Posts
Why
Novorussians and Russians are right to treat the Ukie soldiers with
compassion and kindness
27
July, 2014
For
a couple of days now, I have posted various items showing the large
number of casualties amongst the Ukie forces fighting against
Novorussia, and I have observed with some amusement how many of you
have expressed doubts about the veracity of these figures. Today
Nora drew my attention to a short video of a Ukie army recruiting
officer being confronted by a crowd of civilians, mostly women,
mostly mothers. The video is a few days old, but this version is
subtitled in English, so please watch it now:
Now,
there are a couple of thing I would like to share with you after this
video.
First,
believe me, these women are aware of the terrifying rumours which
speak of casualty figures way higher then those mentioned officially.
Keep in mind that a lot of Ukie soldiers simply disappear either
torn into unrecoverable small pieces of meat and bones, or hastily
buried into mass graves by their own officers to cover up their
deaths, either quietly killed and secretly buried by the civilians of
Novorussia (I have seen a video of Ukie recruits who say that they
are terrified of the local civilians who smile at them and then kill
them as soon as they get an opportunity).
Second,
and this what a lot of you are missing, the Ukie and Novorussian
militaries are dramatically different. Let me explain:
Ukrainian
military:
The
Ukrainian military has been completely neglected by all the
governments in power since 1991. Do you remember the condition of
the Russian military during the First Chechen war? Now imagine
taking that military, and instead of turning it around, you let it
further degrade for another 20 years. That would be more or less
what the Ukie military is today. Add to this that most officers and
soldiers do not want to fight. Besides fighting a war they
personally don't want (again, not all Ukrainians are Right Sector
Nazi fanatics!), they are also literally hungry (they eat snakes now)
and totally under equipped. The command and control system of the
Ukie military is more or less dead. The ONLY advantage of the Ukies
is the sheer number of aircraft, tanks and artillery, and that really
is a purely quantitative advantage.
Novorussian
military:
It
is composed solely of volunteers. Even the partial mobilization
decreed recently in Donetsk is a moral obligation: you are told you
have to show up, but if you do not, nobody will get you. Second,
there are a lot of very experienced soldiers and officers on the
Novorussian side. As as a direct result of that the following is
true:
1
Ukie Grad MLRS is not equal to 1 Novorussian Grad MLRS
That
is literally true. Even if it is exactly the same Grad MLRS. In
fact, many, possibly most Grads used by the Novorussians are trophies
taken away from the Ukies. But whereas the Uky artillery almost
exclusively shoots in more or less random way in the general
direction of the other side, hitting only civilians, the Novorussians
use each Grad with devastating effectiveness choosing the correct
munition, landing it with surgical accuracy right on top of the Ukie
positions.
Then
look at the footage of Novorussian fighters: a lot of them are 30+ to
40+ years old group. These are folks who have already spent a lot of
time in the military, often with experience of war, and who know
their job very very well. Yes, it is true that the Novorussians
still need many more of such experiences "wolves of war" as
they are called in Russian, but they already have a lot of them. So
on one hand you have clueless but young guys, and on the other,
older, but experienced pros who know how to survive.
Furthermore,
you can look at any video shot on the Novorussian side, and it is
clear that their morale is extremely high. Most of you have probalby
seen the footage made a few days ago of the Vostok Battalion on Saur
Mogila where the local commander, Samurai, was preparing his men to
go into battle to attack the Ukies in the southern cauldron and then
the footage shows them jumping on their vehicles and going into
battle. Sure, the guys were tired and serious, but also extremely
motivated and impatient to resume the fight. The contrast with
footage taken on the Ukie side could not have been stronger.
And
then, let's be honest about it, by now there are a lot of very
experienced fighters from Russia in the Novorussian military. Again,
these are older men, often with brand new gear, who appear to be
either NCOs or officers and who are clearly very highly motivated.
