Given
the events of the last day or so it will be necessary to watch Egypt:
this article is from about a week ago.
If I was in Israel I'd be worried.
Art
Cashin On The Forgotten Geopolitical Risk
No, not Italy, and certainly not Spain. Egypt.
16
April, 2012
From
UBS Financial markets
Geo-Politics
Still Ignored - Veteran traders have wondered for weeks about the
markets whistling past a variety of geopolitical challenges. Yes!
Yes! I know about Spain and Italy but they are potential financial
crises not truly political ones.
A
good example is the deteriorating situation in Egypt. The Muslim
Brotherhood went back on it initial promise and backed a candidate
for president. That raised the likelihood of a religious government
and possible rule by Sharia law.
The
ruling generals appeared to counter by encouraging a second Sharia
candidate to possibly split that vote. Then they entered a law and
order secular candidate to block a shift to religious government.
The
courts (thought to be influenced by the generals) ruled several
candidates eligible (to enable that strategy). Meanwhile, an election
commission threw a wrench in the whole thing by disqualifying ten
candidates.
As
the political outlook disintegrates, the country is running short of
both food stuffs and currency reserves. The world’s most populous
Arab nation (and Israel’s next door neighbor) looks less stable
each day.
And
then there’s Iran.
But
didn't America encourage this particular chain of events? After all,
doesn't America know what is best for all?
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