For
me this is one of the most important discussions Guy McPherson has
had in recent years.
He
caught up with Wieslaw Maslowski, one of the co-authors of a
paper which projected the disapperance of Arctic ice by 2016,plus or
minus a couple of years.
It
seems he has modified his stance on this, but only somewhat. He
sticks by the basics (of the importance of ice volume instead of
extent) and by saying that once a certain point ice could "fall
off a cliff".
What
I got most from this was the uncertainty - it calls for some
ambivalence, especially over the timescales that exercise a lot of
people.
Folks
don't like uncertainty.
Wieslaw Maslowski talks with Guy McPherson about Arctic Ice
https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/full/10.1146/annurev-earth-042711-105345
Here is an article Nafeez Ahmed wrote at the time.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2013/dec/09/us-navy-arctic-sea-ice-2016-melt?utm_source=Daily+Carbon+Briefing&utm_campaign=f2c1c3a666-DAILY_BRIEFING&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_876aab4fd7-f2c1c3a666-303421281
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