Who Will Stop These Sado-Monetarists As Youth Unemployment Surges To 58% In Greece?
Greek
unemployment rose to 25.4pc in August. Youth unemployment rose to
58pc.
Ambrose
Evans Pritchard
11
November, 2012
Under
the official forecast, the economy will contract by a further 4.5pc
next year, so it fair to assume that lots more people are going to
lose their jobs. It is certainly not going to improve in any
meaningful way for years to come.
This
is what happens when you lock into the wrong currency and block the
escape routes – or join a "burning building with no exits"
in the words of William Hague.
Even
if Greeks comply with all demands, public debt will reach 179pc of
GDP next year. Perhaps there will be some sort of formula to cut debt
service costs by shaving 50 basis points off interest on rescue
loans, and persuading the ECB to forgo "profits" on its
estimated €40 billion holdings of Greek bonds (though unrealised
profits would seem be courting fate).
Yet
it is hard to see how the salary and pension cuts, etc, pushed
through the Greek parliament last night with enormous difficulty can
do any more than buy a few months’ delay. The protests on Wednesday
bordered on urban guerrilla warfare. It will not take much to cross
that line.
Even
if the EMU machine succeeds in keeping Greece in the system, is this
any longer a remotely desirable goal? Has it not become a vicious and
immoral policy in itself?
I
agree with the IFO Institute’s Hans-Werner Sinn that upholding euro
membership has by now become an act of cruelty. It not being done in
the interests of Greeks. It is being done for the Project, by
enforcers of the Project. Only by breaking free can Greece restore a
minimum of economic vibrancy and national dignity.
Everything
we know from labour studies is that the early twenties are crucial
years, shaping lifelong career paths and earnings ten to fifteen
years beyond. The worst economic crime you cannot commit is to leave
58pc of youth grinding away their days in frustration in cafs, if
they can afford the coffee.
Premier
Antonis Samaras issued hysterical warnings before the vote of what
would happen if parliament refused to obey the EU-IMF Troika, talking
of catastrophe and a collapse of Greek society.
He
has little credibility. His party was chiefly responsible for the
grotesque mismanagement of Greece in the early EMU years. There is no
necessary reason why Greece should spiral into collapse outside EMU,
or why the Drachma would plummet to Third World levels.
This
would happen only if the EU decided to make that happen. Why would
the EU behave in such a fashion? It would have every reason to try to
salvage what it could from the fiasco and demonstrate that EU
solidarity is still worth something.
Technically,
the ECB could be instructed to defend a euro-drachma rate – let us
say a 30pc devaluation – until the dust had settled.
The
EIB and Commission could intervene with all kinds of investment and
trade support to cushion the blow. An orderly transition is not
beyond the wit of man. It would restore the basic competitiveness of
the Greek economy at a stroke.
We
all know the reason why this is not being done. The ideologues
running monetary union cannot bring themselves to contemplate any
step back in the Project, just as they would not admit yesterday in
the Commission’s economic report that they have gravely misjudged
the effects of fiscal tightening (the fiscal multiplier) and have
therefore miscrafted their entire austerity strategy.
We
are not dealing with rational people. We are dealing with a religious
order, and these monks are becoming an increasing danger to Europe’s
societies and democracies.
Margaret
Thatcher’s advisers were tagged Sado-Monetarists in the early 1980s
but they never inflicted anything remotely close to this level of
suffering. The strange silence of the Left on this is baffling.
Sooner or later my Fabian friends will have make up their minds
whether they are for the workers, or for the "bankers ramp"
— as old Socialists like Peter Shore used to describe monetary
union.
The
Draghi Put has lifted the immediate financial threat, but this makes
matters worse. The drip-drip of ugly economic data continues each
day. The deeper structural crisis is still getting worse. Loan demand
has crashed 50pc in Italy and France. Spain’s unemployment is
25.8pc and may reach 30pc next year.
Yet
there is no longer any immediate catalyst or external umpire in the
markets that can bring this mass civic abuse to an end. Unless the
Bundestag comes to the rescue by refusing to pay for any more
can-kicking, we may have to wait until internal devaluations in the
Club Med bloc push jobless rates to such excruciating levels that the
political system snaps.
It
is the worst of all worlds.
Support
for Greece’s far-right Golden Dawn swells amid wave of racial
violence
Greece’s
neo-Nazi Golden Dawn party is gaining popularity in the midst of the
country’s deepening financial crisis. The group has been implicated
in torture cases, and for inciting an wave of racial violence
sweeping the country.
RT,
12
November, 2012
An
opinion poll published by KAPA Research in October showed that
support for the extremist political group had grown from 7.5 percent
of the population in June to 10.4 percent currently.
The
Golden Dawn emerged from political obscurity into the mainstream in
May after winning 7 percent of the vote in the Greek parliamentary
elections. Since then, the country has reportedly witnessed an
upsurge in racial violence connected to the right-wing group.
"Violence
is getting wilder and wilder and we still have the same pattern of
attacks… committed by groups of people in quite an organized
way," Kostis
Papaioannou, former head of the Greek National Commission for Human
Rights told AP.
Out
of the 18 MPs selected in June to represent the Golden Dawn in
parliament, four are under investigation for violent attacks and have
been stripped of their parliamentary immunity.
While
addressing parliament in October, MP Eleni Zaroulia referred to
immigrants as “subhuman,” while Efstathios Boukouras allegedly
attacked the mayor of Corinth with a whip in July.
According
to statistics collated by human rights groups, there have been 87
racial attacks between January and September. The groups stressed
that the real figure likely far exceed this number, since many
attacks are not documented or reported.
"Most
of the time the victims, they don't want to talk about this, they
don't feel safe," Nikitas
Kanakis, president of the Greek section of Doctors of the World told
AP. "The
fear is present and this is the bigger problem."
The
Golden Dawn has been repeatedly implicated in racial violence, but
has emphatically denied its involvement. The party has also expressed
overt hostility towards immigrants in Greece, championing slogans
such as ‘clean up the stench,’ and ‘Greece for the Greeks.’
They have pledged to eject all immigrants from Greece should they
gain power, and want to militarize Greece’s borders with landmines
and armed patrols.
“The
only racist attacks that exist in Greece for the last years are the
attacks that illegal immigrants are doing against Greeks,” Ilias
Panagiotaros, a Golden Dawn party member said to AP.
Members of the Greek extreme-right ultra nationalist party Golden Dawn (AFP Photo / Sakis Mitrolidis)
Torture allegations
There
have also been a number of reports of neo-Nazi sympathizers
infiltrating the Greek police force. The Greek government said it is
currently investigating accusations that police brutally tortured 15
members of an anti-fascist organization in September.
Public
order minister Nikos Dendias said that the probe would take the form
of a closed inquiry. He pledged to stamp out racial violence in
Greece, and appointed a new police unit to deal with racial
incidents
But
support for the far-right continues to grow in Greece amid mounting
economic turmoil and unemployment topping 50 percent amongst the
nation’s youth. The Golden Dawn has capitalized on public
resentment for the government’s austerity measures, and with the
country’s worsening economic situation, the political balance could
further shift in their favor.
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