Missing monsoon lead to 'years without a summer'
Physics,
14 February, 2014
Why
do cold, rainy summers in Europe follow intense volcanic eruptions in
the tropics? A research team based at the University of Bern may have
found the answer: volcanic emissions in the atmosphere block sunlight
and can thereby affect the amount of precipitation in other parts of
the world.
Historical
records provide evidence that strong volcanic
eruptions
in the tropics are often followed by a cold and rainy summer in
Central Europe. These "years without a summer" often lead
to ca-tastrophic famines; the last time in 1816 after the eruption of
the Tambora volcano in Indonesia when even in Switzerland many people
starved to death. Although it is known that volcanic eruptions lead
to a cooling of the climate, it has until now been unclear where the
additional rain comes from.
A
newly published study from the international team of the Oeschger
Center for Climate Change Research at the University of Bern brings
light to this issue: "We believe that oscillations in the
African monsoon may be responsible for the rainy European summers",
says Stefan Brönnimann, principal investigator of the study from the
Oeschger Center.
Less
sunlight allows precipitation zones to shift
Brönnimann
and his team are researching the effects of 14 intense tropical
eruptions of the last 400 years on the climate of Europe and monsoon
regions.
The eruptions inject large amounts of aerosols into the
stratosphere, where these microscopic particles reflect incoming
sunlight. The decreased incoming solar radiation following volcanic
eruptions leads to a cooling that is more pronounced over the
continents than over the ocean. As a result, the summer monsoons in
Africa and Asia are weakened.
According
to the study, this not only leads to droughts in the Sahel, but also
to a southward shift of the Atlantic low-pressure systems as well as
enhanced thunderstorm formation. This process can, in turn,
explain the increased precipitation over southern Central Europe and
the northern Mediterranean, which was characteristic for the case of
the year 1816.
Volcanic
eruptions threaten food security
"The
study shows, once again, how regions separated by great distances can
affect each other climatically", says Stefan Brönnimann. The
findings of the study therefore hold a very practical relevance for
today, as the researcher states:
"Cyclic rainfall regimes like
the monsoon are important for food security in many parts of the
world. Although large volcanic eruptions are quite rare, they help us
better understand the monsoon systems."
As
noted by Brönnimann, a better understanding of the connection
between volcanic eruptions and precipitation can even prove to be
useful in the fight against climate
change.
The suggestion of slowing down warming using so-called
geoengineering techniques – for example by artificially injecting
particles into the stratosphere that reflect sunlight – can be seen
in a new light, as even this could influence monsoon systems.
More
information:
Wegmann, M., S. Brönnimann, J. Bhend, J. Franke, D. Folini, M. Wild,
J. Luterbacher: "Volcanic influence on European summer
precipitation through monsoons: Possible cause for "Years
Without a Summer". Journal
of Climate,
DOI:
10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00524.1.
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