Thursday, 18 October 2012

The World economy


Thailand’s Surprise Rate Cut Shows Worsening Asia Outlook

Thailand’s central bank voted to cut interest rates four days after Governor Prasarn Trairatvorakul said no easing was needed, adding to evidence Asia’s outlook has worsened and supporting a government push to shore up growth.

The Bank of Thailand lowered its one-day bond repurchase rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 2.75 percent, it said in Bangkok yesterday. The decision was predicted by three of 23 economists in a Bloomberg News survey, while the rest expected no change. The monetary policy committee voted 5-2 in favor of a cut, it said in a statement, without disclosing names.

Thailand’s exports have slumped as a growth slowdown in China and austerity measures in Europe hurt demand for Asian goods, prompting South Korea to lower borrowing costs while the Philippines said it won’t rule out further easing. The Thai central bank said there was no political interference in yesterday’s decision, seeking to distance its action from Finance Minister Kittiratt Na-Ranong’s call for lower rates and a weaker baht to help exporters.


Germany chops 2013 growth forecast on euro crisis


Two years after expanding at its fastest rate since reunification, Germany's economic growth is seen at just 1 percent next year, finally hit by the euro zone crisis that has hammered most of its partners.

The government chopped its 2013 growth forecast on Wednesday to 1 percent, down from a 1.6 percent forecast in April. For this year, the economy ministry expects growth of 0.8 percent, up from 0.7 percent in April.



Cyprus Expects Swift Bailout as S&P Cuts Deeper to Junk


Cyprus said on Wednesday it expected talks to start with lenders on badly needed aid next week, as ratings agency Standard & Poor's pushed it deeper into junk territory, implying domestic political expediency lay behind a delay in clinching a deal.

One of the smallest nations in the euro zone, Cyprus sought European Union (EU) and International Monetary Fund (IMF) aid in June after its two largest banks suffered huge losses due to a write-down of Greek debt.

A conclusion with lenders on aid has been plagued by delays as the island's government attempted to get the public onside with an austerity package pending since July.


Japan-China island spat hurts both as aluminum demand slows



The spat between Japan and China over the East China Sea islands was hurting both countries' economies, and the effects of this dispute has begun to trickle down to impact various industrial sectors, including the aluminum market, industry sources said this week.

The declining sales of Japanese cars and electronic appliances in China were affecting Japanese manufacturers, the Chinese metal suppliers and others down the supply chain.

The current slowdown in Japanese car sales in China has lowered demand for ADC12 aluminum alloy, which is used for car engines.



China Third Quarter GDP Growth 7.4% on Year, Below Official Target


China's economy slowed for a seventh straight quarter in July-September, missing the government's target for the first time since the depths of the global financial crisis.

The National Bureau of Statistics said GDP grew 7.4 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier - in line with forecasts from economists polled by Reuters - the first miss of the official target since 6.5 percent growth in the first quarter of 2009.

"This is within expectations, the economy is showing signs of stabilizing, that is good news," said Dong Tao, an economist at Credit Suisse in Hong Kong.

"We think that with rebounding property markets, stabilizing export orders, resuming consumption, we probably have seen the bottom of the economy. The economy can bounce back quickly."


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