This
is a great response from someone who is capable of thought and
reflection and is getting their emotional shit together.
Why
can't people say they don't know if this is correct or not but could
be and respond from that space instead of acting reflexively.
I
couldn't ask for more.
In the meantime
I may have to give Radio NZ Checkpoint the benefit of the doubt.
They interviewed Guy on Monday (NZT) but didn't broadcast it,
Here's
their response to our inquiry:
Thanks
for getting in touch. I just tried to call your number but couldn’t
get through.
We
haven’t aired the interview yet as it was done on Monday and I’m
afraid we had breaking news that took precedence, such as the eight
people who died in the fishing tragedy and the support package for
quake hit businesses in Wellington. We needed to hold a number of
stories/interviews because of this and Guy’s was one of them.
Bests,
Catherine
Rachel
Stewart: What to do when your days are numbered
We
carry on, as humans are no good at facing up to possible extinction
30
November, 2016
There's
more than a few folks feeling blue of late.
Trump,
the earthquake(s), global economic woe and wild, windy weather have
whipped up a late spring stew of sadness. For the eating of a
powerlessness pie.
Powerlessness
always succeeds where other emotions fail. It sets off a chain of
sensations. None of them good.
Against
that backdrop I was, along with many others, ripe for the picking
when Guy McPherson sat down across from Paul Henry last week for an
interview.
McPherson
is professor emeritus of natural resources, ecology and evolutionary
biology at the University of Arizona.
For
some years, he has been warning of the near-term extinction of
humanity due to climate change. He used to project it happening
around 2030. Now he's emphatic about it happening within the next ten
years.
I
won't debate here whether he's right or wrong, but he's no easily
written-off looney tune. He has sufficient credibility.
I
will say that he speaks of things we already know to be true about
climate change; food and water shortages, increased conflict over
those resources, disease acceleration, mass migration, economic
meltdown, dramatic sea level rise, increased forest fires and storms
beyond anything we've ever imagined. These things add up to human
extinction, and they are already happening.
The
last IPCC report in 2014 was far from good news either. It speaks the
same language as McPherson - just in a much more sanitised tone. The
factual difference is the timeframe. They show modelling stretching a
hundred years out. McPherson's modelling says we're toast, and soon.
Guy McPherson has sufficient credibility.
The
major game-changer is the sea ice in the Arctic, and snow cover in
the Northern Hemisphere, disappearing at an alarming rate. On October
20, Arctic sea ice extent began to set new daily record lows for this
time of year.
Researchers
monitoring satellites and weather stations are openly saying that
they're surprised, and shocked by air temperatures peaking at an
unheard-of 20C higher than normal for the time of year. Also, sea
temperatures are averaging nearly 4C higher than usual in October and
November.
If
climate change scientists on the ground are openly amazed, worried
and scared, does the truth about human extinction lie somewhere in
the middle?
Let's
say it does. Let's say we're doomed as a species in another 50 years
and, given the new information presenting itself every day, we must
entertain it. None of which is helped by a global political response
being either sluggish, glacial or non-existent.
If
you accept the fact that it's all too little too late, and I
emphatically do, then where to from here? If there is no hope, and
technology won't save us in time, what now?
Many try to believe that politicians will soon see the error of their delays, act quickly on our behalf for the good of the planet, and all will be well.
Guy
McPherson simply advises people to love those close to them, and be
excellent at whatever it is you choose to do. Other than that, forget
any form of hope. It's over.
I
sat with all of that over the weekend. I sucked it up, felt it in my
bones and gut, and had a couple of sleepless nights. It got to me in
a way that I'd never experienced before.
Despite
my best efforts, it rang true.
We've
all buried family and friends who've died of long and protracted (and
short and sharp) cancer. We know these things happen, and may also
happen to us. Yet, it's one thing to receive a terminal diagnosis,
imagine dying and life carrying on without you. It's quite another
entirely to envisage humans dying en masse, in a collective global
death spiral. That's hard to comprehend.
So,
most of us don't. We breed, we stress about little and big stuff,
worry about out property values, or not being able to afford a home
in the first place, and carry on our merry human way. All of which is
probably best.
Many
try to believe that politicians will soon see the error of their
delays, act quickly on our behalf for the good of the planet, and all
will be well. Business helps the environment, neoliberalism will save
the kea, and continued fossil fuel extraction is a necessary evil.
Technology will ultimately save the day. Hurrah!
I've
thought hard on what was emotionally so different about McPherson's
short timeframe versus my unquestioning belief in a much longer one.
Obviously, the longer timeframe means I'd get to live out my natural
life.
I
had never, for one second, consciously entertained the idea that
human extinction was conceivable in the near term.
In
other words, I'm basically okay with the sadness and anxiety about
some far-off future generation seeing the collapse of humanity. Just
not this one. My one.
Which
tells me everything I didn't want to know about myself. I possess
precisely the same procrastination, selfishness and denial that got
us into this mess.
Turns
out, I'm only human.
Dear human. Welcome to play ground of the apes. We could change. That makes the grief so much worse. I even think we could build an ark, Who would build it, is the real question. Just the cost of the military for one year would work miracles if used to preserve life. A dollar short and a day late. Just the idea of leaving the military unfunded for a year would cause a revolt.
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