Triple Whammy: Cyclones in the Pacific and Indian Ocean

Tropical cyclone Winston now a four

Cyclones Winston and Tatiana Photo: Vanuatu Meteorological Service

RNZ,

13 February, 2015

Cyclone Winston is expected to pass close to Vanuatu's southern islands of Tanna, Erromango and Aneityum.

The cyclone is moving at 12 kilometres an hour and intensifying.

Expect sustained winds of 166 kilometres an hour close to the centre, increasing to 185 kilometres an hour by 1800 UTC.

In Fiji, a flood alert remains in force for all low lying areas along Rakiraki river, including Rakiraki town.

Meanwhile, tropical cyclone Tatiana was local near 19.2 south 160.0 east at 1200 UTC.

The category two system is south-southeast at 18 kilometres an hour.

Cyclone Tatiana should continue moving in a southerly direction overnight and tomorrow according to Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

It added that during tomorrow unfavourable atmospheric conditions should weaken the cyclone and see it transition into a deep subtropical low

pressure system.

Triple Whammy: Cyclones in the Pacific and Indian Ocean

**** CYCLONES TRIPLE TROUBLE ****

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Severe cyclone Winston (category 3 far right between Fiji and Vanuatu islands).

Cyclone Tatiana closer to Queensland which is expected to increase swells to dangerous levels along the central and southern Qld coast over the coming days, we expect strong to gale force winds on the coast which will include Gold coast, Sunshine coast and Brisbane region especially the bayside suburbs.

Showers will also increase in these regions Sunday and into Monday. In the medium term Tatiana is expected to move north and weaken but not expected to disappear completely as there are signs of either Winston or Tatiana becoming one main cyclone as one absorbs the other (more to come on this next week).

A tropical low in the Indian ocean is expected to develop into a cyclone Saturday and become a severe cyclone by Monday. This cyclone will be called Uriah. The developing tropical low is expected to pass to the northwest of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands overnight.

Map: Windyty current wind pattern showing the three spirals on either side of the country.

• JWC

*** VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION PLEASE READ REGARDING CYCLONE TATIANA. PLEASE SHARE/TAG WITH FAMILY & FRIENDS ***

*** TC TATIANA MAY GET CLOSE TO THE SOUTH EAST QUEENSLAND COAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT ***

Despite us not committing tropical cyclone Tatiana of not making a Queensland crossing we have to view this very closely.

This morning the models continue to push this closer to the coast as the cyclone is expected to start turning south today and more south westerly tomorrow and west to south west Sunday towards the south east coast of Queensland.. The EC model (The Euro) is the most bullish about this and we cannot simply ignore this especially when it is normally the most accurate of the models going by past history.