Finally,
the Ukies are lead by corrupt and incompetent generals, imagine Pavel
Grachev, but even worse. The reports that the fighting Ukies
absolutely hate and despise their commanders (not the direct
commander, but the top brass, the generals) are all over the social
media. On the other hand, you have folks like Strelov, Samurai,
Motorola, Kedr, Khodakovskii and others of clearly are both very
experienced and very talented. And, again, this is my personal
opinion, but there is no doubt in my mind that these local commanders
not only have all sorts of, shall way say, "advisers" from
the Russia, but that the Russian military supports the Novorussians
with intelligence and expertise (who do you guess was the first to
detect the envelopment manover attempted by the Ukies along the
Russian border?).
So
this is in no way the fault of the Ukrainian foot solider who is, by
all accounts, courageous, extremely strong willed and who will
execute his mission in the toughest conditions. Just look at how
long the poor Ukrainian soldiers in the Southern Cauldron have been
resisting under absolutely nightmarish conditions! But in these
circumstances the Ukies don't stand a chance, and even though they do
have an advantage in the open field by the sheer number of artillery,
tanks and aircraft, as soon as they get into closer combat the
Novorussians make minced meat out of them.
The
true figures are hidden by the junta
Remember
this: if Novorussia has something like 6,5 million people, the entire
Ukraine has somewhere 40 million people. So what does the junta do?
They spread out the casualties. The Ukies are now conducting their
THIRD partial mobilization (penalty for refusing to serve: 5 years in
jail). They are taking young men as cannon fodder form all over the
Ukraine, from Lvov to Vinnitsa to Chernigov and they send them to
Novorussia to get butchered by an army and population which fights
with the energy of despair and which fights on its own land.
This
might shock you and I will get a lot of nasty comments for saying
this, but I personally think that the Ukie casualty figures are
grossly UNDER-estimated and that when this horrible civil war comes
to and end and this issue is professionally investigated we will find
that the real figures of killed Ukrainians will be way higher than
even the highest figures quoted today.
I
think that as it typically the case in a dictatorship, the fact that
the 5 state owned TV stations say exactly the same nonsense does not
prevent the other information from seeping in in all sorts of
creative manners: the Internet, of course, but also relatives abroad,
the Russian media, leaks from the government structures, etc. And
then you have the number of neighbours who are being told that they
son "died like a hero for his country" (and, typically,
that his body was not recovered) who then talk to you in the
evenings, around a kitchen table, when nobody is around. So for all
the Ukie official propaganda the poor women on the video above are
absolutely terrified that if they military is allowed to run a
conscription locally their sons and husbands will also "died a
hero's death". Hence their desperate rage.
Us
and them?
This
is a truism, but I will say this again here: the vast majority of the
soldiers fighting against Novorussians are Russian themselves, in the
sense that they speak Russian, they are not Nazis at all and they are
not the crazy Euromaidanites who started all this shit - they are
simple country or small town folks who watched it all on the TV.
Sure, they probably hated Yanukovich, but no more than they hated
Timoshenko or Yushchenko, and while they feel Ukrainian that does not
mean that they have this satanic russophobia so typical of the real
Ukie Nazis. Not even most of the National Guard are hardened "Ukie
Interahamwe". That scum is mostly found in the deathsquads of
Kolomoiskii and Liashko. In those units you truly have the scum of
the earth, pathologically evil sickos who will crucify babies and
strangle pregnant women with a telephone cord. This is not a typical
Ukrainian thing, by the way, you will find a minority of such
sociopaths in any country and society. The difference is that in a
civilized and normal society you typically find these types in jail,
whereas in the current Ukraine turned Banderastan they are in
positions of power. But I am absolutely sure that you could find the
proportion of maniacal thugs amongst Russians, Belgians, Peruvians or
even Eskimos. That is just a sad part of the human nature. The
scary thing is that in Banderastan they get to rule the rest of
society.
I
take immense solace in the fact that Russians clearly understand
that, even the Novorussians do. I just watched a video about 40+
Ukrainian border guards who were terribly shot up by the Novorussians
and who offered to surrender in exchnage for a safe passage to
Russia. Not only did the Novorussians accept that, but they also fed
them, treated their wounds (often terrible ones), then brought them
across the border where the Russian military treated them again and
then let them chose between staying in Russia or returning home (and
risk being investigated by the Nazis for "desertion").
