks the dying moose of Minnesota and New Hampshire and
elsewhere are one symptom of something far bigger – a giant forest
ecosystem that is rapidly shrinking, dying, and otherwise changing.
“The boreal forest is breaking apart,” he says. “The question
is what will replace it?” **
Alaskan boreal forest fires release more carbon than the trees can absorb
19 October, 2015
A
new analysis of fire activity in Alaska's Yukon Flats finds that so
many forest fires are occurring there that the area has become a net
exporter of carbon to the atmosphere. This is worrisome, the
researchers say, because arctic and subarctic boreal forests like
those of the Yukon Flats contain roughly one-third of the Earth's
terrestrial carbon stores.
The
research is reported in the journal Nature Climate Change.
Alaska
fire records go back only to 1939, and scientists often assume that
present-day fire activity mirrors that of the ancient past. The
researchers on the new study instead used actual fire data from a
previous study in which they analyzed charcoal fragments preserved in
lake sediments in the Yukon Flats. In that study,
they found that fire frequency in a 2,000-kilometer swath of the
Yukon Flats is higher today than at any time in the last 10,000
years.
For
the new analysis, the team plugged its fire data into a computer
model ofcarbon cycling
in the study area.
"Having
these data allowed us to simulate not only recent decades, but the
entire past millennium of carbon cycling," said Ryan Kelly, a
postdoctoral researcher at the University of Illinois who conducted
the study with Feng
Sheng Hu,
a U. of I. professor of plant biology and of geology.
"Our
model confirms our hypothesis that the recent increase in fire
frequency in our study region has caused massive carbon losses to the
atmosphere. About 12 percent of the total stored carbon has been lost
in the last half century," said Kelly, who now is a data
scientist and modeler for Neptune and Company, Inc.
"Most
studies of carbon cycling in boreal forests have been motivated by
the fact that there's just an enormous amount of carbon in these
high-latitude ecosystems," Hu said. "Up to 30 percent of
the earth's terrestrial carbon is in that system. And,
simultaneously, this region is warming up faster than any other parts
of the world."
U. of I. professor Feng Sheng Hu led a study of carbon cycling and forest fires in the boreal forests of the Yukon Flats in Alaska. Credit: L. Brian Stauffer
Increasing
numbers of fires are unbalancing the cycle of carbon capture and
release, the researchers report. More carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere could enhance plant growth, but it also contributes to
further climate warming in the higher latitudes, Kelly said.
"Such
warming would likely be attended by increased wildfire activity,
which would more than cancel out plants' carbon uptake and lead to a
net increase in atmospheric
carbon dioxide,"
he said.
The
new findings challenge studies that assume that recent fire
activityreflects
the norm over thousands of years. Those assumptions would lead
scientists to conclude that the region has been a net carbon sink in
recent decades, the researchers said.
Replacing
that assumption with actual fire data from the past millennium offers
a starkly different picture of the carbon cycle in the Yukon Flats,
they said.
"The
effects of forest fires on the carbon cycle are very dramatic. Fires
explain about 80 percent of the change in carbon storage over the
past millennium, and a large amount of carbon has been lost from this
ecosystem because of increasing forest
fires,"
Hu said. "This area has burned more than any other place in the
boreal forests of North America. We chose the area for this study
because we thought it could be an early indicator of the future."
The
researchers see a troubling trend, in which climate warming increases
the number of fires, which release more carbon to the atmosphere and
enhance warming.
"Boreal
forests contain vast carbon stocks that make them inherently big
players in the global carbon
cycle,"
Kelly said. "And the main way that this stored carbon is
eventually released is through fire."
More
information: Paleodata-informed
modeling of large carbon losses from recent burning of boreal
forests, Nature
Climate
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