In
an eerie reminder of a possible nuclear catastrophe, a senior
Ukrainian energy official revealed that the attack on transmission
towers that cut off the delivery of electricity from Ukraine to
Crimea also created an emergency situation at nuclear power plants.
The
apparent act of sabotage in Ukraine’s Kherson region forced an
emergency power unloading at several Ukrainian nuclear power plants,
which can be extremely dangerous, according to the first deputy
director of Ukraine’s energy company Ukrenergo, Yuriy Katich.
Russia’s
Crimea was forced to switch to autonomous reserve power after
transmission towers in the adjacent Ukrainian region were blown up,
causing a blackout. Meanwhile, the repairs were delayed by Right
Sector and Crimean Tatar“activists” attempting
to block crews from getting to the scene. None of the groups have
accepted responsibility.
“All
of these events have led to an additional emergency shutdown of the
electrical network of two units at thermal power plants – the
Dnieper and Uglegorskaya – and the emergency unloading by 500 MW of
nuclear power plants in Ukraine. This includes Zaporozhskaya NPP and
the South Ukrainian NPP. I want to stress that such emergency
unloading of a nuclear plant – it is very dangerous,” 112.
Ukraine online portal quoted Katich as saying.
Earlier
Katich said that due to the damage to the electricity towers, there
is a risk that 50 percent of Kherson and Nikolaev regions could also
be left without power.
He
added that repairs are likely take up to three or four days, under
the condition that the crew gets access to the site.
So
far, local media has reported that the
so-called “activists,”including
Right Sector militants, said they would let the repairs to be done
only if they won’t be reconnecting “occupied” Crimea
to the Ukrainian grid.
Crimea’s
chief prosecutor, Natalia Poklonskaya, has called the blowing up of
the transmission towers sabotage, which “has
created a threat to lives and wellbeing of some 2 million people of
various nationalities,” while
a regional authority suggested qualifying it as “an
act of terror.”
Late
Saturday, Crimean authorities rushed to connect hospitals and other
vital infrastructure to reserve power stations and generators after
the four main transmission lines from Ukraine were cut off due to the
collapse of four electricity towers.
The
Crimean Emergencies Ministry has declared a state of emergency due to
the complete power outage. Nearly 1.9 million people were left partly
or fully without electricity.
Important
public facilities and infrastructure have been wired up to reserve
sources of energy.
Right
now, all major Crimean cities are working on reserve energy supplies.
However, due to a lack of power supplies, scheduled electricity and
water outages have been introduced.
Ukraine’s
Right Sector Plans to Repeat Bloodbath in Odessa
The
Ukrainian terrorist organization Right Sector is planning a
large-scale provocative action in Odessa that could match last year’s
massacre in the city, according to information from the neo-Nazis’
closed groups on social media, TV Channel Zvezda reported.
The
Ukrainian neo-Nazis are planning the event on Sunday.
Nationalists of all sorts are flocking to Odessa after one
of their leaders spread rumors that anti-Maidan activists will
allegedly organize a rally.
Anti-Maidan
activists denied that they planned a rally. Right Sector militants,
however, don't believe that and are ready to brutally repress
those who disagree with their extreme political ideology.
The
potential outcome could be a bloodbath on the streets of Odessa,
similar to May 2, 2014 when Ukrainian ultra-nationalists
brutally murdered 48 people in the House of Trade Unions
building during clashes with anti-Maidan activists.
As
of late, the Right Sector has spiraled out of control. Last
month, the Mukachevo shooting incident between Right Sector
militants and the local police left three people dead and 13 injured.
Right Sector leader Dmytro Yarosh blamed the local police
for starting the shootout, even though Right Sector militants
were driving to the town of Mukachevo armed with a
heavy-machine gun on top of a truck
The
armed clashes between Right Sector activists and the police,
as well as warlike plans of the extremist group's
members to get rid of the current government, have caused
people to talk about the opening of a second front.
According
to available information published by zakarpattya.depo.ua and
mukachevo.today, at approximately 2000 hours an Mi-8 helicopter
equipped with anti-tank guided missile launchers delivered a group of
Ukrainian soldiers to between the town of Velikoye Bereznoye and the
village of Zabryd. Right Sector positions located in the forested
area were subsequently subjected to an airstrike.
J.Hawk's
Comment: All this because of a dozen Right Sector militants? Who,
frankly, might not even be there anymore, given how close this area
is to Poland and Slovakia? It seems like a gross over-reaction, but
one has to remember that the Ukrainian military literally doesn't
know how to act in any other way after a year of fighting on the
Donbass. And we know how effective they were in the East...
