I'm sorry, but it doesn't look as if the threat has gone away - US election or no election.
US
Aircraft Carrier John Stennis Arrives By Iran
17
October, 2012
Ten
days ago, when we last tracked the progress of the third US aircraft
carrier, CVN-74 Stennis, with destination Arabian Gulf, aka Iran, we
reported that it was "within a week of reaching" its
destination. Sure enough, as the latest Stratfor naval update
confirms, CVN-74 has now reached its destination for which it was
commissioned several months prematurely. But before you get your war
hats out, note that that other aircraft carrier which is conducting
its final voyage, the CVN-65 Enterprise, has decided to take a bit of
a break and left the Arabian Gulf area for a scehduled R&R port
visit in Naples, Italy. In a week or so, shore leave will be over and
CVN will be back to join everyone else, at which point the US will
finally have three aircraft carriers just off the Iranian coastline
ready to rumble.
Iran Launches Submarine And Destroyer Into Gulf During US Naval Exercises
Submitted
by Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com
17
October, 2012
This
week the US, UK, France, and a few Middle Eastern countries are
conducting naval exercises in the Gulf of Persia to practice clearing
mines that Iran, or other groups may place around the Straits of
Hormuz in an attempt to disrupt the movement of oil tankers in the
region.
Mohammed
Ali Jafari, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps,
said that the “exercise is a defensive exercise and we don't
perceive any threats from it. We are not conducting exercises in
response.”
Yet
this is not the impression that is given
Just
yesterday, according to the official IRNA news agency, upon the
direct orders of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei Iran launched
a refitted Tareq-901 submarine and a Sahand destroyer into the Gulf
from the port of Bandar Abbas.
At
the same time, as stated on Khamenei’s official website, the
Supreme Leader was visiting the northern coastal city of Nowshahr to
observe naval cadets practice planting mines, rescuing hijacked
ships, destroying enemy ships, and rapid deployment via helicopters.
Khamenei
addressed his troops, saying that “the armed forces must reach
capabilities such that no one can attack the strong fence of the
country and the dear people of Iran.”
Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on Sunday that Tehran is
now very close to building a nuclear bomb, leading some to fear that
Israel may take things into their own hands and strike against
Iranian nuclear facilities
U.S.,
Israel Prepare for Major
Joint Military Drill
U.S.
troops and equipment have begun arriving in Israel ahead of what a
senior air force officer on Oct. 17 called “the largest exercise in
the history of the longstanding military relationship between the
U.S. and Israel.”
17
October, 2012
He
did not give precise dates, saying only that it would begin towards
the end of October or early November and last “about three weeks.”
Lt.
Gen. Craig Franklin told journalists in a telephone briefing that the
drill, “Austere Challenge 2012” (AC12) was defensive and
unrelated to the Iran nuclear crisis, other Middle East developments
or elections in the United States and Israel.
“While
the scenario is driven by the overall situation in the Middle East,
AC12 is not related to any specific current event,” he said. “AC12
is not related to national elections nor to any perceived tensions in
the Middle East.”
Originally
scheduled for spring, the massive joint missile defense drill was
postponed. Local media suggested that it could be a victim of
disagreement between U.S. President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over a possible military strike on Iran.
It
was also reportedly downsized, although Franklin said changes were
minimal.
“Overall
the scale of the exercise and the number of forces taking part in it
is essentially unchanged,” he said. “The total number of
participants is the same, there’s just a reduced U.S. presence in
Israel.”
“The
numbers changed a little bit, mainly on logistics and other support,”
Brig. Gen. Nitzan Nuriel, the chief Israeli planner for the
maneuvers, added. “On troops on the ground there is no change and
we are going to practice as we planned.”
Despite
disclaimers, the exercise, involving a total of 3,500 U.S. personnel
and 1,000 Israeli troops, will be seen as sending a clear signal to
Tehran amid tension over Iran’s nuclear drive, which Israel,
Washington and much of the international community believe masks a
weapons drive.
“Anybody
can get any kind of message he wants from this exercise,” Nuriel
said.
“The
fact that we are practicing together, working together, is a strong
message by itself,” he added. “Anyone can take any lessons he
wants from this exercise.”
Franklin
said: “It will promote regional stability and help ensure a
military edge.”
Of
the 3,500 U.S. personnel, 1,000 will be in Israel and the rest in
Europe and the Mediterranean, Franklin said.
Troops
will train together on Israel’s Iron Dome missile defense system,
the latest version of the U.S. Patriot and the Arrow anti-ballistic
missile system, jointly developed by the two allies. Command and
control functions will be provide by a U.S. Navy Aegis cruiser.
The
total cost is around $38 million, with the United States’ share at
$30 million.


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