This will put even more pressure on food prices internationally
Cold
snap may hit Argentine wheat, rain seen ahead
*
Monday's frosts do little damage, more cold seen Tuesday
*
Argentina is a top world soy, corn, wheat supplier
*
Buenos Aires rains cause some flooding, more showers seen
27
September, 2012
BUENOS
AIRES, Sept 25 (Reuters) - A cold snap in grains powerhouse
Argentina could cause frost damage to wheat plants as they
enter key growth stages, but the outlook for soy and corn crops
remains bright thanks to rains soon expected to sweep the Pampas,
specialists said on Tuesday.
Expectations for ample
showers related to the El Nino phenomenon
are raising farmers' hopes for a bumper harvest after a
dry 2011/12 season in Argentina, the world's sixth biggest wheat
exporter, No. 3 soybean provider and No. 2 corn supplier.
Wheat
growers, however, who finished planting their 2012/13 crops
last month, will be keeping a close eye on a cold spell that
began on Monday and is expected to last until Thursday.
"The
thing to watch this week are the frosts," said Leonardo De
Benedictis, weather expert at farm consultancy Clima Campo. "Unseasonably
cold air is ... coming at a delicate time for wheat,
which is in its growing stage. This can cause
difficulties,
but it shouldn't be anything catastrophic," De Benedictis
said.
Early
morning frost was seen in parts of top farm province Buenos
Aires, as well as in Santa Fe, Entre Rios and Cordoba.
"As
of today, the frost has not done much damage. But when it
comes back again tomorrow, it could cause some problems," De Benedictis
added.
He
said he sees a less-severe cold front coming to Argentina on
Sunday, bringing storms to the vast Pampas grains belt.
"This
will help maintain the good soil moisture that already exists
in the central part of the farm belt," De Benedictis added.
The
Argentine government says 3.7 million hectares of wheat were
planted this year, down about 20 percent from last season. Farmers
say government trade policies deter wheat sowing, and plantings
have fallen in recent years.
Argentine
grain supply flow is of interest to exporters such as
Cargill Inc, Bunge Ltd and Noble Group Ltd , which operate gigantic
terminals along the Parana River, leading to the shipping lanes of
the South Atlantic.
An
El Nino event is likely to develop this month and next, affecting
global climate patterns, the World Meteorological Organization
(WMO) said on Tuesday.
The
phenomenon, characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures
in the tropical Pacific, tends to bring rain to Argentina's
central agricultural belt while causing dryness in Australia
and parts of Asia. It's opposite, La Nina, causes a
cooling
of waters and makes for dry Argentine crop weather.
Heavy
rains in August and this month soaked wheat plots and flooded
some parts of Buenos Aires province.
"There
has been flooding of varying severity in central and southeastern
Buenos Aires, which has delayed some corn planting. But
that is being made up for," said Tomas Parenti, an agronomist
at the Rosario grains exchange. As
of last week, about 5 percent of 2012/13 corn had been planted,
according to the Buenos Aires Grains Exchange, with soy expected
to start going into the ground next month.
"Wheat
is growing well and conditions are very good for soy planting,
which will start in mid-October. Conditions are set for
high yields," Parenti said. "An overabundance of rain is better,
in terms of farm production, than drought scenarios."
The
U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts Argentine
2012/13 corn output at 28 million tonnes, up from last season's
21 million tonnes. Although the Argentine government has
not formally estimated production, a senior official said itcould
exceed 26 million tonnes.
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