This
is the operation the whole of mankind should be nervous about. I am
reproducing an earlier article below to reiterate what is at stake
"We're in the Last Chance Saloon on the Beach of Doom. Brace for impact"
--Guy McPherson
"We're in the Last Chance Saloon on the Beach of Doom. Brace for impact"
--Guy McPherson
Fukushima
readies for dangerous operation to remove 400 tons of spent fuel
Fukushima
operator TEPCO is getting ready for its toughest and the most
dangerous clean-up operation. In November it will try to remove 400
tons of spent fuel from plant’s Reactor No. 4. But even a little
mistake may result in a new nuclear disaster.
RT,
23
October, 2013
The
operation is scheduled to start in the beginning of November and be
completed by around the end of 2014.
Under
normal circumstances, the operation to remove all the fuel would take
about 100 days. TEPCO (Tokyo Electric Power Co) initially planned to
take two years, but reduced the schedule to one year in recognition
of the urgency, as even a minor earthquake could trigger an
uncontrolled fuel leak.
During
this period TEPCO plans to carefully remove more than 1,300 used fuel
rod assemblies, packing radiation 14,000 times the equivalent of the
Hiroshima nuclear bomb, from their cooling pool.
The
base of the pool where the fuel assemblies are situated is 18 meters
above ground and the rods are 7 meters under the surface of the
water.
TEPCO’s
first task is to remove the debris from the Reactor No. 4 fuel pool.
Then,
one by one, the fuel rods will be removed from the top store of the
damaged building using a crane suspended above the crippled reactor.
Installation
status of fuel removal cover of Unit 4 (Image from tepco.co.jp)
Previously
a computer-controlled process, this time it has to be done completely
manually. And this is what makes this removal operation extremely
dangerous.
The
fuel rods must be kept submerged and must not touch each other or
break.
“The
operation to begin removing fuel from such a severely damaged pool
has never been attempted before. The rods are unwieldy and very
heavy, each one weighing two-thirds of a ton,”
fallout researcher Christina Consolo earlier told
RT.
Should
the attempt fail, a mishandled rod could be exposed to air and catch
fire, resulting in horrific quantities of radiation released into the
atmosphere. The resulting radiation will be too great for the cooling
pool to absorb as it simply has not been designed to do so.
In
the worst-case scenario, the pool could come crashing to the ground,
dumping the rods together into a pile that could fission and cause an
explosion many times worse than in March 2011.
“The
worst-case scenario could play out in death to billions of people. A
true apocalypse,”
Consolo said.
Reactor
No. 4 contains 10 times more Cesium-137 than Chernobyl did. This lets
scientists warn that in case of another nuclear disaster, it will be
the beginning of the ultimate catastrophe of the world and the
planet.
“It
will be one of the worst, but most important jobs anyone has ever had
to do. And even if executed flawlessly, there are still many things
that could go wrong,”
Consolo said.
The
World Nuclear Report, released in July 2013, said “the
worst-case scenario”
will require evacuation of up to 10 million people within a
250-kilometer radius of Fukushima, including a significant part of
Tokyo.
Although
some experts are skeptical, TEPCO is confident the operation will be
a success. Last year two fuel rods were successfully removed from the
pool in a test operation, but back then rod assemblies were empty and
posed a far smaller threat.
The
operation will be just one installment in the decommissioning process
for the plant, and is forecast to take about 40 years and cost $11
billion.
TEPCO,
responsible for the clean-up, is struggling to cope with the
aftermath of the nuclear disaster, but with the crisis over
radiation-contaminated water at the plant, it has been criticized for
its ad hoc response to the disaster. In August TEPCO pleaded for
overseas help to contain the radioactive fallout, after 18 months of
trying to control it internally.
The
Japanese government was also ordered to take a more active role in
controlling the overflow of radioactive water being flushed over the
melted reactors in Units 1, 2 and 3 at the plant.
Three
of the Fukushima plant’s nuclear reactors were damaged by an
earthquake-triggered tsunami on March 11, 2011, which led to a
nuclear disaster. The plant has been accumulating radioactive water
ever since. The government imposed a 20-kilometer ‘no-go’ zone
around the plant area.
