As
usual, Dmitry Orlov gives it to us as it is
Putin
To Western Elites: Play-Time Is Over
Dmitry
Orlov
30
October, 2014
Most
people in the English-speaking parts of the world missed Putin's
speech at the Valdai conference in Sochi a few days ago, and, chances
are, those of you who have heard of the speech didn't get a chance to
read it, and missed its importance. (For your convenience, I am
pasting in the full transcript of his speech below.) Western media
did their best to ignore it or to twist its meaning. Regardless of
what you think or don't think of Putin (like the sun and the moon, he
does not exist for you to cultivate an opinion) this is probably the
most important political speech since Churchill's “Iron Curtain”
speech of March 5, 1946.
In
this speech, Putin abruptly changed the rules of the game.
Previously, the game of international politics was played as follows:
politicians made public pronouncements, for the sake of maintaining a
pleasant fiction of national sovereignty, but they were strictly for
show and had nothing to do with the substance of international
politics; in the meantime, they engaged in secret back-room
negotiations, in which the actual deals were hammered out.
Previously, Putin tried to play this game, expecting only that Russia
be treated as an equal. But these hopes have been dashed, and at this
conference he declared the game to be over, explicitly violating
Western taboo by speaking directly to the people over the heads of
elite clans and political leaders.
The
Russian blogger chipstone summarized the most salient points from
Putin speech as follows:
1.
Russia will no longer play games and engage in back-room negotiations
over trifles. But Russia is prepared for serious conversations and
agreements, if these are conducive to collective security, are based
on fairness and take into account the interests of each side.
2.
All systems of global collective security now lie in ruins. There are
no longer any international security guarantees at all. And the
entity that destroyed them has a name: The United States of America.
3.
The builders of the New World Order have failed, having built a sand
castle. Whether or not a new world order of any sort is to be built
is not just Russia's decision, but it is a decision that will not be
made without Russia.
4.
Russia favors a conservative approach to introducing innovations into
the social order, but is not opposed to investigating and discussing
such innovations, to see if introducing any of them might be
justified.
5.
Russia has no intention of going fishing in the murky waters created
by America's ever-expanding “empire of chaos,” and has no
interest in building a new empire of her own (this is unnecessary;
Russia's challenges lie in developing her already vast territory).
Neither is Russia willing to act as a savior of the world, as she had
in the past.
6.
Russia will not attempt to reformat the world in her own image, but
neither will she allow anyone to reformat her in their image. Russia
will not close herself off from the world, but anyone who tries to
close her off from the world will be sure to reap a whirlwind.
7.
Russia does not wish for the chaos to spread, does not want war, and
has no intention of starting one. However, today Russia sees the
outbreak of global war as almost inevitable, is prepared for it, and
is continuing to prepare for it. Russia does not war—nor does she
fear it.
8.
Russia does not intend to take an active role in thwarting those who
are still attempting to construct their New World Order—until their
efforts start to impinge on Russia's key interests. Russia would
prefer to stand by and watch them give themselves as many lumps as
their poor heads can take. But those who manage to drag Russia into
this process, through disregard for her interests, will be taught the
true meaning of pain.
9.
In her external, and, even more so, internal politics, Russia's power
will rely not on the elites and their back-room dealing, but on the
will of the people.
To
these nine points I would like to add a tenth:
10.
There is still a chance to construct a new world order that will
avoid a world war. This new world order must of necessity include the
United States—but can only do so on the same terms as everyone
else: subject to international law and international agreements;
refraining from all unilateral action; in full respect of the
sovereignty of other nations.
To
sum it all up: play-time is over. Children, put away your toys. Now
is the time for the adults to make decisions. Russia is ready for
this; is the world?
Text
of Vladimir Putin’s speech and a question and answer session at the
final plenary meeting of the Valdai International Discussion Club’s
XI session in Sochi on 24 October 2014.
It
was mentioned already that the club has new co-organizers this year.
