Showing posts with label Federal Reserve. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Federal Reserve. Show all posts

Friday, 13 December 2019

Fed to inject $500 BILLION into Repo Market


REPORT: FED SET TO 

DUMP $500 BILLION INTO 

REPO MARKET TO AVOID

CRISIS


If True, This Will Increase The Fed’s Balance Sheet Beyond Its All-Time High Of $4.5 Trillion.




12 December, 2019

The New York Federal Reserve Bank has announced that it will be dumping a previously unfathomable amount of money into the liquidity market beginning Friday.




The Fed’s statement reads:

“In accordance with the most recent [Federal Open Market Committee] directive, the Desk will conduct repo operations to ensure that the supply of reserves remains ample and to mitigate the risk of money market pressures around year end that could adversely affect policy implementation.

“The Desk will continue to offer two-week term repo operations twice per week, four of which span year end. In addition, the Desk will also offer another longer-maturity term repo operation that spans year end. The amount offered in this operation will be at least $50 billion.

“Overnight repo operations will continue to be held each day. On December 31, 2019 and January 2, 2020, the overnight repo offering will increase to at least $150 billion. In addition, on December 30, 2019, the Desk will offer a $75 billion repo that settles on December 31, 2019 and matures on January 2, 2020.

“The Desk intends to adjust the timing and amounts of repo operations as needed to mitigate the risk of money market pressures that could adversely affect policy implementation, consistent with the directive from the FOMC.”

Translation: The New York Fed will continue to offer two-week term repurchase operations twice per week. Four of those will span the end of the year. It will also offer one more longer-term “repo” operation that also spans the end of the year. That operation will be at least $50 billion.

Also, in order to prevent an avalanche of liquidity issues to end the year, the Fed will continue its daily repo operations through the end of the year. The amount that will be offered each night will be increased to $150 billion. Additionally, there will be a $50 billion term repo, followed by daily $35 billion repo offerings, which will total $365 billion.

Adding in $50 billion for the expanded overnight repo, and another $60 billion in T-bill purchases, the total injection in the next 30 days will be $500 billion. Added to the current Fed balance sheet, by mid-January, it will hold more than its all-time high of $4.5 trillion.

(Photo Credit: Jericho/Wikimedia Commons)

See also - 




Wednesday, 11 December 2019

Ignore this at your peril!


Repocalypse! Former Fed Repo Czar Warns Possible Banking Crisis Within Days - TruNews 12 10 19


Today on TruNews we discuss the trillion dollar repurchase agreement crisis placing the U.S. economy potentially days away from a crippling crash at Christmas. We address the statements by repo founding father Zoltan Pozsar and the predictions of Billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio, that a new world order is emerging from this financial malfeasance, and China has already won the trade, capital, and tech war for control of the next century. Rick Wiles, Doc Burkhart, Edward Szall.


The Market is On The Edge 

of the Abyss -- Meltdown 

before Christmas




It used to be that the Fed was there for short term liquidity issues because banks lend long term and borrow short term.

THEN, the Fed started micromanaging the economy and the stock market.
Then they became the liquidity spigot for Wall Street.

QE to save the system, in 2009.

QE to save the all time highs in the stock market , in 2019 and record employment .

Same medicine for diametrically opposite conditions.
Now, how can that be?

The Central Bankers have disallowed the cycles that flush these excesses, and now the Fed is confounded by the mess they have created.

The system requires constant expansion", so it warrants constant QE.

The Fed is trying to keep all charts running low left to upper right and its effing ridiculous.

They have created a beast they cant handle.

More QE will only lead to a bigger crash down the road and $20 Big Macs. If we don't, then the compounding interest on the debt will get us, you can't fight the math in the end.

There is no rescue; they have been re-animating the corpse for 10 years.
the liquidity and fiat flows are all that is left;but the $120 Billion a night is not providing enough 'free money' in the system.

The FED will try to keep on propping up the markets by printing more money until they break the workers with inflation, then there will be a collapse much worse than the great depression that will bring in the mark of the beast.
Cash and gold my friends.

