Showing posts with label food security. Show all posts
Showing posts with label food security. Show all posts

Friday, 19 February 2021

Nearly half of America's wheat crop damaged in polar vortex

The Ice Age bit is of course horseshit, but that does not mean that there is not some useful information here if you use discrimination.

RED ALERT: Food Supply 

Chain Shutting Down as 

Blackouts Spread




 (Natural News) Things are looking pretty bleak across Texas and other Midwestern states where extreme winter weather conditions combined with record-breaking low temperatures left millions without power, while also damaging nearly half of the country’s winter wheat crop.

The Ice Age Farmer channel on YouTube put out a video revealing how minimal snow cover prior to the polar vortex that swept across the Midwest created a perfect storm scenario for the widespread destruction of wheat crops once the historic weather event arrived.

According to reports, about half of Texas’ wind turbines were frozen over in the winter storm, which severely limited energy output throughout the state. On top of that, temperatures in many areas reached well below 0 degrees Fahrenheit, which is highly unusual for the Lone Star State.

Up north in the Great Plains, temperature readings were clocked at or below -30 degrees Fahrenheit with not nearly as much snowfall as expected falling to the ground. This left wheat crops exposed to the elements rather than covered in their usual snow blanket, which damaged or killed many of them.

“Commodity Weather Group estimates 30% of HRW #wheat susceptible to significant damage & 15% spotty damage,” tweeted Arlan Suderman about the assessed crop damage thus far.

Others were quick to respond to this tweet with claims that winter wheat loves snow and freezing, however as pointed out by Ice Age Farmer, it was the lack of snow cover in many areas prior to the polar vortex that was the anomaly.

“As temperatures fell to -30 degrees Fahrenheit, there was lots of damage because we don’t have a lot of snow cover right now to insulate the winter wheat crop underneath that,” he says. “It’s just been very exposed to these extreme temperatures.”

There’s a global grain shortage right now

Interestingly, just a few days before the polar vortex hit the United States, Argentina announced plans to discuss strategies for avoiding a ban on wheat exports.

Because there is currently a global grain shortage, countries are scrambling to ensure they have enough of the crop for themselves before they agree to export what remains to places like the U.S.

Should a significant portion of America’s wheat crop end up being destroyed from the freezing temperatures, our nation will require imports from elsewhere in order to feed our own people. If those countries need it for themselves, however, then we could be in a lot of trouble in the coming months.

Back in September, Mike Adams, the Health Ranger, interviewed the Ice Age Farmer about what was described as engineered food scarcity to enslave the human race.

What appears to be happening is that food shortages are being engineered through social upheaval, weather events, and other catastrophes that little by little are chipping away at the available food supply.

In time, there could very well be not enough food for everyone, a scenario that was already seen on a much smaller scale with mile-long lines outside of HEB grocery stores in Texas as panicked shoppers rushed to stock up on necessities after the power outages had already begun.

Meanwhile, billionaire eugenicist Bill Gates has been buying up tens of thousands of acres of U.S. farmland to become the largest landowner in the country. These are truly ominous times, in other words.

“Bill Gates spent $171 million to buy 14,500 acres of farmland in Southern Washington, the most expensive U.S. land sale so far this year, according to the Land Report,” wrote one of our own commenters, citing Bloomberg.

“The purchase includes about 10,500 acres of irrigated farmland, 3,900 of rangeland and about 140 in an area known as Horse Heaven Hills.”

More related news about the polar vortex and the damage it caused can be found at Collapse.news.

Sources for this article include:

IceAgeFarmer.com

NaturalNews.com

Texas Goes Dark - 45% US Wheat Damaged

Wednesday, 17 February 2021

The Death Spreading Agriculture and Meat Industry

 The Colossal Mistake of Underestimating the Death Spreading Agriculture and Meat Industry


http://tumia.org/en/directory/en/instance.php?tiname=The%20Colossal%20Mistake%20of%20Underestimating%20the%20Death%20Spreading%20Agriculture%20and%20Meat%20Industry&relationship=All&drsid=0&pisid=0&page=1


Undated

What a bold statement "Death Spreading Agriculture" for an essential sector that is promoted by its corporations and by states to be life giving and that is trivially understood as such. Nevertheless, if you look beneath the surface, agriculture is very much spreading death on so many crucial subsystems and functions of our one and only life supporting world namely planet earth, its climate and ecosystems. As it is always the case with human kind, the blind greed and hunger for ever more power and resources and the revolving door corruption of monopolistic corporations, states and people give rise to the totally perverted and corrupted delusion that agriculture is life giving and indispensable to feed the world.