Zakharchenko,
Deinego and Pushilin have set a trap for Poroshenko
Top
Novorussian officials from the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s
Republics (Zakharchenko, Deinego and Pushilin) have held a joint
press conference and officially announced that they had taken the
unilateral decision to withdraw
by no less than 3km from the line of contact all their weapons up to
a 100mm caliber (weapons
of a heavier caliber were supposed to have already been withdrawn
according to the Minsk-2 Agreement (M2A); the Novorussians complied,
the junta in Kiev did not). Before that, the Novorussians had
already done a similar unilateral action by withdrawing all their
forces by over 1km from the town of Shirokino. Predictably, the
Ukronazis did not follow suit and stayed on their positions (but did
not dare enter Shirokino either, at least as far as I know).
Novorussian
withdrawal from Shirokino
This
time around, the Ukronazis greeted the new “gesture of goodwill”
of the Novorussians with an unprecedented barrage of artillery fire
on the city of Donestsk which, again, was shelled all night long.
So
what is going on here? Have the Novorussians suddenly gone
crazy?
Far
from it.
In
fact, they have set a very elegant trap for Poroshenko and his
western backers. Here is how it work.
Political
level:
On
a political level the Novorussians are bending over backwards to
prove to anybody willing to listen that they are truly complying with
all the provisions of M2A. The problem, of course, is that
nobody in the West is willing to listen. In response, the
Novorussians are multiplying the initiatives to make it harder and
harder for western leaders to ignore the facts on the ground which
are simple: the junta has not even begun complying with M2A while the
Novorussians have complied. As soon as Zakharchenko, Deinego
and Pushilin made their announcement, Lavrov called Steinmeier to
stress that the Novorussians were doing everything they could and
that the pressure should now be put on Poroshenko to follow suit.
Now, of course Lavrov knows that Steinmeier is a US puppets and takes
his orders from Uncle Sam and, more importantly, Lavrov also knows
that Poroshenko cannot implement M2A, but since M2A was signed, the
Russians are now pretending as
if the Ukrainians could abide by its terms and they make sure that
they, and their BRICS/SCO allies, mantrically repeat that “the
Minsk 2 Agreements are the only way to solve this conflict“.
In reality, of course, M2A is the best way to achieve regime change
in the Ukraine. Why?
Because
even though Poroshenko has not implemented any of the M2A points, he
is already being openly attacked by the Right Sector and the various
Ukronazi parties for not decisively fighting the oligarchs and the
Novorussians. The situation in the western Ukraine is now dead
serious and Dmitri Iarosh has openly described the regime in Kiev
“traitors” and called for the numerous Ukronazi deathsquads to
rebel and disobey Poroshenko’s orders.
Poroshenko
would love to prove his patriotism by triggering yet another large
scale attack on Novorussia, but the problem here is that this already
failed the last two times around and that the Novorussians are now
even much stronger than they used to be.
Military
aspect:
Though
only an actually full scale resumption of hostilities would test this
hypothesis, there is very strong evidence that the Novorussians have
successfully achieved their transition from a decentralized militia
force to a unified regular army. This means that they can potentially
go from tactical victories tooperational
level counter-attacks
posing a major risk for the regime in Kiev. They clearly have
enough men under arms and they openly admit that their equipment is
“adequate”. Hopefully, so is their command and control
(which used to be terrible). Even more telling is the fact that
the Novorussian leaders are all clearly very confident about their
ability not only to push back any Ukronazi attack, but to
counter-attack and inflict major losses. Zakharchenko has
openly said so many times. Time was always on the Novorussian
side and now this is finally paying off.
The
Novorussian confidence is best illustrated by the fact that even
though Novorussian intelligence services have established that there
are currently 70’000 junta soldiers backed by heavy armor and
artillery all along the line of contact they still went ahead with
their unilateral withdrawal. Besides, the Novorussians
have had plenty of time to carefully prepare the terrain along the
likely axis of attack of the junta forces which, if they attack, will
be carefully channeled into carefully prepared fire pockets and
destroyed. I also suppose that the Novorussians have
dramatically improved their mobility and fire coordination which will
make it much easier for them to engage any attacking force.
So
the reality is this: the Novorussians are really not taking much of a
risk with their unilateral actions. In fact, they have very
nicely combined good political PR and sound military tactics.
Poroshenko’s dilemma
Poroshenko
is in a terrible situation. The Ukrainian economy is basically
dead. There is nothing left to salvage, nevermind turn the tide
and overcome the crushing economic crisis. The Right Sector is up in
arms and very, very angry. Folks in the western Ukraine are
already seriously considering demanding their own special autonomy
status. As for Odessa with Saakashvili in charge and the
daughter of Egor Gaidar as Deputy Governor,
it will inevitably explode, especially since the USA officially pays
their salaries.
