I
feel a lot of anguish and grief this morning. The one story, above
all others, above all for those living in this part of the world –
but also for all inhabitants of the planet that give a fuck – that
matters - is the burning
of the ancient forests of Gondwana in Tasmania.
Not
only is there an absolute
silence about this catastrophe in this country but there is next to
no coverage in Australia as well – (kudos to the BRITISH Guardian
for giving coverage to this and alerting me to this).
Not
only that – but on this blog where I thought people cared there
were only 75 views of the story I did (along with devastating
photographs) while a minor story I threw out about armed
personnel carriers in the streets in Auckland
has had 1350.
Something
is desperately wrong – and most especially I am talking to people
Down-Under.
This
is a story that stands alongside the disaster in the Amazon (which is
turning into a source
of
carbon), the Indonesian rain forests and the temperate rainforests of
Olympia National Park in Washington state.
All
this (along with superstorms and rain
falling
more than once at the North Pole) testifies to abrupt climate change
and the unleashing of a huge number of positive, irreversible
positive
feedbacks meaning that we are in runaway global warming that is
feeding on itself.
With
all due respect to Prof.David Bowman who wrote the article how could
anyone who has a heart (as opposed to an ‘interest’ in the
‘environment’ - just think for a moment what a anthrocentric word
THAT is) write the words “Thankfully there has been no loss of life
and comparatively limited damage to property because most fires are
in remote areas”
How
many THOUSANDS of birds and animals will have perished in this
catastrophe?
Have
a listen to the recording below of the wildlife of these
ancient forests
What
a pathetic underplaying of what is a huge catastrophe – not a
“problem” for the “environment” - a catastrophe!
Yet
who is willing to take this on without turning the page to another
story that is more comforting?
Very
few, it seems.
Tasmania fires: First images of World Heritage Area devastation emerge, show signs of 'system collapse'
‘Devastating’
long-term prognosis for ancient Gondwana ecosystem as bushfires turn
trees more than 1,000 years old to tinder
Fires
in Tasmania’s ancient forests are a warning for all of us
More
than 72,000 hectares of western Tasmania have been burned by a
cluster of bushfires, most of them ignited by a spectacular dry
lightning storm that crossed the island on January 13.
David
Bowman
Professor,
Environmental Change Biology, University of Tasmania
29
January, 2016
The
geographic scale of the fires can be seen on the Tasmanian Fire
Service website.
These fires pose an enormous, ongoing challenge to the fire service,
with little immediate prospect of a speedy resolution to this crisis
given the absence of soaking rains in the foreseeable future.
Thankfully
there has been no loss of life and comparatively limited damage to
property because most fires are in remote areas. But there is
mounting concern about the environmental impacts of the fires to the
Tasmanian World Heritage Wilderness, especially fires in the Walls of
Jerusalem National Park and Cradle Mountain-Lake Saint Clair National
Park. Bushwalking tracks, such as the popular Overland Track, have
been closed until at least next week.
Faced
with so many fires, the Tasmanian Fire Service has implemented a
triage process, focusing on threats to life and property. This
includes farmland, critical infrastructure such as major
hydro-electric transmission lines, and also some core areas with
extraordinary biodiversity values.
Remote
area teams, including specialists from New Zealand to help exhausted
fire crews, supported by water bombing aircraft, are fighting the
fires in Cradle Mountain–Lake Saint Clair and Walls of Jerusalem
National Parks.
Map
showing the extent of fires in Tasmania on January 29, showing fires
(white), warnings (yellow and blue) and burned area (grey). Tasmanian
Fire Service
Why are world heritage values threatened by these fires?
First,
the fires are threatening vegetation that is unique to Tasmania,
including iconic alpine species such as the Pencil Pine and cushion
plants, as well as temperate rainforests.
Second,
the fires are burning up large areas of organic soils upon which the
unique Tasmanian vegetation depends. It is extremely unlikely burnt
areas with the endemic alpine flora will ever fully recover given the
slow growth of these species and the increased risk of subsequent
fires given the change to more
flammable vegetation and
the slow accumulation of peat soils, which takes thousands of years.
Past
fires have resulted in a permanent switch from the unique Tasmanian
alpine vegetation to more
fire-tolerant vegetation.
Is climate change the cause?
Destructive
fires in the alpine zone are known to have occurred in western
Tasmania in the past 10,000 years, yet these fires were extremely
infrequent until European colonisation. Due to the reckless use of
fire by prospectors, pastoralists, recreationalists and arsonists
there has been a drastic contraction of much of Tasmania’s unique
vegetation.
Since
the declaration of the World Heritage Area, fire has been carefully
regulated with a prohibition of campfires, which has sharply reduced
the number of bushfires. Unfortunately, over the last decade there
have been an increasing number of lightning storms that have ignited
fires.
For
instance, in 2013 the Giblin River fire that burned more than 45,000
ha was set off by a lightning storm, one of the largest fires in
Tasmania in living memory.
The
current fire season is shaping up to be truly extraordinary because
of the sheer number of fires set by lightning, their duration, and
erratic and destructive behaviour that has surprised many seasoned
fire fighters. The root cause of the has been the record-breaking
dry spring and
the largely rain-free and consistently
warm summer,
which has left fuels and peat soils bone dry.
"Tasmania’s
alpine vegetation, including cushion plants, are extremely sensitive
to fire. Doug
Beckers/Flickr, CC
BY-SA
There
are two ways to think about the recent fire situation in Tasmania. We
can focus on the extreme climate conditions and unusual fire
behaviour, or we can see what is happening as entirely predictable
and consistent with climate change.
I
have formed the latter view because the current fires are part of a
global pattern of increasing destructive fires driven by extreme
fire weather.
A
critical feature of the current Tasmanian fires is the role of
lightning storms – climate is not only creating the precursor
weather conditions for the fires, it is also providing the storms
that ignite them.
What can be done?
Obviously
we need to maintain efforts to contain the fires in the iconic World
Heritage Area. Given that such destructive fires are likely to become
more common under a warming and drying climate we need to increase
the capacity to attack fires quickly using both air craft
and specially
trained personnel.
However,
under a warming climate the ecological niche of much of the unique
Tasmanian vegetation is shrinking, so serious thought is required
about moving species to artificially protected environments, such as
botanical gardens. In the worse case scenario moving some species to
sub-Antarctic island may not be far-fetched.
More
fundamentally, the loss of vegetation that takes thousands of years
to recover from disturbance is a warning shot that climate change has
the potential to result in bushfires that will impact food security,
water quality and critical infrastructure.
In
other words, like the Pencil Pines, our ecological niche will be
threatened.
To see and hear what is being lost GO HERE
Shocking disaster, no doubt. The situation feels like brace for impact however. Pouring the required capital into this has never been more economically difficult and the phrase "too little too late" fits ominously well.
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