Welcome to The Atlantis Report.

I bet the FED and Trump will do anything and everything in their power to prevent the stock market from crashing before the election, even to the extend of going full Zero Interest Rates ;plus QE; plus REPO ;plus Helicopter Money; plus Whatever as soon as the crisis arrives.

But remember , Printing will work until it doesn't.

History is filled with lurid examples.

When it doesn't work will be decided by many unusual factors already in play.
Never before has the world had to contend with derivative markets - unregulated. This system was wired to 'pull it' decades ago. Pain, lots of it then a new system minus the banks.

This is the game we are in:

The Debt must ever expand or the whole system implodes.
Interest, my friends, is ever eating up the dollars that were created by debt. If the debt is to be paid, then more must be created constantly to keep enough "money" in the system to pay the interest.

When we can't pay the interest, it's game over.

Money is DEBT.


Bill Holter - Confidence Going to Break Biggest Debt Bubble in History



Financial writer Bill Holter has long said, “This is the biggest debt bubble in history.” He says we are in the perfect geopolitical and financial storm that can shake people to the core. Holter says, “I believe it breaks confidence. Others say arrests and indictments will increase confidence. I agree with that in the long term, but initially, it breaks confidence, not only in the United States, but outside with foreigners. If there are no arrests, we live in a complete banana republic land. . . . This was and is a coup attempt. . . . This is by far the most intricate coup attempt in the history of history. If they don’t do something about this, then what does that say about our form of government? . . . Confidence is going to break, and confidence is what markets basically rely and trade on. Confidence is the largest factor in the credit markets, and the world runs on credit.”

So, is this why so many top money managers and financial experts are telling people to buy gold? Holter says, “They see that confidence is going to break. . . .What kind of asset doesn’t get affected, and not only affected negatively, but it gets affected positively? The answer is gold and silver. They are non-liability money. They are not issued by anyone. . . . It is real money.”
Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with financial writer and precious metals expert Bill Holter from JSMineset.com.

Tuesday, 25 December 2018

Trump criticises the Federal Reserve

Trump Points The Finger At The Central Bank, Rothschild Responds


X22 Report





Does Trump Have The Authority To Fire Fed Chair Powell?...Does It Even Matter?


RonPaulReport


Monday, 22 October 2018

The method behind the madness: Trump Blaming Fed for Next Market Crash


It is really difficult to get reliable and credible background on what is turning out to be a civil war of sorts in the United States.

I found this to be a credible and rational voice and in my mind it is worthwhile spending the time to listen.

Trump Blaming Fed for Next Market Crash – Dave Janda


21 October, 2018

Radio host Dr. Dave Janda says everybody in Washington knows the next big crash is right around the corner. It’s been 10 years since the Fed reflated the last meltdown, and Dr. Janda says President Trump is already blaming the Federal Reserve for killing the economy that his policies revived. Dr. Janda explains, “President Trump has been pointing the finger at the Fed. He’s been pointing the finger at the Fed, and that is exactly where he should be pointing. The globalist syndicate’s tentacle is the central banking system, and, in particular, in the United States, the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve is one of the entities that is directly responsible for this financial mess our country is currently in. You would never see Obama or the Bushes, or Bill Clinton, point at the Fed and say what Trump has said. Trump said, ‘I think the Fed has gone crazy. I think the Fed is making a mistake. They’re so tight with interest rates. I think the Fed has gone crazy.’ Just the other day, Trump said, ‘My biggest threat is the Fed. . . . The Fed is raising rates too fast, and it’s too independent.’ Now, wait a minute, listen to that. It’s too independent. When was the last time a president of the United States said the Fed was too independent? . . . . Banking groups, that is their priority. So, when the President says the Fed is raising rates too fast, and it’s my biggest enemy, and too independent, what he is saying is they are looking out for their own interests. They are not looking out for the interests of our country or for you or for me or for any American, and he’s right. I don’t know of any other president that has had the guts to say this.”