Those who wanted to return did so on Russian military aircraft.
A
few commentators said that this was stupid on the Russian part. I
categorically disagree. If these guys had been Kolomoiskii's thugs,
then yes, it would have been stupid. But these were basically decent
guys, used as canon fodder, in other words, victims. And I am proud
that the Russians also understood that and acted with kindness and
compassion towards them.
To
those of you who believe that the Ukie Nazis might get such a sweet
deal, I can reassure you - forget it. Russia is Russia and war is
war. In Chechnia for example, when caught the Wahabis were given a
10-15 min one on one "interview" with a a few Paratrooper
or Spetsaz NCOs which rapidly established their values as prisoners
in an extremely unpleasant dialog for the Wahabi and then, unless the
Russians thought they had a high value prisoner, they would be
summarily executed and buried. I have no doubt whatsoever of what
the Novorussians do when the catch a member of a Ukie death squad and
I can assure you that they will not treat his wounds or allow him to
survive longer than 30min max. But, again and again, the vast
majority of the Ukies butchered today are not members of death squads
and even though they are clearly fighting on the wrong side, they
have very little choice and they are therefore also first and
foremost victims who deserve our compassion.
The
Ukrainian tragedy
The
Russian word безобразие (bezobrazie) is often translated
into English as ugliness, of deformity or even scandal or chaos. But
that is not a very good rendering of its meaning. Bezobrazie is
composed of the prefix "bez" which means "without"
and then the word "obraz" which means "image" or
"type" or even "character". What bez-obraz-ie
means the "absence of a coherent image" or, literally, the
"loss of your own identity". This is what happened to the
Ukrainian people, they lost their own real identity and they let it
be replaced by a ugly, xenophobic, murderous and hate-filled "mask"
of sorts, which is not at all what the real Ukrainian culture used to
be. This is immensely sad, and I want to hope that this horror can
be healed. But in the meantime, Russians need to make sure that they
do now allow themselves to be changed by this war, they need to make
sure that the Russian people retain their own spiritual and cultural
"obraz" in the sense of "identity". This is also
one crucially important reason why they should continue to treat the
Ukie soldiers with compassion and kindness: Russian compassion can be
a powerful weapon against Ukie hatred and maybe even an impulse for
the Ukrainian people to recover their true identity.
The
Saker
Who
Benefits from the downing of #MH17?
Donbass
Situation Report, July 27, 2014
Original:
Colonel Cassad LiveJounal
Translated
from Russian by Gleb Bazov
Briefing
about the situations at the front in the DPR [Donetsk People’s
Republic] and the LPR [Lugansk People’s Republic] as July 27, 2014.
LPR
The
situation near Lugansk remains stable. The frontlines to the north of
the city have stabilized, and the offensive there has petered off.
The attempts to punch through a corridor to the airport through
Aleksandrovka have fallen through, and here the enemy is engaged in
regrouping its forces. Fighting has gradually been reduced to
systematic artillery shelling and the activities of the enemy’s
saboteur groups that seep into Lugansk, and which the Militia engages
commensurately with their available forces. The intensity of
airstrikes has declined due to the enemy’s losses and the
strengthening of the Militia’s air defences.
Battles
in the area of the Lugansk airport and to the southwest of the city
also show a tendency toward becoming positional in nature. Due to a
lack of forces, the sides have been unable to achieve any significant
advancement. The frontlines have also stabilized in the area of
Lutugino, where the Militia has been able to isolate a breakthrough
by the enemy armoured forces.
The
hole on the border is now confidently controlled by the Militia, and
the Junta has lost the ability to undertake a serious offensive to
close it off. Control over Izvarino and Krasnodon ensures guaranteed
deliveries of cargo at least as far as Lugansk.
In
the area of Alchevsk and Stakhanov, the Militia, having retreated
from the Lisichansk Protrusion, continues to fortify its positions,
waiting for the Junta to regroup, pull up its artillery and undertake
an offensive with the forces that it will have been able to
concentrate there.
In
general, the situation, even if not rosy, is quite stable – as a
result of a month of offensive actions on the territory of LPR, the
enemy can only claim the severance of the Lisichansk Protrusion to
its credit.
