Escalation in the South China Sea

China’s Anti-Carrier Missile Now Opposite Taiwan, Flynn Says

The Chinese military has deployed its new anti-ship ballistic missile along its southern coast facing Taiwan, the Pentagon’s top military intelligence officer said today

Bloomberg,

19 April, 2013

The missile, designated the DF-21D, is one of a “growing number of conventionally armed” new weapons China is deploying to the region, adding to more than 1,200 short-range missiles opposite the island democracy, U.S. Army Lieutenant General Michael Flynn, the Defense Intelligence Agency director, said in a statement to the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Flynn’s reference to the DF-21D follows one made by U.S. Navy Admiral Samuel Locklear, head of the U.S. Pacific Command, in congressional testimony on April 9. He highlighted the “initial deployment of a new anti-ship missile that we believe is designed to target U.S. aircraft carriers.

Flynn’s brief reference to the DF-21D today is significant because it advances the DIA’s assessment last year, when U.S. Army Lieutenant General Ronald Burgess, then the agency’s director, said China’s military is “probably preparing to deploy” the weapon.

The disclosure may spark increased scrutiny in Congress this year about the vulnerability of the Navy’s aircraft carriers, including the new Gerald R. Ford class being built by Newport News, Virginia-based Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc.. (HII)

The Navy estimates that the first new carrier will cost at least $12.3 billion, and the service’s budget request for the fiscal year beginning Oct. 1 includes $1.68 billion for new aircraft carriers, more than double this year’s $781.7 million request. Of that, $945 million would pay for continued design and construction of the second Ford-class carrier, the USS John F. Kennedy.

‘Immediate Need’

Michael Gilmore, the Pentagon’s director of operational testing, warned in his January 2012 annual report that the Navy lacked a target needed to check its defenses against the DF-21D. The Navy had an “immediate need” for a test missile able to replicate the DF-21D’s trajectory, Gilmore said.

Last July, Gilmore told Navy Secretary Ray Mabus in a memo that testing to evaluate the new carriers’ “ability to withstand shock and survive in combat” would be postponed until after the Kennedy is built, and may not be completed for seven years.

The DF-21D is intended to give China “the capability to attack large ships, particularly aircraft carriers, in the western Pacific,” the Pentagon’s 2012 China report said. The report cites estimates that the missile’s range exceeds 930 miles (1,500 kilometers).

Carrier Hunters

The missiles are designed be be launched to a general location, where their guidance systems take over and spot carriers to attack with warheads intended to destroy the ships’ flight decks, launch catapults and control towers.

U.S. Chief of Naval Operations Admiral Jonathan Greenert told defense reporters in March 2012 that the Navy is evaluating how to defeat the missile during all phases of flight, using methods such as jamming the missiles’ sensors, reducing the electronic emissions from U.S. ships, and intercepting the missile.

“Some call that links of a chain,” Greenert said. “You want to break as many links as possible.”

In its fiscal 2014 Budget Highlights book, the Navy said it’s working a “kill chain” against an unspecified weapon.

The Navy, the book says, wants to integrate the capabilities of the Falls Church, Virginia-based Northrop Grumman Corp.’s (NOC) E-2D Advanced Hawkeye surveillance aircraft; Bethesda, Maryland-based Lockheed Martin Corp.’s (LMT) Aegis surveillance and missile defense system; and Waltham, Massachusetts-based Raytheon Co.’s (RTN) Cooperative Engagement Capability sensor network linking ships and Standard Missile-6 interceptors “to keep pace with the evolving threat.”

Analysts including Mark Gunzinger, a senior fellow with the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, and some naval officers worry that the new carriers, while formidable warships, may not be able to get close enough for their planes to attack enemies, such as China and Iran, that are armed with precision- guided anti-ship cruise and ballistic missiles.

China reportedly testing new nuclear missiles: preparing to over-whelm U.S. missile defenses

Taipei, April 16 (CNA) Unidentified lights have been seen over the Bohai Sea at night, which could be a sign that China is testing new nuclear missiles, Duowei News, a Chinese-language media based in New York, cited Chinese websites as reporting Tuesday

Focus Taiwan,

16 April, 2013

The Bohai Sea is the innermost gulf of the Yellow Sea on China's northeastern coast.

The Nezavisimaya Gazeta, a Russian newspaper, reported a day earlier that China must have developed new multiple-warhead intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and has the ability to overwhelm U.S. missile defense systems and launch counter nuclear attacks.

The Wall Street Journal, meanwhile, reported that the U.S. now has 806 ICBMs deployed, while Russia has a total of 491 and China has only between 50 and 75.

Some experts have said that China plans to increase its deployed ICBMs to 500.

In addition, it plans to develop multiple-warhead ICBMs to penetrate the U.S. anti-missile system with the hope of maintaining a low-degree nuclear intimidation capability so as to ensure that it has the ability to counterattack in the event of a U.S. nuclear strike.

Meanwhile that same day, China issued a white paper on national defense in which it elaborated on its new peacetime security challenges and the diversified employment of its armed forces to cope with such challenges.

Wu Xihua, vice director of the Emergency Response Office of the People's Liberation Army's General Staff Headquarters, said China is opposed to war.

But he also said that if someone "imposes war upon us, we have to be able to fight resolutely and win."

He reaffirmed China's determination to safeguard its core interests of sovereignty, security and territorial integrity.