Sunnistan:
US and Allied ‘Safe Zone’ Plan to Grab Territorial Booty in
Northern Syria
Patrick
Henningsen
15
January, 2015
Remember
when the Obama Administration told the world how it hoped to identify
5,000 reliable non-jihadist ‘moderate’ rebels hanging out in
Turkey and Jordan, who might want to fight for Washington in Syria?
After all the drama over its infamous ‘train
and equip’ program
to create their own Arab army in Syria, they want to give it another
try.
This
week, Pentagon officials announced
their new plan to
train up to 7,000 more ‘moderate’ fighters, but this time the
project would take place inside Syria
(and to hell with international law).
We’re
told that this was requested by Ankara, and with all NATO allies
singing the same hymn – claiming that this new effort will help in
securing Turkey’s porous border with Syria, or so the story goes.
Washington’s political cover for this is fashioned from the popular
post-Paris theme: to protect civilized Europe from invading hordes
and the terrorists who hide among them, as stated in the Wall
Street Journal:
“The
program would address part of the tense and long-running dialogue
between Washington and Ankara over sealing the border, which Western
governments have long complained is an avenue for extremists to leave
Syria and travel internationally,”
The
timing of this announcement seemed uncanny against the backdrop of an
unlikely ISIS ‘suicide bomb’ terrorist attack, in Turkey, of all
places, where the victims just happened to be 14
German tourists,
feeding perfectly into Europe’s new binary fear set of terrorism
and immigration. Shades of GLADIO,
undoubtedly (but you won’t see western journalists entertaining
suchconspiracy
theories)
Our
friends at Nation
Builders Inc are
banking on the global public suffering from Syria
fatigue,
but now is the time to really pay attention. The west’s real agenda
for the region is starting to unfold…
Despite
all of US-led Coalition’s scandals,
lies, epic failures, false
flags and
official conspiracy
theories,
the mainstream narrative on Syria persists. It’s on our TV screens
and in our newspapers constantly – from Los Angeles to London, from
Paris to Riyadh, every politician and pundit seems to have an opinion
about, “what to do with Syria?” Everyone, except the Syria
people themselves, who like the people of Iraq, Libya,
Afghanistan, Yemen and ever other country that’s found itself under
the cleaver of western interests – are never afforded any say in
their own destiny. As is tradition in Washington, London and Paris,
the only Syrian voices which count are the ones who have
been hand-picked
by western technocrats and approved by the Saudi royal family to
form their ever-changing ‘recognized’ government-in-exile, the
Syrian National Council. Currently, that could be Riad Hijab,
George Sabra or Khaled Khoja. Next week, it could be three others,
depending on who has fallen in, or out of favor with Washington or
Riyadh.
To anyone who was listening close enough early on in the conflict, you would have heard determined members of the western-backed ‘Syrian Opposition’ admitting how they would, ‘make a deal with the devil if that’s what it takes to win power.’ Four years later, we now see that is exactly what happened, but whether you believe that this devil is US-led Coalition, or terrorist armies fighting groups (or both) might be cause for debate. Others will argue over which is thebigger devil – is it the Wahabist-Salafist terrorist brigades like al Nusra Front and Islamic State, or is it the West and its GCC partners?
The
unfortunate reality is that these two devils are not mutually
exclusive. The West and its partners not only created
this ‘terror’ crisis,
but did so with the intent of unveiling a grand ‘solution’ to the
problem.
Plans
A-Z
The
terrorist enclave in Syria is designed for purpose – to implant a
hostile metastasis right in the middle of the very territory which
neocolonial powers plan to tear away from the barely sovereign
nations of Iraq and Syria.
Since
2011, the western-led cartel has deployed various levels of
international subterfuge in Syria, starting with Plan
A: the
Arab Spring method – igniting a popular street uprising that might
capture the world’s attention for 15 minutes – enough to generate
some high-quality evocative imagery and a social media storm to carry
memes of liberty around the globe, inspiring the people on the
streets (and on Twitter) to demand “change”. Their cries for
freedom would then be backed up by the US State Department, along
with its functionaries at Human Rights Watch and Amnesty
International America, and other Open Society Institute-funded NGOs
and ‘human rights’ organizations. Obviously, this did not
work. Next,
Plan B: the
political opposition suddenly transcended into an armed, paramilitary
opposition, followed by brutal violence and killing on both sides.
