This
article confirms what we all know, that the official unemployment
stats do not reflect the reality
Times
tough but not for Nats' friends
Almost
half of Kiwis are affected by unemployment, but National supporters
are far less likely than other voters to have someone out of work in
their inner circle of friends and family.
2
May, 2013
The
data, collected as part of the latest Fairfax-Ipsos poll, has emerged
as a key fault line in society and between the Government and the
opposition.
The
poll found 21 per cent of those surveyed had "several"
people out of work in their circle of family and friends, and another
23 per cent said there were one or two people close to them
unemployed.
The
figure jumped sharply among Pacific and Maori respondents, with 57
per cent of a respondents saying several people in their circle were
out of work. The proportion for Maori was 42 per cent.
Across
the two groups, 67 per cent reported at least one or two of their
friends and family were out of work.
But
more than 70 per cent of National voters reported no-one in their
circle was unemployed.
Ipsos
pollster Duncan Stuart said he did not expect to see such a stark
difference in a small country "where everyone is two to three
degrees of separation apart".
The
figures showed New Zealanders occupied quite different strata aligned
with political views.
However,
National voters were also the most confident that the current
Government would make a better fist of reducing unemployment than the
opposition.
Asked
if the main opposition parties would do a better job of reducing
unemployment, 34 per cent of those surveyed said yes and 31 per cent
said no.
Maori
and Pacific people had the strongest expectation the opposition could
improve things – 55 per cent and 59 per cent respectively.
Not
surprisingly, those backing Labour (66 per cent), Green (62 per cent)
and NZ First (46 per cent) felt a change of Government would help,
against just 7.7 per cent of National voters.
Council
of Trade Unions economist Bill Rosenberg said the poll showed the
impact of unemployment was far greater than the official statistics
suggest.
Officially,
6.2 per cent unemployment means 146,000 people out of work, but
Rosenberg said: "There is a fair amount of 'churn' so more than
6.2 per cent would be affected in any one year."
There
was also a much larger number of people not caught by the official
data – those who were underemployed and seeking more work or part
of the new buzz-word group, "the precariat", who lack job
security.
Statistics
NZ said in March 83,300 people were "underemployed",
although that was 9800 lower than a year earlier.
Many
people would also experience unemployment through their children,
with the unemployment rate running at more than 25 per cent among 15-
to 19-year-olds and 10.9 per cent among 20-24-year-olds, Rosenberg
said.
Economic
Development Minister Steven Joyce pointed to the Government's efforts
to make the economy more efficient and to a wide range of other
initiatives – including one-offs such as The Hobbit movie and
SkyCity deals – as proof the Government was taking steps to boost
employment, often with measures the opposition opposed, despite
Labour and the Greens' stress on jobs.
But
Stuart said one surprise finding in the data was that those with
unemployed in their social circle – who might have been expected to
back the SkyCity deal because it would create jobs – were less in
favour of the deal than others.
"This
suggests [Labour leader David] Shearer or [Prime Minister John] Key
won't be able to dress up any old policy mutton and justify it on the
'it's all about job creation' plank."
Labour
deputy leader Grant Robertson said the survey showed National voters
could too easily live in a bubble and were buying the Government's
rhetoric.
The
country needed a more hands-on approach, "pulling all the levers
big and small" including monetary policy, a capital gains tax
and skills training. And he said that jobs would be a priority
election battleground for Labour.
A
centrepiece of its policy is likely to be an idea borrowed from
Denmark to keep people who lose their jobs in the workforce through a
type of "employment guarantee" scheme.
of
remote Hick's Bay and one of the people surveyed.
Others
who responded that they knew unemployed people personally say they
entitled to empathy, not criticism.
Raroa,
who works for the local iwi, says they often feel the burden of
unemployment.
"We
usually help in the simple ways, taking something out of the freezer
to help a family over the next couple of days….
"Its
help, others may see it as a burden. I can give a packet of sausages
to tie the kids over a couple of nights."
Farming
in the area is in a bad way and the forestry which used to hire
locals, now brings in outside contractors.
Family
members end up unemployed, for generations.
"They
see themselves in a rut and they cannot see a way out."
Alcohol
and cannabis becomes a problem: "They are a highlight for these
guys who see no any other way out."
He
sees one simple solution: get the young people to leave Hick's Bay.
"We
are encouraging the young people once they have finished school here
to go to the cities to further their learning – there is nothing
here….
"I
am not saying this is a bad place, it's a beautiful place, it's just
that there is no opportunity of school leavers."
Raroa
says things are getting worse and social welfare changes in July will
make it harder on some of the people he knows.
"That
will have an impact on some of our less fortunate whanau. Ten years
ago it wasn't this bad; the forestry was more local contracting.
There were more jobs, farming was okay, scrub-cutting, fencing, now
the farms do it all themselves."
It
admits its hard to deal with unemployment in his family.
"I
personally support the kids and just make sure they get a good
education and when they leave they have a brighter future….
"We
are trying to break the cycle with the young people. You've always
got to tell them to be positive because when they kids grow up, they
will have to break the cycle."
Timaru's
Lesley Donaghy, who has worked in the mental health services, knows
unemployed people and is strongly of the view that society should
take a kind view of them.
"It
is very easy to blame the other people – I could get on my high
horse – but until you've walked in somebody else's shoes, you
shouldn't judge. Most people who are unemployed would like the
opportunity to work."
She
always buys a little extra in the supermarket to drop in food bank
bins. More people should she says.
This
week's discussion over food in schools and whether it was the
parents' responsibility was the same issue over helping unemployed.
"People
who say it is the parents job, I can only presume a lot of them have
lived through a time of plenty. How many of them have had to budget
for school shoes and that kind of thing? How can you pay rent when
the benefit is so low?"
She
doubts there is such a thing as a dole bludger at all.
"When
you look in The Press, most of the jobs need driver's licences. Many
of the people cannot afford the cost of getting the licence. Others
have come through and out the other-side alcohol and have a year to
wait…
"A
lot of people, I would like to think, would have empathy with them,
it is too easy to say that they are not looking hard enough."
Colleen
Davies of South Auckland sometimes finds she has to give food to help
out the unemployed people she knows.
"I
feel so sorry for them, it is so hard, and there are no jobs around
here."
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