They include Russian non-governmental organizations, expert groups
and leading universities. The idea was also raised of broadening the
discussions to include not just issues related to Russia itself but
also global politics and the economy.
An
organization and content will bolster the club’s influence as a
leading discussion and expert forum. At the same time, I hope the
‘Valdai spirit’ will remain – this free and open atmosphere and
chance to express all manner of very different and frank opinions.
Let
me say in this respect that I will also not let you down and will
speak directly and frankly. Some of what I say might seem a bit too
harsh, but if we do not speak directly and honestly about what we
really think, then there is little point in even meeting in this way.
It would be better in that case just to keep to diplomatic
get-togethers, where no one says anything of real sense and,
recalling the words of one famous diplomat, you realize that
diplomats have tongues so as not to speak the truth.
We
get together for other reasons. We get together so as to talk frankly
with each other. We need to be direct and blunt today not so as to
trade barbs, but so as to attempt to get to the bottom of what is
actually happening in the world, try to understand why the world is
becoming less safe and more unpredictable, and why the risks are
increasing everywhere around us.
Today’s
discussion took place under the theme: New Rules or a Game without
Rules. I think that this formula accurately describes the historic
turning point we have reached today and the choice we all face. There
is nothing new of course in the idea that the world is changing very
fast. I know this is something you have spoken about at the
discussions today. It is certainly hard not to notice the dramatic
transformations in global politics and the economy, public life, and
in industry, information and social technologies.
Let
me ask you right now to forgive me if I end up repeating what some of
the discussion’s participants have already said. It’s practically
impossible to avoid. You have already held detailed discussions, but
I will set out my point of view. It will coincide with other
participants’ views on some points and differ on others.
As
we analyze today’s situation, let us not forget history’s
lessons. First of all, changes in the world order – and what we are
seeing today are events on this scale – have usually been
accompanied by if not global war and conflict, then by chains of
intensive local-level conflicts. Second, global politics is above all
about economic leadership, issues of war and peace, and the
humanitarian dimension, including human rights.
The
world is full of contradictions today. We need to be frank in asking
each other if we have a reliable safety net in place. Sadly, there is
no guarantee and no certainty that the current system of global and
regional security is able to protect us from upheavals. This system
has become seriously weakened, fragmented and deformed. The
international and regional political, economic, and cultural
cooperation organizations are also going through difficult times.
Yes,
many of the mechanisms we have for ensuring the world order were
created quite a long time ago now, including and above all in the
period immediately following World War II. Let me stress that the
solidity of the system created back then rested not only on the
balance of power and the rights of the victor countries, but on the
fact that this system’s ‘founding fathers’ had respect for each
other, did not try to put the squeeze on others, but attempted to
reach agreements.
The
main thing is that this system needs to develop, and despite its
various shortcomings, needs to at least be capable of keeping the
world’s current problems within certain limits and regulating the
intensity of the natural competition between countries.
It
is my conviction that we could not take this mechanism of checks and
balances that we built over the last decades, sometimes with such
effort and difficulty, and simply tear it apart without building
anything in its place. Otherwise we would be left with no instruments
other than brute force.
What
we needed to do was to carry out a rational reconstruction and adapt
it the new realities in the system of international relations.
But
the United States, having declared itself the winner of the Cold War,
saw no need for this. Instead of establishing a new balance of power,
essential for maintaining order and stability, they took steps that
threw the system into sharp and deep imbalance.
The
Cold War ended, but it did not end with the signing of a peace treaty
with clear and transparent agreements on respecting existing rules or
creating new rules and standards. This created the impression that
the so-called ‘victors’ in the Cold War had decided to pressure
events and reshape the world to suit their own needs and interests.
If the existing system of international relations, international law
and the checks and balances in place got in the way of these aims,
this system was declared worthless, outdated and in need of immediate
demolition.