When
Poroshenko goes to the Rada he has to look “tough”, i.e. say the
exact opposite of what he committed to do according to M2A. But
since even the White House has called the M2A the only solution,
Poroshenko is put in the crazy situation of having to look like a
peacemaker by day, and execute Nuland’s crazy orders by night.
By now Poroshenko has probably already figured out that he is being
used like both a pawn and a fall guy by the USA: when he will be
forced to order an attack on Novorussia and this attack inevitably
fails, he will be blamed for it all. Why would the USA order
Poroshenko to attack even though such an attack is sure to result in
yet another defeat? For two reasons: the (now rather
hypothetical) hope that Russia might intervene and because that is
the perfect way to get rid of Poroshenko. Unsurprisingly,
Poroshenko has no desire to lose power and, most likely, die, so he
is doing his best to avoid taking that dramatic step while continuing
to shell Donetsk and the rest of the cities of the Donbass just to
prove his “patriotism” and military “prowess”. The
problem with that “solution” is that this kind of shelling does
*nothing* to weaken the Novorussian armed forces but only serves to
further enrage the people of Novorussia.
When
the attack comes
So
what will happen when the probably inevitable attack comes? My
guess is that the Novorussians will rapidly and effectively counter
it and mount an immediate counter offensive, probably towards
Mariupol and/or Slaviansk. At this point the junta will freak
out again and beg its western patrons to stop the Novorussians (which
is exactly what happened before Minsk 1 and 2). Obama and Kerry
will probably have the nerve to blame Russia for it all again, but in
Europe the elites will be in full panic mode, not only because
“their” guy clearly was the one to violate M2A and the one to
have launched the attack, but also because they will be terrified of
the possible depth of the Novorussian counter-attack (their biggest
fear is a coastal corridor to the Crimean Peninsula). Remember
the Sarkozy trip to Moscow to beg the Russians not to enter Tbilissi
in 2008? I would not be surprised if something similar happened
again (with Merkel or Hollande in Sakozy’s role). And, again,
Putin will probably order the Novorussians to stop , but the terrain
they would seize would remain in their hands, like in Debaltsevo.
Everybody would have to accept that, however reluctantly. At
which point I would expect a complete collapse of the regime in
Kiev. Who could replace it then?
Regime
change sure! But for what?
I
only see two options here. Option one is a military coup to
“save the Ukraine” and “restore peace”. That would be
a de-facto end
of the entire Ukronazi experiment and a basic acceptance of the Putin
plan: a de-centralized, unitary and neutral Ukraine with a right of
self-determination guaranteed by the Constitution. The other
option is an openly Nazi
regime of Bandera freaks à
la Right
Sector and the various death squads. The accession to power
by bona
fide Nazis
will, of course, only re-start the process of breakup of the rump
Ukraine which, form the Russian point of view, this is also
a temporarily acceptable
outcome. Russia cannot accept having permanent and unitary
russophobic “Banderastan” on her borders, but a breakup of the
Ukraine into several “zones of control” by various Urkonazi gangs
presents no danger to Russia at all. I would argue that the
worst regime for Russia (and Novorussia, of course) is what we have
now: a unitary Ukraine ruled by a completely immoral and spineless
oligarch in power, surrounded by Victoria Nuland’s minions in all
key positions, with the official recognition and support of the
EU/IMF/WB/etc. This configuration clearly has the greatest
potential to threaten Russia and it already actually murders people
in Novorussia every day. But if the Ukraine follows the Libyan
or Iraqi “democracy model” then it will be a much bigger problem
for the EU than for Russia.
Putin
and Zakharchenko have all the time in the world
The
“Ukronazi Ukraine” has by now already acquired enough
self-destructive momentum for Putin and Zakharchenko to sit back and
wait. They don’t have to do anything right now other than to
prepare for a very likely and desperate suicide-attack by the junta
against Novorussia. Should that happen, the Novorussian will be
ready to counter-attack and fast and as deep as possible and then
stop again and restart the mantra about “we
support the territory integrity of the Ukraine”
while thinking “but
we can’t help it if the damn thing falls apart“.
Obama and Kerry will, of course, blame Russia for it all, but for who
long can anybody blame somebody for doing absolutely *nothing*?
The
people of Novorussia unfortunately don’t
The
toughest situation so far has been for the people of Novorussia who
could take little comfort in the nice theory that time is on “their”
side while shells are landing on their houses, schools and
hospitals. For them, every minute of this horror was was an
emergency which had to be stopped now. Things are
now starting to get really ugly in the Nazi-occuppied Ukraine too.
Check out this video of a famous Ukrainian blogger (in exile in
Russia irrc) in which he reports how the “Ukrop” party (of
Kolmoiskii and Iarosh) is trying to get votes by distributing food:
(please
press ‘cc’ to see the English subtitles)
Scary
no?
And
it is only going to get worse, much worse.
