Just in case you were fooled into thinking that the world economy is in 'recovery'
Baltic Dry Index Collapses 35% - Worst Start To Year In 30 Years
10
January, 2014
When
this indicator of global trade rises, everything is rosy and reams of
asset-gatherers and talking-heads wil quote it as indicative of how
great the world is. When it drops - silence. There's always an excuse
- over- or under-capacity, too many ships, too few ships, etc.
However, the last
2 weeks have seen a 35% collapse in the cost to ship bulk.
There is a relative seasonal pattern over the holiday period - with
shipping costs rising into the holiday and falling after but... this
is the biggest
drop from a Christmas Eve since at least 1984, 30 years! Seems
like the inventory stacking of Q4 had absolutely no follow-through
whatsoever...
All
thepost-Thanksgiving exuberance has been eviscerated from the Baltic
Dry Index...
and
some context - this is the worst post-holiday start to the year since
at least 1984!!
Cramer?
Charts:
Bloomberg
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