Pardon
the analogy, but this is the way nouveaux riches behave when they
suddenly end up with a great fortune, in this case, in the shape of
world leadership and domination. Instead of managing their wealth
wisely, for their own benefit too of course, I think they have
committed many follies.
We
have entered a period of differing interpretations and deliberate
silences in world politics. International law has been forced to
retreat over and over by the onslaught of legal nihilism. Objectivity
and justice have been sacrificed on the altar of political
expediency. Arbitrary interpretations and biased assessments have
replaced legal norms. At the same time, total control of the global
mass media has made it possible when desired to portray white as
black and black as white.
In
a situation where you had domination by one country and its allies,
or its satellites rather, the search for global solutions often
turned into an attempt to impose their own universal recipes. This
group’s ambitions grew so big that they started presenting the
policies they put together in their corridors of power as the view of
the entire international community. But this is not the case.
The
very notion of ‘national sovereignty’ became a relative value for
most countries. In essence, what was being proposed was the formula:
the greater the loyalty towards the world’s sole power centre, the
greater this or that ruling regime’s legitimacy.
We
will have a free discussion afterwards and I will be happy to answer
your questions and would also like to use my right to ask you
questions. Let someone try to disprove the arguments that I just set
out during the upcoming discussion.
The
measures taken against those who refuse to submit are well-known and
have been tried and tested many times. They include use of force,
economic and propaganda pressure, meddling in domestic affairs, and
appeals to a kind of ‘supra-legal’ legitimacy when they need to
justify illegal intervention in this or that conflict or toppling
inconvenient regimes. Of late, we have increasing evidence too that
outright blackmail has been used with regard to a number of leaders.
It is not for nothing that ‘big brother’ is spending billions of
dollars on keeping the whole world, including its own closest allies,
under surveillance.
Let’s
ask ourselves, how comfortable are we with this, how safe are we, how
happy living in this world, and how fair and rational has it become?
Maybe, we have no real reasons to worry, argue and ask awkward
questions? Maybe the United States’ exceptional position and the
way they are carrying out their leadership really is a blessing for
us all, and their meddling in events all around the world is bringing
peace, prosperity, progress, growth and democracy, and we should
maybe just relax and enjoy it all?
Let
me say that this is not the case, absolutely not the case.
A
unilateral diktat and imposing one’s own models produces the
opposite result. Instead of settling conflicts it leads to their
escalation, instead of sovereign and stable states we see the growing
spread of chaos, and instead of democracy there is support for a very
dubious public ranging from open neo-fascists to Islamic radicals.
Why
do they support such people? They do this because they decide to use
them as instruments along the way in achieving their goals but then
burn their fingers and recoil. I never cease to be amazed by the way
that our partners just keep stepping on the same rake, as we say here
in Russia, that is to say, make the same mistake over and over.
They
once sponsored Islamic extremist movements to fight the Soviet Union.
Those groups got their battle experience in Afghanistan and later
gave birth to the Taliban and Al-Qaeda. The West if not supported, at
least closed its eyes, and, I would say, gave information, political
and financial support to international terrorists’ invasion of
Russia (we have not forgotten this) and the Central Asian region’s
countries. Only after horrific terrorist attacks were committed on US
soil itself did the United States wake up to the common threat of
terrorism. Let me remind you that we were the first country to
support the American people back then, the first to react as friends
and partners to the terrible tragedy of September 11.
During
my conversations with American and European leaders, I always spoke
of the need to fight terrorism together, as a challenge on a global
scale. We cannot resign ourselves to and accept this threat, cannot
cut it into separate pieces using double standards. Our partners
expressed agreement, but a little time passed and we ended up back
where we started. First there was the military operation in Iraq,
then in Libya, which got pushed to the brink of falling apart. Why
was Libya pushed into this situation? Today it is a country in danger
of breaking apart and has become a training ground for terrorists.
Only
the current Egyptian leadership’s determination and wisdom saved
this key Arab country from chaos and having extremists run rampant.
