Greece
Virtually Out Of Cash One Day Before Critical Bond Maturity
'When
the money runs out, it's game over'
14
May, 2012
Curious
why the topic of tomorrow's €430 million non-Greek law bond
maturity payment (which we
first pointed out as a D-Day type of cash outflow for the Greek
people) is particularly touchy?
Simple:
if Greece makes the payment it will see its already in the red cash
balance drop by another 30% to a sub redline €1 billion.
Which
would mean the country will likely not pass go and go straight into
looting mode once the people realize that some evil, evil hedge fund
hold outs (who are doing precisely what they are contractually
entitled to, and what we said back
in January would be the event that breaks the bank, i.e., holding
out) have been paid in full despite the Greek restructuring, while
there is no money to pay anything else... Because as Bloomberg
points out, "the level of funds in Greece’s state coffers
has fallen below 1.5 billion euros ($1.9 billion), Imerisia
reported, citing “reliable information.”
If
the state doesn’t receive predicted revenue for the rest of this
month, it will find it difficult to pay for social services, pensions
and public-sector wages, the newspaper said."
Translation:
when the money runs out, it's game over. But it will also be
game over if and when Greece either does not want to or does not have
the cash to pay tomorrow.
Things
are moving fast now.
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