Fukushima
apocalypse: Years of ‘duct tape fixes’ could result in ‘millions
of deaths’
Even
the tiniest mistake during an operation to extract over 1,300 fuel
rods at the crippled Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan could
lead to a series of cascading failures with an apocalyptic outcome,
fallout researcher Christina Consolo told RT.
RT,
17
August, 2013
Fukushima
operator TEPCO wants to extract 400 tons worth of spent fuel rods
stored in a pool at the plant’s damaged Reactor No. 4. The removal
would have to be done manually from the top store of the damaged
building in the radiation-contaminated environment.
In
the worst-case scenario, a mishandled rod may go critical, resulting
in an above-ground meltdown releasing radioactive fallout with no way
to stop it, said Consolo, who is the founder and host of Nuked Radio.
But leaving the things as they are is not an option, because
statistical risk of a similarly bad outcome increases every day, she
said.
RT:
How serious is the fuel
rod situation compared to the danger of contaminated water build-up
which we already know about?
Christina
Consolo:
Although fuel rod removal happens on a daily basis at the 430+
nuclear sites around the world, it is a very delicate procedure even
under the best of circumstances. What makes fuel removal at Fukushima
so dangerous and complex is that it will be attempted on a fuel pool
whose integrity has been severely compromised. However, it must be
attempted as Reactor 4 has the most significant problems
structurally, and this pool is on the top floor of the building.
There
are numerous other reasons that this will be a dangerous undertaking.
-
The racks inside the pool that contain this fuel were damaged by the
explosion in the early days of the accident.
-
Zirconium cladding which encased the rods burned when water levels
dropped, but to what extent the rods have been damaged is not known,
and probably won't be until removal is attempted.
-
Saltwater cooling has caused corrosion of the pool walls, and
probably the fuel rods and racks.
-
The building is sinking.
-
The cranes that normally lift the fuel were destroyed.
-
Computer-guided removal will not be possible; everything will have to
be done manually.
-
TEPCO cannot attempt this process without humans, which will manage
this enormous task while being bombarded with radiation during the
extraction and casking.
-
The process of removing each rod will have to be repeated over 1,300
times without incident.
-
Moving damaged nuclear fuel under such complex conditions could
result in a criticality if the rods come into close proximity to one
another, which would then set off a chain reaction that cannot be
stopped.
What
could potentially happen is the contents of the pool could burn
and/or explode, and the entire structure sustain further damage or
collapse. This chain reaction process could be self-sustaining and go
on for a long time. This is the apocalyptic scenario in a nutshell.
The
water build-up is an extraordinarily difficult problem in and of
itself, and as anyone with a leaky basement knows, water always
'finds a way.’
'Trivial
in light of other problems at Fukushima, water situation could
culminate in the chain reaction scenario'
At
Fukushima, they are dealing with massive amounts of groundwater that
flow through the property, and the endless pouring that must be kept
up 24/7/365 to keep things from getting worse. Recently there appears
to be subsidence issues and liquefaction under the plant.
TEPCO
has decided to pump the water out of these buildings. However,
pumping water out of the buildings is only going to increase the flow
rate and create more of these ground issues around the reactors. An
enormous undertaking - but one that needs to be considered for
long-term preservation of the integrity of the site - is channelling
the water away, like a drain tile installed around the perimeter of a
house with a leaky basement, but on an epic scale.
Without
this effort, the soils will further deteriorate, structural shift
will occur, and subsequently the contents of the pools will shift
too.
The
damage to TEPCO's No.1 Fukushima nuclear power plant's third reactor
building in the town of Okuma, Fubata district in Fukushima
prefecture (AFP Photo)
Any
water that flows into those buildings also becomes highly
radioactive, as it is likely coming into contact with melted fuel.
Without
knowing the extent of the current liquefaction and its location, the
location of the melted fuel, how long TEPCO has been pumping out
water, or when the next earthquake will hit, it is impossible to
predict how soon this could occur from the water problem/subsidence
issue alone. But undoubtedly, pumping water out of the buildings is
just encouraging the flow, and this water problem needs to be
remedied and redirected as soon as possible.
RT:
Given all the
complications that could arise with extracting the fuel rods, which
are the most serious, in your opinion?
CC:
The most serious complication would be anything that leads to a
nuclear chain reaction. And as outlined above, there are many
different ways this could occur. In a fuel pool containing damaged
rods and racks, it could potentially start up on its own at anytime.
