Skewed Data Used to Justify UK Lockdown Has Been ‘Proven False’

 Flashback: How Skewed Data Used to Justify UK Lockdown Has Been ‘Proven False’

21st Century Wire, 

13 January, 2021

As Boris Johnson’s government slammed a third lockdown on the people of Britain, few in the mainstream media and academia, let alone any of the political opposition, have dared question any of the alleged ‘science’ being touted by the government’s vaunted SAGE committee which is said to be comprised the country’s ‘top experts’ on public health, epidemiology and virology.

One of the country’s top epidemiologist has been roundly ignored by the government and media is Professor Carl Heneghan, who has consistently challenged the government’s unsubstantiated claims and assumptions used to justify reactionary COVID lockdown measures.

It seems that since the very beginning of crisis, a series of highly misleading graphs have been presented at Downing Street press conferences, always featuring wildly inflated ‘cases’ and ‘deaths’ – clearly designed to scare the public into submission.

As it turns out, according to the government’s own official data sets, loud claims in the media that “the virus is out of control” are simply not true and yet, the damaging policies still remain in place – and even ramped-up in most instances.

Looking back to November, we’re reminded of just how wrong the government has been at every turn in the ‘pandemic’…

IMAGE: UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock and Prime Monister Boris Johnson have been caught lying to the public at almost every turn, painting a distorted picture as to the true nature of the ‘pandemic.’

The UK’s Telegraph newspaper reported on November 3, 2020…

Data presented by the Government’s chief advisers to justify a second national lockdown in England has been “mathematically proven” to be incorrect, an Oxford University professor has said.

Carl Heneghan, director of the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford, said a forecast suggesting 4,000 daily deaths next month was wrong.

The modelling, which was presented at a Downing Street press conference on Saturday is so outdated that it suggests daily deaths are now around 1,000 a day.

In fact, the daily average for the last week is 260, with a figure of 162 on Saturday.

But the 4,000 figure was presented by scientists when Boris Johnson confirmed new nationwide restrictions would be imposed from Thursday for four weeks to prevent a “medical and moral disaster” for the NHS.

Government Death data for Lockdown

Prof Heneghan told the Today programme: “Mathematically it is now proven to be incorrect particularly the 4,000 estimate of deaths that would occur in December and why that is because it is already about four weeks out of date.

“And actually Cambridge who are doing it the MRC (Medical Research Council) unit have already provided updates to provide lower estimates and those estimates are much closer to the truth.”

Prof Heneghan today urged Professor Chris Whitty and Sir Patrick Vallance to provide “really clear” information to MPs to explain why a second lockdown has been ordered when they appear in front of the Science and Technology Committee this afternoon.

He said the decision to impose new blanket restrictions must be made on “actual data” and not models that are “shown to be wrong”, adding the Government’s three-tier system was effective in bringing down coronavirus cases.

Speaking about Liverpool, where the strictest restrictions have been imposed, Prof Heneghan said cases had halved while hospital admissions had “stabilised”.

“You’ve got … these pockets around the country where trusts like Liverpool have got into trouble with over half the patients being Covid patients,” he told the BBC.

“But let’s look at the data, the data in Liverpool is showing cases have come down by about half, admissions have now stabilised, so, yes, there is a problem in Liverpool.

“But, actually, the tier restrictions… the people in Liverpool have dropped cases from about 490 a day down to 260 a day – a significant drop

“The R value is well below one in Liverpool at this moment in time.”