World War III - Who Will Be Blamed?
World
War is upon us. It has been unfolding in slow motion for years. The
only question now is who will get blamed.
Humans
tend to view each stage of history in isolation. As a result they
rarely see the chain reactions that build over decades, until a flash
point catches their attention.
September
11th, 2001 was one such flash point. You could make the case that
this was where it all began. There's some truth in that, but it's
also an oversimplification.
Of course the dancing with the stars version of the story: the U.S. backed the Mujaheddin in response to the Soviet invasion of December of 1979.
You
might want to run that version by Robert Gates, director of the CIA
under Ronald Reagan and George Bush Senior, and Secretary of Defense
under both George W. Bush and Barack Obama, because in his memoir
entitled "From the Shadows", he revealed that the U.S.
actually began the covert operation 6 months prior. With the express
intent of drawing in the Soviets.
The Carter administration began looking at the possibility of covert assistance to the insurgents opposing the pro-Soviet, Marxist government of President Taraki at the beginning of 1979. On March 5, 1979, CIA sent several covert action options relating to Afghanistan to the SCC. The covering memo noted that the insurgents had stepped up their activities against the government and had achieved surprising successes. It added that the Soviets were clearly concerned about the setbacks to the Afghan communist regime and that the Soviet media were accusing the United States, Pakistan, and Egypt of supporting the insurgents. The SCC met the next day and requested new options for covert action.
The DO informed DDCI Carlucci late in March that the government of Pakistan might be more forthcoming in terms of helping the insurgents than previously believed, citing an approach by a senior Pakistani official to an Agency officer to discuss assistance to the insurgents, including small arms and ammunition. The Pakistani had stated that without a firm commitment from the United States, Pakistan “could not risk Soviet wrath.” Meanwhile, in Saudi Arabia, a senior official also had raised the prospect of a Soviet setback in Afghanistan and said that his government was considering officially proposing that the United States aid the rebels …
On March 30, 1979, Aaron chaired a historic “mini-SCC” … Walt Slocombe, representing Defense, asked if there was value in keeping the Afghan insurgency going, “sucking the Soviets into a Vietnamese quagmire?” Aaron concluded by asking the key question: “Is there interest in maintaining and assisting the insurgency, or is the risk that we will provoke the Soviets too great?”
The day before the SCC meeting on April 6 to consider Afghan covert action options, Soviet MO Arnold Horelick sent Turner a paper on the possible Soviet reactions … The risk was that a substantial U.S. covert aid program could raise the stakes and induce the Soviets to intervene more directly and vigorously than otherwise intended.
The meeting was finally held on July 3, 1979, and — almost 6 months before the Soviets invaded Afghanistan — Jimmy Carter signed the first finding to help the Mujahedin covertly. It authorized support for insurgent propaganda and other psychological operations in Afghanistan; establishment of radio access to the Afghan population through third-country facilities; and the provision either unilaterally or through third countries of support to the Afghan insurgents, in the form of either cash or nonmilitary supplies. The Afghan effort began relatively small. Initially, somewhat more than half a million dollars was allocated, with almost all being drawn within six weeks.
By the end of August, Pakistani President Mohammad Ziaul-Haq was pressuring the United States for arms and equipment for the insurgents in Afghanistan … Separately, the Pakistani intelligence service was pressing us to provide military equipment to support an expanding insurgency.
When Turner heard this, he urged the DO to get moving in providing more help to the insurgents. They responded with several enhancement options, including communications equipment for the insurgents via the Pakistanis or the Saudis, funds for the Pakistanis to purchase lethal military equipment for the insurgents, and providing a like amount of lethal equipment ourselves for the Pakistanis to distribute to the insurgents.
On Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, 1979, the Soviets massively intervened in Afghanistan. A covert action that began six months earlier funded at just over half a million dollars would, within a year, grow to tens of millions, and most assuredly included the provision of weapons.
From the Shadows (1996) - Robert Gates pp. 144-149.
Ops!
Speaking
of Al-Qaeda, if you do a google search for "Jet fuel maximum
burning temperature" you'll find an article
from popularmechanics.com informing
you that under ideal conditions jet fuel tops out at 1500 degrees
Fahrenheit, and that steel melts at 2750 degrees. They go on to
explain how isn't a problem because "for the towers to collapse,
their steel frames didn't need to melt".
Trouble
is, the steel DID melt.
Of
course little details like the laws of physics never got in the way
of a good story.
Oh
by the way, did you ever find anyone who could credibly explain how a
third building, World Trade Center building 7, fell straight down at
5:21 pm that day though it was not hit by any plane?
And
did they ever explain how the BBC reported this event 26 minutes
before it actually happened?
Oh
I know what you're thinking: maybe it was a green screen and shoddy
editing, and that we can't confirm the actual time from that clip. Or
can we? Turns out there was a second clip that did show the time:
21:54. That's 9:54 in England, 4:54 Eastern. Twenty six minutes
BEFORE the building actually fell.
But
I digress.
The
invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan were not motivated by the fall of
the twin towers. Nor was the evisceration of your rights and privacy
that followed. To say 911 was a pretext would be putting it lightly.
The
best laid plans of mice and men often go awry, but George W. Bush
sure did try. Iraq and Afghanistan became quagmires, just like Cheney
predicted.