TEPCO has been incredibly lucky that this hasn't happened so far.
'One
of the worst, but most important jobs anyone has ever had to do'
My
second biggest concern would be the physical and mental fitness of
the workers that will be in such close proximity to exposed fuel
during this extraction process. They will be the ones guiding this
operation, and will need to be in the highest state of alertness to
have any chance at all of executing this plan manually and
successfully. Many of their senses, most importantly eyesight, will
be hindered by the apparatus that will need to be worn during their
exposure, to prevent immediate death from lifting compromised fuel
rods out of the pool and placing them in casks, or in the common
spent fuel pool located a short distance away.
Think
for a moment what that might be like through the eyes of one of these
workers; it will be hot, uncomfortable, your senses shielded, and you
would be filled with anxiety. You are standing on a building that is
close to collapse. Even with the strongest protection possible,
workers will have to be removed and replaced often. So you don't have
the benefit of doing such a critical task and knowing and trusting
your comrades, as they will frequently have to be replaced when their
radiation dose limits are reached. If they exhibit physical or mental
signs of radiation exposure, they will have be replaced more often.
The
stricken Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) Fukushima daiichi No.1
nuclear power plant reactor number three (L) and four (R), with smoke
rising from number three at Okuma town in Fukushima prefecture (AFP
Photo)
It
will be one of the worst, but most important jobs anyone has ever had
to do. And even if executed flawlessly, there are still many things
that could go wrong.
RT:
How do the
potential consequences of failure to ensure safe extraction compare
to other disasters of the sort – like Chernobyl, or the 2011
Fukushima meltdown?
CC:
There really is no comparison. This will be an incredibly risky
operation, in the presence of an enormous amount of nuclear material
in close proximity. And as we have seen in the past, one seemingly
innocuous failure at the site often translates into a series of
cascading failures.
'The
site has been propped up with duct tape and a kick-stand for over two
years'
Many
of their 'fixes' are only temporary, as there are so many issues to
address, and cost always seems to be an enormous factor in what gets
implemented and what doesn't.
As
a comparison: Chernobyl was one reactor, in a rural area, a quarter
of the size of one of the reactors at Fukushima. There was no 'spent
fuel pool' to worry about. Chernobyl was treated in-situ...meaning
everything was pretty much left where it was while the effort to
contain it was made (and very expeditiously I might add) not only
above ground, but below ground.
At
Fukushima, we have six top-floor pools all loaded with fuel that
eventually will have to be removed, the most important being Reactor
4, although Reactor 3 is in pretty bad shape too. Spent fuel pools
were never intended for long-term storage, they were only to assist
short-term movement of fuel. Using them as a long-term storage pool
is a huge mistake that has become an 'acceptable' practice and
repeated at every reactor site worldwide.
A
destroyed building of TEPCO's Fukushima Daiichi (No. 1) atomic power
plant at Okuma town in Fukushima prefecture (AFP Photo)
We
have three 100-ton melted fuel blobs underground, but where exactly
they are located, no one knows. Whatever 'barriers' TEPCO has put in
place so far have failed. Efforts to decontaminate radioactive water
have failed. Robots have failed. Camera equipment and temperature
gauges...failed. Decontamination of surrounding cities has failed.
'If
and when the corium reaches the Tokyo aquifer, serious and expedient
discussions will have to take place about evacuating 40 million
people'
We
have endless releases into the Pacific Ocean that will be ongoing for
not only our lifetimes, but our children’s' lifetimes. We have 40
million people living in the Tokyo area nearby. We have continued
releases from the underground corium that reminds us it is there
occasionally with steam events and huge increases in radiation
levels. Across the Pacific, we have at least two peer-reviewed
scientific studies so far that have already provided evidence of
increased mortality in North America, and thyroid problems in infants
on the west coast states from our initial exposures.
We
have increasing contamination of the food chain, through
bioaccumulation and biomagnification. And a newly stated concern is
the proximity of melted fuel in relation to the Tokyo aquifer that
extends under the plant. If and when the corium reaches the Tokyo
aquifer, serious and expedient discussions will have to take place
about evacuating 40 million people from the greater metropolitan
area. As impossible as this sounds, you cannot live in an area which
does not have access to safe water.
