Markets In Turmoil: S&P, Dow Erase 2018 Gains As Nasdaq Crashes Most Since 2011
24
October, 2018
China
started off excitedly but the afternoon session saw selling pressure
into the close...
Spain
caught Italy's flu and Europe caught German banking system's cold...
And
Deutsche Bank closed at a record low...
The
United States' largest market cap stock index ($23.75 trillion NYSE
Composite) tumbled to 13-month lows today...
S&P
500 Price-to-Sales has tumbled to its lowest since June 2017 -
Double-top?
US
Equity market momentum
factor performance has crashed (worse
than in Feb)...
It
all started so excitedly with Boeing's beat sparking a pre-open ramp
in Dow futures which lifted everything and got CNBC very excited -
but that did not last...
But
once the US equity cash markets opened - it was 'Sell Mortimer
Sell'... Nasdaq
was utterly destroyed... down 4.4% - the biggest drop since Aug 2011
Futures
show the week's chaotic swings best... no rescue today...
On
the S&P 500 2,700 was all that mattered as the 200DMA was long
gone...The Dow blew back below its 200DMA...
Small
Caps and Trannies are red YTD, Dow
and the S&P plunged into the red for 2018 today...
Nasdaq remains only +3.7% YTD...
How
ugly:
- Small Caps down 15% from highs
- Dow Transports down 14.5% from highs
- Nasdaq is now down 12.25% from the highs - enters correction
- S&P down 9% from highs
- Dow down 8.5% from highs
VIX
surged today... as The Dow crashed over 600 points, VIX spiked above
26
With
the curve becoming more inverted once again - the 13th day in a
row... (note that Feb drop was 14 days in a row of inversion)
Yesterday's
short-squeeze did not last...
'Chipwreck'
continues with SOX at 13-mo lows - confirming that double top...
(worst month in 6 years)
S&P's
tech back at 6-month lows...
FANG
stocks tumbled to 6-month lows... (down 17% from the July highs)
Look
at NFLX!!!!
And
one last pillar for the bulls to rely on - the tightness of credit
spreads - has collapsed with HY CDX blwoing out to 382bps - its
widest since Dec 2016...
As
one would expect (for a change), the plunge in stocks sparked a bid
for bonds... with the belly (5Y and 7Y) dramatically outperforming...
With
5Y Yields back below 3.00% once again... yields flushed notably
lower into the close - is this the start of the big short squeeze?
And
10Y yields could have a long way to fall...
And
at the short-end, markets are pricing more and more dovish rate
trajectory - 2019 now expected to only produce 43bps of hikes with
2020 and 2021 now implying expectations for a rate cut...
The
Dollar Index spiked from the EU open to US close for the 3rd day in a
row...
To
its highest since June 2017...
And
as the dollar rallies, EM FX tumbles...
With
the Rand plunging most...
With
dollar gains, commodities largely ended the day lower (despite some
vol in crude)...
Finally,
just in case you hadn't notice, the US housing market is in freefall
- here's some context...
Did
not end well the last time... And it appears the SMART money is
already in mass exodus...
“Trump is very politically savvy,” said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.
“If the stock market sells off he’s got a target -- it’s the Fed’s fault. And if the Fed does begin to pause then Trump will be able to claim it as a victory. This puts Powell in a no-win situation.”
And
what does it mean when the stocks of the world's most systemically
important banks have crashed 30% to the lowest since Trump's
election...
Probably
nothing...
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