Showing posts with label epidemc. Show all posts
Showing posts with label epidemc. Show all posts

Friday, 24 January 2020

Food disappears from Wuhan stores as quarantine begins


Hal Turner often appears as a shock jock but his information is very often correct and well ahead of the mass media.

I cannot directly confirm his figures but secondary stories confirm a lot of what he was saying 1-2 days ago.

"Several people who’ve died from a new virus in China didn’t display symptoms of fever, potentially complicating global efforts to check for infected travelers as they arrive at airports and other travel hubs". 

Food GONE from Stores in Wuhan as Quarantine Begins; Price Gouging and Robberies Rampant


23 January, 2020

People in Wuhan, China, awoke today to news the city has been Quarantined over the outbreak of Coronavirus; no one allowed in or out of the city, and many of the eleven million citizens immediately panicked; heading to stores to buy food . . . clearing store shelves within an hour. There is now reportedly "NO FOOD" to be bought anywhere in the city.

Worse, people are reporting the prices charged rose to "5 to 8 times higher than normal price" and many people found themselves being ROBBED of their food as they traveled home!

No city in China has been Quarantined since at least the year 1949, and no one expected this Quarantine to take place in Wuhan.

When residents awoke today and heard the city was cut off, they PANICKED and tried to go buy food. FIGHTS are breaking out all over Wuhan as hungry people desperately try to buy food:



FOOD STORES ARE NOW EMPTY:

An Internal Government memo indicating that the RATE OF INFECTION of people in the city was fourteen percent (14%) translated into about 1,551,200 cases of Infection, and the MORTALITY RATE was four percent (4%), translating into 62,048 DEAD from the disease, changed the reality.

Chinese Army troops boarded trains last night in the city, and shut down the entire transportation system:



Buses, trains, ferries, and planes are all shut down.



Police road blocks sprang-up on EVERY major roadway, preventing anyone from driving in to the city -- and preventing everyone from leaving. Even foreign tourists cannot leave!





and here:
And here, too:

China's National Health Commission released information Thursday showing the disease has already spread to VERY MANY more places inside China:

Beijing, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Shaanxi Province, and Fujian Province to name just a few.



Worse, the government has just announced that ADDITIONAL CITIES WILL BE FULLY OR PARTIALLY QUARANTINED:

Huanggang (7 million people, starting at midnight) Partial lockdown

Ezhou (1 million people, limited to suspension of railway services)


The Sign Below in Ma City, a town near Wuhan, announces to residents the Virus has been found there too. It warns people NOT TO TRAVEL or Join anyone else to celebrate the Lunar New Year, but instead to just stay home.



In a DISASTROUS revelation, there have been confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus in patients with no travel history to Wuhan, China's National Health Commission revealed today.

This reinforces the belief by many that this outbreak, is NOT a natural incident, but more likely related to a new, Level Four Bio Lab Built by China beginning in 2015, and made operational in January, 2018. Where did they build it? WUHAN!

The Wuhan Virology Lab is just two miles or so from the Fish Market where the outbreak allegedly began:



Prior to the beginning of lab operations, Doctors and other experts from around the world expressed fears the equipment and procedures being set up at the facility, "would not prevent escape of dangerous pathogens." Those warnings were ignored, and the lab was made active anyway.

This is a developing story. Updates will appear below. Check back . . . . 6:32 AM EST, January 23, 2020 . . . .


UPDATE 6:54 AM EST --

NOTICE GIVEN TO WUHAN JUST MINUTES AGO: “5pm to 9pm today, everyone must stay inside; as the infected patients are being transferred to specialized hospitals. The Chinese Air Force will begin to spread disinfectant powder over Wuhan today.

The Wuhan Virus is now being called WARS (Wuhan Acute Respiratory Syndrome) as it is closely related to SARS.




UPDATE 7:02 AM EST --

Beijing, China just canceled all their new year activities.


LINES OF DESPERATELY ILL PEOPLE OUTSIDE EVERY HOSPITAL IN WUHAN, CHINA, TRYING TO GET HELP:




PROTECT YOURSELF NOW

Filter masks prevent tiny (microscopic) particles from going into your lungs. They can help protect you long enough for you to get home from work, school, or to evacuate from a contaminated / infected area. These will not function correctly if a man has any kind of beard. Beards MUST be shaven off or the mask will leak from the whiskers.

Here's what they look like:


           

They're inexpensive $8-$12 each. You should have at least one for each member of your family at home; in each family car and one for each of you while at work or school.

These filter masks are rated by the US Government's National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH).

Click Here for Various Quantities of NIOSH Model N100 Filter Masks


QUARANTINES COULD COME HERE, TOO!

For people in the USA, One confirmed case is already in Seattle, WA, and a new REPORTED CASE is in Brooklyn, NY. . . . When a biological Quarantine is enacted, Health Authorities cannot lift that Quarantine until TWO FULL INCUBATION PERIODS have elapsed. There are still varying reports about the actual incubation period of THIS virus; some say four days, others say two weeks.

IF IT IS TWO WEEKS, then you have the initial Quarantine of two weeks, followed by another FOUR WEEKS where (hopefully) there are no new cases.

If YOU could not go out for a total of 6 weeks, do YOU have enough food in your house to feed yourself and your family? If not, what do you think you would do? You can't go out under penalty of arrest. No one can come deliver to you because stores are all closed. So what do you do?

STARVE!

Those of you with means, should arrange to get supplied with EMERGENCY FOOD. Outlets specializing in that are shown below. Get something so you can survive.