In Syria, as in the past, the United States and its allies started
directly financing and arming rebels and allowing them to fill their
ranks with mercenaries from various countries. Let me ask where do
these rebels get their money, arms and military specialists? Where
does all this come from? How did the notorious ISIL manage to become
such a powerful group, essentially a real armed force?
As
for financing sources, today, the money is coming not just from
drugs, production of which has increased not just by a few percentage
points but many-fold, since the international coalition forces have
been present in Afghanistan. You are aware of this. The terrorists
are getting money from selling oil too. Oil is produced in territory
controlled by the terrorists, who sell it at dumping prices, produce
it and transport it. But someone buys this oil, resells it, and makes
a profit from it, not thinking about the fact that they are thus
financing terrorists who could come sooner or later to their own soil
and sow destruction in their own countries.
Where
do they get new recruits? In Iraq, after Saddam Hussein was toppled,
the state’s institutions, including the army, were left in ruins.
We said back then, be very, very careful. You are driving people out
into the street, and what will they do there? Don’t forget
(rightfully or not) that they were in the leadership of a large
regional power, and what are you now turning them into?
What
was the result? Tens of thousands of soldiers, officers and former
Baath Party activists were turned out into the streets and today have
joined the rebels’ ranks. Perhaps this is what explains why the
Islamic State group has turned out so effective? In military terms,
it is acting very effectively and has some very professional people.
Russia warned repeatedly about the dangers of unilateral military
actions, intervening in sovereign states’ affairs, and flirting
with extremists and radicals. We insisted on having the groups
fighting the central Syrian government, above all the Islamic State,
included on the lists of terrorist organizations. But did we see any
results? We appealed in vain.
We
sometimes get the impression that our colleagues and friends are
constantly fighting the consequences of their own policies, throw all
their effort into addressing the risks they themselves have created,
and pay an ever-greater price.
Colleagues,
this period of unipolar domination has convincingly demonstrated that
having only one power centre does not make global processes more
manageable. On the contrary, this kind of unstable construction has
shown its inability to fight the real threats such as regional
conflicts, terrorism, drug trafficking, religious fanaticism,
chauvinism and neo-Nazism. At the same time, it has opened the road
wide for inflated national pride, manipulating public opinion and
letting the strong bully and suppress the weak.
Essentially,
the unipolar world is simply a means of justifying dictatorship over
people and countries. The unipolar world turned out too
uncomfortable, heavy and unmanageable a burden even for the
self-proclaimed leader. Comments along this line were made here just
before and I fully agree with this. This is why we see attempts at
this new historic stage to recreate a semblance of a quasi-bipolar
world as a convenient model for perpetuating American leadership. It
does not matter who takes the place of the centre of evil in American
propaganda, the USSR’s old place as the main adversary. It could be
Iran, as a country seeking to acquire nuclear technology, China, as
the world’s biggest economy, or Russia, as a nuclear superpower.
Today,
we are seeing new efforts to fragment the world, draw new dividing
lines, put together coalitions not built for something but directed
against someone, anyone, create the image of an enemy as was the case
during the Cold War years, and obtain the right to this leadership,
or diktat if you wish. The situation was presented this way during
the Cold War. We all understand this and know this. The United States
always told its allies: “We have a common enemy, a terrible foe,
the centre of evil, and we are defending you, our allies, from this
foe, and so we have the right to order you around, force you to
sacrifice your political and economic interests and pay your share of
the costs for this collective defense, but we will be the ones in
charge of it all of course.” In short, we see today attempts in a
new and changing world to reproduce the familiar models of global
management, and all this so as to guarantee their [the US’]
exceptional position and reap political and economic dividends.
But
these attempts are increasingly divorced from reality and are in
contradiction with the world’s diversity. Steps of this kind
inevitably create confrontation and countermeasures and have the
opposite effect to the hoped-for goals. We see what happens when
politics rashly starts meddling in the economy and the logic of
rational decisions gives way to the logic of confrontation that only
hurt one’s own economic positions and interests, including national
business interests.