To which destiny the death spreading agriculture and meat industry together with other human causes are leading us, see this article: The Colossal Mistake of Underestimating Climate Change and the sixth Mass Extinction.

Firstly lets look at the bigger picture. So many important governments subsidising and supporting the important role that the corporate dead soil poisoning chemical monoculture agriculture is playing in abrupt climate change and in the massive decline in biodiveristy is nothing less than ecocide and a crime against humanity. After all this kind of agriculture is:


– poisoning life, earth, the oceans, biodiversity and the human species on an ever larger enormous scale.


– the most important cause of abrupt climate change.

Secondly I'd like to elaborate on the in my view mostly amplifying feedback loops between ecosystem destruction and climate change and on agriculture which is a very strong driver for both of these phenomena:


- Healthy ecosystems stabilize the climate. Therefore the vast destruction of ecosystems by agriculture is also an important cause of abrupt climate change. For example clearing and burning forests releases their carbon above the soil into the atmosphere (the Amazon carbon above the soil is estimated to be equivalent with 20 to 30 years of current emissions) and their continuous carbon sequestring is destroyed. Afterwards the death spreading agriculture practices will also release carbon stored in the soil.


- Abrupt climate change is in its turn also contributing very much to the destruction of ecosystems. In fact almost all previous mass extinctions were accomplished via the earth climate, oceanic and atmospheric systems. The speed of the change is probably a very important driver for the destruction rate of ecosystems. The faster the less nature will be able to keep up by adaptation or migration. And guess what, the speed of adding carbon dioxide by humans is unprecedented in the known natural history. Human kind has the doubtful honour to realise such a rise of carbon dioxide in hundreds of years instead of ten thousands of years earlier in natural history.


In conclusion ecosystem destruction and abrupt climate change are reinforcing eachother very strongly and agriculture is delivering a double whamming (directly and indirectly via the other phenomenon) to both of them. That is why the complete replacement of agriculture by permaculture is an absolute condition for mitigating, if still possible currently, abrupt climate change and the sixth mass extinction as much as possible. Other absolute conditions are in my view:


- An almost complete replacement of burning fossil fuels by renewable energy.


- The replacement of a very resource consuming, spoiled and decadent lifestyle especially in the US, Europe and other "developed" regions with a far more modest lifestyle together with a much better organised society which is no longer capital, money and greed driven but ecologically driven.


- The humane limitation of human population as needed for a world without human-caused climate change and mass extinction.

Thirdly how agriculture is actually spreading death on so many crucial subsystems and functions of our world and this on the very vaste areas of land it occupies:


- The poisoning and/or tilling monoculture agriculture does not leave any space for integration of other natural elements thus of biodiversity on the very vaste areas of land it occupies. On the contrary it focusses on killing as much biodiversity as possible to eradicate any natural competition. This is one direct way with which agriculture is making a very substantial contribution to the sixth mass extinction.

- Pesticides kill the natural soillife just as tilling does and as such destroy the neccessary base of land ecosystems. As a result the soil no longer takes the carbon effectively in and releases already stored carbon adding to the problem of greenhouse gasses and climate change!


- Furthermore dead soil chemical agriculture can't function without its chemical fertilizers which in their turn release nitrous oxide, a greenhouse gas far more potent than methane which is far more potent then carbon dioxide.


- Producing some of those fertlizers is a very energy intensive process also adding to the greenhouse gasses.


- Lets not forget those pesticides destroy biodiversity also outside the vaste areas of land agriculture occupies, again adding to the greenhouse, climate change and mass extinction problem.


- The poisoning and/or tilling monoculture agriculture is by itself a very weak system because of its lack of biodiversity. In fact they are totally non viable energy wasting systems that can only exist temporarily and artificially because of consuming large volumes of oil (fertilizers and pesticides). In addition those weak poisonous monocultures give rise to pests and diseases for which pesticides are needed. Still new adapted pests and diseases (superweeds, ...) appear, which the greedy, sociopathic and naturopathic corporations use as an opportunity to sell even more and other poisons spreading more and more sickness and death.

Fourthly there are many more death spreading matters to argue about the destructive agriculture and meat industry:


– Meat production uses easily ten times more natural resources, poisonous pesticides and fertilizer than vegetable food production.


– Clearing forests, thus destroying the forest ecosystems, mainly for meat production, livestock feed or other production, releases their carbon and their carbon sequestring potential is destroyed thus increasing the greenhouse gasses in a recurring manner.