Obama
picked up where he left off by toppling Libya and funding extremist
in Syria (the
precursors of ISIS).
They knew the
weapons were ending up in the hands of jihadists since
at least 2012. They knew what would come next.
A
Department of Defense document from 2012 (acquired
through an FOIA request) shows that the U.S. government was aware
that these fighters intended to form a caliphate, and that this
conflict would likely lead to a proxy war with Russia and China.
The Middle East was being balkanized. Every pocket of resistance broken up into bite sized chunks, but it was taking too long, so Saudi Arabia invaded Yemen, and Israel did their part by repeatedly bombing the Syrian army (the most recent attack was in July). Oh, and Turkey helped too! It's a been a team effort.
In 2013, when the U.S. backed rebels in Syria got caught using sarin gas against civilians and the western narrative fell apart fell apart, Russia became a diplomatic thorn in Washington's side. So like a true gambler doesn't know when to walk away, Obama doubled down by backing the coup in Ukraine, installing a puppet government with extensive ties to the U.S. State Department, bankrolling their ethnic cleansing campaign in the East and blaming the entire mess on Vladimir Putin.
Russian
aggression, Russian
aggression,
Russian aggression... because reducing Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and
Syria to rubble is about spreading democracy, but accepting the
results of a peaceful referendum in Crimea...
well that's just beyond the pale.
The
war on the Ukrainian front continued through 2014 and into 2015.
Somewhere along the way, the preparations for
an open
conflict between
the U.S., Russia and China were
normalized and brought from the shadows. Open
threats were
leveled in full view. Coverage was predictably one-sided.
We've
been through this before. Weapons of mass destruction, human
rights,
Russian aggression... New excuses, same goal.
If
you want to start a to war, the unwashed masses must be convinced to
send their brothers, sons and fathers to die on the front lines. The
specter of an external enemy must be etched into their collective
mind through trauma, exaggeration and repetition. History must be
whitewashed, twisted and cherry picked down to a politicized nursery
rhyme. At no point should the real motives or consequences of such an
endeavor be discussed.
It
stands to reason that if we want to STOP a war we must reverse this
pattern.
Let's
start with a realistic look at the consequences.
The
United States and Russia alone possess a total of over 15,000 nuclear
warheads (as
of 2014),
each of which are 10 to 30 times more powerful than those that the
U.S. used against Japan in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
During
the Soviet era it was understood that a hot war between these two
countries would inevitably lead to the use of these weapons, and
would therefore be an act of mass suicide. This idea was so deeply
engrained, that it had its own acronym: M.A.D. (Mutually Assured
Destruction). In recent years scientists have realized that this
should be taken as a literal truth, regardless of which side may
suffer the most in the initial exchange.
A
nuclear war between just these two countries, utilizing only the
weapons which are slated to be active after the implementation of the
START treaty in 2018, would release over 150 million tons of debris
into the atmosphere. This debris would block out the sun, dropping
global temperatures between 8 and 30 degrees centigrade. Agriculture
would become impossible. Mass
extinctions would follow, and our species would not likely be exempt.
This
is a mild description. We're not even touching upon the direct
consequences of the blasts, firestorms, and radiation poisoning or
the secondary deaths caused by exposure, and diseчase.
In
this context you might be inclined to believe that the use of these
weapons would be completely off of the table. That every effort would
be made to reduce stockpiles and that no new bombs would be built.
Unfortunately this is not the case.
In
recent years U.S. strategists have begun
to promote the
idea of "limited
nuclear warfare"
with a focus on tactical nukes. The idea being that smaller weapons
are more effective because they areactually
usable.
This
isn't just talk. Under
Obama the
U.S. military developed the most expensive and most dangerous nuclear
bomb ever: the
B61-12.
The B61-12 is a guided nuclear missile, the first of its kind, and
it's yield can be dialed down electronically for the desired effect.
This
capability has been promoted
by the CFR as
a means of preemptively destroying China's hardened missile silos.
Apparently
the Obama administration took these recommendations to heart,
because section
1063 of the NDAA of 2013 Directed
the U.S. Strategic Command to prepare a report assessing the
capability of the U.S. military to destroy a network of tunnels in
China and "the known hardened and deeply buried sites of foreign
nations" with "conventional and or nuclear forces".
While Russia wasn't mentioned directly here, it should be clear that
they are on that list.
Those promoting this new stance claim that this is merely a new form of deterrence, but this line of argumentation (even if it were sincere), is fatally flawed.
A
preemptive nuclear strategy, especially when discussed in public,
sends a clear message to those who being threatened: that
they themselves must strike first. And
Russia and China do not possess dial-a-yield tactical nukes, so their
preemptive strikes would be full scale.
Of
course America's political establishment has a good reason to play
chicken with all of our lives, and the future of this planet. The
balance of geopolitical and financial power has been shifting, and
not in Washington's favor.
China's
new Silk
Road project, Asian
Infrastructure Investment Bank,
and outposts in
the South China Sea, in tandem with the Eurasian
Union spearheaded
by Russia, are edging
the United States out of
the world's new center of gravity.
Pivots have
failed, bilateral discussions have gotten no where, sanctions have
backfired, trade agreements have
stalled,
influence has eroded... Washington
is running out of options,
and time.
The
dollar denominated financial system has peaked. This is the end
of a debt super cycle,
and of
the petrodollar.
The next leg down is
going to be epic.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.