Incredible
footage of flash flooding fueled by a planet 1C above baseline with
7% more moisture in the atmosphere.
When we motor through the IPCC's
fantasy 2C we will have 14% more moisture in the air, at 6C that
equates to 42% more.
Imagine!!!
----Kevin Hester
Apocalyptic
Flooding in Dominica after tropical storm Erika engulfs Caribbean
islands
Meanwhile
Tropical Storm Erika is slamming the Caribbean hard inducing
important flooding in Dominica.
27
August, 2015
And
after nearly 9 inches of rainfall overnight, the Roseau River
overflowed its banks in the capital city. And that’s when
everything becomes insane:
Apocalyptic
flooding!
Is
this a plane or a boat?
Future
track and intensity of Tropical Storm Erika is highly uncertain.
Potential
U.S. impact could
occur anywhere from the Florida peninsula to the Carolinas.
And
meanwhile tropical
storm warnings continue
in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and most of the northern Leeward
Islands.
Tropical
Storm Erika Batters Caribbean; Florida, Bahamas on Alert
26
August, 2015
Erika
will bring torrential rain, flash flooding, mudslides and gusty winds
to many of the northern islands of the Caribbean, prior to taking a
turn toward the Bahamas and Florida this weekend.
Erica
to Provide Flash Flooding in Puerto Rico and Hispaniola
Erika
remains a tropical storm spinning
about 50 miles south-southwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico, as of 2 a.m.
EDT Friday.
During
Friday, Erika then will travel through the British and United States
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico
The greatest threat to lives and property will be from flash flooding and mudslides.
A general rainfall of 2-4 inches (50-100 mm) is forecast with locally higher amounts. On Puerto Rico and the northeastern part of the Dominican Republic, rainfall of 4-8 inches (150-200 mm) is likely with greater amounts falling on the mountains.
Flash
flooding has occurred on some of the Leeward Islands. On the island
of Dominica, a disaster has taken place.
According
to the Associated Press, four people are dead in Dominica due to
mudslides.
At
Canefield, Dominica, 8 inches of rain fell in six hours and received
12.70 inches of rain in 24 hours from Erika. Canefield received 2
inches of rain from Danny,
just a few days earlier.
People
Swept Away From Erika's Flooding in Dominica
Winds will average between 40 and 60 mph (64 to 95 kph), with higher gusts. Seas will be dangerous for bathers and boaters. Winds of this strength can down trees, cause sporadic power outages and damage roofs and poorly built structures.
Erika Path and Intensity Concerns This Weekend, Next Week
All
interests from the Bahamas to Florida and the Southeastern United
States in general will need to monitor the track and strength of
Erika into next week.
Satellite
imagery of Erika (Image/NOAA)
At minimum, surf and seas will increase from southeast to northwest across the Bahamas, the north side of Cuba and the southern and eastern coast of Florida this weekend.
"There
will be a Perigean spring tide related to a supermoon this weekend,
so where there are onshore winds associated with Erika tides will be
significantly higher than normal," Kottlowski said.
These
effects will be greatest along the Atlantic coast of Florida,
including the back bays. East to northeast winds may cause some water
to pile up.
There
are multiple scenarios on the exact track and intensity of Erika once
it clears the northern islands of the Caribbean. The possible tracks
or window of movement ranges from the system slipping just to the
west of Florida to right over Florida to curving to the east.
According to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, "Erika will have to survive strong wind shear and the frictional effects of the mountainous islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola."
Shear
is the rapid change in the speed and direction of the wind from the
surface of the earth to the middle layers of the atmosphere.
Should
Erika weaken negotiating Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, it could totally
fall apart or perhaps struggle to reorganize.
"Waters
are warm enough and wind shear is weaker in the stretch from Florida
to the Bahamas," Kottlowski said. "So, if it were to
survive the gauntlet of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, it could gather
strength."
Should
Erika strengthen rapidly, the system could curve along or east of the
Atlantic coast of Florida.
How
soon Erika makes more of a turn to the northwest and then to the
north will determine the extent of impacts in the Bahamas and
Florida. If the system survives as far north as Florida, there will
be concerns farther north into the Southern states, especially in the
Carolinas and perhaps as far west as Louisiana.
There
is also the chance the system stalls along the Southeast U.S. coast
after negotiating Florida waters.
Which
scenario unfolds will depend on the strength of an area of high
pressure set to build over the western Atlantic Ocean late this week
and into the weekend.
This high is the reason for the cooler air pouring into the Northeast late this week.
This high is the reason for the cooler air pouring into the Northeast late this week.
At
this point, the amount of rain, wind and flooding from Erika in
Florida and the Bahamas will depend on the exact track and strength
of the system this weekend and into early next week.
The
last hurricane to hit Florida was Wilma in October 2005.
"This
is a good time for residents of the Bahamas and Florida to review
hurricane plans," said Kottlowski. "If Erika does indeed
target Florida, there will be a big rush to complete preparations
this weekend. However, it takes time to do some things such as moving
boats from marinas to safety."
Shelves
are empty at a Walmart in Coral Springs, Florida, as people prepare
for potential Erika impacts. (Twitter Photo/@FallonKlivian)
"Be
aware and do things now to mitigate flying debris," Kottlowski
continued.
"Even if Erika does not threaten, it is better to act on the side of caution now than wait."
"Even if Erika does not threaten, it is better to act on the side of caution now than wait."
The
AccuWeather Hurricane Center will continue to provide information on
Erika, as well as all other tropical features across all ocean
basins.
AccuWeather
Meteorologists Kristina Pydynowski, Jordan Root, Brett Rathbun and
Alex Sosnowski contributed content to this story.
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