The US and its allies wasted no time, pledging weapons, training,
cash and logistical support to the armed opposition. The west set up
its own parallel government for Syria abroad, but it failed to gain
any traction with the Syria people. Then
came Plan C: this ‘opposition’ would
be quickly overrun and absorbed into a massive array of mostly
foreign jihadi and mercenary soldiers of misfortune and other
assorted terrorists. This fed into an already established ‘War on
Terror’ western narrative. Now the west had a familiar entry point
into the fight.
The Washington-London-Paris-Tel-Aviv-Riyadh-Doha-Ankara
Axis hoped
that these terrorists would do the job of overthrowing the government
of Bashar al Assad in Damascus, and collapse the country into a
spirally pit of sectarian and tribal chaos. Who could blame them?
After all, it worked in Libya in late 2011.
Fast forward to 2016, having failed to overthrow Assad and implode the nation-state of Syria, the men and women of Nation Builders Inc and their muscles in Brussels (NATO), are quickly moving to Plan D: take territory. That’s not to say plans A through D weren’t always in the schematics – they certainly were, and further back than many people would dare to speculate.
We now know from Wikileaks cables that this operation goes back to at least 2006, but in reality, it’s probably much earlier than that. Taking the long view of history and the audacious building, and rebuilding, of a Euro-centric empire in the Middle East, one could say the process began the day the Sykes-Picot Agreement was signed in 1916. Concealed between those post-colonial lines drawn exactly 100 years ago, was the latent potential for the very conflicts and uncivil wars we are seeing today. If those borders are redrawn once again, you can be certain that they will be drawn by the very same powers involved a century ago. Whatever the arrangement, it will be to weaken, not strengthen the region, and certainly not strengthen any of the present nation states in the region, especially Syria. Proprietary powers will want any new states to be stuck in a perpetual state of neocolonial dependency, with an emphasis on financial and security dependency.
Mice
and Men
21WIRE was
one of the first news sources to warn about Washington’s
initial impulse back in 2014 when it began calling for a ‘No Fly
Zone’ in
Northern Syria. It was clear that a problem, reaction, solution
dialectic was in play, with ISIS being the object of the public’s
reaction. That plan might have come to fruition in the fall of 2015,
but a funny thing happened on the way to the UN
General Assembly in
New York City. Later that week, Russia announced that it would be
inserting itself, and its Air Force, into the Syrian quagmire, and
with that, thwarted any master plan for a US-Turkey (NATO)
controlled No
Fly Zone along
the Turkish-Syrian border. Suffice to say, that Russia already knew
NATO’s next move and acted accordingly, and with purpose.
When
asked two days ago about the prospect of the Washington DC latest
brainchild, Train
and Equip 2.0,
this time inside Syria, here were my initial thoughts:
Many
political commentators were confounded by the mad dash of nations to
make their bones against ISIS in Syria and northern Iraq. France and
Britain were chomping at the bit to get in on the bombing, and at the
time this might have seemed illogical to observers, what with
the Team
America and
the world’s largest military force – more powerful than all
coalition members combined – running point on the operation. Why
bother, with America and Turkey in the air, and the Kurdish Peshmerga
on the ground? Why would any nation in its right mind want to
volunteer to enter that quagmire?
We
now know why, and it has more to do with what’s beneath the sand
than what’s on top.
As
any good pirate will tell you – if you want to claim your share of
the booty, you have to do your share of the killing.
The
previous ‘train and equip’ program ended with Washington’s
military brass paraded in front of the Senate Armed Services
Committee, before being roundly lambasted for failing to train even a
handful of ‘moderate rebels’, this after being awarded $500
million by the US taxpayer to get’er
done.
When
originally announced amid much fanfare, the public were told that the
US government, in conjunction with the CIA, would be arming and
training ‘moderate’ militants in Turkey, Jordan or at a base in
Saudi Arabia – before sending them to fight inside Syria.
Washington claims that these new trainees were meant to fight ISIS,
and not the Syrian government forces, but judging by the unwavering
‘regime change’ rhetoric from the west, it would be highly naive
to think that all this was strictly for ISIS.
Nine
months into the train and equip project, US Army Gen.
Lloyd Austin III, acknowledged
in Sept. 2015 that
they had only managed to get “four or five” on the battlefield by
then. Not one member of the media challenged this statement, probably
because most were happy with the answer given – one which gave any
hawkish critics of the Obama administration the pound of flesh they
wanted and served to only intensify more calls before the new year
for US ‘boots on the ground’ in Syria. Doves loved it because it
seemed to prove that backing proxies doesn’t work, and that the
best solution was to call it quits. For the sanguine mainstream
media, it served-up that all-too familiar government narrative, of a
“cock-up, not a cover-up.” This is the media’s natural default
position. In other words, “Well, it didn’t work out, but that’s
nothing new with our incompetent government. Nothing to see here,
move along.” To ask how the money disappeared, or really
inquire into how it costs $500 million to train only five men –
apparently was way too much work for the media. Not one ‘journalist’
stopped to ask, if only 5 fighters were trained and dispatched, then
what happened to the half a billion dollars?
