DEEP GREEN RESISTANCE ADOPTS POSITION LONG ABANDONED BY GUY MCPERSON IN THE FACT OF FACTS

there is something very wrong with formatting - i can only get capital letters right now.

Why should I be surprised that Deep Green Resistance and Derick Jensen should adopt a position that Guy McPherson gave up several years ago in the face of the facts?

This gets one part of the equation right (civilisation as a heat engine) but ignores the aerosol masking effect (or 'global dimming') which will mean that once industrial civilisation collapses temperatures will rise several degrees in a short period of the time because of the removal of aerosols that act as a kind of umbrella for solar radiation.

Is this the last gasp of hopium?

PHYSICIST: 1000 PPM CO2 LIKELY UNLESS CIVILIZATION COLLAPSES

Deep Green Resistance,

14 May, 2019

Editor’s Note: This 2012 research article from University of Utah physicist and researcher Timothy Garrett concludes that “If civilization does not collapse quickly this century, then CO2 levels will likely end up exceeding 1000 ppmv.” 

We see this as further evidence that the Deep Green Resistance strategy of purposefully accelerating a managed collapse will provide the best chance for continuation of life on this planet.

No way out? The double-bind in seeking global prosperity alongside mitigated climate change.

Abstract. In a prior study (Garrett, 2011), I introduced a simple economic growth model designed to be consistent with general thermodynamic laws. Unlike traditional economic models, civilization is viewed only as a well-mixed global whole with no distinction made between individual nations, economic sectors, labor, or capital investments. At the model core is a hypothesis that the global economy’s current rate of primary energy consumption is tied through a constant to a very general representation of its historically accumulated wealth. Observations support this hypothesis, and indicate that the constant’s value is λ = 9.7 ± 0.3 milliwatts per 1990 US dollar. It is this link that allows for treatment of seemingly complex economic systems as simple physical systems. Here, this growth model is coupled to a linear formulation for the evolution of globally well-mixed atmospheric CO2 concentrations. While very simple, the coupled model provides faithful multi-decadal hindcasts of trajectories in gross world product (GWP) and CO2. Extending the model to the future, the model suggests that the well-known IPCC SRES scenarios substantially underestimate how much CO2 levels will rise for a given level of future economic prosperity. For one, global CO2 emission rates cannot be decoupled from wealth through efficiency gains. For another, like a long-term natural disaster, future greenhouse warming can be expected to act as an inflationary drag on the real growth of global wealth. For atmospheric CO2 concentrations to remain below a “dangerous” level of 450 ppmv (Hansen et al., 2007), model forecasts suggest that there will have to be some combination of an unrealistically rapid rate of energy decarbonization and nearly immediate reductions in global civilization wealth. Effectively, it appears that civilization may be in a double-bind. 

If civilization does not collapse quickly this century, then CO2 levels will likely end up exceeding 1000 ppmv [emphasis added]; but, if CO2 levels rise by this much, then the risk is that civilization will gradually tend towards collapse.

Originally published as Garrett, T. J.: No way out? The double-bind in seeking global prosperity alongside mitigated climate change, Earth Syst. Dynam., 3, 1-17, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-3-1-2012, 2012.

https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/3/1/2012/esd-3-1-2012.html

If you are new to this and want more information watch this documentary. The effects on me cannot be exagerrated.

BBC Horizon - Global Dimming 2005 from Kamil Obrzut on Vimeo.