– Methane burbs and farts of the cows.
– Ocean dead zones caused by fertilizer runoff.
– Soil erosion.
– Fresh water depletion.
– … .

So agriculture industry and corrupted states stop spreading your promoted flagrant lies. Permaculture is the real and only way to go. Anyway climate change will destroy agriculture since it is very sensitive to small changes in climate parameters and to extreme wheather. Permaculture is far more resistent and durable for that matter!

As argued above the destruction will be colossal and only controllable ecological SRM (solar radiation management) and therefore with mirrors and not geoengineering our atmosphere, can stop AGW and therefore this colossal destruction.

By the way. The permaculture way of producing food instead of the death spreading agriculture would create a lot of intelligent interesting jobs. In fact anybody can start producing food for himself, his family, his neighborhood, … the permaculture way.

On the matter of poisoning see among others the following video's mostly about the roundup cocktail with glyphosate and on gmo roundup-ready crops:

Human-Caused Poisoning of Life and Earth: Monsantos Kriegserklärung gegen die Menschheit.
Human-Caused Poisoning of Life and Earth: Poisoned Fields - Glyphosate, the underrated risk?.
Human-Caused Poisoning of Life and Earth: Roundup (Glyphosat) - Das stille Gift.
Human-Caused Poisoning of Life and Earth: Monsanto - Mit Gift und Genen [Arte Doku HD].
Human-Caused Poisoning of Life and Earth: TTIP and GMOs.

Some other sources:

Glyphosate from Monsanto’s Roundup Decimates Microbes in Soils and the Human Gut – New Science.
Glyphosate Worse than We Could Imagine. It’s Everywhere.
Bayer-top ter verantwoording voor Round-Up debacle.
The Colossal Mistake of Underestimating Climate Change and the sixth Mass Extinction.

The article ”The Colossal Mistake of Underestimating the Death Spreading Agriculture and Meat Industry” was written by Paka Small.


Appendix A

The vicious cycle of Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change is accelerating severely and drives together with fossil fuel burning a runaway and abrupt sixth mass extinction at a speed as never seen before in natural history. This is a vicious cycle because ecosystem destruction drives climate change and vice versa climate change drives ecosystem destruction. See below for a growing list of video's about large scale phenomena driving this vicious cycle.


Phenomena: Arctic, Siberia, Alaska and Canada Thawing Permafrost, Siberia Wildfires, California Wildfires, Siberia Early Snow Melting:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Permafrost Apocalypse 2021 Mini-Documentary Climate Alert

Phenomena: Arctic Wildfires and Arctic Peat Fires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Arctic Wildfires and Peat Fires Darken Arctic and Emit ...

Phenomena: Northern Hemisphere Ice and Snow Albedo Decrease:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: NASA - Scientists Link Earlier Melting Of Snow To Dark ...

Phenomena: Arctic Ice Albedo Decrease:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Arctic Darkening from Spring Snow Cover Loss Exceeds ... 4

Phenomena: Arctic Ice Albedo Decrease:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Darkening Arctic with Loss of Sea-Ice and Snow Cover, ... 2

Phenomena: Arctic Ice Albedo Decrease:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Arctic Sea Ice Reaches 2019 Minimum Extent

Phenomena: Greenland Ice Albedo Decrease:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Why Greenland's sheet ice is turning black

Phenomena: Antarctica Ice Albedo Decrease:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Antarctica is losing ice at an accelerating rate. How ...

Phenomena: Siberia Thawing Permafrost:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Earth 8: Methane bursts caused by Siberian heat wave

Phenomena: Arctic Thawing Permafrost:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Arctic Methane. Has 2020 triggered a tipping point?

Phenomena: Arctic Thawing Permafrost:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Methane Hydrates - Interview Extracts With Natalia Shakhova

Phenomena: Arctic, Siberia, Yukutia Wildfires and Thawing Permafrost:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Wildfires in Arctic Circle release record of greenhouse gas

Phenomena: British Colombia Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Carbon emissions from wildfires shoot higher in B.C.

Phenomena: Western US, California, Arizona, Colorado, Utah and Europe Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Climate change is making wildfires more extreme. Here’s how

Phenomena: Western US Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Sunday Journal: Apocalyptic Western wildfires

Phenomena: Amazon Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Edge of Extinction: Amazon Tipping Point?

Phenomena: Australia Wildfires, New South Wales, Victoria, Amazon, Siberia, Indonesia:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Climate change makes wildfires worse. Here's why.