Joint
economic projects and mutual investment objectively bring countries
closer together and help to smooth out current problems in relations
between states. But today, the global business community faces
unprecedented pressure from Western governments. What business,
economic expediency and pragmatism can we speak of when we hear
slogans such as “the homeland is in danger”, “the free world is
under threat”, and “democracy is in jeopardy”? And so everyone
needs to mobilize. That is what a real mobilization policy looks
like.
Sanctions
are already undermining the foundations of world trade, the WTO rules
and the principle of inviolability of private property. They are
dealing a blow to liberal model of globalization based on markets,
freedom and competition, which, let me note, is a model that has
primarily benefited precisely the Western countries. And now they
risk losing trust as the leaders of globalization. We have to ask
ourselves, why was this necessary? After all, the United States’
prosperity rests in large part on the trust of investors and foreign
holders of dollars and US securities. This trust is clearly being
undermined and signs of disappointment in the fruits of globalization
are visible now in many countries.
The well-known Cyprus
precedent and the politically motivated sanctions have only
strengthened the trend towards seeking to bolster economic and
financial sovereignty and countries’ or their regional groups’
desire to find ways of protecting themselves from the risks of
outside pressure. We already see that more and more countries are
looking for ways to become less dependent on the dollar and are
setting up alternative financial and payments systems and reserve
currencies. I think that our American friends are quite simply
cutting the branch they are sitting on. You cannot mix politics and
the economy, but this is what is happening now. I have always thought
and still think today that politically motivated sanctions were a
mistake that will harm everyone, but I am sure that we will come back
to this subject later.
We
know how these decisions were taken and who was applying the
pressure. But let me stress that Russia is not going to get all
worked up, get offended or come begging at anyone’s door. Russia is
a self-sufficient country. We will work within the foreign economic
environment that has taken shape, develop domestic production and
technology and act more decisively to carry out transformation.
Pressure from outside, as has been the case on past occasions, will
only consolidate our society, keep us alert and make us concentrate
on our main development goals.
Of
course the sanctions are a hindrance. They are trying to hurt us
through these sanctions, block our development and push us into
political, economic and cultural isolation, force us into
backwardness in other words. But let me say yet again that the world
is a very different place today. We have no intention of shutting
ourselves off from anyone and choosing some kind of closed
development road, trying to live in autarky. We are always open to
dialogue, including on normalizing our economic and political
relations. We are counting here on the pragmatic approach and
position of business communities in the leading countries.
Some
are saying today that Russia is supposedly turning its back on Europe
– such words were probably spoken already here too during the
discussions – and is looking for new business partners, above all
in Asia. Let me say that this is absolutely not the case. Our active
policy in the Asian-Pacific region began not just yesterday and not
in response to sanctions, but is a policy that we have been following
for a good many years now. Like many other countries, including
Western countries, we saw that Asia is playing an ever greater role
in the world, in the economy and in politics, and there is simply no
way we can afford to overlook these developments.
Let
me say again that everyone is doing this, and we will do so to, all
the more so as a large part of our country is geographically in Asia.
Why should we not make use of our competitive advantages in this
area? It would be extremely shortsighted not to do so.
Developing
economic ties with these countries and carrying out joint integration
projects also creates big incentives for our domestic development.
Today’s demographic, economic and cultural trends all suggest that
dependence on a sole superpower will objectively decrease. This is
something that European and American experts have been talking and
writing about too.
Perhaps
developments in global politics will mirror the developments we are
seeing in the global economy, namely, intensive competition for
specific niches and frequent change of leaders in specific areas.
This is entirely possible.
There
is no doubt that humanitarian factors such as education, science,
healthcare and culture are playing a greater role in global
competition. This also has a big impact on international relations,
including because this ‘soft power’ resource will depend to a
great extent on real achievements in developing human capital rather
than on sophisticated propaganda tricks.
