Is NATO Preparing For War In The Arctic?
28
October, 2018
Britain’s Daily
Mail is
a strident rag that is bought daily by over a million people who
agree with its stance that most foreigners are inferior to Brits. Two
years ago the European Commission against Racism and
Intolerance reported that
the Mail and
some other papers indulged in “offensive, discriminatory and
provocative terminology”, and the Commission’s chairman observed
that “the
Brexit referendum seems to have led to a further rise in
‘anti-foreigner’ sentiment”.
The
highly-respected Economist noted
that “unsurprisingly, the Daily
Mail spreads
more EU-linked lies than anyone else” and that its website “garners
225 million visitors each month”, which is amazing and disturbing,
given its campaigns of bigotry and intolerance.
The Mail knows
its readers and tells them what they want to hear, and one of its
targets is Russia, which it regularly maligns and berates.
On
October 23 a
main story noted
approvingly that on October 25 “some
50,000 troops will kick off NATO’s biggest military exercises since
the Cold War in Norway, a
massive show of force that has already rankled neighboring
Russia. Trident
Juncture 18, which runs until November 7, is aimed at training the
Alliance to mobilize quickly to defend an ally under attack.” The
US 6th Fleet stated that
among other major deployments for the maneuvers, the aircraft carrier
Harry S Truman and guided missile destroyers of the Eighth Carrier
Strike Group moved in to dominate the Norwegian Sea for the first
time since 1991.
According
to US
Air Forces Europe, Trident
Juncture is
partially funded by the European
Deterrence Initiative,
and US F-16 strike aircraft and KC-135 Stratotankers have deployed to
operate from an air base in neutral, non-NATO Sweden.
This
all fits in with the British government’s line that Russia is a
threat to the United Kingdom, which is a farcical contention, but
serves to whip up patriotic fervor, which wins votes and sells
newspapers.
In
June 2018 London’s Sun newspaper carried
the headline “Britain
will send RAF Typhoon fighter jets to Iceland in bid to tackle
Russian aggression” and since then the UK’s defense minister,
Gavin Williamson, has
maintained that
“the Kremlin continues to challenge us in every
domain.” (Williamson is the man who
declared in
March 2018 that “Frankly Russia should go away — it should shut
up,” which was one of the most juvenile public utterances of recent
years.)
It
was reported on
September 29 that Williamson was concerned about “growing Russian
aggression ‘in our back yard’,” and that the Government was
drawing up a “defense Arctic strategy” with 800 commandos being
deployed to a new base in Norway. In
an interview “Mr
Williamson highlighted Russia’s re-opening of Soviet-era bases and
‘increased tempo’ of submarine activity as evidence that Britain
needed to ‘demonstrate we’re there’ and ‘protect our
interests’.”
Mr
Williamson has not indicated what “interests” the United Kingdom
could have in the Arctic region, where it has no territory.
The
eight countries with territory north of the Arctic Circle are
Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Russia, Sweden and
the United States. They have legitimate interests in the region
which is
twice the area of
the US and Canada combined. But Britain has not one single
claim to the Arctic. Not even a tenuous one like Iceland’s, which
is based
on the fact that the
Arctic Circle passes through Grimsey Island, about 25 kilometers
north of Iceland’s north coast. Britain’s
Shetland Islands, its northernmost land, are 713 kilometers (443
miles) south of the Arctic Circle.
So
why does the UK declare that it has “interests” in the Arctic and
that the region is “in our back yard”? How can it
possibly feel threatened?
The Arctic
Institute observed
in February 2018 that Russia’s “newer Arctic strategy papers
focus on preventing smuggling, terrorism, and illegal immigration
instead of balancing military power with NATO. These priorities
suggest that Russia’s security aims in the Arctic have to do with
safeguarding the Arctic as a strategic resource base . . . In
general, the government-approved documents seem to have moved from an
assertive tone that highlights Russia’s rivalry with NATO to a less
abrasive tone based on securing economic development.”
And
economic development is what it’s all about.
On September 28 it
was reported that “a
Danish-flagged cargo ship successfully passed through the Russian
Arctic in a trial voyage showing that melting sea ice could
potentially open a new trade route from Europe to east Asia.” It
is obviously in the best economic interests of the European Union and
Russia that the route be developed for commercial transit. To do this
requires avoidance of conflict in the region.
So
what’s your problem, Defence Minister Williamson?
In
January China
described its
Arctic strategy, “pledging to work more closely with Moscow in
particular to create an Arctic maritime counterpart — a
‘Polar Silk Road’ —
to its ‘one belt, one road’ overland trade route to Europe. Both
the Kremlin and Beijing have repeatedly stated that their ambitions
are primarily commercial and environmental, not military.” It
couldn’t be plainer that Russia and China want the Arctic to be a
profitable mercantile trade route, while continuing
exploration for
oil, gas and mineral deposits.
As pointed
out by Sabena
Siddiqi in the Asian
Times,
“Having a major stake in the Yamal liquefied natural gas project in
Russia, which would supply nearly four million tonnes of LNG per
annum, development of these regions makes sense for China as well,
and its interests converge with Russia’s. Once the Arctic route is
fully operational, the Yamal project can double Russia’s share of
the global LNG market. The Arctic thawing has also given Russia
greater access to minerals and other valuable resources in this
region.”
Guess
who doesn’t want Russia and China to prosper?
To
develop the Arctic requires peace and stability. It would
be impossible to reap the benefits of the new sea-route and
potentially enormous energy and mineral riches if there were to be
conflict. It is obviously in the best interests of Russia and China
that there be tranquility rather than military confrontation.
But
Britain’s Defence Minister insists there
must be a military build-up by the UK in the Arctic “If we want to
be protecting our interests in what is effectively our own back
yard.” He is backed by
the Parliament’s Defence Committee which states that “NATO’s
renewed focus on the North Atlantic is welcome and the Government
should be congratulated on the leadership the UK has shown on this
issue.”
NATO
is always on the lookout for excuses to indulge in military
action (such
as its nine–month aerial blitz that destroyed
Libya),
and its Arctic-focused Trident
Juncture is
yet another confrontational military fandango designed to ramp up
tension.
The
US-NATO military alliance is preparing for war in the
Arctic, and is deliberately provoking Russia by conducting massive
hi-tech maneuvers ever-closer to its borders. But the Pentagon and
its sub-office in Brussels had better be very careful.
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