UPDATE 7:43 AM EST --

Chinese officials say a 3rd city, Chibi with a population of nearly half a million, will be put on lockdown to prevent the spread of coronavirus


*** BULLETIN ***

NO FEVER . . . Just Death

Several people who’ve died from a new virus in China didn’t display symptoms of fever, potentially complicating global efforts to check for infected travelers as they arrive at airports and other travel hubs". - National Health Commission of China

Wednesday, 22 January 2020

Coronavirus may have spread to Australia as man tests positive


Chinese Mystery Disease Update No 4: Hundreds of millions of Chinese are on the move this week as human-to-human transmission confirmed: Will spread more quickly and widely: No of cases in the 1000s



Photo David Paulk
  • Coronavirus Is Spreading Quickly Across China as Confirmed Cases Triple. 
  • Pneumonia-like illness is transmittable between humans, reaching major metropolitan. areas in China. 
  •  The infection spreads to Beijing and Shanghai. 
  • China confirms new SARS-like virus HAS spread between humans as 14 medics catch the killer infection after treating patients. 
  • No need to panic” the virus was not spreading significantly within China as (hundreds of millions of Chinese are on the move for New Year holiday). 
  •  Medics in hazmat suits scanning plane passengers for China's mysterious Wuhan virus is stoking fears of a global epidemic
20 January, 2020



It is the biggest holiday in the world as hundreds of millions of Chinese are on the move this week to celebrate the Chinese New Year on Sunday, a tiny per cent of these will be unknowingly carrying the mysterious coronavirus, which has just been confirmed can be passed on to humans by humans. The scenario which will follow this is horrific.

The head of a Chinese government expert team said Monday that human-to-human transmission has been confirmed in an outbreak of a new coronavirus, a development that raises the possibility that it could spread more quickly and widely. Team leader Zhong Nanshan, a respiratory expert, said two people in Guangdong province in southern China caught the virus from family members, state media said. Some medical workers have also tested positive for the virus, the English-language China Daily newspaper reported. The late-night announcement capped a day in which authorities announced a sharp uptick in the number of confirmed cases to more than 200, and China’s leader called on the government to take every possible step to combat the outbreak. Now that is the official version, below is the truth.

Published 4 days ago

The number of people already infected by the mystery virus emerging in China is far greater than official figures suggest, scientists have told the BBC. There have been 45 laboratory-confirmed cases of the new virus, but UK experts estimate the figure is closer to 1,700. Two people are known to have died from the virus, which appeared in Wuhan city in December. "I am substantially more concerned than I was a week ago," disease outbreak scientist, Prof Neil Ferguson, said. The work was conducted by the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London, which advises bodies including the UK government and the World Health Organization.

Below is the summary from the disease outbreak scientist, Prof Neil Ferguson:
We estimate that a total of 1,723 cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan City (95% CI: 427 – 4,471) had onset of symptoms by 12th January 2020 (the last reported onset date of any case). This estimate is based on the following assumptions: Wuhan International Airport has a catchment population of 19 million individuals. There is a mean 10-day delay between infection and detection, comprising a 5-6 day incubation period and a 4-5 day delay from symptom onset to detection/hospitalisation of a case (the cases detected in Thailand and Japan were hospitalised 3 and 7 days after onset, respectively) Total volume of international travel from Wuhan over the last two months has been 3,301 passengers per day. This estimate is derived from the 3,418 foreign passengers per day in the top 20 country destinations based on 2018 IATA data, and uses 2016 IATA data held by Imperial College to correct for the travel surge at Chinese New Year present in the latter data (which has not happened yet this year) and for travel to countries outside the top 20 destination list.

Caveats

  1. We assume that outbound trip durations are long enough that an infected Wuhan resident travelling internationally will develop symptoms and be detected overseas, rather than being detected after returning to Wuhan. We also do not account for the fact that international visitors to Wuhan (such as the case who was detected in Japan) might be expected to have a shorter duration of exposure and thus a lower infection risk than residents. Accounting for either factor correctly requires additional data but would increase our estimate of the total number of cases.
  2. We estimate the potential number of symptomatic cases with disease severity of a level requiring hospitalisation (both the cases detected in Thailand and Japan were moderately severe). Our estimates do not include cases with mild or no symptoms.
  3. The incubation period of 2019-nCov is not known and has been approximated with the estimates obtained for MERS-CoV and SARS [8,9].
  4. We assume that international travel is independent of the risk of exposure to 2019n-CoV or infection status. If zoonotic exposure was biased towards wealthier people, travel frequency may be correlated with exposure. Also, some travel might be causally linked to infection status (to seek healthcare overseas) or the infection status of contacts in Wuhan (this may apply to the case detected in Japan) [10]. Accounting for either association would increase the probability of a case travelling and therefore reduce our estimates of the total number of cases.

Sensitivity analysis

We explore the sensitivity of estimates of total cases to our assumptions about: i) the duration of the detection window (exploring a lower value of 8 days); ii) the catchment population size of Wuhan airport (assuming it might be 11 million, the population of Wuhan city, rather than 19 million, the population of the entire metropolitan area); and iii) true exportations reported internationally (2, 3 and 4 cases). Table 1 summarises the baseline assumptions and alternative scenarios explored. We note that the currently reported number of cases (44) is substantially lower than the lower bound of our most conservative scenario (190 cases, Scenario 3).

Conclusions

It is likely that the Wuhan outbreak of a novel coronavirus has caused substantially more cases of moderate or severe respiratory illness than currently reported. The estimates presented here suggest surveillance should be expanded to include all hospitalised cases of pneumonia or severe respiratory disease in the Wuhan area and other well-connected Chinese cities. This analysis does not directly address transmission routes, but past experience with SARS and MERS-CoV outbreaks of similar scale suggests currently self-sustaining human-to-human transmission should not be ruled out. MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease


This appears to have reached Australia

Chinese coronavirus may have spread to Australia as man tests positive