Monday, 10 November 2014

Kiev regime acting like a totalitarian dictatorship.

Political prisoners in Ukraine
Press conference of Elena Blok, a journalist kept prosoner by the SBU for 3 months


Пресс-конференция журналистки, которая была в плену СБУ 3 месяца, Елена Блоха




"In the name of "dignity" and "European values," the Kiev regime is acting like a totalitarian dictatorship. By now, the regime keeps hundreds, possibly thousands, of political prisoners. The gravity of this problem is crying out to heaven.

Elena Blokha, a Ukrainian female journalist, was one of such political prisoners. She was detained on August 2 and kept in prison till October 30 when she was exchanged for Ukrainian military personnel who have been shelling the cities of Donbass. She was charged with terrorism. Anyone who is not cooperating with the Nazi, Banderite regime in Kiev is liable to this charge in Ukraine today.

For the first two months, she was kept in solitary confinement under complete, constant surveillance and without any communication with the outside world. The Ukrainian secret police tried to pressure her into confessing her "crime" or, better yet, into becoming the secret police agent by threatening her that, as a mother, she would never see her children again if she does not give in.

After the two months, she was moved into a female prison where, for three months in overcrowded cells, there was no working canalization and they had water only for five minutes a day. Then water from faucets stopped and 6-8 women per cell were given only 6 liters of water for a day--for all their needs. There was no heating there.

From her investigators she learned that the Kiev junta has effectively put all journalists and other potential people of interest under close surveillance--all their communications are being monitored.

The situation with political prisoners, the massive and growing number of them, and their abysmal treatment, which is almost as appalling as the treatment of prisoners of war by the Kiev regime is a testimony to the utterly fascist character, mindset, and mode of operation of the new Ukrainian authorities. And the Russian government needs to take a clear and strong stance to this horrendous abuse and violations of the most basic human rights about which the West does not care at all--for they support, support, equip and advice this very same criminal regime in Ukraine."


--- Vladimir Suchan


Right Sector deputy wants to execute deputies and ministers at a stadium


8 November, 2014

The soldiers of the Ukrainian battalions fighting in Donbass regard the behavior of politicians in Kiev as a betrayal and are ready for mass shootings. This was announced on air on TV channel Inter by the newly elected Verkhovna Rada deputy Borislav Bereza from the Right Sector, reported 'Politnavigator'. For the place of future executions he picked a stadium, apparently as analogy with Pinochet's practice.

According to Bereza, today Ukraine cannot count on the help of the EU and the US with the crisis in Donbass and reforms. "We are aliens on this celebration of life," - said Bereza. He said that a scenario of the return of Ukrainian soldiers to Kiev and restoring order with the forces of the army becomes more and more realistic.


"Soldiers returning from the zone of the ATO , who did not put down their weapons, together with the miners, will come on Friday, during the session of the Parliament with the members of the government, and will chase the deputies and the ministers down Grushevskogo street to Lobanovsky stadium for execution", - said the spokesperson of the Right Sector

Ukraine SITREP November 9th, 22:25 UTC/Zulu: A creeping conflict




8 November, 2014

There is an interesting word in Russian: вялотекущий.  It can be translated as "creeping" or "sluggish".  It is composed of the word вялоwhich means "lethargically", or "torpidly" or "apathetic" and текущий which means to flow, to progress.  This word comes to my mind when looking at the war in the Ukraine, it is progressing towards some kind of worsening, but it does so in a slouching, slowly creeping way.

Novorussian side
 

On the Novorussian side the recent elections did not solve the constant infighting between the various commanders.  To my great regret, this nonsense is still going on.  Bezler was removed from his command, Mozgovoi was told that his brigade had to be incorporated into the Novorussian Armed Forces (NAF), which he gladly accepted, and that this would be done by breaking up his brigade into various units of the NAF, which he categorically rejected.  Then there was the news that Zakharchenko had decorated Strelkov and Borodai as with the Medal of "Hero of the Donetsk People's Republic".  Strelkov denied that adding that he would not take that medal from Zakharchenko anyway.  The news was then "corrected" to say that this decision had been made about Bezler and Borodai.  The blog of Colonel Cassad (http://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/ - the most honest Russian-language blog on Novorussia IMHO) goes into exquisite details about all this nonsense and the English version of this site apparently has resumed translating his blog.  You can find the English version here: http://cassad-eng.livejournal.com/.

Voentorg in action

The good news is that while the Novorussians are fighting, the Russians are sending them huge amounts of weapons.  The main difference with what Russia did in the past is that this time around the Voentrog is not done covertly at all and that these huge columns of trucks have been seen driving around the center of Donetsk, clearly in the hope that somebody would film or photograph them.  The message to the Junta is clear - we are ready and we will support Novorussia.  It appears that so far this new "semi-overt" style of support has deterred the Junta Repression Forces (JRF) from any major attacks.

Question for everybody: I have heard reports that columns of T-80 tanks has been spotted in Novorussia.  Can somebody confirm whether this is true or not?  So far, all the "T-80s" have turned out to be modification of the Ukrainian T-72, but the appearence of Russian T-80s could be significant because while not modern by Russian standards, most Russian T-80s have been retrofitted with modern electronics and fire systems.  In other words, a modernized Russian T-80 would have a huge advantage over a Ukrainian T-72, specially an unmodified one.