So, what happens next? Dr. Janda says, “Trump knew this thing was rigged to blow, the economy, the financial system, and when the right time came, he would start pointing the finger at the globalists, the Fed. I believe that’s where we are right now.”

On the Democrats taking back control of the House, Janda says the blue wave will turn into a red tsunami. One Democrat after another, including Hillary Clinton, has threatened violence if Democrats do not take back the House of Representatives. Janda says, “These are not statements from people that are in positions of power or people that are riding a blue tsunami to victory in the midterm election. These are people that are potentially drowning in a red wave, and they know it because their internals are telling them that. This is why they are acting out.”

On the subject of Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, the short story is he has flipped and is working on the Trump team.

In closing, Dr. Janda says, “I would say we are winning. The reason I say that is all these judicial appointments. . . . I believe we have a five to four rule of law majority in the Supreme Court. I believe (DOJ prosecutor) Huber has been working on these indictments behind the scenes, and they will be unsealed as soon as the declassification occurs. I believe military tribunals have been set up and will become more overt in their operation, but that doesn’t mean we have already won. We are winning, and we are in the process of winning. We have not won. That’s why I believe these midterm elections are so important. This is why we are seeing the hysteria out of the Deep State players that are the mid-level puppets. This is why we see the Bookers, the Clintons, the Obamas and Bidens all lashing out. They know if people vote for rule of law candidates across the board and don’t buy into this agenda that the globalists are putting forward such as no border security, sanctuary cities, raising taxes, and if you don’t vote for us, we are going to beat the hell out of you, if they don’t buy into that agenda, the Deep State players know the rule of law will be implemented like it’s not been implemented for decades in America. The Deep State globalists are in the crosshairs of a true justice system as opposed to a justice system that is just smoke and mirrors.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Dr. Dave Janda, host of the popular radio show “Operation Freedom.”



(Program note: The interview is nearly 1:45 minutes long, but it is packed with cutting edge information and analysis.)

For more from Dr.Janda go to his website HERE

Dr. Mark Skidmore - $21 Trillion “Missing” Money Huge Implications for Dollar

 

 

Greg Hunter - USA Watchdog

 Michigan State Economics Professor Mark Dr. Skidmore says there is a limit to money printing even when all the global central banks are doing it. Skidmore says, “What does it mean when a central bank is buying equities, or buying debt with printed money in order to suppress interest rates and keep this game going? I think, overall, the whole world is awash in debt, and it’s expanding at a rate that is unsustainable. The only way it has been sustained is that interest rates have been falling for 30 years. Now, interest rates are no longer falling, and we are running up against a constraint. Now, if this $21 trillion in “missing” federal money really represents spending above and beyond what the official records indicate, then that has huge financial implications and huge implications for confidence in the dollar as the reserve currency. This is an enormous priority to address and not just cover up and say we are all good.”

In closing, Dr. Skidmore says, “How can you have a democracy if you don’t have any transparency whatsoever? Having integrity and confidence is so essential to the whole system, and this just puts everything in question. . . . We should clean this up and show we are legitimate. If we don’t, we are just shooting ourselves in the foot.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Dr. Mark Skidmore, Professor of Economics at Michigan State University.

Dr.Janda makes reference to this exchange.

Friday, 25 August 2017

Is economic collapse imminent?

We have so far avoided the worst with economic collapse and the most dire predictions have not, so far, come to pass.

My instinct tells me that with what is happening in the United States and a geopolitical earthquake in the making that the threat might be real.

The article below suggests the economy might be COLLAPSED and then blamed on Trump.

I have my own views which I will share when the time is right. I have a busy couple of days right now.

The Collapse Is Coming! Prepare For The Imminent Economic Collapse 2017 Stock Market CRASH!




There are some dire predictions that say in the next year, or 18 months, we have something arriving worse than 2008 and 2009, the downturn is much worse. The biggest stock market crash and economic collapse imminent.


