Greek
Retailers Stocking Up On Shutters In Case Of Riots, Alcohol
Inventories Plunge
28
May, 2012
While
America may be experiencing the occasional
zombie apocalypse breakout,
probably due to the absence of easily available edible iPads, Greek
retailers are preparing for the retail version. "British
electrical retailer Dixons has spent the last few weeks stockpiling
security shutters to protect its nearly 100 stores across Greece in
case of riot. The planning, says Dixons chief Sebastian James, may
look alarmist but it's good to be prepared." Why Dixons?
"Europe's No 2 electrical retailer Dixons owns Greece's market
leading but loss-making Kotsovolos chain, which has a 25-percent
market share selling iPads
and laptops as well as
washing machines, televisions and air conditioning units." There
we go: Bill Dudley's edible iPads. The question is what happens when
this easily digestable piece of plastic is thoroughly looted after
local rioters dispense with the "shutters" supposedly
protecting their wares. What will be on the menu next? Sadly not
booze: "Diageo, the world's biggest spirits group and the name
behind Johnnie Walker whisky and Smirnoff vodka, has reacted by
slashing its marketing spend in Greece, reducing
stock levels and pulling cash quickly out of the country after it saw
its Greek sales halve in the last three years to less than 100
million pounds." So:
no food, no booze, no cheap 99 cent iPad aps: this is the way the
world's most miserable monetary experiment ends.
Who
else is preparing for a peak in rioting, and how?
Company
bosses around Europe agree. As the financial crisis in Greece
worsens, companies are getting ready for everything from social
unrest to a complete meltdown of the financial system.
Those
preparations include sweeping cash out of Greece every night, cutting
debts, weeding out badly paying customers and readying for a switch
to a new Greek drachma if the country is forced to abandon the euro.
"Most
companies are getting ready and preparing for a Greek exit and have
looked at cash, treasury and currency issues," said Roger Bayly,
a partner at advisory and accountancy firm KPMG.
Chief
Executive James says the company has contingency plans to shutter up
its 69 wholly owned and 29 franchised Greek stores and close them in
the short term to protect against any threat of civil unrest and
prepare for a switch to a new drachma.
Greece
accounts for just over 3 percent of Dixon's annual sales of around
8.2 billion pounds. The company competes with Europe's No 1
electrical chain Metro and with a number of local players which James
says may struggled to survive in a crisis.
"We
know it would put paid to quite a lot of our competitors and give us
an opportunity to get more of a market share. So we are ready and we
would be very interested to see how it would turn out," said
James.
Dixons
should know what is the rioter's pick du jour:
Dixons,
using its experience of dealing with riots in London and other
British cities last summer - big flat-screen televisions were the
looters' booty of choice - has ordered enough shutters to protect its
stores and is working with the Greek police and security groups.
The
group's sales dipped 9 percent in Italy, Greece and Turkey in the
year to late April. The group does not split out Greek sales, but
these three nations make up around 7 percent of the group's annual
sales.
The
6 Greek Cs
"Businesses
need to build in protection by checking payment terms, sweeping cash
out of subsidiaries and into other currencies and check on the
vulnerability of suppliers," said Martin O'Donovan, ACT's deputy
policy and technical director.
KPMG's
Bayly advises his clients to check the six Cs when preparing for a
possible Greek euro exit: cash, contracts, continuity,
counterparties, control and commercial. He believes that automotive
companies, tour operators and pharmaceutical groups would see the
biggest immediate disruption from an early euro exit by Greece.
He
argues most companies are well prepared on cash issues and contracts
with suppliers, but less so on how they would cope with business
continuity in the immediate aftermath of a euro exit.
The
worst news? No more booze.
Diageo,
the world's biggest spirits group and the name behind Johnnie Walker
whisky and Smirnoff vodka, has reacted by slashing its marketing
spend in Greece, reducing stock levels and pulling cash quickly out
of the country after it saw its Greek sales halve in the last three
years to less than 100 million pounds.
Diageo
has weekly meetings aimed at cutting its exposure to Greece,
protecting remaining sales by bolstering its own in-house
distribution network, halting supplies to some small bars and
focusing on high-end hotels and clubs.
Diageo's
Chief Marketing Officer Andy Fennell says its Greek sales are still
falling. The once big Johnnie Walker market has already shrunk and
now accounts for less than one percent of the group's 10 billion
pound annual turnover.
"There
could be a marked impact on Greece but the big question is what
happens elsewhere across the eurozone," Fennell said with an eye
on Diageo's bigger troubled markets inside the eurozone such as Spain
and Ireland.
The
best news: new drachma will be well stocked and easily available:
De
La Rue, which as the world's biggest commercial banknote printer
produces more than 150 currencies, has made no comment. Analysts say
Greece could have to turn to outside printers because of the sheer
quantity of banknotes needed.
Of
course, if after reading this any Greeks are still not utterly
terrified of what their vote for Syriza would bring (nothing but
Keynesian fire and brimstone), very soon precogs will be released to
arrest any and all who dare to vote for ending a disastrous monetary
experiment which will eventually unleash what happened in Miami over
the weekend, worldwide.
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