Phenomena: Australia Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Sydney air quality 12 times worse than hazardous

Phenomena: Australia Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Aerial Footage Shows Scale of Fires in Australia

Phenomena: Australia’s Fraser Island Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Bush fires destroy forests on Australia’s Fraser Island

Phenomena: United Kingdom Surrey Wildfires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Chobham Common fire: Huge wildfire in Surrey as temps soar

Phenomena: Indonesia Peat Fires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Why are peatlands burning in Indonesia? BBC News

Phenomena: Indonesia Peat Fires:
Ecosystem Destruction(X)Climate Change: Indonesia on Fire

Monday, 8 February 2021

More on food prices

 I wanted to add this to the following article but at the end of the day the app has stopped responding:

Food shortages ahead for American consumers under Biden



World food prices rose in January for the eighth consecutive month, led by cereals, vegetable oils and sugar, according to a report by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations.

The FAO said that its food price index marked a 4.3 percent increase from December, reaching its highest level since July 2014. The index tracks monthly changes in the international prices of commonly traded food commodities.

The cereal price index showed a sharp 7.1 percent monthly increase led by a global surge in the price of maize, the crop North Americans call corn.

Maize prices spiked 11.2 percent and are now 42.3 percent above their January 2020 level, “reflecting increasingly tight global supply amid substantial purchases by China and lower-than-expected production and stock estimates in the United States of America as well as a temporary suspension of maize export registrations in Argentina.”

The report also said wheat rose 6.8 percent driven by strong global demand and expectations of reduced sales by Russia when its wheat export duty doubles in March 2021. Robust demand for rice from Asian and African buyers underpinned strong price growth for that crop. 

January vegetable oil sold for 5.8 percent more than December, hitting its highest price since May 2012. Drivers included lower-than-expected palm oil production in Indonesia and Malaysia "due to excessive rainfall and ongoing shortages in the migrant labor force, and prolonged strikes in Argentina reducing export availability for soy oil.”

The sugar price index was 8.1 percent higher than in December as robust global import demand spurred concerns about lower availabilities due to worsening crop prospects in the European Union, Russia and Thailand, as well as drier-than-normal weather conditions in South America. The FAO said the dairy price index also jumped by 1.6 percent, underpinned by China's high purchases ahead of the country's upcoming New Year holiday festivities amid seasonally lower exportable supplies in New Zealand. 

The meat price index’s 1.0 percent increase from December was led by “brisk global imports of poultry meat, especially from Brazil, amid avian influenza outbreaks that have constrained output and exports from several European countries,” said the report.

https://www.rt.com/business/514594-global-food-prices-record-high/

Tuesday, 13 October 2020

New Zealand Leaves Crops to Rot

 AGRICULTURAL TERROR: New Zealand Blocks Farmworkers, Leaves Crops to Rot


Attacks on our food supply continue at all levels: New Zealand has blocked farmworkers from entering, leaving crops to rot. Biden advocates mandatory COVID19 testing for farms, processing plants, and grocery stores, ensuring more shutdown of the food supply. Vandals hang bolts from corn, ruining thousands of acres of silage and potentially killing thousands of cattle in a "willful, specific act to harm livestock." A massive -- and full -- grain elevator in Marengo has burned to the ground. Christian breaks down the latest sabotage on our food supply chain.
The full show

Monday, 28 September 2020

China struggles to meet basic food demands

Another famine coming? China struggles to meet basic food demands


the Hill,

17 September, 2020


China, which embarked on the mission of becoming a superpower by showing its economic and military might to the world, now may be brought to its knees over a shortage of food. Reduction in overall domestic food production; a recent deluge in the Yangtze River basin, the rice bowl of China; and a slash in imports, mostly aggravated by deteriorating diplomatic relations, has caused Beijing to hit the panic button.

Chinese President Xi Jinping recently launched the “Clean Plate” campaign to ensure that food supplies do not deplete quickly and bring about a repetition of the 1959 Great Famine, in which millions of people starved to death. And recent skirmishes along the Sino-Indian border, as well as China’s aggression in the South China Sea, may be Xi’s strategy to divert attention from China’s pending food crisis, just as Mao Zedong did in 1962 to mask the failed Great Leap Forward movement.

The Yangtze River basin, which accounts for 70 percent of China’s rice production, has seen the worst floods since 1939, damaging millions of acres of cropland. According to the China Meteorological Administration, the country has experienced a 20 percent increase in heavy rainfall since 1961, taking the water level of more than 400 rivers above the flood control line, with 33 of them reaching record highs. The heavy rain has ravaged vast swaths of industrial and agricultural land, and experts warn the worst may be yet to come. 