Politically, economically and socially the Ukraine is dead, even if
the body is will warm. Only a regime change followed by the
inevitable de-Nazification, combined with a long term and major
international stabilization and reconstruction program might,
eventually and slowly, allow the Ukraine to return to some modicum of
normalcy, and that only if Russia plays a major role in this effort.
Since such an outcome is absolutely unacceptable for the AngloZionist
Empire, the Ukraine will continue to be a “black hole” like
Kosovo, Libya or Somalia – a failed state with abject poverty ruled
by thugs and Mafia dons. For this reason, a breakup of the
country into several smaller entities is probably the least bad
option for everybody, especially the Ukrainians themselves.
One
big explosion or several smaller ones?
What
if you were offered the choice to either be in the room A where 100gr
of TNT would be detonated at once, or in room B where 5 times 20gr of
TNT would be detonated sequentially, with some possibly not exploding
at all? The choice is obvious, right? The same goes for
the Ukraine.
There
might be much less danger for the entire continent if the Ukraine was
allowed to break up in several parts (Donbass, Central, Souther and
Western for example) and this might be much better for the local
population too. For one thing some parts are far more viable
than others. They are also very different. And since the
Ukraine in its current borders is both a creation of Lenin and Stalin
and has no basis in history anyway, a breakup might be a much safer
and more natural process than desperate attempts to keep this
artificial entity alive. In ideological terms the Ukraine is a
fantastic idea: a large virulently anti-Russian state ‘protecting’
the rest of Europe from the Russian hordes. Great! But as
soon as one looks at the practicalities of such a project it becomes
immediately clear that it is a crazy notion born in the sick minds of
the rabidly russophobic western religious and political elites.
The only question is this: will the western plutocrats agree to give
up on the monster they created? The future of Russian does not
depend on the answer, but the future of Europe probably will.
There is MAJOR trouble in Ukraine that has long been predicted but you would be forgiven for not knowing that anything was going on by reading western MSM.
It looks to me as if Poroshenko is trying to control the situation while his PM Yatsenyuk is behind the fascists
The only way Kiev is going to control this is to mount another "anti-terrorist operation". But this means fighting on two fronts.
Here is a collection of stories from a variety of sources
Right
Sector Clash With Police Threatens Government Split in Kiev
Right
Sector attacked police with machine guns and rocket launchers,
killing officers and civilians
Instead
of being promptly shut down significant political forces are taking
its side
The
clash was a turf war between rival cigarette smugglers one of which
is a Right Sector financier
On
Saturday, Ukraine’s neofascist Right Sector (Praviy Sektor or PS)
militia movement attacked police in the western, Transcarpathian
village of Mukachevo. Taking place far from the Donbass front, this
was another case of the PS marauding across Ukraine’s countryside
trying to raise money in order to boost its hopes of building a
totalitarian, xenophobic, and exclusivist greater Ukraine; one
‘superior to Europe’ and antagonistic towards Russia.
In
particular, PS was involved in a settling of scores between two
Transcarpatian criminal ‘authorities’ who are
simultaneously deputies in the Supreme Rada – the parliament
of the ‘new democratic Ukraine’. One of kingpin-deputies, Viktor
Baloga, is said to finance PS. A relationship PS struck up an in
order to help finance its recruiting, propaganda, political, and
military efforts.
In
the battle that ensued – with PS using machine guns and a grenade
launcher – several police and several civilians were killed and
wounded, with up to 14 casualties, according to some reports.
Security
forces flooded in but instead of attacking and arresting the PS
fighters, negotiations ensued; some of them involving directly or
indirectly Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko himself and his
Interior Minister, Arsen Avakov, who implemented the policy of
forming volunteer battalions to include a large component of
neofascists, given their ‘patriotic enthusiasm.’
The
PS continues to refuse to disarm and convened demonstrations in Kiev
at the presidential administration and some ten provincial capitols,
and other neofascist groups and their battalions are backing PS.
Even
the recently fired head of Ukraine’s intelligence service, the
Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), Valentin Nalyvaichenko,
backed PS against the Porosehnko-led factions of the Maidan regime.
For in post-Orange Revolution Ukraine, ‘patriotism,’ which often
morphs into ultra-natioalism and neo-fascism, trumps everything –
from criminality to rule of law to democratic procedure.
It
is now clear that the Maidan regime’s policy of allowing PS and
like-minded elements to enter the corridors of power, the halls of
parliament, and staffs of the army and National Guard and arming tens
of neofascist-dominated battalions to the teeth in order to avoid
negotiating with the Donbass rebels has been proved a
catastrophic failure.
Ukraine
is now faced with even greater political instability than before.
President
Poroshenko is now faced with the Hobson’s choice of either
disarming PS and other armed neo-fascist groups and their
‘battalions’ in order to establish the Maidan regime’s monopoly
over the means of coercion or fashioning yet another compromise
with neofascism.