At
the same time, the formation of a so-called polycentric world (I
would also like to draw attention to this, colleagues) in and of
itself does not improve stability; in fact, it is more likely to be
the opposite. The goal of reaching global equilibrium is turning into
a fairly difficult puzzle, an equation with many unknowns.
So,
what is in store for us if we choose not to live by the rules –
even if they may be strict and inconvenient – but rather live
without any rules at all? And that scenario is entirely possible; we
cannot rule it out, given the tensions in the global situation. Many
predictions can already be made, taking into account current trends,
and unfortunately, they are not optimistic. If we do not create a
clear system of mutual commitments and agreements, if we do not build
the mechanisms for managing and resolving crisis situations, the
symptoms of global anarchy will inevitably grow.
Today,
we already see a sharp increase in the likelihood of a whole set of
violent conflicts with either direct or indirect participation by the
world’s major powers. And the risk factors include not just
traditional multinational conflicts, but also the internal
instability in separate states, especially when we talk about nations
located at the intersections of major states’ geopolitical
interests, or on the border of cultural, historical, and economic
civilizational continents.
Ukraine,
which I’m sure was discussed at length and which we will discuss
some more, is one of the example of such sorts of conflicts that
affect international power balance, and I think it will certainly not
be the last. From here emanates the next real threat of destroying
the current system of arms control agreements. And this dangerous
process was launched by the United States of America when it
unilaterally withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002,
and then set about and continues today to actively pursue the
creation of its global missile defense system.
Colleagues,
friends, I want to point out that we did not start this. Once again,
we are sliding into the times when, instead of the balance of
interests and mutual guarantees, it is fear and the balance of mutual
destruction that prevent nations from engaging in direct conflict. In
absence of legal and political instruments, arms are once again
becoming the focal point of the global agenda; they are used wherever
and however, without any UN Security Council sanctions. And if the
Security Council refuses to produce such decisions, then it is
immediately declared to be an outdated and ineffective instrument.
Many
states do not see any other ways of ensuring their sovereignty but to
obtain their own bombs. This is extremely dangerous. We insist on
continuing talks; we are not only in favor of talks, but insist on
continuing talks to reduce nuclear arsenals. The less nuclear weapons
we have in the world, the better. And we are ready for the most
serious, concrete discussions on nuclear disarmament – but only
serious discussions without any double standards.
What
do I mean? Today, many types of high-precision weaponry are already
close to mass-destruction weapons in terms of their capabilities, and
in the event of full renunciation of nuclear weapons or radical
reduction of nuclear potential, nations that are leaders in creating
and producing high-precision systems will have a clear military
advantage. Strategic parity will be disrupted, and this is likely to
bring destabilization. The use of a so-called first global
pre-emptive strike may become tempting. In short, the risks do not
decrease, but intensify.
The
next obvious threat is the further escalation of ethnic, religious,
and social conflicts. Such conflicts are dangerous not only as such,
but also because they create zones of anarchy, lawlessness, and chaos
around them, places that are comfortable for terrorists and
criminals, where piracy, human trafficking, and drug trafficking
flourish.
Incidentally,
at the time, our colleagues tried to somehow manage these processes,
use regional conflicts and design ‘color revolutions’ to suit
their interests, but the genie escaped the bottle. It looks like the
controlled chaos theory fathers themselves do not know what to do
with it; there is disarray in their ranks.
We
closely follow the discussions by both the ruling elite and the
expert community. It is enough to look at the headlines of the
Western press over the last year. The same people are called fighters
for democracy, and then Islamists; first they write about revolutions
and then call them riots and upheavals. The result is obvious: the
further expansion of global chaos.
Colleagues,
given the global situation, it is time to start agreeing on
fundamental things. This is incredibly important and necessary; this
is much better than going back to our own corners. The more we all
face common problems, the more we find ourselves in the same boat, so
to speak. And the logical way out is in cooperation between nations,
societies, in finding collective answers to increasing challenges,
and in joint risk management. Granted, some of our partners, for some
reason, remember this only when it suits their interests.
