I
don't know why but this article worries me as much as anything.
If
the mainstream is starting to come onboard what does that mean? Will
we be asked to accept geoengineering in the same way we have been
asked to accept fracking, tar sands etc...?
What
would the author think if he knew the “instructive timeline”
came, not from Dahr Jamail, but from Guy McPherson?
Global
Warming Is Rapidly Accelerating
Eric
Zuesse
31
December, 2013
The
many scientific links in this
comprehensive article about global warming,
by Dahr Jamail, on December 22nd, make clear that climate change is
accelerating, and that our planet will probably be unlivable by 2100,
if not by 2050.
The
best explanation of the process that's occurring is in this link
within one of those scientific links: "The
collapse of Arctic sea ice will change the reflective properties of
the Arctic from 90% reflection of the sun's rays to a 90% absorber of
the sun's energy. A vicious cycle of Arctic warming started between
twenty and thirty years ago, when currents from the Atlantic and
Pacific, warmed by greenhouse gases, carried their extra heat into
the Arctic to initiate an accelerating decline in sea ice and
increase in Arctic temperatures."
The
global warming that was previously predicted to occur within 2,000
years, is now predicted to occur within the lifetimes of some people
who are alive even today.
This article
by Jamail includes
the following instructive timeline (with links provided there, to
each of its scientific sources):
*
Late 2007: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
announces that the planet will see a one degree Celsius temperature
increase due to climate change by 2100.
*
Late 2008: The Hadley Centre for Meteorological Research predicts a
2C increase by 2100.
*
Mid-2009: The U.N. Environment Programme predicts a 3.5C increase by
2100. Such an increase would remove habitat for human beings on this
planet, as nearly all the plankton in the oceans would be destroyed,
and associated temperature swings would kill off many land plants.
Humans have never lived on a planet at 3.5C above baseline.
*
October 2009: The Hadley Centre for Meteorological Research releases
an updated prediction, suggesting a 4C temperature increase by 2060.
*
November 2009: The Global Carbon Project, which monitors the global
carbon cycle, and the Copenhagen Diagnosis, a climate science report,
predict 6C and 7C temperature increases, respectively, by 2100.
*
December 2010: The U.N. Environment Programme predicts up to a 5C
increase by 2050.
*
2012: The conservative International Energy Agency's World Energy
Outlook report for that year states that we are on track to reach a
2C increase by 2017.
*
November 2013: The International Energy Agency predicts a 3.5C
increase by 2035.
A
briefing provided to the failed U.N. Conference of the Parties in
Copenhagen in 2009 provided this summary: "The long-term sea
level that corresponds to current CO2 concentration is about 23
meters above today's levels, and the temperatures will be 6 degrees C
or more higher. These estimates are based on real long-term climate
records, not on models."
Ocean
physicist Peter
Wadhams of Cambridge University was
one of the sources quoted by Jamail, and he says, "The fall-off
in ice volume is so fast it is going to bring us to zero very
quickly." That's how soon (within less than ten years; he
estimates probably less than five years) what had only recently been
the 90% reflection of the arctic's sunlight out into space will
become instead the 90% absorption of that solar energy.
Oil
companies no longer deny what is happening; they are exploring in the
arctic, where snow-covered ice, until recently, used to be. As Julian
Cox headlined on 2 June 2013,"Exxon
Mobil CEO: We're Going In, Can't Pull Up, Brace For Impact." Cox's
ultimate sources in that news story were the AP and
the Houston
Chronicle.
Exxon's CEO Rex Tillerson was reported in those two news stories to
have told his stockholders, on May 29th, when challenged about global
warming:
"What
good is it to save the planet if humanity suffers? ... We do not see
a viable pathway with any known technology today to achieve the 350
[parts per billion atmospheric carbon] outcome that is not
devastating to economies, societies and peoples' health and
well-being around the world. ... You cannot get there. ... So the
real question is: Do you want to keep arguing about that and pursuing
something that cannot be achieved at costs that will be detrimental?
Or do you want to talk about what's the path we should be on and how
do we mitigate and prepare for the consequences as they present
themselves?"
In
other words: he said that we'd all better just eat, drink, and be
merry now, because hell is coming soon, no matter what we do. He is
saying: We've held off and delayed for so long, that things are now
hopeless, and that the only thing to do is thus party while we can,
if we care at all about "peoples' health and well-being around
the world." And his stockholders backed him, 3 to 1, in their
vote on that. But they are the ones who are actually partying. "Exxon
Mobil is coming off its second-biggest profit ever, having earned
$44.9 billion in 2012."
The
bottom line here is that the heat-buildup in our biosphere is
happening too fast for species to adapt in any other way than by
soaring extinctions, which are already beginning to happen in record
numbers. The complex web of ecological changes that will inevitably
result from this rapid heat-buildup in our biosphere will cause
agriculture to crash, and starvation to become the norm.
Jamail
closes by saying,
"I wonder how coming generations will survive." He is an
optimist: He doesn't expect the survival of his own generation to be
at risk in this. But, looking at the data to which he links, that
assumption is starting to become questionable. He says that he is 45
years old. Although he might not end up being killed by this
escalated heating, billions of today's people probably will.
As
for Rex Tillerson, the AP
report said
simply that "he repeated his optimism that technology will solve
the problem," but it provided no details, and no quotation from
Tillerson on that. In fact, the headline of that news story didn't
even focus at all on global warming. That headline was instead "Exxon
rejects gay-discrimination ban." The other primary news-source
on Tillerson's statements at this stockholders' meeting, the Houston
Chronicle, headlined about
it, "Exxon Mobil 'off' on natural gas price drag." Global
warming? Only "liberals" care about that. (And, for anyone
who wants the detailed transcript of Tillerson's remarks, that is
available here,
and it shows that he was alternately acknowledging and dismissing the
overwhelming climatological consensus, but that he basically
discounted to zero everything except the economic benefits of burning
fossil fuels; so, he was pitching to his supporters, since they were
already invested in his stock -- he knew that they're true-believers
in "the free market.")
Our
news media generally ignore what is happening, but not all of them
do. For most of them, the party is still going on.
And
Tillerson must be partying hugely: "During
the meeting at the Morton H. Meyerson Symphony Center in downtown
Dallas, shareholders approved a pay increase for Tillerson, whose
total compensation in 2012 was $40.3 million."
----------
Investigative
historian Eric Zuesse is the author, most recently, of They're
Not Even Close: The Democratic vs. Republican Economic Records,
1910-2010, and
of CHRIST'S
VENTRILOQUISTS: The Event that Created Christianity.
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