Soaring prices of agricultural products are stoking food-security jitters in China. According to the China’s National Bureau of Statistics, food prices went up by 13 percent in July, compared to the previous July; the price of pork rose about 85 percent. On a year-on-year basis, food prices have increased by 10 percent in 2020 — the price of corn is 20 percent higher and the price of soybeans, 30 percent.

According to global financial group Nomura, China’s agricultural GDP could fall by nearly a percentage point in the July-September quarter, rendering losses of $1.7 billion (USD) in the agriculture output. Chinese brokerage firm Shenwan Hongyuan has anticipated that China could lose 11.2 million tons of grains this year, compared to last year. Although Xi claimed that the country’s grain output increased this year, imports of grains have gone up almost 22 percent, to 74 million tons in the first half of this year. Imports of wheat went up by a whopping 197 percent during the period.

This has forced Beijing to release 62.5 tons of rice, 50 tons of corn and 760,000 tons of soybeans from its strategic reserve — the amount is significantly higher than last year. 

Insect infestations also have caused great damage to China’s food sector. An invasion of fall armyworms and locusts devoured millions of acres of wheat and corn crops this year. African swine fever has forced authorities to kill more than 180 million pigs, or about 40 percent of China’s swine population, causing prices to soar. Imports of meat have jumped significantly in just one year.

It may come as no surprise that China has spoiled bilateral relations with those nations on whom it depends for its food. Increased hostilities, coupled with pandemic-related disruption in the supply chain and global commodity markets, have created huge barriers for Beijing to meet its domestic consumption demands and ensure enough stock for “rainy days.”

The United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Indonesia are among the top exporters of agriculture commodities to China. Despite its dispute over tariffs with the U.S., China still remains heavily dependent on the United States to meet its food demand. China’s agricultural imports in 2019 were pegged at $13.8 billion (USD), up from $9.1 billion in 2018, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Even during the first quarter of 2020, China imported farm products from the U.S. worth $5.08 billion, while its exports dropped by 17.2 percent in January and February and 6.6 percent in March.

Beijing has shot itself in its foot by banning agricultural products from Australia over its demand for an independent inquiry into the COVID-19 outbreak. Similarly, farm trade with Canada, New Zealand, Indonesia and India are in the doldrums over different issues, including the potential security threat from Huawei and border skirmishes. China’s food shortfall will only get worse in coming years unless it undertakes major agricultural reforms, warns the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

A key question is, can China buy enough food to feed its 1.4 billion people if domestic production does not increase and imports are its only mainstay? Surely, China’s food self-sufficiency rate must increase, but the current situation appears to preclude such an improvement.

It is difficult to ascertain the real situation since information coming out of China may not reflect the true severity of the crisis. However, Xi’s statements on the need for “gastronomic discipline” are reminiscent of similar instructions issued by Mao in 1959, at the beginning of the Great Famine (1958-1962). A combination of factors indicate that China is at risk for this history to repeat itself — a massive food shortage that could worsen into one of its biggest crises since the founding of the People’s Republic in 1949.

Jianli Yang is founder and president of Citizen Power Initiatives for China, a Tiananmen Massacre survivor, and a former political prisoner in China.

Ice Farmer on the engineered destruction of the food supply

 Christian Westbrook: Food Wars...the Engineered Destruction of Our Food Supply


Christian "The Ice Age Farmer" Westbrook discusses the engineered and deliberate destruction of our food supply. Pretexts cited to shut down farms and cull livestock include the spread of "coronavirus" between humans on farms, transmission from animals to humans, as well as outright sabotage of food storehouses. He describes the move to tax and eliminate meat and replace it with fake, synthetic, lab-grown foodstuffs. Power elites seeks to track and trace all food through artificial intelligence and the blockchain. He suggests everyone begin to grow their own food


Show Notes Perfect storm hits Kazakhstan egg industryhttps://www.poultryworld.net/Eggs/Art...

43% of small businesses say they’ll be forced to close permanentlyhttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/43-...

Lord Birkenhead's 1929 Predictions for 2029https://www.scribd.com/document/36111...

Fauci Warns That Earth Has Entered a “Pandemic Era”https://futurism.com/neoscope/fauci-w...

Food Chain Reaction crisis simulation ends with global carbon taxhttps://www.cargill.com/story/food-ch...


