Debunking
the “U.S. Government Assessment of the Syrian Government’s Use of
Chemical Weapons
“A
poorly constructed attempt to justify the politically, militarily,
and morally unjustifiable war against Syria”
Eric
Draitser
1
September 2013
The
document
entitled “U.S. Government Assessment of the Syrian Government’s
Use of Chemical Weapons on August 21, 2013”, released in tandem
with public statements made by Secretary of State John Kerry, is
merely summary of a manufactured narrative designed to lead the US
into yet another criminal and disastrous war in the Middle East.
Having been released prior to even preliminary reports from UN
chemical weapons investigators on the ground in Syria, the document
is as much a work of fiction as it is fact.
It
begins with the conclusion that “The
United States Government assesses with high confidence that the
Syrian government carried out a chemical weapons attack in the
Damascus suburbs on August 21, 2013.”
Naturally, one would immediately wonder how such a conclusion was
reached when even the expert investigators on the ground have yet to
conclude their own study. If these experts with years of
training in the field of chemical weapons, toxicology, and other
related disciplines, have yet to make such a determination, it would
seem more than convenient that the US has already reached this
conclusion.
Moreover,
based on its own admissions as to the sources of this so-called
“intelligence”, very serious doubt should be cast on such a
dubious government report. The document explains that:
These
all-source assessments are based on human, signals, and geospatial
intelligence as well as a significant body of open-source
reporting…In addition to US intelligence information, there are
accounts from international and Syrian medical personnel; videos;
witness accounts; thousands of social media reports from at least 12
different locations in the Damascus area; journalist accounts; and
reports from highly credible non-governmental organizations.
First
and foremost, any critical reading of this document must begin with
the notions of “human intelligence” and “witness accounts”.
Such terminology indicates that the US is simply basing pre-conceived
conclusions based on rebel sources and the much touted “activists”
who seem to always be the sources quoted in Western media reports.
Secondly, it is obvious that US officials have cherry-picked their
eyewitness accounts as there are many, from both sides of the
conflict, which directly contradict this so-called high-confidence
assessment.
As
reported
in the Mint Press News by Associated Press reporter Dale Gavlak,
Syrians from the town of Ghouta – the site of the chemical attack –
tell a very different story from the one being told by the US
government. Residents provide very credible testimony that
“certain rebels received chemical weapons via the Saudi
intelligence chief, Prince Bandar bin Sultan, and were responsible
for carrying out the dealing gas attack.” What makes such
testimony even more compelling is that it comes from anti-Assad
Syrians, many of whom have seen their children die fighting Assad’s
forces. One of the Ghouta residents described his conversations
with his son, a fighter tasked with carrying the chemical weapons for
the Nusra Front jihadi group, who spoke of Saudi-supplied weapons
being unloaded and transported. His son later was killed, along
with 12 other rebels, inside a tunnel used to store weapons.
It
is essential to also dispute the very notion that “social media
reports” constitute credible evidence to be used in making a case
for war. It is a long-established fact that US and other
intelligence agencies are able to manipulate twitter, Facebook and
other social media in whatever way they see fit. As the
Guardian
reported back in 2011:
The
US military is developing software that will let it secretly
manipulate social media sites by using fake online personas to
influence internet conversations and spread pro-American
propaganda…each fake online persona must have a convincing
background, history, and supporting details, and that up to 50
US-based controllers should be able to operate false identities from
their workstations ‘without fear of being discovered by
sophisticated adversaries.’
Essentially
then, the United States is using social media, a system over which
they have control, to justify their pre-fabricated war narrative.
Additionally, the idea that videos constitute a shred of evidence is
laughable. As any investigator can tell you, videos are easily
manipulated and, even if they are untouched, they cannot be used to
assess the culprit of a crime. Videos merely show what is
visible, not the underlying motives, means, and opportunity – all
part of genuine investigation.
Finally,
one must feel serious apprehension at the idea of journalist reports
as being part of this pastiche called a “high confidence
assessment,” for the simple reason that Western coverage of the
conflict in Syria is mostly coming from journalists outside the
country or those already sympathetic to the rebel cause.
Whether they are paid propagandists or simply convenient tools used
as mouthpieces of the corporate media, their reports are highly
suspect, and certainly should have no role in shaping war-making
policy.
It
is critical to examine the “intelligence information” referred to
in the assessment. It would seem that, according to the
document itself, much of the case for war is based on human
intelligence. Many news outlets have reported that the entire
case against Assad is being based on an intercepted phone call
provided to US intelligence by none other than the Israelis.
Israel, with its long track record of fabricating intelligence for
the purposes of war-making, is not exactly a neutral observer.
As one of the principal actors in the region calling for the
overthrow of the Assad government, Tel Aviv has a vested interest in
ensuring a US intervention in Syria.