The
real answer to that question should be self-evident to anyone
studying reports on the ground in Syria, and is way too uncomfortable
for the US media to stomach – that the US ‘train and equip’
program provided the necessary official cover to allow the
prosecution of a dirty war under
the table.
It wasn’t a failure like fall guy Gen. Lloyd Austin will have you
believe, it
was a success.
Judging
by the proliferation of heavy weaponry and other lethal arms that
have made it into the hands of al Qaeda in Syria (al Nusra Front),
ISIS, Jaysh al–Islam and
others – it’s clear that Uncle Sam’s generous donation of $500
million has definitely been used to equip, if not
train, those‘rebels’
in Syria.
Middle
East commentator and analyst Sharmine
Narwani explains
the West’s perennial dilemma when trying to identify who their
‘moderates’ are in Syria:
“For
years, Washington has insisted there are armed ‘moderate’ groups
in Syria, but have gone to great lengths to avoid naming
these ‘moderates.’ Why? Because if moderates were named and
identified, the US would have to be very, very certain that no past,
present or future ‘atrocity video’ would surface to prove
otherwise. And the US could not guarantee this with any of the groups
they have armed, trained or financed in Syria over the past five
years.”
The
next ‘train and equip’ round will be more focused, and will be
used to secure the following…
Safe
Zone = ‘Sunnistan’
Somehow
it feels like 1998 all over again, with bad memories of the KLA in
Kosovo, imported jihadist fighters in Bosnia, and NATO lording over a
newly balkanized region.
When
you hear US officials like John McCain or clueless Republican
presidential candidates like Marco Rubio or Carly Fiorina, all
crowing for a “Safe Zone” in northern Syria, this is what they
are referring to (see map above). Their ‘safe zone’ just so
happens to be in the exact same area where ISIS is currently holding
court. It’s a ‘safe zone’ alright, but not for refugees
and “Syrians fleeing the evil Bashar al Assad” – rather, the
‘safe zone’ will be for an array of ‘rebel’ and terrorist
fighters, part of a defacto Sunni state-lette in
waiting.
So
the US-led Coalition’s ‘safe zone’ is the very Caliphate that
Americans are decrying.
For
anyone requiring proof that such a grand chessboard is in play in
Syria, they need look no further than a set of US airstrikes that
took place before Christmas. On December 6, 2015, US fighter
bombers struck a Syrian military base located in the village
of Ayyash in
Deir Ezzor Province, east of Raqqa, which killed 3 Syrian Arab Army
(SAA) soldiers and wounded additional others. Naturally, the Pentagon
swiftly denied that
any such attack took place. What happened after this incident was
extremely telling, as explained by global affairs analyst Mike
Whitney fromCounterpunch
Magazine:
“It’s
also worth noting, that according to South Front military analysis,
the US bombing raid coincided with a “a full-scale ISIS offensive
on the villages of Ayyash and Bgelia.” In other words, the US
attack provided sufficient air-cover for ISIS terrorists to carry out
their ground operations. Was that part of the plan or was it merely a
coincidence?”
So
the US air force was coordinating with ISIS boots on the ground, to
achieve a common military objective. But it didn’t end there.
“Less
than 24 hours after the attack, US warplanes bombed the village of
Al-Khan in north-eastern Syria killing 26 Syrian civilians including
at least four women and seven children and four women. The message
the US military is sending with these lethal attacks is that it wants
to control the air-space over east Syria where it plans to remove
ISIS and establish a de facto Sunni state consistent with its scheme
to break Syria and Iraq into smaller cantons governed by local
warlords, Islamic fanatics, and US puppets.”
Also
taking place at the same moment on Dec 6th, was Turkey’s quiet
little invasion into northern Iraq, sending hundreds of troops and at
least 20 tanks into territory north of Mosul, right between the
Kurds and ISIS.
It should be noted that this illegal incursion by NATO member Turkey
was not approved by the Iraqi government in Baghdad, and Iraqi
PM Haider
al-Abadi called
for Turkey to “immediately withdraw its troops.” Judging by
Washington’s silence on the matter, it’s obvious that the US gave
Turkey its full blessing. Here, Zero
Hedge astutely
points out the obvious:
“Most
importantly of all, right on what Al-Araby
al-Jadeed claims is
the smuggling route for illegal ISIS crude into Turkey from Iraq.”
