Ukraine
Analysis by the Saker: a “Croatian” attack scenario?
15
Febraury, 2015
M2A
RIP
It
is pretty clear that the chances of peace, which were always tiny,
are getting worse and worse by the day. I personally
never believed that the Minsk-2 Agreement (M2A) would be implemented
by the Kiev junta and I am not in the least surprised. The most
what the junta could do was to withdraw some (not even most!) of its
heavy weapons and then bring news ones in. As for the political
steps foreseen by M2A they are simply unthinkable for the junta.
In fact, even if Poroshenko decided to comply with M2A and, say,
negotiate a future Ukrainian constitution with the representatives of
Novorussia, he would probably be overthrown within 24 hours, not only
because the Nazi freaks like Iarosh would never accept that but
because, more importantly, Uncle Sam would never accept that either.
The
key actor: the USA
The
single most important actor in the Ukrainian crisis are the USA which
has far more influence than the EU or any local political force.
And the fact is that the USA have everything to lose from a peaceful
outcome of the Ukrainian civil war.
Why? Simple!
The
US powerbase in the Ukraine is composed of two very different groups:
first, the Nazi ultra-nationalist freaks with very strong ties to the
Ukie emigrants in Canada and the USA and, second, the corrupt
oligarchs. Now here is the key factor here: neither of these
two groups are a majority of the Ukrainian people, even if we exclude
the Donbass. In fact, even when put together into one “pro-US
5th column” the Nazi freaks and Ukie oligarchs are still not a
majority. This crucial fact translates into a very simple but
crucial policy imperative: the USA cannot allow anything remotely
“democratic” in the Ukraine: it
is either “people power” or “US power”, but it will never be
both.
From that flows a 2nd very simple policy imperative: the
US needs to maintain a state of crisis at all costs:
war, civil war, industrial or ecological disaster, MH-17, unknown
snipers, etc. Peace will sooner or later bring some form of
people power which, in turn, will mean that the USA would lose
control of the situation.
This
is why whether the next crisis results from yet another military
defeat or from food shortages and riots, the junta’s “solution”
will be the same one: martial law. The Rada, in fact, just
passed such a law allowing easy imposition of martial law.
Martial
law as a way to save the current regime
The
big advantage (for the USA) of the introduction of martial law in the
Ukraine is that the two “pillars” of US power in the Ukraine
(Nazi freaks and oligarchs) will most obviously the ones to declare
and implement martial law, thus their power over the country will
remain safely in their hands. Furthermore, martial law will
allow the regime to viciously crack down and crush any opposition
under minimal or even no legal constraints of any kind. Any
person or group protesting or otherwise disagreeing with anything the
junta does will be declared “agent of Putin” and dealt with by
either imprisonment or simply executed.
The
imposition of martial law will also be a financial bonanza for the
oligarch which will use it to ruthlessly eliminate any opponents or
anybody questioning their practices. But there is more to a
martial law option than just short term benefits:
Longer
term benefits of martial law: the preparation of a “Croatian”
scenario
More
and more people are coming to the conclusion that the junta in Kiev
is preparing for what is often called a “Croatian” scenario.
UNPAs
in the Serbijan Krajinas in Croatia
[Sidebar
– short reminder: at the end of the first phase of the civil war in
Croatia, the Croats were unable to defeat the local Serbian
population which had lived in areas called “Krajinas” – from
the same root as the word “Ukraine” meaning “border region”.
The UN then established “UN Protected Areas” or UNPAs in which
the local Serbs were supposed to be safe from Croatian attacks.
These areas are shown in dark blue on the map. The Croatians
then waited a few years, while being trained and armed by the USA,
and eventually they
attacked on the under the cover of the USAF. The UN forces
immediately surrendered and the Krajinas were rapidly overrun
resulting in a massive movement of Croatian Serb civilians feeling
the Croatian offensive. The “civilized world” stood by and
either applauded or said nothing].
The
US-Ukie oh-so-subtle plan appears to be very similar to the “Croatian
variant”: buy enough time to prepare for a massive attack and then
crush the “separatists” is a short but very intense campaign. The
big question is – can that work?
An
“Operation
Storm” in the Donbass?
