Nothing
could illustrate the conundrum facing economists and policymakers in
an era of a collapsing economy and the end of cheap resources.
-- Seemorerocks
Those
in charge hold onto their right-wing policies and condemn many to
poverty and unemployment as the country moves into a deflationary
depression.
The
critics are right in their condemnation of this but, being wedded to
the concept of Infinite Growth, are putting forward solutions that
would see New Zealand join the rest of the world in a race to devalue
their currencies through Quantitative Easing – a kind of 'race to
the bottom'.
Ganesh Nana is probably right that while the one policy will lead to inflation, the other will lead to deflation.
At
the time of the elections I roundly critcized
the Greens for their runnng their campaign based on 'for a richer
New Zealand'.
For
the record, at the time of the election. (November last year) the
Greens were in denial about the state of the economy.
They
have without a doubt provided a powerful political opposition to this
quasi-fascist government.
In this they have my support.
It will be a popular stance that will probably translate into votes in the next election.
In this they have my support.
It will be a popular stance that will probably translate into votes in the next election.
However,
their adoption of a pro-growth, slightly-to-the-left-of Labout
position is also deluded, and probably unprincipled.
-- Seemorerocks
Government dismisses proposal to print more money
Economic
Development Minister Steven Joyce says the Green Party's proposals to
drive down the New Zealand dollar are half-baked, and change isn't
needed as the economy is stable.
8
October, 2012
The
Council of Trade Unions, and some economists, back the party's
proposal to tame the dollar and pay for the Christchurch rebuild by
what is known as quantitative easing - printing more money.
The
Greens want the Reserve Bank to consider the exchange rate as well as
inflation, and to cut overseas debt by printing an extra $2 billion
to buy the Government's earthquake bonds.
Mr
Joyce says the Government is taking a sensible and conservative
approach, and the Green's proposals would harm the country's
reputation.
"What
the Greens are proposing would literally cause the international
community to doubt New Zealand's economic priorities quite
significantly, and it literally would be a case of talking the
economy down to other countries which are in much tougher situations
than we are."
Many
of New Zealand's key trading partners, including Britain, the
European Union and the United States have carried out quantitative
easing in the last couple of years, but Mr Joyce says the approach
has only been embraced by countries in crippling debt and hasn't
worked in Japan and Switzerland.
Mr
Joyce told Radio New Zealand's Morning
Report the
dollar is high because the rest of the world sees the New Zealand
economy as having better prospects than those of Britain or the US.
Greens'
co-leader Russel Norman says the idea of using monetary policy to
address the exchange rate level as well as inflation has become
mainstream thinking, backed by such figures as the chief economist of
the International Monetary Fund.
He
told Morning
Report research
indicates countries that have printed more money have not at this
stage experienced inflationary problems.
Employer, union groups at odds
Employers
and Manufacturers Association chief executive Kim Campbell says
printing more money would make overseas banks reluctant to lend to
New Zealand at a time when businesses are in desperate need of
investment.
Mr
Campbell says it's up to businesses to become more productive, and
for the Government to encourage foreign investment and cut red tape.
The
association points out that while the high exchange rate makes it
tough for exporters, many businesses rely on imported goods, like
petrol, so the high dollar isn't all bad.
Council
of Trade Unions economist Bill Rosenberg says the high exchange rate
is costing jobs, as exporters can't compete with the flood of cheap
imports.
He
says with unemployment heading towards the 7% peak of the 2008 global
financial crisis, the Government should abandon its hands-off
approach to monetary policy.
However
Institute of Economic Research principal economist, Shamubeel Eaqub
says bringing down the dollar wouldn't necessarily stop manufacturing
jobs going off-shore and quantitative easing could turn New Zealand
into the "Zimbabwe of the Pacific".
"In
the short term you would get the benefit of essentially having free
money, but over the longer term it would reduce the value of the New
Zealand dollar and raise the cost of living for all New Zealanders."
Consultancy
firm BERL says the manufacturing sector is being destroyed by the
high exchange rate, which is out of kilter with the rest of the
economy.
Chief
economist Ganesh Nana supports the Green Party proposals, saying New
Zealand needs an appropriate exchange rate in order to create a
high-value manufacturing industry that can compete internationally.

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