In
the event he chooses the former, there is a risk of a second civil
war on Ukrainian territory and the rise of a neo-fascist insurgency.
In
the event he chooses the latter, he will only increase the likelihood
of a neofascist-led coup or revolt down the road.
Either
way, Poroshenko’s life and that of the Maidan regime are now at
grave risk.
Indeed,
there is some reason to conclude that the conflict in Mukachevo and
its broadening could lead to a regime split.
For
now, the split is contained within the legislative branch, with the
Petro Poroshenko Bloc (PPB) backing a crackdown on PS, Prime Minister
Arsen Yatsenyuk’s National Front taking an ambiguous position,
calling for personnel changes in Transcarpathia and the Customs
Police, and the three smaller factions (the ultra-nationalist Radical
Party, the moderately nationalist party Self-Help, and the Yulia
Tymoshenko’s national chauvinist Fatherland party) backing PS’s
call for MVD chief Arsen Avakov’s resignation (Link).
The
questions are whether the National Front will abandon the coalition
with the PPB and three small factions and whether the split
will extend into the executive branch.
Finally,
will the conflict spark high-ranking defections to the
ultra-nationalist opposition camp led by PS and other
ultra-nationalist groups outside parliament like the Svoboda Party,
the Social-National Assembly, the Black Committee, Revansh
and others.
As
I have tried to warn for years, Ukraine and all other post-Soviet
states (with the exception of the Baltic states on some parameters)
are not very different from each other, suffering from excess of
nationalism, intolerance, corruption, criminality, conflictive
political cultures, and authoritarianism.
In
such countries, when the regimes falter, coups and revolutions follow
close behind. Where coups and revolutions come, often so do political
chaos, economic dislocation, civil war and state failure.
Thus,
the EU’s haste to maneuver Ukraine into an association agreement in
November 2013 with strong American backing along the West’s
encouragement of the Maidan revolution instead of a negotiated
transition in Kiev have been nothing short of catastrophic for
Ukraine and the EU.
Relations
with their most powerful neighbor – Russia – are strained to the
breaking point and fraught with the risk of war. Moreover, the
instability wrought in Ukraine rather than complicating matters just
on Russia’s borders is now reaching the EU’s borders.
The
contraband cigarette trade that was the object of the dispute between
two Rada deputies/Transcarpathian criminal kingpins in ‘democratic
Ukraine’ went across state borders into Hungary and
perhaps Romania.
The
village of Mukachevo, where the fatal gun battle took place and where
PS fighters disappeared into the hills is close to Ukraine’s
borders with Hungary, Romania, Poland, and Slovakia.
In
closing, I would suggest that the American, Canadian, Polish and
other military trainers and advisors walking the lands of the
neo-fascists in Lviv, Volyn, Ternopol and other places in western
(and elsewhere in) Ukraine start aggressively weeding out the
neo-fascists among their charges and begin training Ukraine’s army
and government to do battle with their real enemy – Ukrainian
ultra-nationalism – before it is too late, if it is not already.
I
would also suggest to those focused exclusively on expanding American
power, especially when it comes at Russia’s expense – to people
like Deputy Secretary of State Victoria Nuland – that they resign
and repent before the ‘mothers, children, and grandmothers’ of
‘the Maidan’ – where, like in the rest of Ukraine, in her
incompetent view, neo-fascists have never been.
Poroshenko
to Be ‘Executed in Dark Basement’ After Coup – Right Sector
Ukrainian
President Petro Poroshenko should be worried, as things are getting
hot on the streets of Kiev amid the standoff between the Ukrainian
government and the Neo-Nazi radical group Right Sector.
The
extremist group said Poroshenko won't be able to flee from the
country in the event of a coup, as did his predecessor Viktor
Yanukovych in February of 2014, the Voice of America (VOA) reported,
citing Artem Skoropadsky, the press secretary of the Right Sector.
"If
there's a new revolution, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and
his supporters won't be able to escape from the country, as did the
previous president. They can't expect anything, but an execution in
some dark basement carried out by a group of young Ukrainian soldiers
or members of the National Guard," Skoropadsky warned the
current president, as quoted by VOA.
Last
week, the Right Sector openly challenged the government after a
violent skirmish with police in the town of Mukachevo. The incident
left three men dead and 13 wounded.
Kiev
declared a manhunt operation. In response, the Right Sector staged
rallies across Ukrainian cities, including Kiev, demanding the
resignation of Interior Minister Arsen Avakov.
Currently,
there is a split between the Kiev regime and the union of several
nationalist groups led by the Right Sector. Interestingly, a year and
a half ago, Petro Poroshenko's team and the Right Sector worked
together during the Maidan protests ousting previous president
Yanukovych.