Externally,
the similarities between the two wars are striking: two US-run Nazi
states use the cover of a peacekeeping operation to prepare a massive
assault against its own population. But there are also crucial
differences which one should not underestimate:
The
first and most important difference is the difference between the
rump-Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) under Milosevic and Russia
under Putin. For one thing, Yugoslavia was obviously not a
nuclear superpower and Milosevic had to count with the possibility
that Serbia and Montenegro could be simply invaded by the USA and
NATO. There is exactly zero
risk of that happening in Russia. But even more importantly,
Milosevic did betray his Bosnian-Serb and Croatian-Serb brothers and
impose sanctions on them. In contrast, Putin allowed both
“Voentorg” (the delivery of weapons) and “Severnyi Veter” (
or “Northern Wind” – i.e, the sending of volunteers)
Novorussia). But this goes way beyond Putin: there is a 90% or
so agreement in Russia that there is no way that Russia will allow
the Nazis to overrun the Donbass. So if Putin did let that
happen, he would be putting himself and his allies in grave danger.
In fact, Putin had a very hard time even defending his decision not
to send the Russian military into Novorussia last year, most Russians
did agree, but it took some very intense PR campaigns and a lot of
convincing. The 80%+ support Putin enjoys in Russia is
exceptional and strong, but it is not unconditional and while the
pro-western “liberal” opposition presents no threat to him, the
nationalist opposition is currently rather weak only
because Putin is very careful in his policies. But should he “sell
out” Novorussia or suddenly turn pro-Western and that rather
currently tame nationalist opposition could become very dangerous.
In reality, since it is the “patriotic” (but non-nationalistic –
big difference!) segment of the population which is the real power
base of Putin I don’t see him doing anything to alienate them,
especially not by allowing Novorussian to be invaded by the Nazis.
There
is also a pragmatic reason why Russian cannot allow the Kiev Nazis to
overrun Novorussia: not only would their next attack be inevitably be
directed at Crimea (they already promised that numerous times!), but
even the combats in Novorussia only would most likely pull the
Russian forces in anyway.
The
bottom line is this: Russia will never allow an “Operation Storm”
in Novorussia.
The
second big difference is the terrain and forces involved. The
Serbs in the UNPAs had given up their heavy weapons, the terrain was
either low mountains or a narrow valleys and, most importantly, they
did not have a “safe border” from which they can be supported and
resupplied (like the Afghans had with Pakistan during the Soviet
occupation). Furthermore, the Novorussians have slowly and
painfully struggled to transform their militia of volunteers into a
regular army force and while this process has not been easy, to say
the last, it appears to have been pretty successful. Keep in
mind that even before these reforms, the militas were rather
successful in all their operations and that their air defenses had
succeeded in imposing a no-fly zone over the Donbass. Their
biggest weakness was their limited capability for coordinated attacks
and counter-attacks, but that has probably changed now. Not
only that, but by all accounts the Novorussians now have large stores
of weapons, plenty of armor and more than enough men. As
a result, the Novorussians are now probably capable of combined arms
operations.
When
the US and NATO bombed the Krajina Serbs, they enjoyed air supremacy,
they faced no air defenses, the number of targets they had to engage
was very limited and the Serbs, having been betrayed by everybody,
had no will to fight left. The Ukrainians have lost most of
their airforce, the number of potential targets they might want to
hit in the Donbass is very large and very well defended.
Last
but not least, there are at least two major cities in Novorussia,
Donetsk and Lugansk. These cities are large, easy to defend,
very well prepared and capable of resisting for a very long time.
No such cities existed in the Serbian Krajina.
Back
to reality
The
similarities between the civil wars in Croatia and the Ukraine are
both superficial and deceiving. In purely military terms the
conquest of Novorussia by the Kiev junta would be infinitely more
difficult than the relatively simple Croatian operation to invade the
Krajinas.
As
for the famous US aid, let’s remember not only the little good it
did to the Georgians, but also all the other US allies who benefited
from lavish US aid, huge weapons deliveries, CIA organized death
squads, the full propaganda support of the US corporate media and who
still were defeated. Even the deployment of US military forces
as a solution of last resort rarely proved effective against a
popular insurgency.
Do
the Ukrainians and the Americans understand that an Krajina-like
operation in the Donbass is impossible? The latter probably do,
especially the military specialists. As for the Ukrainians,
they don’t really care. For them it is all about pretending,
keeping a rationale alive to justify their actions, making promises
of “defeating the Moskal’s with the help of the USA and NATO”.
