Does
Australia's retreat from climate change research signal a global
trend?
The
Australian federal science agency responsible for climate change
research is shifting its focus, asserting that climate change is
proven and therefore needs no more research. Does this make sense,
and is it a sign of things to come?
9
February, 2016
Australia’s
federal science research agency has announced deep cuts to its
climate-change research arm, prompting reaction from scientists
across the globe.
The
move, based on the belief that climate change is proven and so
requires no further research, represents a shift in Australian
government policy. Going forward, the country will instead focus on
climate change mitigation, adaptation, and commercial ventures.
While
the international scientific community has reacted with almost
universal dismay to the announcement by Australia’s Commonwealth
Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), a
fundamental question remains: does this represent the start of a
broader shift, or is Australia an outlier?
“I
believe this is the start of a global trend,” says David Carlson,
director of the World Climate Research Program (WCRP), Geneva, in a
telephone interview with The Christian Science Monitor.
“Because
of Paris [United Nations Conference on Climate Change, 2015], people
will begin to relax their guard. The worry is that Australia is just
the first.”
The
WCRP is a part of the United Nations and, as such, rarely comments on
the activities of particular countries. But this situation is very
unusual, an “extraordinary event," says Mr. Carlson.
“My
steering committee really lit up about this on Friday. We know so
many of the [affected] scientists personally.”
In
fact, the WCRP released a statement Monday expressing its concern,
outlining the new goals as expressed by CSIRO, in areas such as
“biodiversity and sustainability of agriculture, soils, and water”
and “science to keep (our) people healthier," going on to say:
“One
can hardly imagine a worse and more backward step toward any of those
laudable goals than ignoring climate and discarding climate
research.”
But
what of the science, what of the basis for these changes?
In
an email to staff February 3, CSIRO chief executive Larry Marshall
wrote, "the question [of climate change] has been answered, and
the new question is what do we do about it, and how can we find
solutions for the climate we will be living with," as the
Monitor reported.
The
notion that climate change is proven and so needs no further research
is “absurd," says Carlson. “I wish that were true!”
“I
completely agree we need to adapt, but without continuing research,
we won’t understand how.”
Australia’s
climate change research is of particular value, and so any reduction
of particular concern, because CSIRO is “the most advanced
institution of its kind in the Southern Hemisphere,” as The
Independent notes.
“The
organization creates one of the only high resolution pictures of the
Southern Hemisphere’s climate – and the models that data is used
in are among the most important for studying how climate change will
affect the world.”
Not
only is Australia so important for the global understanding of
climate change, positioned as it is in a key location, but it is also
especially vulnerable, surrounded by vast oceans with such major
processes.
“I
can understand the political impulse for relaxation,” concludes
Carlson, “but I think that’s dangerous for the planet because we
don’t have the information we need.”
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