DPR
The
operational situation in the southern cauldron has not changed. The
Junta grouping, composed of the remnants of the three brigades [the
27th, the 72nd and the 29th], continues to remain there, suffering
considerable losses from the Militia’s fire. The last thread near
the “Marinovka” border-crossing checkpoint had been cut off
yesterday.
All
of Poroshenko’s claims that the encircled forces are being supplied
with food and ammunitions are simply a bunch of common lies; their
supply can only be effected via air, and even then – with great
risk to the aircraft airdropping cargo on parachutes. Understandably,
there is no talk about supplying the troops with ammunition and fuel
for the armoured vehicles. Essentially, the grouping now represents a
mass of infantry with the still-battle-worthy tanks and BMP dug in.
There is also clear ammunition famine for the cannon and the rocket
artillery.
In
general, conditions continue to worsen for the surrounded troops,
with a part of the soldiers running away and fleeing to Russia. In
the occupied Ukraine this has been fueling a public hysteria. Only
the lack of forces is preventing the Militia from delivering the
Junta troops from their torment.
In
the area of Saur-Mogila and Amvorsievka, the frontlines have long had
all the characteristics of positional fighting, with activity being
demonstrated through artillery strikes and actions of
Saboteur-Reconnaissance Groups (“SRG”). The dominant position of
Saur-Mogila and the constant shelling of Amvrosievka are preventing
the Junta from gathering with impunity its forces for a de-blockading
attack aimed at relieving the southern grouping. All the latest
successes of the Junta in this area are connected exclusively with
the actions of its SRGs.
The
road to Donetsk through Antratsit and Torez is firmly controlled by
the Militia. In the event that control over the highway passing
through Debaltsevo is lost, it the Antratsit/Torez road that will
become the key transportation artery of the DPR until the time when
the southern grouping is finished off and supply channels through the
border-crossing checkpoints in the south of the DPR are established.
In
the area of Debaltsevo, the Junta continues to conduct massive
attacks aimed at taking control of this major transportation junction
that has strategic importance. Yesterday evening the Junta reported
taking over Debaltsevo, when, in reality, it simply entered the city
under cover of massive artillery shelling, following which heavy
street battles began there, leading to large losses on both sides.
This morning, the fighting in Debaltsevo continued.
The
loss of Debaltsevo will seriously complicate the situation in the
DPR, which effectively will be left hanging by one supply thread. We
should expect the Militia to redeploy its reserves for a
counterattack. Essentially, the section between Gorlovka and Alchevsk
is the only part of the front where the Junta firmly maintains the
initiative and is conducting large scale offensive actions with
decisive goals. On most of the remaining sections of the front of the
DPR and the LPR, the offensive that began on July 1, 2014 has come to
a halt or become mired in a positional front.
The
enemy’s advancement toward Debaltsevo has led to Gorlovka becoming
partially encircled from the northeastern direction, with the city
ending up operationally surrounded due to a number of the roads being
cut off by enemy SRGs and the infiltrating mechanized infantry. The
main forces of the Militia have been pushed pack into the city and
are preparaing for street battles.
In
Donetsk itself, the Junta offensive is bogged down on the outskirts
of the city. Heavy fighting in the area of the Peski settlement has
led to an full stop of the direct offensive against the city. The
Junta was forced to adopt the “Slavyansk” tactics, comprised of
massive artillery shelling of residential districts followed by a
slow advance with tanks protected by weak infantry cover. The crisis
of the first days of the assault on Donetsk (when the Miltia was
practically forced into the urban areas) at this time has been
overcome, and the Militia is preparing for new battles in the
suburbs.
In
the general, the situation here remains very difficult. In the event
Debaltsevo is lost and Gorlovka is completely encircled, Donetsk will
end up semi-surrounded, which, given the enemy’s overall
superiority in numbers, will create additional opportunities for the
Junta to conduct strikes using the internal communications network
that spreads from Debaltsevo into the interiors of the DPR and the
LPR.
When
we will be tallying up the results of the offensive that began on
July 1, 2014, the key for evaluating it will be the outcomes of the
battles for Gorlovka, Debaltsevo and in the Southern Cauldron.