After
the last year coup, the nationalists went to Donbass planning to
annihilate Donbass residents who opposed Poroshenko's government.
Kiev was actively supporting the nationalists fighting in the eastern
part of the country, but the government never had full control over
these radical groups.
Having
started collaborating with the Right Sector for the Donbass war, the
Ukrainian government is now in some kind of a trap. On the one hand,
Kiev needs radicals to wage the war in the east, on the other hand,
the Right Sector discredits Ukraine for its Western partners. The
nationalists ended up with lots of arms and battlefield experience,
and now they're strong enough to openly challenge the government.
The
Right Sector poses a threat of further escalation. Citing the group's
spokesperson, Der Spiegel said that the nationalists were ready to
send two armed formations to Kiev. Two of their units are stationed
in Donbass, and there are 18 or 19 more battalions awaiting orders.
On
Monday during a briefing of the National Council for Security and
Defense, Poroshenko demanded that the Interior Ministry, the Security
Service of Ukraine, and other law enforcement agencies disarm all
illegal armed groups operating in Ukraine. The Right Sector refused
to lay down arms saying it is not an illegal armed formation, but "a
volunteer corps which protects the sovereignty and territorial
integrity of the Ukrainian nation."
The
Right Sector was formed as a coalition of nationalist and neo-Nazi
organizations during the Maidan protests in Kiev at the end of 2013.
In November 2014, Russia's Supreme Court blacklisted the Right Sector
as an extremist organization and banned its activity in Russia.
Earlier, Russia launched a criminal case against leader Dmitry Yarosh
for public incitement of terrorism.
Extremist
organization "Right sector" had set up checkpoints around
the city of Lvov and is de facto controlling the city, said the
representative of the office of the Right Sector in the Lvov
region, Taras Kuzyak.
"Our
organization is on call going to all emergency situations [has
taken over the function of municipal police - KR],
de facto controls the city to avoid provocations. To this end, we
set up roadblocks around the city," - Kuzyak said Tuesday to
UNN agency.
The
Radicals of the "Right sector" deny involvement in the
bombings near police stations in Lvov, which occurred Tuesday
morning, and are confident that the organizers of the terrorist
attacks are "anti-Ukrainian forces".
The
first explosion occurred on Tuesday near a police station in Lvov,
when the officer of the Railway district police department unlocked
the office on the Plugovaya street. According to the Interior
Ministry, a mine was detonated. The injured lieutenant was
hospitalized, his condition is estimated as critical.
Later
in the day in Lvov there was another explosion, this time near a
local police station, wounding inspector of the district
department.
The
Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine tied the two morning
explosions at police stations in Lvov with the events in the
Transcarpathian region, where over the weekend there was a skirmish
between the police and the radicals of the "Right sector".
The department has classified both the explosion as a terrorist
attack.
The
leader of the faction "Self-help" [Lvov
based "Samopomosh" which favors decentralisation of
Ukraine and more autonomy for Lvov - KR]
in the Ukrainian Parliament, Oleg Berezyuk proposed to hold an
urgent meeting of the council of the coalition and hear the report
of the Minister of Internal Affairs, the head of the SBU and the
Prosecutor General in connection with the bombings in
Lvov. *** Update
from Searchnews.info: The
public in Ukraine is inclined to think that the explosions are the
work of the nationalists from the “Right sector”, who wanted to
take control of the cultural capital of Ukraine [it
has become a cultural center due to its Polish and Jewish heritage
before it has been 'purified' by the banderites - KR],
where they enjoy great support among the local
population. Recently
it became known that in the fight against the current government of
Ukraine the “Right sector” is supported by battalions “Azov”,
“Tornado” and “OUN”.
The
Right Sector consists of about 20 battalions, led by Dmitry Yarosh.
Such a force is enough to take control of a few regions of Western
Ukraine. The ATO can be started on two front.
"Don't feed the lions!" [Lions in Russian is the same as 'Lvov']
Grigory
Ignatov
What
are the real prospects of the "Right sector" in the current
situation of direct conflict with the authorities?
All
the dreams of the all-Ukrainian "Maidan 3.0", which would
become even more "right" than the "second" still
remain just dreams. Moreover, given how hesitant was the all-mighty
"big and scary" "Right sector" in the most
critical hours after the shootout in Mukachevo, we can confidently
say – the authorities have a significant power advantage. So what,
a protest at the AP (even without the burning tires), so what, tents
popped up in different cities – but is this what some expected, and
others were afraid of?
What
about all of this: "The Right Sector is transferring units from
the front to Western Ukraine", "all Right
Sector personnel is in full combat readiness"?..