The
operation to begin removing fuel from such a severely damaged pool
has never been attempted before. The rods are unwieldy and very
heavy, each one weighing two-thirds of a ton. But it has to be
done, unless there is some way to encase the entire building in
concrete with the pool as it is. I don't know of anyone discussing
that option, but it would seem much 'safer' than what they are about
to attempt...but not without its own set of risks.
And
all this collateral damage will continue for decades, if not
centuries, even if things stay exactly the way they are now. But that
is unlikely, as bad things happen like natural disasters and
deterioration with time...earthquakes, subsidence, and corrosion, to
name a few. Every day that goes by, the statistical risk increases
for this apocalyptic scenario. No one can say or know how this will
play out, except that millions of people will probably die even if
things stay exactly as they are, and billions could die if things get
any worse.
Workers
spraying resin on the ground near the reactor buildings to protect
the spread of radioactive substances at TEPCO's Fukushima Daiichi
nuclear power plant at Okuma town in Fukushima prefecture (AFP Photo)
RT:
Are the fuel rods
in danger of falling victim to other factors, while the extraction
process is ongoing? After all, it’s expected to take years before
all 1,300+ rods are pulled out.
CC:
Unfortunately yes, the fuel rods are in danger every day they remain
in the pool. The more variables you add to this equation, and the
more time that passes, the more risk you are exposed to. Each reactor
and spent fuel pool has its own set of problems, and critical failure
with any of them could ultimately have the end result of an
above-ground, self-sustaining nuclear reaction. It will not be known
if extraction of all the fuel will even be possible, as some of it
may be severely damaged, until the attempt is made to remove it.
RT:
Finally, what is
the worst case scenario? What level of contamination are we looking
at and how dire would the consequences be for the long-term health of
the region?
CC:
Extremely dire. This is a terrible answer to have to give, but the
worst case scenario could play out in death to billions of people. A
true apocalypse. Since we have been discussing Reactor 4, I'll stick
to that problem in particular, but also understand that a weather
event, power outage, earthquake, tsunami, cooling system failure, or
explosion and fire in any way, shape, or form, at any location on the
Fukushima site, could cascade into an event of that magnitude as
well.
'Once
the integrity of the pool is compromised that will lead to more
criticalities'
At
any time, following any of these possible events, or even all by
itself, nuclear fuel in reactor 4's pool could become critical,
mostly because it will heat up the pool to a point where water will
burn off and the zirconium cladding will catch fire when it is
exposed to air. This already happened at least once in this pool that
we are aware of. It almost happened again recently after a rodent
took out an electrical line and cooling was stopped for days.
Once
the integrity of the pool is compromised that will likely lead to
more criticalities, which then can spread to other fuel. The heat
from this reaction would weaken the structure further, which could
then collapse and the contents of the pool end up in a pile of rubble
on the ground. This would release an enormous amount of
radioactivity, which Arnie Gundersen has referred to as a “Gamma
Shine Event” without precedence, and Dr. Christopher Busby
has deemed an “Open-air super reactor spectacular.”
This
would preclude anyone from not only being at Reactor 4, but at
Reactors 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, the associated pools for each, and the common
spent fuel pool. Humans could no longer monitor and continue cooling
operations at any of the reactors and pools, thus putting the entire
site at risk for a massive radioactive release.
'At
least the northern half of Japan would be uninhabitable, and some
researchers have argued that it already is'
Mathematically,
it is almost impossible to quantify in terms of resulting
contamination, and a separate math problem would need to be performed
for every nuclear element contained within the fuel, and whether or
not that fuel exploded, burned, fissioned, melted, or was doused with
water to try to cool it off and poured into the ocean afterward.
Workers
using a German-made pump to pump water from the spent fuel pool in
Unit 4 at Fukushima No.1 (Dai-Ichi) nuclear power plant in the town
of Okuma in Fukushima prefecture (AFP Photo)
Some
researchers have even ventured to say that other nuke plants on the
east coast of Honshu may need to be evacuated if levels get too high,
which will lead to subsequent failures/fires and explosions at these
plants as well. Just how profound the effect will be on down-winders
in North America, or the entire northern hemisphere for that matter,
will literally depend on where the wind blows and where the rain
falls, the duration and extent of a nuclear fire or chain-reaction
event, and whether or not that reaction becomes self-sustaining. At
least the northern half of Japan would be uninhabitable, and some
researchers have argued that it already is.