Not
surprisingly, Turkey’s sudden move also came at the same time that
Russia began to publicly
expose Turkey’s clandestine role in facilitating the ISIS oil
trade,
as well as launching airstrikes to destroy ISIS oil convoys moving
from Syria into Turkey. And then Turkish leader Recep
Tayyip Erdoğan (photo,
left) places his military assets at the very location where
stolen ISIS oil makes its way from Iraq into Turkey? Hardly a
coincidence.
Make
no mistake, both ends of NATO’s military axle, the United States
and Turkey, along with their Saudi-backed boots on the ground in ISIS
and al Nusra – have each made critical strategic moves in unison,
and with a specific military purpose each time, nudging towards
securing territory. Once each key piece is finally in position, all
that is required is a new “crisis”, either in the region, or in
Europe, or in America – to allow the Axis powers to move in quickly
and take what is needed to implement the next phase of the game,
whether that’s creating a Kurdish canton, or a Sunni state-lette.
Such moves will rarely be covered by the western international media.
What’s
the ‘safe zone’ for? As the US-led Coalition steps up its 18
month-long Punch
‘n Judy air
operation to supplant ISIS from Raqqa, those western-backed jihadis
will later require a safe corridor to flee but still remain connected
to their Turkish supply lines. Washington’s ‘safe zone’ would
also provide a much-needed safe haven for ‘rebels’ who have been
sent packing by the Syrian government from towns like Homs and
others, as part of a painstaking disarming
and reconciliation process between
the Assad government and ‘opposition’ rebels who are willing to
participate in the program. Once the NATO-GCC Axis has established a
mini protectorate inside of Syria, this will provide everything ISIS,
al Nusra, Ahrar al-Sham, Turkmens et
all will
need; a secure launching pad for incursions further inside Syria –
which will certainly guarantee a longer, protracted conflict in Syria
– and beyond.
This
little Sunni wedge is also conveniently located next to a large
rebel-terrorist contingent in Syria’s northwestern
Idlib governorate (province). Syria’s border with Turkey
has been porous from the beginning of the conflict, so the proposed
‘safe zone’ will allow Turkey to maintain this status quo –
where it has been continuously allowing the free-flow of weapons,
rebels and terrorist fighters alike, along with oil, narcotics and
human trafficking – to move freely through its southern border with
Syria.
If
‘regime change’ rhetoric is anything to go by, along with
turning a blind eye to NATO member Turkey’s role in facilitating
supply lines and safe passage for al Qaeda and ISIS, then
Washington’s agenda is fairly transparent here. If they can
establish a “internationally recognized” safe zone and a No-Fly
Zone on top of it, central planners believe they will have the
platform they need to eventually destroy Damascus, install their own
western puppet, and then carve up Syria and northern Iraq
accordingly.
ISIS
RAT-LINES: Black market oil has been a key component to carrying on
both conflicts in Syria, and Iraq.
For
the architects of instability in Washington, one crucial benefit of
carving out Sunni territory in both northern and eastern Syria is
that available oil will help fund all of their paramilitary and
terrorist needs – making it sustainable.
To guarantee this uninterrupted income stream from black market oil
which is presently making its way out of Syria and into Turkey and
via Kurdistan, help is required from the Kurdish
Regional Government (KRG)
and other stakeholders, including the British-Turkish firm Genel
Energy,
just one firm who is providing the end-run to market for illicit ISIS
oil. Ditto for a key mover and shaker in Raqqa’s new Rockefeller
class, Bilal
Erdogan,
the son of Turkish president, who according
to numerous recent reports has
already amassed a small fortune from the lucrative oil-for-terror
trade.
This
is a problem, but one which Washington, London and Paris are not
overly concerned with, much less upset about. Iraqi, Kurdish and
Turkish opposition officials have accused Turkish governments and the
KRG of deliberately allowing some of these smuggling operations to
take place.
Even
as provisional state-lettes and cantons are conjured around it, there
is no guarantee thatGreater
Kurdistan will
ever see the light of day if Nation
Builders Inc having
anything to say bout it. The promise of
Greater Kurdistan is as important to neocolonialists, than the
reality of a Greater Kurdistan. Turkey also has its own interests and
ambitions, and a Greater Kurdistan is not compatible with them. Iraq
is not crazy about the idea either, because of obvious financial and
energy resource reasons. So they remain in limb indefinitely, even as
smaller quasi-Kurdish entities sprout up around the KRG. Turkey has
its own ongoing ‘Kurdish problem’ within Turkish borders, so
Ankara will naturally view any expressions of Kurdish autonomy around
it as a threat and potential inspiration for international Kurdish
solidarity. Ruling over the Kurds means keeping them divided,
and playing them off against their neighbors.