I personally do not really care who of the Novorussian leaders is in command as long as it is one person.  All of them have shown that they are competent military commanders so the question is a political one.  Zakharchenko is by far the most legitimate political leader since he won the election, and he seems to most willing to do what the Kremlin wants which I consider a good thing.  But this is also the reason why a lot of the other field commanders don't like him, especially Strelkov.  But then again, Strelkov himself is far from being unanimously endorsed either and, besides, he is now out of the Novorussian political game since he now lives in Russia.  The fact is that Novorussia cannot exist without Russian support, so my totally politically incorrect preference for the command of the NAF would be for a Russian general to be put in charge, but that ain't happening.  Next best,  somebody who will listen to a Russian general.  But for the political command of Novorussia was is needed is a good administrator, a local Novorussian and a civilian capable of effectively interfacing with the military commanders.  I personally liked Borodoi, but any guy close to the security services would do.

Why the security services?  Because no real "democracy" is possible in a combat zone.  So the next best thing is a pretend democracy where the democratically elected leader has some personal legitimacy, but is willing and capable of working closely with the military commanders and with the Kremlin.  Sort of Borodai v2 I suppose.  Alas, I don't see that happening anytime soon.

Ukieland aka Banderastan

The total chaos in continuing the the Nazi-occupied Ukraine.  While the junta did succeed in bringing a lot of military power (man and gear) to the line of contact, no real attack has materialized.  Besides the already well-know terror shelling of civilians in Donetsk, the new and rewamped JRF has not shown itself capable of anything yet.  Could they do more?

Yes, definitely,  they now have three things which they lacked before the Minsk agreement:

1) More firepower
2) More armor
3) Well defended sectors

These are good ingredients for a determined attack.  The problem for them is, of course, that the NAF now also has more of these three categories.  Finally, the NAF retains a very significant advantage in moral, tactical proficiency, local population support, knowledge of the terrain and reconnaissance.  This, along with the repoening of the Voentorg spigot, might well explain the current Ukie lack of attack.
[Sidebar: I have seen a lot of nonsense about Uncle Frost, General Winter, Jack Frost, etc.  This is utter nonsense.  Both the Russians and the Ukrainians (as if they were different) have fought wars in the winter for over 1000 years and they can very much do that again.  Even in the Arctic (in the case of Russians).  The Russians train in Siberia, on permafrost, in the Caucasus and, of course, in Central Russia's brutal winters and while extreme weather conditions of the Winter or Spring (the thaw) make that harder, they don't make that impossible at all.  A Winter offensive is definitely possible, is less likely]

On the political side, on the Ukie side the elections has also not settled anything and all the bigshots are busy fighting each other.  Most of the "action" seems to take place around Kolomoiski, but there is plenty of hatred to go around for everybody.

Russia

the leaders of the free world

The big news for Russia is clearly the drop in the prices of oil and the drop in the value of the Ruble.  Are the two linked?  Yes, of course.  While the general economic downturn worldwide did probably negatively impact the price of oil, there is little doubt that the AngloZionist Empire is using its influence to prevent the OPEC countries from cutting down on production.  Is this strategy effective?  Yes, definitely, but it also is very pricey, especially for the US shale gas industry.  Cheap oil is also very good for China, so while Russia is hurting, China is getting a much needed boost.  Worse for the AngloZionists, Russia and China are signing even more multi-billion dollar contracts but instead of dollars, they make them in Rouble-Renminbi.  

Still, the worst problems for Russia are, beyond any doubt, self-inflicted.  There is a reason why Russia has been so dependent for years on gas and oil exports: it is because the Russian economy has not been able to provide alternative sources of revenue and the reason for that is that the entire economic system adopted by Russia after 1991 has been designed to lock Russia into an "African" style of economy: Russia was allowed to export her raw materials and was told to import all the rest.  How was that achieved?  By telling the Russians to keep interest rates high, their savings invested in US T Bonds and keeping their main corporations incorporated abroad.  Of course, none of that would have been possible without a faithful local 
comprador class imposing that system by its power of corruption on the rest of the country.  The bottom line is that these sanctions primarily hurt Russia there were Russia is weak anyway, so in a sense you could say that these sanctions are acting like cattle-prods forcing the Russian state to very reluctantly go to its own salvation.

This is now a race against time.  Who, of the USA or Russia, will have to cave in first and who will have the staying power to hold on to its objectives.  Can you guess on whom I am betting? :-)
Conclusion

The situation in Novorussia is bad but not catastrophic.  Russia will help Novorussia through the winter months and, hopefully, the infighting amongst the field commanders will eventually stop.

The situation in Ukieland is terrible and only getting worse.  The Ukraine is now somewhere between the 4th and 5th 
Orlov Stages of Collapse.  The recent gas deal with the EU and Russia changes nothing to that fact.  We can begin to think of rump-Ukraine aka Banderastan aka Ukieland as something like a 'frozen Libya': a very dangerous, poor, violent wasteland run by thugs.

The situation for Russia is difficult, especially in the short term.  The good news is that Russia is immensely wealthy with huge reserves of gold, currencies, natural resources and human capital and that Russia is politically extremely stable.  The deep strategic alliance between Russia and China is, for both countries, the "ticket" out of the dependence upon the dollar and the way to true decolonization from the Empire.

As long as Vladimir Putin and Xi Jiping hold the course - and I believe they will - the Empire will continue to slowly erode.

The Saker


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