Apparently, not feeling the public support, without real power
advantage, the "Right sector" decided not go for the
seizure of power in Kiev. Moreover, "pravoseki" [Right
Sector members], being well aware of the internal situation and views
of their colleagues in the new Ukrainian power politics, clearly knew
that no one will play games with them and instead of "Berkut"
with traumatic shotguns circa 2013, the government will simply bring
out all the armored vehicles – "Saxons" and "Humvees"
— which has still not reached the front just for such a situation
and without unnecessary discussions will sweep all the radicals with
a fire barrage, as the "agents of the Kremlin, seeking to strike
the warring country in the back."
However,
the situation is such that time has accelerated significantly and it
is playing against the Right Sector. Every day and hour ushers the
moment of the inevitable large-scale repressions – and worst of
all, the Right Sector understands that there is no need for any dirt:
illegal arsenals of small arms and heavy weapons in the possession of
the "righties" are such that it's time for Kiev to
seek NATO's help in fighting the new terrorist threat. Arrest any
Right Sector organization in any town – and you are sure to find
machine guns and explosives.
And everyone understands this.
But
it's a problem. A weapon is an instrument of force, self-defence, the
seizure of power, finally! But if it turns out that the Right Sector
is not ready for mutiny, the stockpiled weapons instead of the "trump
card" become a "suitcase without a handle" and a "hot
potato". To use it makes no sense, but to keep is more risky, it
is easy to go to jail. However, no one will get rid of it.
Zugzwang?
Actually, no.
The
only logical solution for right-wing radicals becomes "privatization"
of some particular region where they would feel in relative or
absolute security. Kind of a "Pravo-Sich". Of course, it is
desirable that it is within Ukraine's borders as nobody will welcome
banderites anywhere abroad (Canada is too far [home of Bandera
grandson and a largest Ukrainian diaspora]), and preferably in a big
city, and not in the damp underground caves of the Carpathian
mountains.
By
very simple reasoning we find that Lvov best fits the role of
"Pravo-Sich".
There
is traditionally a high percentage of sympathisers of the radical
nationalists, here they can recruit new cadres, a long-standing
dialogue has been established with many of the power
structures (if not fusion). And there is another significant
factor – the desire of Galicia to expand its own managerial and
financial autonomy. More than once the Galicians lost during
redistribution of power. Yushchenko of Sumy, Timoshenko of
Dnepropetrovsk, Yanukovich of Donetsk, and Poroshenko of Vinnitsa did
not share much with them. Galicians are always in demand to aid a
Maidan, but not as much when it comes to distributing portfolios.
Kiev is too much to bite for Lvov. Is it not better in this case to
arrange a informal autonomy by distancing from the dictate of the
center? It is best done by negotiating with Kiev, using a few dozen
thousand fighters as a card.
[Decentralization
is particularly desperately needed in the current economic
crisis, due to the fact that all Ukrainian regions only get 20%
of their revenue and have to transfer 80% to the center - Kiev -
KR]
That
the Right Sector is moving in this direction is clearly shown by the
recent bombings of police stations in Lvov, after which it was stated
that the town is taken under the control of the "righties".
"In order to avoid further terrorist attacks" (of course!)
Right Sector checkpoints were put up around the city. What is the
status of the informal (and possibly armed) searches of personal
property? That's right – completely illegal. But in Lvov no one
said a word. The analogy with Donetsk will be correct – there the
first checkpoints of the militia have also been accepted as a
necessity. Each region has its own "militia".
Most
likely, terrorist attacks will continue. Everyone will understand who
is behind them, but the Right Sector will loudly declare that only it
can provide security in the region. So it was in the 90s: the bandits
offered to provide security to businesses, otherwise the business was
on fire and exploding. By such blackmail an agreement will be reached
with the government, according to which "pravoseki" will
become guarantors of peaceful life of the city, and therefore all
persecution will be stopped and menacing arrest decrees from Kiev
will be openly or secretly sabotaged on the ground. In turn, the
Right Sector will chase away all the Kiev appointees, branding them
as corrupt and "unpatriotic". Everyone is happy – elites
will sit in their chairs without the risk to be deposed and the Right
Sector will march with guns and keep order.
The
only way for Kiev to regain control of the region is another ATO. But
a war on two fronts, and even with a decrease of a significant
portion of its Western mobilization potential, Ukraine is unlikely to
even dare to start. Withdraw troops from Donbass – Mariupol or
Slavyansk will have to be abandoned. And in general, punitive actions
of Kiev in Galicia would cause such a monstrous cognitive dissonance
that it will almost certainly lead to the overall collapse of the
entire modern Ukrainian mythology.
It's
possible that it's even for the better. Right radicals will get their
reservation, beyond which open criminal cases will be awaiting them.