According
to the information from our person in Donetsk:
As
of yesterday, everything was fine with Strelkov personally. Both he
and his assistant used to write on the well-known forum. The reasons
for the cessation of these briefings are military in nature.
Questions
again arose with respect to Khodakovskiy (and to him) following his
interview to Reuters, where he blurted something about “BUKs” in
LPR.
Our
person (he no longer just wields a camera, but now also carries an
automatic rifle) has informed us that, during a raid with a Militia
SRG into the enemy’s rear, one of the Militia groups from Battalion
Vostok prevented them from destroying the positions of one of the
enemy mortar batteries. No explanations were provided – they made
their objections clear with weapons. There is also information that a
group of Vostok militiamen, as well as some Cossacks, has been
dealing in racketeering in Donetsk instead of fighting the war. These
matters now are being dealt with and investigated at the level of
Borodai-Atjunfeev.
Apart
from uniforms and equipment and light arms, militiamen also complain
that they lack artillery and MLRS, most of which is concentrated in
LPR and on the borders of the Southern Cauldron. There are few
artillery systems near Gorlovka, Debaltsevo, Alchevsk, and Stakhanov,
and, as a result, it has been very difficult to repel the attacks by
the numerically superior Junta forces. Nevertheless, and despite the
difficult situation, the morale of the visited units is quite high.
Overall,
the military construction is gaining momentum, while state building
is still lagging. Part of the necessary organizational structures
still exist mostly as virtual constructs.
From
Vladimir Suchan
Euromaidan
is tweeting the Kiev junta's military plan, which does correspond to
the offensive's footprint, now almost too obvious:
Via
Vladimir Suchan on Facebook
NATO
invasion/intervention in Ukraine underway, as of already?
"Kolomoisky
broadcasts: NATO troops already in Kharkov.
Nico
Geerts, Brigadier General, Commander of a brigade of the Netherlands
airmobile 11. Ordered the immediate collection of 1000 soldiers and
sending in Eastern Ukraine for weeks. Orders placed today at 8-0000,
time to collect 12:00.
When
asked about how they will protect the experts working for Boeing,
without weapons, responded that this is not a problem and the weapon
will be delivered within a few hours. Including Apache helicopters
group drums.
The
Dutch military will travel to Ukraine on a regular NATO transport
aircraft Lockheed c-130 Hercules from the airport in Eindhoven.
They
will be joined by Australian SASR special forces already in Europe,
British-based Marines in Hereford. In the next few hours, they will
land in Ukraine.
Special
forces of the two countries will accompany the helicopters, a CH-47
Chinook.
I
think they've arrived in Kharkov.
In
other words, under the guise of NATO experts introduced to Ukraine's
troops. For the sake of the Americans, and were ordered to destroy
the airliner with passengers. (Translated by Bing)"
Коломойский
вещает:
Войска
НАТО уже в Харькове.
Nico
Geerts бригадный генерал, командир 11
аэромобильной бригады Нидерландов.
Отдал приказ о срочном сборе 1000
военнослужащих, и отправке в Восточную
Украину на несколько недель. Приказ
отдан вчера в 8-00, время на сбор 12 часов.
На
вопрос, о том что они будут охранять
экспертов, работающих по Боингу, без
оружия, ответил, что это не проблема и
оружие будет доставлено в течении
нескольких часов. В том числе ударные
группы вертолетов Apache.
Голландские
военные отправятся на Украину на штатном
транспортном самолете НАТО – Lockheed c-130
Hercules из аэропорта в Ейндховене.
К
ним присоединится австралийский спецназ
SASR уже находящийся в Европе, на базе
английской морской пехоты в Херефорде.
Они в ближайшие часы высадятся в Украине..
Спецназовцев
двух стран будет сопровождать, вертолеты
CH-47 Chinook.
Думаю,
они уже прилетели в Харьков.
Иными
словами, под предлогом охраны экспертов,
НАТО вводит на Украину войска. Ради
этого американцы и отдали приказ
уничтожить лайнер с пассажирами.
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