Practical
experience shows that joint answers to challenges are not always a
panacea; and we need to understand this. Moreover, in most cases,
they are hard to reach; it is not easy to overcome the differences in
national interests, the subjectivity of different approaches,
particularly when it comes to nations with different cultural and
historical traditions. But nevertheless, we have examples when,
having common goals and acting based on the same criteria, together
we achieved real success.
Let
me remind you about solving the problem of chemical weapons in Syria,
and the substantive dialogue on the Iranian nuclear program, as well
as our work on North Korean issues, which also has some positive
results. Why can’t we use this experience in the future to solve
local and global challenges?
What
could be the legal, political, and economic basis for a new world
order that would allow for stability and security, while encouraging
healthy competition, not allowing the formation of new monopolies
that hinder development? It is unlikely that someone could provide
absolutely exhaustive, ready-made solutions right now. We will need
extensive work with participation by a wide range of governments,
global businesses, civil society, and such expert platforms as ours.
However,
it is obvious that success and real results are only possible if key
participants in international affairs can agree on harmonizing basic
interests, on reasonable self-restraint, and set the example of
positive and responsible leadership. We must clearly identify where
unilateral actions end and we need to apply multilateral mechanisms,
and as part of improving the effectiveness of international law, we
must resolve the dilemma between the actions by international
community to ensure security and human rights and the principle of
national sovereignty and non-interference in the internal affairs of
any state.
Those
very collisions increasingly lead to arbitrary external interference
in complex internal processes, and time and again, they provoke
dangerous conflicts between leading global players. The issue of
maintaining sovereignty becomes almost paramount in maintaining and
strengthening global stability.
Clearly,
discussing the criteria for the use of external force is extremely
difficult; it is practically impossible to separate it from the
interests of particular nations. However, it is far more dangerous
when there are no agreements that are clear to everyone, when no
clear conditions are set for necessary and legal interference.
I
will add that international relations must be based on international
law, which itself should rest on moral principles such as justice,
equality and truth. Perhaps most important is respect for one’s
partners and their interests. This is an obvious formula, but simply
following it could radically change the global situation.
I
am certain that if there is a will, we can restore the effectiveness
of the international and regional institutions system. We do not even
need to build anything anew, from the scratch; this is not a
“greenfield,” especially since the institutions created after
World War II are quite universal and can be given modern substance,
adequate to manage the current situation.
This
is true of improving the work of the UN, whose central role is
irreplaceable, as well as the OSCE, which, over the course of 40
years, has proven to be a necessary mechanism for ensuring security
and cooperation in the Euro-Atlantic region. I must say that even
now, in trying to resolve the crisis in southeast Ukraine, the OSCE
is playing a very positive role.
In
light of the fundamental changes in the international environment,
the increase in uncontrollability and various threats, we need a new
global consensus of responsible forces. It’s not about some local
deals or a division of spheres of influence in the spirit of classic
diplomacy, or somebody’s complete global domination. I think that
we need a new version of interdependence. We should not be afraid of
it. On the contrary, this is a good instrument for harmonizing
positions.
This
is particularly relevant given the strengthening and growth of
certain regions on the planet, which process objectively requires
institutionalization of such new poles, creating powerful regional
organizations and developing rules for their interaction. Cooperation
between these centers would seriously add to the stability of global
security, policy and economy. But in order to establish such a
dialogue, we need to proceed from the assumption that all regional
centers and integration projects forming around them need to have
equal rights to development, so that they can complement each other
and nobody can force them into conflict or opposition artificially.
Such destructive actions would break down ties between states, and
the states themselves would be subjected to extreme hardship, or
perhaps even total destruction.