A large part of all the extreme nationalist element from all over
Ukraine will descend on "Pravo-Sich", which means in the
Dnepr, Kharkov and Odessa it will be much easier to breathe and safer
to live. And Kiev will also have to find a new basis for their own
identity, because the outdated Galician underground nationalism will
become something indecent and criminally punishable, like Wahhabism
in Russia. Anyway, there will be a substantial cooling of senses in a
tangled love story of the Ukrainian people with their Bandera
"half".
KR:
The only thing standing in the way of such a scenario are the
ambitions of the new generation of proud Dnepropetrovsk, Mariupol and
Kharkov radical nationalists infected with the
Galician bug. Judging by the events of the last year they can not be
expected to rationally and peacefully surrender and move to Galicia,
which is unfortunate for them because they are outnumbered. But the
swing is about to go the other way.
Protest in support of the Right Sector in Kiev (RIA Novosti)
Government
forces barricade bases of Right Sector, which has helped it battle
pro-Russian forces, after gunfight reportedly killed two people
Ukrainian
servicemen guard entrance to the western city of Mukacheve, after
fighting between police and Right Sector fighters took place on
Saturday.
Soldiers
and police have been locked in a standoff with a nationalist militia
in western Ukraine after a gun and grenade battle that left at least
two dead.
Tensions
have been rising between the government and the Right Sector militia
that has helped it fight pro-Russian separatists in the east of the
country.
Arseny Yatsenyuk, Prime Minister of Ukraine (in the middle)
WASHINGTON
(AP) -- Ukraine's prime minister pushed back against a pair of forces
threatening to undermine his fragile government, likening members of
Ukraine's parliament to "lunatics" while defending
a nationalist militia that is locked in a standoff with police.
***
As Yatsenyuk pushed for
more U.S. investment, security forces in western Ukraine were locked
in conflict with the nationalist Right Sector militia, which has
accused local police of smuggling contraband across the border with
Poland, Hungary and Slovakia. On Saturday, the group launched
a deadly gun-and-grenade attack on police, sparking an ongiong
standoff, and on Monday the group briefly took a 6-year-old
boy hostage.
But the prime minister,
in his remarks to the AP, appeared to echo the group's accusations
against police, while also denouncing violations of the law by any of
the parties.
"It
wasn't about the Right Sector. This is about corruption and
smuggling and arms on the street," Yatsenyuk said. "They
supported smugglers and contraband, and everyone will be brought to
justice for the crimes that have been committed."
Apparently The
Times didn’t
want to frighten its upper-crust readership with an actual
photograph of Right Sector. Will an Instagram photo of an old man
and a (Swiss?) flag work? “Sure,” according to the Times’ photo
editor, who should be fired for utter incompetence.
Ukrainian
tank battalion in Donbas refuses to follow orders from Poroshenko,
wants to go home
Soldiers
of the 2nd Battalion, 17th Tank Brigade of the UAF announced they
will not follow their commanders' orders in a video address to
President Petro Poroshenko. The tankers called on the president to
deal with "the anarchy which is unfolding in the army,"
stating that over the course of the year their unit was never
rotated, and when the brigade commander decided he had enough, "he
simply shrugged his shoulders and went on leave," RIA Novosti
reports. "We don't give a sh*t about our superiors, just as they
don't give a sh*t about us--we'll ignore their orders and we won't
give up our weapons, you shouldn't try to disarm us. We're ready to
demobilize and we'd be ready to give up our weapons in that
situation, but if they try to take us by force, we'll fight them",
the soldiers said. The soldiers also complained about their shoddy
equipment. "Look at how we are dressed. We're look like the
homeless," the soldiers said, noting that the only support they
receive comes from volunteers. "If even in March some 50% of us
would have been willing to remain in service, now it's 0%," the
soldiers said. The sixth wave of Ukrainian mobilization started in
June. The Ukrainian authorities are planning to induct 100-150
thousand people into the military. On March 25, Poroshenko signed an
order to increase the armed forces' size to 250 thousand. However,
mobilizations invariably encounter young men's mass refusals to
serve. Evasion, including through emigration (there are 1.2 million
Ukrainians of military age in Russia) is now a widespread phenomenon.
Kiev reacted by increasing penalties for evading service, which now
include severe jail terms.
В
17-й танковой бригаде, (2-й батальон)
назревает бунт! 10 июля 2015 года, Кривой
Рог, 17-я танковая бригада Бойцы 2 батальона
17-й танковой бригады, после года службы
должны быть демобилизованы. Но комбриг
кинул всех напризволяще и поехал в
отпуск. Бойцы одетые во что горазд (будто
бомжы), не заслуживают такого отношения.
Так как командование плюет на бойцов,
то и выполнять приказы командования
бойцы отказываются. Батальон обращается
к Президенту навести порядок в бригаде,
а в случае разгона спецназом обещает
дать вооруженный отпор.
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