Sunday, 20 September 2020

Famine in China?

Another famine coming? China struggles to meet basic food demands 


the Hill,

17 September, 2020



China, which embarked on the mission of becoming a superpower by showing its economic and military might to the world, now may be brought to its knees over a shortage of food. Reduction in overall domestic food production; a recent deluge in the Yangtze River basin, the rice bowl of China; and a slash in imports, mostly aggravated by deteriorating diplomatic relations, has caused Beijing to hit the panic button.

Chinese President Xi Jinping recently launched the “Clean Plate” campaign to ensure that food supplies do not deplete quickly and bring about a repetition of the 1959 Great Famine, in which millions of people starved to death. And recent skirmishes along the Sino-Indian border, as well as China’s aggression in the South China Sea, may be Xi’s strategy to divert attention from China’s pending food crisis, just as Mao Zedong did in 1962 to mask the failed Great Leap Forward movement.

The Yangtze River basin, which accounts for 70 percent of China’s rice production, has seen the worst floods since 1939, damaging millions of acres of cropland. According to the China Meteorological Administration, the country has experienced a 20 percent increase in heavy rainfall since 1961, taking the water level of more than 400 rivers above the flood control line, with 33 of them reaching record highs. The heavy rain has ravaged vast swaths of industrial and agricultural land, and experts warn the worst may be yet to come. 

Soaring prices of agricultural products are stoking food-security jitters in China. According to the China’s National Bureau of Statistics, food prices went up by 13 percent in July, compared to the previous July; the price of pork rose about 85 percent. On a year-on-year basis, food prices have increased by 10 percent in 2020 — the price of corn is 20 percent higher and the price of soybeans, 30 percent.

According to global financial group Nomura, China’s agricultural GDP could fall by nearly a percentage point in the July-September quarter, rendering losses of $1.7 billion (USD) in the agriculture output. Chinese brokerage firm Shenwan Hongyuan has anticipated that China could lose 11.2 million tons of grains this year, compared to last year. Although Xi claimed that the country’s grain output increased this year, imports of grains have gone up almost 22 percent, to 74 million tons in the first half of this year. Imports of wheat went up by a whopping 197 percent during the period.

This has forced Beijing to release 62.5 tons of rice, 50 tons of corn and 760,000 tons of soybeans from its strategic reserve — the amount is significantly higher than last year. 

Insect infestations also have caused great damage to China’s food sector. An invasion of fall armyworms and locusts devoured millions of acres of wheat and corn crops this year. African swine fever has forced authorities to kill more than 180 million pigs, or about 40 percent of China’s swine population, causing prices to soar. Imports of meat have jumped significantly in just one year.

It may come as no surprise that China has spoiled bilateral relations with those nations on whom it depends for its food. Increased hostilities, coupled with pandemic-related disruption in the supply chain and global commodity markets, have created huge barriers for Beijing to meet its domestic consumption demands and ensure enough stock for “rainy days.”

The United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Indonesia are among the top exporters of agriculture commodities to China. Despite its dispute over tariffs with the U.S., China still remains heavily dependent on the United States to meet its food demand. China’s agricultural imports in 2019 were pegged at $13.8 billion (USD), up from $9.1 billion in 2018, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Even during the first quarter of 2020, China imported farm products from the U.S. worth $5.08 billion, while its exports dropped by 17.2 percent in January and February and 6.6 percent in March.

Beijing has shot itself in its foot by banning agricultural products from Australia over its demand for an independent inquiry into the COVID-19 outbreak. Similarly, farm trade with Canada, New Zealand, Indonesia and India are in the doldrums over different issues, including the potential security threat from Huawei and border skirmishes. China’s food shortfall will only get worse in coming years unless it undertakes major agricultural reforms, warns the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

A key question is, can China buy enough food to feed its 1.4 billion people if domestic production does not increase and imports are its only mainstay? Surely, China’s food self-sufficiency rate must increase, but the current situation appears to preclude such an improvement.

It is difficult to ascertain the real situation since information coming out of China may not reflect the true severity of the crisis. However, Xi’s statements on the need for “gastronomic discipline” are reminiscent of similar instructions issued by Mao in 1959, at the beginning of the Great Famine (1958-1962). A combination of factors indicate that China is at risk for this history to repeat itself — a massive food shortage that could worsen into one of its biggest crises since the founding of the People’s Republic in 1949.

Jianli Yang is founder and president of Citizen Power Initiatives for China, a Tiananmen Massacre survivor, and a former political prisoner in China.