Saturday 1 September 2012

The World Economy


Euro-Area Unemployment At Record, Inflation Quickens: Economy
Euro-area unemployment rose to a record and inflation quickened more than economists forecast as rising energy costs threaten to deepen the economic slump


31 August, 2012

The jobless rate in the economy of the 17 nations using the euro was 11.3 percent in July, the same as in June after that month’s figure was revised higher, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today. That’s the highest since the data series started in 1995. Inflation accelerated to 2.6 percent in August from 2.4 percent in the prior month, an initial estimate showed in a separate report. That’s faster than the 2.5 percent median forecast of 31 economists in a Bloomberg survey.

A 12.4 percent surge in crude-oil prices over the past two months is leaving consumers and companies with less money to spend just as governments seek ways to contain the debt crisis. European economic confidence dropped more than economists forecast to a three-year low in August and German unemployment increased for a fifth month, adding to signs the euro-area economy continued to shrink in the third quarter.

The whole euro zone is undergoing negative growth developments,” Don Smith, a London-based economist at ICAP Plc, told Ken Prewitt on Bloomberg Radio yesterday. “The sense is that increasingly the euro-zone crisis is bearing down on countries in northern Europe and Germany in particular and this is really forcing officials’ hands toward coming up with a firm solution.”....



Baltic index slips on weaker capsize and panamax rates

31 August, 2012

Reuters reported that the Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry commodities, fell on Wednesday on lower rates for capesize and panamax vessels.

The main index, which factors in the average daily earnings of capesize, panamax, supramax and handysize dry bulk transport vessels, fell 6 points or 0.83 percent to 718 points.

The overall index, which gauges the cost of shipping commodities such as iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertiliser, has fallen about 59 percent this year....



Aviation: Growth Slows Again in July
30 August, 2012


The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced global traffic results for July showing slower growth in both air travel and freight, but with considerable variation by region and market.
  • July passenger demand in aggregate was 3.4% higher than the same month last year, compared to a 6.3% increase in June and average growth of 6.5% over the first half of the year. This slowdown in travel growth is being driven largely by the recent fall in business confidence in many economies.
  • July freight demand was 3.2% lower than it was in the same month last year. This is down on the 0.1% year-on-year growth rate of June. A large part of that decline was due to a comparison with a relatively strong July last year, but overall the trend in air freight is weak, in line with subdued world trade growth 

Catalonia Cut To Junk As Spain Bails Out Bankia, Deficit Swells


31 August, 2012

Catalonia’s credit rating was cut to junk by Standard & Poor’s after Spain’s most indebted region said it needs to tap a national rescue fund, even as the central government said its budget deficit swelled to 48.5 billion euros ($61 billion) in the year through July....



Chinese Investors Snap Up German Industry

31 August, 2012

When a leading maker of high-tech cement pumps here met China’s largest heavy construction equipment company, it was love at first sight.

It was a perfect match,” says Norbert Scheuch, CEO of the German company Putzmeister, of its $450 million sale to the Sany Group in January. “Usually you have to restructure — something doesn’t fit quite right and you have to make adjustments. But that wasn’t the case.”

The merger is believed to have been the largest ever between the two countries. It may not be for long: It’s part of a growing trend that may change the culture of a sector that has traditionally been wary of outsiders.

Chinese investors are on a shopping spree in Germany, and in one sector in particular: the legendary Mittelstand — small and mid-sized companies, many of them family-owned, that provide the backbone of Europe’s strongest and wealthiest economy....


Korea Industrial Production Slides As Europe Hits Exports

31 August, 2012

South Korea’s industrial production fell for a second month in July as a global slowdown undermines growth in Asia’s fourth-largest economy.

Output fell 1.6 percent from June when it dropped 0.6 percent, Statistics Korea said today. The median estimate of 12 economists in a Bloomberg News survey was for a 0.9 percent decline. Production rose 0.3 percent from a year earlier.

South Korean manufacturers’ confidence is near the lowest level since the global financial crisis as European austerity measures and a slowdown in China limit exports. HSBC Holdings Plc says the central bank may cut interest rates on Sept. 13 after a surprise reduction in July.

The contraction in export growth will have weighed on the country’s manufacturing sector, causing a further slowdown in industrial production,” Ronald Man, a Hong Kong-based analyst at HSBC said before the release. The economy may “bottom out in the third quarter,” Man said.

Lee Yong Sup, an opposition Democratic United Party lawmaker, said this week that his party will drop a push for an extra budget to spur growth, because it’s now too late in the year.

Signs that the economy is cooling include an Aug. 29 report that the current-account surplus climbed to a record in July because of declining imports. An index measuring manufacturers’ confidence for September was at 75 from 70 the previous month, the only readings below 80 since 2009.

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