The Economic Doomsday is here. The second financial bubble is going to soon burst, and there’s nothing anyone can do about it. The Federal Reserve has set up the American economy for financial collapse for printing trillions of dollars back in 2008 and 2009. The next crash is coming, and the decision by central banks to paper over their economy's troubles with a massive injection of debt likely means that the next economic collapse and stock market crash is already overdue.


“The Federal Reserve’s policies of printing trillions of dollars back in ’08-09 have locked into place a serious financial crisis at some point in our future,” Going so far as to intimate the financial collapse and market crash will occur at least some time in the next two years, “It’s unavoidable, and even Donald Trump can’t stop it.”

Top economists predict that within the next 18-24 months, the imminent economic collapse will happen. The Federal Reserve has set up the American economy for financial collapse and market crash for printing trillions of dollars back in 2008 and 2009.

The Federal Reserve’s policies of printing trillions of dollars back in ’08-09 have locked into place a serious financial crisis....


This Is How Trump Is Going To Be Blamed For The Next Financial Crash



24 August, 2017




On Wednesday there were a lot of Trump fans who were celebrating the latest progress in the stock market. 

For the first time in over 100 years, the DOW gained 4,000 points over the course of 200 working days. That’s 4,000 points since Trump was elected, so it’s easy to draw a connection between the stock market’s dizzying new heights and Trump’s ascent to the White House.


But Trump’s supporters shouldn’t really celebrate that, because there’s no way that this can last. It’s been pointed out 



The elites simply can’t wait to pull the plug on the many financial bubbles that are haunting our economy. If they do it now, they’ll walk away with a lot of money while Trump is left with all the blame, since he took so much credit for the stock market’s remarkable performance.


Of course, a financial crash won’t look so bad for Trump if it comes out of nowhere. 

What the elites really need is a financial crash that can be easily pinned on the President, and it appears that they may finally have it.


You may recall that Trump recently said that he will veto the next spending bill that’s due in September, if the Senate and Congress don’t include funding for his border wall. He basically threatened to cause a government shutdown if the Democrats don’t cooperate with him.


Coincidentally, the House will likely need to raise the federal debt ceiling next month. That effort could be seriously hindered if our representatives and president can’t agree on a new spending bill. 

And if the federal debt ceiling isn’t raised, all hell could break loose.







Credit ratings agency Fitch Ratings on Wednesday said a failure by U.S. officials to raise the federal debt ceiling in a timely manner would prompt it to review the U.S. sovereign rating, “with potentially negative implications.”
Fitch, which currently assigns the United States its highest rating — “AAA” — said in a statement that the prioritization of debt service payments over other government obligations, should the debt ceiling not be raised, “may not be compatible with ‘AAA’ status.”
The U.S. sovereign debt rating is Fitch’s measure of confidence in the soundness of the U.S. economy.
Without the ability to sell more debt, the government is expected to run out of cash, possibly in early October, and faces the risk of not paying the interest and principal on its debt on time. The United States defaulting on its bonds, traders fear, would rattle financial markets worldwide.


It’s understandable that Trump wants to put his foot down and demand that our legislative branch fund his border wall. It was the crux of his campaign, and his base will grow restless if he doesn’t get it built.
But if he causes a government shut down in the process, it could trigger the next financial crisis, and lead to the demise of his presidency. And the people who turned out economy into a casino will walk away without receiving any blame.


It's So Quite You Can Hear A Pin Drop, Is Something About To Happen?



Did The Economy Just Stumble Off A Cliff?


24 August, 2017




The signs are everywhere for those willing to look: something has changed beneath the surface of complacent faith in permanent growth.


This is more intuitive than quantitative, but my gut feeling is that the economy just stumbled off a cliff.


 Neither the cliff edge nor the fatal misstep are visible yet; both remain in the shadows of the intangible foundation of the economy: trust, animal spirits, faith in authorities' management, etc.


Since credit expansion is the lifeblood of the global economy, let's look at credit expansion.

Courtesy of Market Daily Briefing, here is a chart of total credit in the U.S. and a chart of the percentage increase of credit.
Notice the difference between credit expansion in 1990 - 2008 and the expansion of 2009 - 2017.

