Spain
Now Faces a Systemic, Societal, and Sovereign Collapse
29
November, 2012
Spain’s
financial system is at truly apocalyptic levels.
If
you’ve been reading me for some time, you know that Spain has
already experienced a bank run equal to 18% of total
deposits this
year alone (another story the mainstream media is avoiding). However,
what you likely don’t know is that an on annualized basis, Spain
has experienced portfolio and investment outflows GREATER
THAN 50% OF ITS GDP.
To
give this number some context, Indonesia only saw outflows equal to
23% of its GDP during the Asian Financial Crisis. Spain is
experiencing more than DOUBLE this.
I’ve
long averred that Spain will be the straw to break the EU’s back.
By the look of things this is not far off. The country’s regional
bailout fund has only less than €1 billion in funding left. As the
below chart shows, this will barely make a dent in the regions’
debt problems:
Indeed,
things are far far worse than is commonly know. Valencia for instance
owes its pharmacies over €500 billion. In some areas there is no
longer insulin.
In
the region of Andalusia some government workers haven’t been paid
in eight months and are working for free while begging
for food.
And
Catalonia is pushing to secede
from Spain entirely.
Indeed, its pro-secessionist leader, President Artur Mas, just won
the most recent election. And over 1.5 million of Catalonia’s 7.5
million inhabitants turned out for an independence rally in
September.
Again,
Spain as a country is finished. Things are so bad that British
Airways (many wealthy Brits vacation in Spain) is putting a
contingency plan for SPAIN
to leave the Euro.
Worst
of all, it is clear EU and Spanish leaders have no clue how to deal
with any of this. Their latest plan is for the country to cut the
balance sheets of three nationalized banks by 50% sometime in the
next five years. How will they do this? By dumping their toxic
property assets into a “bad bank.”
The
idea here is that somehow someone will want to buy this stuff. Spain
already had to postpone the launch of the bad bank by a month because
no one wanted to participate in it (despite
the mainstream media claiming that the idea was popular which is
untrue).
So,
here we have Spain proposing that it can somehow unload a ton of
garbage debts onto “someone” even though there is no “someone”
to buy them. And the whole point of this exercise is to meet
conditions so that Spain would qualify for another €40 billion in
aid.
€40
billion in aid... when
Spain has experienced portfolio and investment outflows of more than
€700 billion.
Indeed,
things are so bad that the ECB has put the entire Spanish
banking system on life support to the tune of over €400 billion
Euros. To put this number into perspective, the entire equity base
for every bank in Spain is only a little over €100 billion.
Oh,
and the country needs to issue over €200 billion in debt next year.
If
you’re looking for ideas on how to navigate this mess, we have
produced a FREE Special Report available to all investors titledWhat
Europe’s Collapse Means For You and Your Savings.
This
report features ten pages of material outlining our independent
analysis real debt
situation in Europe (numbers far worse than is publicly admitted),
the true nature of the EU banking system, and the systemic risks
Europe poses to investors around the world.
It
also outlines a number of investments to profit from this;
investments that anyone can use to take advantage of the European
Debt Crisis.
Best
of all, this report is 100% FREE. You can pick up a copy today at:
Best
Regards,
Graham
Summers
Bankia Details Deep Cuts, Sees EUR19 Bln Loss This Year
WSJ,
29
November, 2012
MADRID--Bankia
SA (BKIA.MC) said Wednesday it will cut its staff numbers by more
than 6,000 and close more than 1,000 branches, as well as shed 50
billion euros ($64.8 billion) worth of assets as it downsizes and
refocuses on retail banking.
The
Madrid bank, Spain's fourth-largest in terms of assets and the
largest of bailed-out lenders in the crisis-hit country, also
estimated that it would report a loss of EUR19 billion this year, by
far the biggest loss in the history of Spanish banking. However, it
expects to swing back to a profit from next year.
Bankia
outlined its restructuring plan shortly after European Union
regulators had given the green light to it and the restructuring
plans of three other Spanish lenders.
The
four banks together will receive a total capital injection of EUR37
billion, of which Bankia will get EUR17.94 billion.
The
number of staff will be reduced by 28%, to 14,500 workers, while the
retail branch network will be cut by 39% to between 1,900-2,000
branches, Bankia said.
The
bank will withdraw from lending to real-estate development and limit
its presence in wholesale banking, focusing only on retail and small-
and medium-sized business lending. It will also halt dividend
payments until 2014 as it rebuilds capital....
For
rest of article GO
HERE
EU
to bail out four Spanish
banks
29
November, 2012
The
European Commission said it would loan $48 billion to four banks in
Spain provided they follow restructuring recommendations.
To
receive the funding, the banks will have to lay off thousands of
workers, The New York Times reported Wednesday.
The
move to rescue BFA/Bankia, NCG, Catalunya Banc and Banco de Valencia
was "a milestone," said European Union antitrust
commissioner Joaquin Almunia.
In
prior bailouts set up by the European Union, funds have gone to
governments, not private firms.
The
bailout will make use of European Stability Mechanism funds and is
part of a $130 billion program set up for Spanish banks.
So
far, Spain continues to claim that not all of the $130 billion will
be necessary to rescue its banking sector, which got into trouble as
loans defaulted with global economic downturn coming on the heels of
a building boom in Spain.
An
audit conducted by consulting firm Oliver Wyman said Spanish banks
would require $76.7 billion to return to stability.
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