The
initial confirmation that the regime of Syrian President Bashar Assad
was responsible for a chemical weapons attack Aug. 21 came from a tip
from the Israeli intelligence service…a special unit of the Israeli
Defense Force – an intelligence unit that goes by the number
8200…helped provide the intelligence intercepts that allowed the
White House to conclude that the Assad regime was behind the attack.
It
would seem rather convenient that one of the primary beneficiaries of
a war to topple Assad would be the primary source of the sole piece
of evidence purportedly linking Assad to the attack. If this
strikes you as at best a flimsy pretext for war, you would be
correct.
The
assessment also outlines the way in which Washington arrived at its
conclusion that Assad carried out the attacks. The document
states:
We assess with high confidence that the Syrian government carried out
the chemical weapons attack against opposition elements in the
Damascus suburbs on August 21. We assess that the scenario in
which the opposition executed the attack on August 21 is highly
unlikely. The body of information used to make this assessment
includes intelligence pertaining to the regime’s preparations for
this attack and its means of delivery, multiple streams of
intelligence about the attack itself and its effect, our post-attack
observations, and the differences between the capabilities of the
regime and the opposition.
In
analyzing the above excerpt, it should be immediately clear to anyone
who has been following events in Syria closely, that this conclusion
is based on faulty premises and outright lies. First, the idea
that it is “highly unlikely” that the chemical attack was carried
out by the opposition is an impossible assertion to make given that
there is abundant evidence that the “rebels” carried out chemical
attacks previously. As the widely circulated (Video) showing rebels mounting chemical weapons onto artillery shells demonstrates, not only do they have the capability and delivery system, they have a significant supply of chemicals, certainly enough to have carried out the attack
Moreover,
the multiple massacres carried out by Nusra Front and other extremist
rebel factions demonstrates that such groups have no compunction
whatsoever about killing innocent civilians en masse.
As for the claim that the US has based their conclusions at least in part on “the regime’s preparations for this attack”, this too is a dubious assertion simply because there has been no evidence provided whatsoever to support it. Ostensibly, the United States would like international observers to “take their word for it” that they have such evidence, but the fragile public simply cannot be allowed to see it. More echoes of Bush’s lies before the Iraq War.
And the so-called “post-attack observations” are again suspect because, as I have previously noted, the US has not bothered to wait for the results of the UN chemical weapons investigation. Therefore, these observations could only come from anti-Assad sources on the ground or international observers not present at the site who merely repeat the same information fed to them from those same anti-regime sources.
As if intended as a cruel joke to the reader, the document points out that, despite the claim that this is an irrefutable, evidence-based assessment, it is in fact based on nothing but hearsay and rumor. Buried at the end of the first page is the most important quote of all:
Our high confidence assessment is the strongest position that the U.S. Intelligence Community can take short of confirmation [emphasis added].
So, the US is supposed to make war on a country that has not attacked it or any of its allies based on admittedly unconfirmed evidence? This would be laughable if it weren’t so utterly outrageous and criminal.
The “U.S. Government Assessment of the Syrian Government’s Use of Chemical Weapons on August 21, 2013” is a poorly constructed attempt to justify the politically, militarily, and morally unjustifiable war against Syria. It relies on lies, distortions, and obvious propaganda to create the myth that Assad is the devil incarnate and that the US, with its clear moral high-ground, must take it upon itself to once again wage war for the sake of peace. Nothing could be more dishonest. Nothing could be more disgusting. Nothing could be more American. - See mor
As for the claim that the US has based their conclusions at least in part on “the regime’s preparations for this attack”, this too is a dubious assertion simply because there has been no evidence provided whatsoever to support it. Ostensibly, the United States would like international observers to “take their word for it” that they have such evidence, but the fragile public simply cannot be allowed to see it. More echoes of Bush’s lies before the Iraq War.
And the so-called “post-attack observations” are again suspect because, as I have previously noted, the US has not bothered to wait for the results of the UN chemical weapons investigation. Therefore, these observations could only come from anti-Assad sources on the ground or international observers not present at the site who merely repeat the same information fed to them from those same anti-regime sources.
As if intended as a cruel joke to the reader, the document points out that, despite the claim that this is an irrefutable, evidence-based assessment, it is in fact based on nothing but hearsay and rumor. Buried at the end of the first page is the most important quote of all:
Our high confidence assessment is the strongest position that the U.S. Intelligence Community can take short of confirmation [emphasis added].
So, the US is supposed to make war on a country that has not attacked it or any of its allies based on admittedly unconfirmed evidence? This would be laughable if it weren’t so utterly outrageous and criminal.
The “U.S. Government Assessment of the Syrian Government’s Use of Chemical Weapons on August 21, 2013” is a poorly constructed attempt to justify the politically, militarily, and morally unjustifiable war against Syria. It relies on lies, distortions, and obvious propaganda to create the myth that Assad is the devil incarnate and that the US, with its clear moral high-ground, must take it upon itself to once again wage war for the sake of peace. Nothing could be more dishonest. Nothing could be more disgusting. Nothing could be more American. - See mor
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