Given
that this comes from Israeli media it could be either misinfomation
or a real warning. I believe we ignore this at our peril – most of
the western media is silent about this.
Ex-Mossad
chief said what should be clear to everyone – Israel has never been
so close to attacking Iran
When
a former Mossad chief like Ephraim Halevy is quoted saying that for
next twelve weeks, 'if I were an Iranian, I would be very worried'
about and Israeli strike, we should take him at his word. If he were
Iranian, he would be very worried.
2
August, 2012
Ephraim
Halevy is a responsible sort of guy. A former Mossad Chief, National
Security Council head, an ambassador, he even was a journalist for a
short while more than fifty years ago. So when he is quoted by the
New York Times and Associated Press saying that for the next twelve
weeks, "if I were an Iranian, I would be very worried about the
Israeli talk about a possible attack, because Israel's threats sound
serious and credible to me," we should take him at his word. If
he were Iranian, he would be very worried.
But
what is he? Or more to the point, whom is he speaking as? Is he an
unofficial spokesperson for the Israeli government or for the Israeli
intelligence establishment (not the same thing) or is he simply
acting as yet another commentator? And how much does he actually know
from inside?
The
official answer to all these questions would be that once a man
ceases to be a member of the inner forums, and Halevy retired from
public service nine years ago, he is no longer privy to classified
information. But does one ever really retire from those forums? On
the other hand, as we said at the start, Halevy is a responsible guy
and he wouldn't be letting on any secrets. Unless someone asked him
to. But then would he?
Unlike
other ex-defense heads, such as Meir Dagan, Gabi Ashkenazy and Yuval
Diskin, he doesn't seem to be planning a plunge into the political
pool, so he probably doesn't have a personal motive in weighing in.
Neither is he another establishment stooge – he isn't exactly an
iconoclast but he has come out publicly in favor of engaging with
Hamas and has said that religious extremism is a greater danger to
Israel than the Iranian threat. So he's not exactly gung-ho either.
I
don't envy the Iranian intelligence officer who is trying right now
to make some sense out of all this.
Let's
stick with the most likely premise, that Halevy is still responsible
and therefore not revealing any secrets that have come his way. He is
fully aware of his position and that our Iranian intelligence officer
will believe an ex-Mossad chief is always a Mossad chief and take his
words as coming from the top. Halevy would not have risked causing
any misunderstanding on the Iranian side - unless he was certain that
he was saying absolutely nothing new, and if he is being so specific
as to even mark out the period in which an Israeli strike is likely –
twelve more weeks, roughly the time left from now until just before
the U.S. elections, then he must assume the Iranians already believe
this.
So
if Halevy has spoken so plainly out in the open, he is only doing
what we all can do for ourselves, hear what Netanyahu and Barak are
saying, without any concern for diplomacy or operational secrecy,
observe the anxious scurrying of senior administration officials,
flying across the Atlantic to meet with them and see how just about
everyone in Israel's upper echelons are no longer leaking to the
media, but opening the taps up full-blast.
It's
out there in the open, Halevy knows it but so does anyone who can
read a paper or watch the news on television; in Jerusalem,
Washington or Tehran. It may never happen, but for the next three
months, Israel is at the closest point it has ever been to attacking
Iran.
From
the right-wing Zionist Jerusalem Post
Khamenei
Warns Iran's Top Leaders: WAR IN WEEKS
Iran
launches its biggest ever fortification project to protect its
nuclear installations from US and/or Israeli attack which Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei warned his military chiefs is only weeks away: Iran's
nuclear facilities are being buried under mountains of rocks, tons of
reinforced concrete and steel sheeting.
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