Whether that actually happens or not is irrelevant for them.
What matters is keeping the good times (for them, of course) going
for as long as possible. And when the inevitable happens, they
will flee like so many other US stooges in the past, from the Shah of
Iran to Ferdinand Marcos.
But
in the short term we should have no illusions about the immediate
future: the junta forces will attack again and even though their next
offensive will probably be much more effective than their previous
ones, they will be defeated again, either by the Novorussians or by
the Russian military.
The
Saker
Givi’s
interview regarding the recent UAF attacks on Peski and Spartak
South
Front’s Foreign Policy Diary ‘Yemen’
Ukraine
SITREP April, 15nd, 2015 by Scott
Ladies
and gentlemen, looks like ceasefire in Ukraine is now officially
over.
The
regime started escalating their attacks on the 10th already, and
launched a full on attack along the whole western front on the day of
Orthodox Easter.
What
do the Russians call a NATO Rapid Reaction Force? Speed bump. The
absolute histerium of Verteidigungsministerium.
Ukraine
never seizes to amaze us… By legally labeling the Soviet Union
“criminal regime” and calling everything Soviet ” a crime,”
Ukraine outlaws and criminalizes its own existence, since it was
created by the Bolsheviks. Poland is coming to take Lvov and
territories, armed with the EU agreement and NATO.
Is
it time for Russia to quit the “Kill Russia” club and look
Pacific?
Every
now and then the European nations lineup for a time honored Western
tradition – a war against Russia. Like a legendary Transylvania
vampire, Europe gets up from its democratic coffin in quest for
Russian treasures and rivers of Russian blood. Time after time Europe
shows the true face of its bestial nature.
Century
after century Russia bears the brunt of the European animosity and
still for centuries some in Russia look at Europe longingly, thriving
for acceptance and belonging. On the true size map of Eurasia, Europe
looks like a tiny appendage in comparison to the enormous Russia. To
use the old British zoological metaphor, as long as Russia faces
West, Europe acts like a muzzle on the Russian bears’ face.
However, when Russia turns East and Pacific, towards Asia and Latin
America, it discovers a honeycomb of friendly nations with wonderful
ancient cultures, developed technologies, and traditionalism. Thus,
Europe assumes it’s naturally destined position of an appendage
clinging on to the Russian bear’s ass.
Let’s call it a “tail.”
A
simple explanation why the West doesn’t see the fascism in Ukraine.
Don’t you hate it when people bring facts to an argument…. And
last, but not least: the Polish Retarded Tower of Russophobic
Paranoia: before and after design.
1.
APRIL 8: Ukraine, Right Sector lawlessness in Kherson
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iYE-5mZnQgQ
With Eng. Subs.
8th
April 2015, city Kherson, future Kherson republic
Thugs
of “Right sector” beat public activists from another
organizations in the Kherson RSA.
It
happened on 8th April 2015. In the video there are a few repetitions,
may be difficult to watch it.
2.
Why Poland supported Maidan
An
English translation of Miroslava Berdnyk’ article. A brilliant
Ukrainian historian, Miroslava has been on my must to read list since
2007. Unfortunately, her articles and materials on history of
Ukraine, the Soviet Union, WWI and WWII have not being translated
enough. Don’t miss this one.
3.
Images of Kiev in 1985
The
West calls this a “Soviet occupation.” For many people it was a
wonderful time and place of happy childhood. Miroslava Berdnyk’s
nostalgic journey.
4.
CANADIANS: Please join your fellow Canadians in Toronto to remember
the victims of the terrible Odessa Tragedy on Saturday, May 2nd.
Below
is a link with the details to the event.
5.
Ukraine parliament launched an irreversible process leading to the
final disintegration of Ukraine
The
head of the DPR Alexander Zakharchenko said that the Ukrainian
parliament launched an irreversible process leading to the final
disintegration of Ukraine by its assertion that the Organization of
Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) and Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) were
“freedom fighters”.
Киев
запустил процессы полного распада
страны, признав членов ОУН-УПА борцами
за свободу – Захарченко
During
the Great Patriotic War, the OUN cooperated with Nazi German
intelligence agencies and fought against the Soviets. In 1943, the
OUN formed the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA). The OUN actively
promoted recruitment efforts for the 14. Waffen-Grenadier-Division
der SS “Galizien”
(galizische/ukrainische SS-Division Nr 1).