 Credit expanded by a monumental $40+ trillion in 1990 - 2008 without any monetary easing (QE) or zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP). The expansion of 2009 - 2017 required 8 long years of massive monetary/fiscal stimulus and ZIRP.



This chart of credit change (%) reveal just how lackluster the current expansion of credit has been, despite unprecedented trillions of stimulus pumped into the financial sector.


Here are two other snapshots of debt: margin debt and private credit.

 Both have hit new highs.


Note the tight correlation of margin debt to the S&P 500 stock index: when punters borrow more on margin to buy more stock, stocks keep rising.

When credit stops expanding, the economy stumbles into recession.
Back in the real world, have you noticed a slowing of animal spirits borrowing and spending?

Have you tightened up your household budget recently, or witnessed cutbacks in the spending habits of friends and family? Have you noticed retail parking lots aren't very full nowadays, and once-full cafes now have empty tables?
According to the conventional economic statistics, everything's going great:

 there are millions of job openings, unemployment is near historic lows, GDP is expanding nicely and of course,everyone's favorite signifier of wonderfulness, the stock market, is hovering near all-time highs.


The possibility that the real economy just stumbled off a cliff creates instant cognitive dissonance

, as the official narrative is the economy is expanding slowly but surely and everything is nominal: there's plenty of everything, from oil/gas to consumer credit to jobs to student loans.


Nonetheless, I feel a disturbance in the Force: once credit expansion slows or ceases, the economy will roll over into recession, as wages have been stagnant for the past 17 years, and the bottom 95% of households can only spend more if they borrow more.


Recessions are not mechanical processes; they are ultimately measures of human emotions and assessments:

 greed/complacency gives way to fear and caution, and denial /magical thinking is brought to Earth by reluctant acceptance of less-than-ideal realities (for example, we really can't afford to borrow more, it makes no sense to buy negative-interest rate bonds, etc.)


Though it's bad form to mention it, 

everyone's favorite signifier of wonderfulness, the stock market, is by most measures overvalued and priced to perfection.

Meanwhile, after failing to normalize interest rates and its balance sheet years ago when the economy had already recovered some stability, the Federal Reserve (and a few other central banks) are hurrying to make a grand show of ticking rates a bit higher before the next recession reveals the systemic failure of their 8-year long campaign of permanent monetary stimulus and near-zero rates.


Everything that could rescue the stock market from swooning has already been done:

 buy hundreds of billions of dollars of stocks via index funds? Done. Constantly communicate the god-like powers of central banks to fix anything and everything in global equity and bond markets? Done, to the point of boredom.


How can anyone trust a market that has been massaged and manipulated for 8 long years?

What sort of price discovery is possible if central banks have been major buyers for years?

Beneath the surface of complacent tranquility and absolute faith in the god-like powers of central banks, a skittish awareness of risk and fragility is rising.

 I would contend that this is true not just in moneyed circles with access to the best private research, but in households that are sensitive to the first tremors of the coming earthquake, and alert to the note of alarm in the canary's warblings down in the coal mines of the economy.

I suspect all those who have placed their trust in everyone's favorite signifier of wonderfulness, the stock market, have forgotten that signifiers can work both ways:

 nothing signals recession and a panicky urgency to sell everything that isn't nailed down like a sharp swoon in stocks that fails to respond to a "buy the dip" buying frenzy.

The faith in "buy the dips" (i.e. "the Fed has our backs") is not based on an immutable law of Nature; stocks can (gasp!) actually succumb to gravity.

 And when they finally do feel the tug of gravity, the belief that "buy the dips" is a permanent strategy will be revealed for what it is: a long, heavily-juiced run that eventually ends.

The signs are everywhere for those willing to look: beneath the surface of complacent faith in debt-fueled permanent growth, the economy is stumbling. 

Recessions are typically identified after months of squinting in the rearview mirror, but we don't need an official declaration to sense that something has changed.