I
take this as a fairly unbiasd and fair presentation of the facts
Multinational
Deal May Allow Assad to Stay
Flurry of
New Reports Hint at Changing Western Views
17
September, 2015
The
“official” positions of myriad Western nations on the Syrian
Civil War have been demands for the unconditional surrender of the
Assad government. This has been the US position as
recently as a few days ago, when
the State Department reported US and British officials met and agreed
Assad has to go.
But
they seem to be getting flexible on that matter suddenly, with
British Premier David Cameron
now reportedly in favor of keeping Assad in power for
the sake of forming a “unity government,” which is the exact same
Russian plan that the US and Britain have been repudiating for
months.
US
officials, after spending the past couple of weeks railing at Russia
for still being on board with this plan, today report that Secretary
of State John Kerry met with Russian FM Sergey Lavrov to discuss
a “political transition” which
US officials were insisting just days prior was totally impossible.
It’s
unclear where this sudden momentum is coming from, but the UN
has been working at
getting some local ceasefires in place, and a deal whereby secular
rebels would get on board with a power-sharing deal and
President Assad
would remain in some form seem
to have found respectability anew as officials head to the UN General
Assembly.
It
may reflect the worsening of the war prospects of the secular rebels,
or the virtual lack of “pro-US” rebels who didn’t turn out to
be in that program simply to loot the weapons and give them to
al-Qaeda, but as ISIS continues to grow, this sudden shift suggests a
deal could finally be possible.
The
question then becomes if it is “too late.” ISIS has held over
half of Syria since late spring, and al-Qaeda is also growing in
power in the north. The secular rebels, barely existent at this
point, are unlikely to significantly bolster the Assad government,
and that government’s ability to fend off defeat after defeat is in
increasing question.
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