I
would like to remind you of the last year’s events. We have told
our American and European partners that hasty backstage decisions,
for example, on Ukraine’s association with the EU, are fraught with
serious risks to the economy. We didn’t even say anything about
politics; we spoke only about the economy, saying that such steps,
made without any prior arrangements, touch on the interests of many
other nations, including Russia as Ukraine’s main trade partner,
and that a wide discussion of the issues is necessary. Incidentally,
in this regard, I will remind you that, for example, the talks on
Russia’s accession to the WTO lasted 19 years. This was very
difficult work, and a certain consensus was reached.
Why
am I bringing this up? Because in implementing Ukraine’s
association project, our partners would come to us with their goods
and services through the back gate, so to speak, and we did not agree
to this, nobody asked us about this. We had discussions on all topics
related to Ukraine’s association with the EU, persistent
discussions, but I want to stress that this was done in an entirely
civilized manner, indicating possible problems, showing the obvious
reasoning and arguments. Nobody wanted to listen to us and nobody
wanted to talk. They simply told us: this is none of your business,
point, end of discussion. Instead of a comprehensive but – I stress
– civilized dialogue, it all came down to a government overthrow;
they plunged the country into chaos, into economic and social
collapse, into a civil war with enormous casualties.
Why?
When I ask my colleagues why, they no longer have an answer; nobody
says anything. That’s it. Everyone’s at a loss, saying it just
turned out that way. Those actions should not have been encouraged –
it wouldn’t have worked. After all (I already spoke about this),
former Ukrainian President Yanukovych signed everything, agreed with
everything. Why do it? What was the point? What is this, a civilized
way of solving problems? Apparently, those who constantly throw
together new ‘color revolutions’ consider themselves ‘brilliant
artists’ and simply cannot stop.
I
am certain that the work of integrated associations, the cooperation
of regional structures, should be built on a transparent, clear
basis; the Eurasian Economic Union’s formation process is a good
example of such transparency. The states that are parties to this
project informed their partners of their plans in advance, specifying
the parameters of our association, the principles of its work, which
fully correspond with the World Trade Organization rules.
I
will add that we would also have welcomed the start of a concrete
dialogue between the Eurasian and European Union. Incidentally, they
have almost completely refused us this as well, and it is also
unclear why – what is so scary about it?
And,
of course, with such joint work, we would think that we need to
engage in dialogue (I spoke about this many times and heard agreement
from many of our western partners, at least in Europe) on the need to
create a common space for economic and humanitarian cooperation
stretching all the way from the Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean.
Colleagues,
Russia made its choice. Our priorities are further improving our
democratic and open economy institutions, accelerated internal
development, taking into account all the positive modern trends in
the world, and consolidating society based on traditional values and
patriotism.
We
have an integration-oriented, positive, peaceful agenda; we are
working actively with our colleagues in the Eurasian Economic Union,
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, BRICS and other partners. This
agenda is aimed at developing ties between governments, not
dissociating. We are not planning to cobble together any blocs or get
involved in an exchange of blows.
The
allegations and statements that Russia is trying to establish some
sort of empire, encroaching on the sovereignty of its neighbors, are
groundless. Russia does not need any kind of special, exclusive place
in the world – I want to emphasize this. While respecting the
interests of others, we simply want for our own interests to be taken
into account and for our position to be respected.
We
are well aware that the world has entered an era of changes and
global transformations, when we all need a particular degree of
caution, the ability to avoid thoughtless steps. In the years after
the Cold War, participants in global politics lost these qualities
somewhat. Now, we need to remember them. Otherwise, hopes for a
peaceful, stable development will be a dangerous illusion, while
today’s turmoil will simply serve as a prelude to the collapse of
world order.
Yes,
of course, I have already said that building a more stable world
order is a difficult task. We are talking about long and hard work.
We were able to develop rules for interaction after World War II, and
we were able to reach an agreement in Helsinki in the 1970s. Our
common duty is to resolve this fundamental challenge at this new
stage of development.
Thank
you very much for your attention.
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