According to scholarly research, the OUN and UPA killed at least a
million people, including about 200,000 Poles.
“They’re
trying to embroil Russia with Ukraine by making such a law. This
attempt to glorify UPA soldiers is farcical. This ‘historic’
declaration causes nothing but disgust and revulsion. However, it IS
historical, because this action today formalizes the victory of
fascism in Ukraine. Very soon, most Ukrainians will conclude that the
country is destroyed. The Ukrainian leadership launched an
irreversible process leading to the complete disintegration of the
country,” – Zakharchenko said.
6.
Kiev unleashes terror in Ukraine
Since
April 2014, the beginning of the Kiev junta war on the territory of
Ukraine only in Donetsk People republic about 2230 persons are
considered missing without a trace.
7.
Ukraine cancels the cornerstone of any judicial system – the
principle of presumed innocence. Here the text of the law in
Ukrainian language
http://w1.c1.rada.gov.ua/pls/zweb2/webproc4_1?pf3511=54673
http://rusvesna.su/news/1428607329
(Write-up in Russian)
8.
Full victory of fascism in Ukraine
O.U.N.
(Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists)
Ukrainian
parliament defines WWII nationalist insurgent army as independence
fighters
To
gain some historical perspective, let’s look at the Bloomberg
article from October 2012 on Neo-fascism in Ukraine
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2012-10-30/don-t-isolate-ukraine-and-watch-those-neo-fascists
“Ukraine
this week held a deeply flawed election,” “the biggest gains went
to a party of neo-fascists,” “it’s hard to imagine a more
depressing outcome.” “for the EU and the U.S. alike, the priority
should be to avoid widening the fissures between the
Ukrainian-speaking west and Russian-speaking east, or driving the
government into the arms of Vladimir Putin, Russia’s President.”
Svoboda, led by Oleh Tiahnybok “changed its name from the
Social-Nationalist Party and dropped a Swastika-like emblem. Still,
much of its appeal lies in hardcore ethnic-Ukrainian nationalism and
a hatred of Poles, Russians, Jews and gays. These have deep roots in
Ukraine’s history and should give pause.”
Peculiarities
of the Ukrainian fascism by Scott
The
legislation, which also targets Nazi propaganda was adopted by 254
votes in favor in the 450-member parliament, or Rada. It bans all
symbols and propaganda representing “the totalitarian Communist and
Nazi regimes” — from street names and flags, to monuments and
plaques. It effectively cancels the existence of Ukraine, since it
was created by the Communist Bolsheviks government in 1919-1920 and
signed into law by Lenin.
However
a separate law adopted by the same hardworking Rada on Thursday April
8, officially recognizes the role of a nationalist group that fought
for Ukraine’s independence in the mid-20th century and is still
popular in western Ukraine.
We
are talking about OUN, UPA, those various Nazi collaborators,
murderers (Petro Dyachenko) , and those that haven’t been
rehabilitated yet, while many were previously (Bandera, Shukevych).
Most of western media skipped it altogether.
The
bill is actually interesting, since it proclaims Nazi collaborators
and mass murderers of Poles, Jews, Russians, and Ukrainians as
freedom fighters, and calls for prosecution of Ukrainians and
foreigners who show disrespect towards OUN, UPA, or any other
“Ukrainian Hero.”
Some
people call this law divisive and comparable to the post-Maidan ban
on Russian language that led to the Ukrainian Civil war and an escape
of Crimea. Others say that it’s no biggie, just the expressive use
of folklore.
The
biggest mistake in war and market investments is to look at the past
performance and assume that the things would be the same. The First
World War was different from the Anglo-Franco Crimean War in
1853-1856. the Second World War was different from the Chechen War,
the Chechen war was different from the Civil war in Ukraine. The NATO
war with Russia and its allies will be different from any other war
in the history of mankind. Just like the investment in Citibank in
2009 wasn’t anything like investment into the same bank today.
