After
Entering Aleppo With Russia's Help, The Syrian Army May Set Its
Sights On Raqqa
After
losing up to 60,000 soldiers in five years of fighting, the Syrian
army has suddenly scored its greatest victory of the war – smashing
its way through Jabhat al-Nusra and the other rebel forces around
Aleppo and effectively sealing its fate as Russia provided air strike
operations outside the city.
By
Robert Fisk
8
February, 2016
February
08, 2016 "Information Clearing House" - "The
Independent" - After losing up to 60,000 soldiers in five years
of fighting, the Syrian army has suddenly scored its greatest victory
of the war – smashing its way through Jabhat al-Nusra and the other
rebel forces around Aleppo and effectively sealing its fate as Russia
provided air strike operations outside the city.
The
rebel supply lines from Turkey to Aleppo have been cut, but this does
not mean the end of the story. For many months, the regime’s own
military authorities – along with tens of thousands of civilians,
including many Christians – were trapped inside Aleppo and at the
mercy of shelling and mortar fire by the Nusra fighters, who
surrounded them until the army opened the main highway south.
During
this period, the only way to Aleppo was by plane because the army
held a tiny peninsula of territory going to the airport – I flew
out one night on a military aircraft crowded with wounded Syrian
troops.
But the
tables have turned. It is the rebels themselves who are now
surrounded, along with the tens of thousands of civilians in their
sector of the city – but they have no airport to sustain them. On
the basis of so many other battles in this appalling war, there is
unlikely to be any offensive for the centre of this greatest of
Syrian cities; rather it will be a slow and grinding siege to force
the insurgents to surrender.
In an
ironic twisting of recent history, the two Shia villages of Nubl and
Zahra – whose people had been surrounded by rebels and starved for
three years, fed only by Syrian military airdrops – have now been
retaken by the Syrian military.
The
Shia, co-religionists of the Alawite people from which President
Bashar al-Assad comes, have been cornered in several villages in the
region, although their plight has gone largely unreported.
Now the
people in the rebel-held part of Aleppo are going to feel the same
sense of isolation – and, no doubt, the shellfire of their
besiegers. There has always been a movement of people between the two
sectors of the city – will these passages now be closed? And what
of the tens of thousands of civilians streaming north towards Turkey?
Aleppo
itself was late to join the war. By some kind of historical miracle,
it remained disentangled from the conflict until 2012 when rebels –
thinking they were en route to Damascus – managed to infiltrate
into the ancient city. Its streets were then burned out in months of
fighting. Now it appears to be the first of Syria’s large cities to
be effectively back in the hands of the regime. What comes next? The
retaking of the Roman city of Palmyra? The clearing of the lands
around Deraa (of Lawrence of Arabia fame)?
And,
much more dramatically, how soon will the Syrian army, its Hezbollah
allies and the Russian air force set their course for the Isis
“capital” of Raqqa?
Isis,
which holds Palmyra, must be learning of the extraordinary
developments of the past few hours with deep concern. The everlasting
Sunni “Islamic Caliphate” in Syria doesn’t look so everlasting
any more. Is this why the Sunni Saudis have suddenly offered to send
ground troops to Syria? And why the Turks are so flustered? I doubt
if anyone is weeping in Shia Iran.
Anyway,
the Saudi military is already having its feet chewed off in the
disgraceful Yemen war. As for the Turks sending their own Nato
soldiers across the Syrian border – presumably at risk of being
attacked by the Russians – that is a nightmare which both
Washington and Moscow must avoid. Otherwise, we’ll find ourselves
in another Gavrilo Princip moment – and we all know what happened
in 1914.
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