There
are those within the Turkish establishment who believe there are old
scores still unsettled – in reclaiming Turk territory in both Syria
and Iraq.
Here
is where Sunnistan proper
can emerge, coming into its own once set pieces are in place in Iraq
and across Kurdistan, as Mike
Whitney explained:
“So
it looks like an agreement has been struck between Turkey, the KRG
and the United States to seize parts of northern Iraq and
eastern Syria to create a de facto Sunni state that will be
jointly-controlled by Ankara and Washington. It also looks
like Obama has agreed to use dodgy jihadi-proxies
(aka–Terrorists) to work alongside US Special Forces to carry
out future military operations. So while the effort to
remove Assad has been temporarily put on the backburner, the
determination to destroy Syria is as strong as ever.”
Another dismembered part of old Syria and Iraq which central planners are hoping to hack-off is an area called Rojava (see map above), or ‘Western Kurdistan’. This region in northern Syria, formerly known as Syrian Kurdistan, gained its autonomy in November 2013 as part of the ongoing Rojava Revolution.
The Kurdish defense forces here are known as the YPG (People’s Defense Units) and are not on friendly footing with neighboring Turkey, for a number of reasons, not least of all because YPG defense forces present resistance to both al Nusra and ISIS encroachments into all three Rojava cantons. For Turkey, this is bad for business. How Rojava will factor into Washington’s plans is not clear yet, but it occupies the most strategic squares on the chessboard.
Make
no mistake, the history’s
actors are all
in for
this plan. Do not be fooled by talk of ‘peace and stability’ or
humanitarian platitudes from western leaders, the UN, or the fair
weather international community.
Another
indication that these plans have the full backing of the
neoconservative illiterati,
and Israel too, was PNAC walrus and former US Ambassador to the
UN John
Bolton’s recent
article in
the establishment’s daily journal of political posterity, the New
York Times,
where he states:
“Today’s
reality is that Iraq and Syria as we have known them are gone. The
Islamic State has carved out a new entity from the post-Ottoman
Empire settlement, mobilizing Sunni opposition to the regime of
President Bashar al-Assad and the Iran-dominated government of Iraq.
Also emerging, after years of effort, is a de facto independent
Kurdistan.”
Central
planners will happily frame this geopolitical scenario within the
preferred theme of Sunni
vs Shia ‘sectarian
strife’ in the region, which just happens to suit the interests and
desires of both Saudi Arabia and Israel. Bolton confirms this:
“If, in this context, defeating the Islamic State means restoring to power Mr. Assad in Syria and Iran’s puppets in Iraq, that outcome is neither feasible nor desirable. Rather than striving to recreate the post-World War I map, Washington should recognize the new geopolitics. The best alternative to the Islamic State in northeastern Syria and western Iraq is a new, independent Sunni state.”
Not
so fast Mr. Ambassador. The Islamic State is the
Sunni State.
So
for all intents and purposes, he’s calling for the establishment
of the
Caliphate (funny
how this goes right over the heads of ‘conservatives’).
This
is just one of many geostrategic moves which will
guarantee instability and military conflict in the region for another
100 years, as well as provide a timely entrée through
to Azerbaijan and
intoIran,
and later towards the Eurasian heartland of Dagestan (Russia’s
emerging energy center and geographic underbelly).
In
the meantime, expect to be pelted with endless
propaganda about starving children in
one town or another, changing week to week – with the usual slogans
like, “we must act now!”, and blaming Bashar al Assad for the
suffering of his people. It’s already wearing tin.
Until
the US and its NATO-GCC Axis stops flooding
Syria and the region with weapons and terrorist fighters, and
continues its policy of toppling secular nation-states – then any
attempt at holding peace talks will end up back at square one, and
stand as another exercise in utility.
If
Syria has been good for one thing, it’s that the western narrative,
and all of its variations, has finally hit the wall of truth.
What's the credibility rating of an analysis on Syrian strategy that does not even care to mention the possible response of the Assad government or Russia, or Iran to such moves by the US and its vassal states? Not high, I suspect. The article reads like there would be virtually no resistance to such moves, that the US can pretty much do whatever it pleases in the area.....not true, I think.
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