Comparing
the fascist ideology in Hitler’s Germany to the modern fascist
ideology in Ukraine is a somewhat misguided and misplaced endeavor,
unless you agree that the only constant here is the demonization of
the Russian nation. However, the superiority of Aryan race as a
driving force of the European fascism circa mid 20 century has been
replaced in Ukraine by the revenge of the Semites. Not against
Germans – the exterminators, mind you. It’s a revenge against
Russians, the liberators. The same Russians who spilled blood and
treasure all over Europe to liberate its nations and to open gates of
the death camps. The same Russians who gave the Jews the highest
positions of power in their state, culture, finance, business,
education, and science. The same Russians who vouched for the
creation of Israel. The same Russians that agree to punish
antisemitism with the lengthy jail sentences. I kid you not. The
Westerners are indoctrinated to believe that fascism is pure
anti-Semitic philosophy. Consequently, how dare we to call a Jew,
wearing swastika and commanding the battalion of Nazis, a fascist.
No, we must dubbed him a “Cossack hunter.”
Meet
Tuvia Tenenbom, a self-proclaimed “theater director, playwright,
author, journalist, essayist and the founding artistic director of
the Jewish Theater of New York. ” He makes his pilgrimage to Lvov
in futile search of Ukrainian fascists.
Traveling
down this rabbit hole, he meets Nathan Chazin, a citizen of Israel
who served in IDF. He wears a Star of David and the uniform of the
Right Sector. Nathan is presently commanding a Right Sector battalion
and is very proud of his role in genocide of Russians in Donbas.
In
the Jewish community center in Kiev, the author was informed that the
Right Sector is not anti-Semitic organization. How could the Right
Sector be anti-Semitic with so many Jews commanding officers, like
the Chief of communications Right Sector Boris Blaher AKA Borislav
Bereza, a real boyfriend of Anna Duritskaya? Or a former IDF soldier,
Nathan Chazin, or an ex-soldiers of Israel Army claiming to create a
Jewish battalion “Matilan” for fight against Novorossia? The
financing of this paramilitary forces also comes from Jews. Would
Jews finance the Nazis?
Next,
Tuvia meets three banderas, named after the all-time legendary
Ukrainian fascist, Stepan Bandera. They are from Volosyanka and two
of them are Jewish.
Tenenbom’s
thesis: these nice, simple people decorated with swastikas and
fascist flags, cannot be fascists because they like Jews. They just
hate Russians.
Ukraine
– Donbas SITREP
1.
Fighting picks up in war-torn Donetsk
2.
Ukrainian troops are intensively shelling the positions of the DPR
army with all types of weapons, the DPR Defense Ministry reported to
the Donetsk News Agency. April, 13 2015. Donetsk People’s Republic,
Novorossiya.
“According
to our information, Ukrainian army is still intensively shelling our
positions with all types of weapons, including heavy artillery, from
the settlement of Opytniy. The settlement is controlled by the
Ukrainian troops,” – the Defense Ministry said. It also refuted
reports of some media, which alleges that the positions of the DPR
army has been ousted from Peski and there is a possibility of a
breakthrough of the Ukrainian army.
“We
do not confirm those reports,” – the DPR Defense Ministry said.
Meanwhile,
the cannonades are heard in ALL the districts of Donetsk, including
the center of the city. http://dan-news.info/
The
dan-news.info links to their articles only open from the page itself.
3.
“Slavyansk. Chronicles of War” documentary by Maxim Fadeyev [eng
subs]
4.
Horrific Results of the April 12 bombardment of Town Hospital #21
Страшные
последствия вчерашнего обстрела 21-й
больницы
APRIL
13: Video. It’s in Russian, but easy to understand. Yesterdays
bombardment by the Kiev occupational forces left the hospital in
ruins. Just follow the war reporter Kathrin Katina to see the
horrific results of the bombardment of the 21st Town Hospital in
township Oktyabrskaya, Donetsk.
5.