This
is already happening to the nuclear fuel in the ground under the
plant, but now it would be happening above ground as well. There is
no example historically to draw from on a scale of this magnitude.
Everything is theory. But anyone who says this can't happen is not
being truthful, because nobody really knows how bad things could get.
The
most disturbing part of all of this is that Fukushima has been this
dangerous, and precarious, since the second week of March
2011. The ante will definitely be upped once the fuel removal
starts.
'The
mainstream media, world governments, nuclear agencies, health
organizations, weather reporters, and the health care industry has
completely ignored three ongoing triple meltdowns that have never
been contained'
An
obvious attempt to downplay this disaster and its consequences have
been repeated over and over again from 'experts' in the nuclear
industry that also have a vested interest in their industry remaining
intact. And, there has been a lot of misleading information released
by TEPCO, which an hour or two of reading by a diligent reporter
would have uncovered, in particular the definition of 'cold
shutdown.’
Over
300 mainstream news outlets worldwide ran the erroneous 'cold
shutdown' story repeatedly, which couldn't be further from the
truth…[it was] yet another lie that was spun by TEPCO to placate
the public, and perpetuated endlessly by the media and nuclear lobby.
Unfortunately,
TEPCO waited until a severe emergency arose to finally report how bad
things really are with this latest groundwater issue...if we are even
being told the truth. Historically, everything TEPCO says always
turns out to be much worse than they initially admit.
'Unfortunately
there is no one better qualified to deal with this than the Russians,
despite their own shortcomings'
I
think the best chance of success is…that experts around the world
drop everything they are doing to work on this problem, and have
Russia either lead the containment effort or consult with them
closely. They have the most experience, they have decades of data.
They took their accident seriously and made a Herculean effort to
contain it.
Of
course we also know the Chernobyl accident was wrought with deception
and lies as well, and some of that continues to this day, especially
in terms of the ongoing health effects of children in the region, and
monstrous birth defects. Unfortunately there is no one better
qualified to deal with this than the Russians, despite their own
shortcomings. Gorbachev tried to make up for his part in the cover-up
of Chernobyl by opening orphanages throughout the region to deal with
the affected children.
Underwater
silt fence with orange floats being set in the sea near the drain of
TEPCO's Fukushima nuclear power plant at Okuma town in Fukushima
prefecture (AFP Photo)
But
as far as Fukushima goes, the only thing that matters now is if world
leaders and experts join forces to help fix this situation.
Regardless of what agendas they are trying to protect or hide, how
much it will cost, the effect on Japan or the world’s economy, or
what political chains this will yank.
The
nuclear industry needs to come clean. If this leads to every reactor
in the world being shut down, so be it. If the world governments
truly care about their people and this planet, this is what needs to
be done.
Renowned theoretical
physicist Michio Kaku stated in an interview a few weeks
after the initial accident that “TEPCO is literally hanging on by
their fingernails.” They still are, and always have been. The
Japanese have proven time and time again they are not capable of
handling this disaster. Now we are entrusting them to execute the
most dangerous fuel removal in history.
We
are extremely lucky that this apocalyptic scenario hasn't happened
yet, considering the state of Reactor 4. But for many, it is already
too late. The initial explosions and spent fuel pool fires may have
already sealed the fate of millions of people. Time will tell. Anyone
who tells you otherwise is not being honest, because there is just no
way to know
World
Action Now on Fukushima - Harvey Wasserman
Journalist,
author, activist and historian Harvey Wasserman has been reporting
on, and participating in, the nuclear free movement for decades. In
that time, by his judgment, only one other event matches the danger
to the world posed by the Cuban Missile Crisis. That event is the
ongoing nuclear disaster at Fukushima.
Haven't heard about it in
the corporate media? That's because the deadly and dying global
nuclear industry and its allies don't want you to know.
That's
why he has organized a petition drive to the UN advocating
international expert oversight of, and participation in, management
of the Fukushima crisis.
In this interview, he explains why we
must all be involved in this world-historical challenge to human and
planetary survival. Sign the petition here:
http://petitions.moveon.org/sign/the-...
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