14 April, DAN Donetsk News Agency: DNR Min of Defense Says
Disinformation on Junta Breakthrough near Peski was to Panic Donetsk
Residents
Вброс
дезинформации о «прорыве» позиций армии
ДНР был призван посеять панику среди
дончан – Минобороны
http://dan-news.info/defence/vbros-dezinformacii-o-proryve-pozicij-armii-dnr-byl-prizvan-poseyat-paniku-sredi-donchan-minoborony-dnr.html
(Link is blocked, go to an-news.info)
A
source at the DNR Ministry of Defense Minoborony told us, “Last
night, there was disinformation circulating that our positions near
Peski were cut off and that an attack threatened Donetsk. We believe
that it was a premeditated provocation by official Ukrainian sources,
who wanted to spread panic amongst the civilian population. Thanks to
our prompt reaction to it, we foiled this provocation”. Overnight
on 13 April, a number of media outlets reported that junta forces
knocked the VSN out of Peski, with a threat of a junta breakthrough
to Donetsk. The DNR Minoborony definitively refuted this
disinformation.
6.
April 13: Donetsk – Spartak-Airport , ongoing battle, 22:00
13.04.2015
22.00 Ночной бой Пески-Спартак-Аэропорт.
Video
7.
April 13: Interview with NAF veteran Botsman
[eng
subs] “Sides became stronger, war’s gonna get more violent”
A
highly intelligent military officer of the NAF assess the situation
and calls for the Ukraine forces to get rid of the powers in Kiev and
to start an honest dialogue about the future of the country “without
the middlemen.” He also urges civilians to flee if the front is at
least 30 kilometers from their homes.
“You
can always come back after it’s over. We don’t want civilians
killed, because it’s going to be like nobody has ever seen before.”
8.
April 14-15: BREAKING NEWS: NAF moves large amounts of troops
direction Donetsk airport Spartak was nearly
surrounded last night by Ukrainian troops, NAF suffered serious
casualties, but held strong, Voentorg saved the day.
9.
NAF managed to repel all attacks on Spartak yesterday. Heavy losses
on both sides. NAF have several KIA, 50 WIA and armor losses
DONETSK—This speaks about demonstration of bravery of Givi’s
Somali and the resilience of NAF troops and command in general. Let
us hope NAF can now counterattack in force. Destroy the Ukronazis.
10.
Recent Events In Donbas, Ukrainian Forces Continue the Attacks
Ukrainian
Forces is using foreign mercenaries in their attack on Donetsk and
Mariupol Area ( NAF locations).
11.
The death of the 36 NAF soldiers in the 1st battle for the Donetsk
Airport, Vostok command fault, some kind of conspiracy.
12.
Heavy Infantry Fighting in Marinka Near Donetsk
12.
American troops landed in Lvov 14.04.2015
13.
Ukrainian DRONES OVER DONESTK ,GORLOVKA, MORTAR DUELS AT MARIUPOL,
VOLNOVAKHA
14.
Ukraine regime violated the ceasefire 66 times yesterday using
artillery, tanks & mortars against Donetsk & villages
15.
De-Christianization of Ukraine. 100s Orthodox church buildings
destroyed by Ukrainian forces
16.
NAF managed to suppress Ukraine’s advance & eliminate the
threat to and springboard for attack on city suburbs.
17.
Truck with humanitarian aid for Debaltsevo kids passes through
a narrow strip of a blown-up bridge
18.
APRIL 13-15: Reports Twitter and VK.com : PESKI—According to
various reports, fighting continued, w/NAF either remaining on the
outskirts (more likely) or regaining positions.
Fresh
Attacks on Petrovsky ( Donetsk district )
LUGANSK—In
LPR, at Bakhmutka highway, the Ukraine forces
offensive has largely petered out, with NAF holding their positions.
SPARTAK—As
for Spartak, the NAF was able, ultimately, to hold its positions in
the settlement and Ukraine forces advance was refuted.
PESKI—More
important resume is that #NAF didn’t allow Ukraine to develop its
initial success in Peski and successfully curtailed advance.
GORLOVKA—Ukraine
forces conducting artillery strikes on the outskirts of Gorlovka
since approximately 19:30 & late into the night.
LUGANSK—LPR
Army’s losses for April 13, 2015: seven wounded, 4 tanks, 2 APCs
and 2 IFVs damaged.
SHIROKINO—Part
of Motorola’s unit reported to have arrived to Shirkino, what looks
like in preparation for a sweep of its western outskirts
NAF
Command is currently deciding whether to return artillery back to the
line of front. NAF units have been raised for battle.
19.
[eng subs] Interview with “Texas” — NAF volunteer from US,
Donetsk airport area
20.
Over 2 million children have suffered as a result of the civil war,
there are more than 200 killed children among them.
Over
490 schools were destroyed in the DPR, along with 78 hospitals.
100,000
children have not attended school for one year, hiding in basements.
ECONOMY
OF UKRAINE
1.
Russia to sue if Ukraine does not redeem $3 billion in Eurobonds –
Russian finance minister
NATO
WAR AGAINST RUSSIA
1.
Germany increasing tank numbers to 328 active tanks
All
battalions are to be brought to 100% strength concerning tanks, from
225 to 328.
PS.
a link to the UN register of National holdings of German heavy
equipment, before the discussion on “stored tanks” even begins:
(from 2013) Essentially they’re rearming the ghost battalion (on
paper Germany has 6 tank battalion, in practice they only have the
tanks for 5).
What’s
in store? According to debates on augengeradeaus.de the 100+ A5 are
all sold to Poland and the A4 are said to be too old to be upgraded
anymore. So where are the A5 stocks to be upgraded/reactivated?
Interesting,
how Germany will pay for this. Rebuilding 20 ex-Dutch A6 to A7 cost
20 millions. Where is the budget to come from? Just consider the
trouble with the big-ticket projects the BW already has? There won’t
be a cent more from Schäuble, that’s for sure.
“Die
gebrauchten Panzer sollen für 22 Millionen Euro von der Industrie
zurückgekauft und dann ab 2017 modernisiert werden, wie das
Verteidigungsministerium am Freitag bekanntgab.”
Neither
the number 22 million € nor the phrase “bought back from the
Industry” makes much sense to me Or maybe KMW hoards hundreds of
“corporate main battle tanks”
2.
NATO Conducts First Test Of “Russia Rapid Response Force”
NATO
completed the first military drills for its new rapid reaction force,
on Thursday (9 April 2015). From Tuesday (7 April 2015) through
Thursday, more than 1,500 troops took part in exercise “Noble
Jump,” designed to test whether troops assigned to NATO’s new
Spearhead Force, or Very High Joint Readiness Task Force, could be
ready to deploy 48 hours after receiving an order-to-move.
Across
Europe, headquarters personnel from Croatia, Denmark, Germany,
Hungary, Lithuania, Norway, Slovenia, Poland and Portugal tested
their responses to NATO alert orders. In the Czech Republic and the
Netherlands, troops and equipment were assembled quickly at airfields
and railway stations as if they were about to depart. The units
involved in this week’s exercise will also be involved in further
trials in Poland in June.
Moscow
meanwhile is urging the removal of all foreign military formations
from Ukraine, including the instructors from the United States and
NATO.
I
have collected several pages of links reflecting some of the NATO
activities along the Russian borders in March and April. I will post
them in my next report.
RUSSIA
AND BEYOND
1.
BERLIN, April 13. /TASS/. Russia does not plan to renew the contract
for the natural gas transit via Ukraine after 2019, Russia’s
Minister of Energy Novak said on Monday.
“Alexey
Miller [CEO of Gazprom – TASS] has said the transit contract with
Ukraine will not be renewed after 2019. All the efforts are currently
focused on implementing construction of the infrastructure for the
natural gas transport to Turkey,” the minister said.
Is
this a gratuitous jab at the EU? This means also that Austria will
depend exclusively on Nord Stream. It’s old news, unless Russia
feels necessary to remand everyone about the Ukraine losing its
lucrative status as a gas transit country.
2.
Russia Has No Plans to Invade Ukraine – French Intelligence
Complete
silence in the Western Media on a “Russia envision” that never
been.
Even
French are not talking. The General himself mentions this deplorable
truth once, in a context of absence of trust between the NATO
members.
3.
Crimea Cracks Down on Corruption
4.
GENEVA, April 14. /TASS/ Russia ready to move toward common economic
space with EU
According
to Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov, the first step on
that road could be talks on establishment of a free trade zone
between the EU and the Eurasian Economic Union.
5.
Guest Post: Russian-Iranian Cooperation In The Creation Of New
Regional Security Systems
“It
is quite obvious that Russia cannot substitute the West and in
particular European countries with someone else.”
See
my argument against #4 and #5 at the summary of this sitrep.
6.
Behold the Polish Retarded Tower of Russophobic Paranoia
This
is the original design: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pId1L1ReSE
And
this is the end result trimmed by the Brussels apparatchiksы…
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.